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March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW


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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Looks like one more significant cold shot set to arrive on Sunday or Monday.  Could be pretty similar to the windy CAA event we had a couple of days ago.  I still can't believe how wicked that was for so late in the season.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Decent late-season cold east winds could happen over the next few days here in PDX. There are even hints of a very late-season overrunning event later on.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Looks like one more significant cold shot set to arrive on Sunday or Monday. Could be pretty similar to the windy CAA event we had a couple of days ago. I still can't believe how wicked that was for so late in the season.

The seasonality of your climate baffles me to no end. It’s almost an enigma given the thermal inertia of the Pacific Ocean and your overall latitude that your winters would wind down so early. I almost wonder if it’s simply a giant fluke that the averages are the way they are right now.

 

I’m literally in the subtropics, and late-February is still part of the “midwinter” period here..beats the living crap out of December. Even March is “winter”. It will be in the teens next week with multiple shots at snow as we approach the solstice. Lol.

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The seasonality of your climate baffles me to no end. It’s almost an enigma given the thermal inertia of the Pacific Ocean and your overall latitude that your winters would wind down so early. I almost wonder if it’s simply a giant fluke that the averages are the way they are right now.

 

I’m literally in the subtropics, and late-February is still part of the “midwinter” period here..beats the living crap out of December. Even March is “winter”. It will be in the teens next week with multiple shots at snow as we approach the solstice. Lol.

Absolutely baffling.

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The ECMWF actually shows a widespread snow event later next week.  The duration of this cold is one for the ages.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The seasonality of your climate baffles me to no end. It’s almost an enigma given the thermal inertia of the Pacific Ocean and your overall latitude that your winters would wind down so early. I almost wonder if it’s simply a giant fluke that the averages are the way they are right now.

 

I’m literally in the subtropics, and late-February is still part of the “midwinter” period here..beats the living crap out of December. Even March is “winter”. It will be in the teens next week with multiple shots at snow as we approach the solstice. Lol.

 

It just seems like the mean trough has a tendency to settle into the Eastern half of continent late in the winter.  It is an interesting question whether that is simply a recent manifestation that could change with little notice.  I do know that February used to average colder than December in Seattle prior to 1940 or so.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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It just seems like the mean trough has a tendency to settle into the Eastern half of continent late in the winter. It is an interesting question whether that is simply a recent manifestation that could change with little notice. I do know that February used to average colder than December in Seattle prior to 1940 or so.

The more I think about it, the more I think it could change at some point. At the very least, I don’t see why an early March blast would have any less potential for greatness than an early December blast. There’s much more cold available in the Arctic and Subarctic on March 1st than December 1st, and the Pacific is much colder as well.

 

So what’s stopping it? Sun angle certainly won’t. Has to be something with the wavetrain.

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What is it showing for King County?

 

1 to 2 inches for most of Western WA.  Same for King County.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 to 2 inches for most of Western WA.  Same for King County.

Anything for PDX?

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Well if the euro verified that would be pretty cool too see one last snowfall here, still way too early to get my hopes up though considering that it’s still a few days out. It is pretty interesting that we are looking at the possibility of snow in March though

We will see if anything changes the next few days for the better or not

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Well if the euro verified that would be pretty cool too see one last snowfall here, still way too early to get my hopes up though considering that it’s still a few days out. It is pretty interesting that we are looking at the possibility of snow in March though

We will see if anything changes the next few days for the better or not

 

It looked much snowier than that in my area last weekend and on Wednesday night... and we got nothing.   Gray shading usually means nothing more than some snow in the air... unless its really cold.  Even blue shading is often overstated.

 

I looked at that map and thought it basically will not snow any more at my house unless it changes again.   Of course... I don't want any more snow.    ;)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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36 at SEA and 32 here... totally clear skies.

 

Should be a really nice day before the cold east wind kicks in over the weekend.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Oh I definitely think it’s unlikely it will verify and end up snowing I hope things change but it’s more likely that we won’t end up with measurable snow. I can understand you not wanting snow considering the few feet you’ve had

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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It looked much snowier than that in my area last weekend and on Wednesday night... and we got nothing.   Gray shading usually means nothing more than some snow in the air... unless its really cold.  Even blue shading is often overstated.

 

I looked at that map and thought it basically will not snow any more at my house unless it changes again.   Of course... I don't want any more snow.    ;)

 

Of course you can get snow into April at your location.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Very cold morning in NE Washington. Cheney down to -9.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I’m hoping to see some more crazy outflow winds, the other night we had very strong east outflow winds, probably some of the strongest I’ve ever seen will be interesting too see if it can happen again or not, usually where I live being fairly distant from the foothills it’s very uncommon to see such powerful wind here, gusts were about 45 or so.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Of course.

 

Does not mean I want it. ;)

 

I would not mind a few inches that melts by noon, provided what I have on the ground now melts. Only about 30 this morning, so I'm thinking I could get well into the 40s today and melt off a couple of inches. Sunday-Wednesday at least probably won't see a great deal of melting, probably none in the shade.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I would not mind a few inches that melts by noon, provided what I have on the ground now melts. Only about 30 this morning, so I'm thinking I could get well into the 40s today and melt off a couple of inches. Sunday-Wednesday at least probably won't see a great deal of melting, probably none in the shade.

 

I was thinking yesterday that a scenario where it snows in the morning and then melts by noon might be better than this sunny, dry air scenario for melting the existing snow pack.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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A very cold and rather wet February! Keep in mind I've only kept weather records in Battle Ground since 2010...but many areas experienced their coldest February since 1989. So, unless you're over 30, you've never experienced a colder month of February!
 
Here's how it ended up at my house...
 
Average High: 43.7 (6 degrees below average) (coldest ever)
Average Low: 31.2 (3 degrees below average) (coldest ever)
 
Highest Temperature: 54 on the 2nd (coldest maximum temperature for February)
Lowest Temperature: 18.5 on the 7th
 
Peak Wind: East at 33 MPH on the 26th
 
Precip: 6.63" (2" above my average)
Snowfall: 3.25 (barely above average)
 
Cloudy Days: 23, (1 above normal, tied for most ever)
Days with precip: 25 (most ever)
Days with thunder: 0
Temps below 32: 15 (tied with last year for highest ever)
Days with snowfall: 14 (highest ever)
Days with hail: 3 (highest ever)

 

2. February Temperatures Graph.jpg

2. February Precip Graph.jpg

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The seasonality of your climate baffles me to no end. It’s almost an enigma given the thermal inertia of the Pacific Ocean and your overall latitude that your winters would wind down so early. I almost wonder if it’s simply a giant fluke that the averages are the way they are right now.

 

I’m literally in the subtropics, and late-February is still part of the “midwinter” period here..beats the living crap out of December. Even March is “winter”. It will be in the teens next week with multiple shots at snow as we approach the solstice. Lol.

 

I lived for a year in the SF Bay Area, and the coldest weather of the winter I experienced there was in *March*. I was in a third-floor apartment and the only time the heat coming up from the units below was insufficient (and thus the only time I ran my own heater) was in March. I thought this was odd, but the long-timers I knew were all "the ocean makes our seasons lag, so OF COURSE the coldest weather happens in late winter, duh". Yet up here well to the north, March is distinctly a spring month. Definitely very odd.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Haha well this morning pretty much all the models showed no accumulated snowfall for my area for the next 7 days now the gfs fv3 icon and Canadian all show about 1-2 inches over the next 7 days, not counting on anything but winter isn’t totally dead yet it appears

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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