March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 currently at Redmond, OR with fog. Quite the inversion they have going on over there. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Even if it doesn’t hit 80 in Seattle it will be close. Record warm for March. Some places will hit 80 today though even if it doesn’t close to the sound.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like Silver Falls came in with their coldest February on record. Beating out 1989 by a whisker. 

 

2019: 32.07

1989: 32.12

 

Average max was 35.61

Average min was  28.54

 

That is the coldest February average max by 3.4 degrees. 

The average minimum was only the 9th coldest on record, but coldest since 1989.

 

Preliminary snowfall data is 26.5" which would be 2nd all-time for February. Kind of unfortunate they did not record more as the true number was probably more in the 40-45" range. 

[ShawniganLake]

Has the snowpack caught up up there, or was the cold period in February-early March drier further north.

Seems okay up there now. My mom was up at the cabin on the weekend. Said the drifts were knee deep in places. It was fairly mild though. 55/15 type days with sunshine.

 

Snow survey doesn’t look too bad. NW looks dry which had a bad fire season last year too.

 

[Jesse]

SEA already hit 70 degrees at 9:55 AM.

 

Just absolutely ridiculous and 15 degrees warmer than yesterday at that time, which still ended up being the warmest Winter day in recorded history.

 

A 32 mph East wind though, which will cap afternoon heating some.

Winter ended 19 days ago.

[bainbridgekid]

Winter ended 19 days ago.

Didn't feel like it when it was snowing.

[Jesse]

Didn't feel like it when it was snowing.

Meteorological season definitions don’t care about your feelings.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows the trough moving inland next week but most of rain is focused in CA. Pretty paltry up here though day 8 at least.

[Jesse]

No, but but to clarify, the all-time high for today is 76 for the city. This record was obviously taken in downtown.

I don't think SEA will hit 80 as well, but it'll be close. Look like 11AM reading is 70F.

I’m not too familiar with SEA as a station besides knowing that it tends to run warm, but I would warn against extrapolating highs on a windy day like this. Very commonly temperatures tend to spike early and rise more slowly in the afternoon with this sort of set up.

[TT-SEA]

Just a couple days with some showers around and then back to a big ridge on the 12Z ECMWF.

[ShawniganLake]

[Omegaraptor]

Meteorological season definitions don’t care about your feelings.

Meteorological summer also begins on June 1 and ends on August 31. If you know west coast climate at all you’ll know it makes absolutely no sense for this part of the country.

 

On most of the CA coast September is straight up warmer than July.

[Omegaraptor]

6722CB24-3186-41AB-8591-C91EE0188BD5.png

So we get to watch CA getting battered by storms again while Oregon misses out every single time.

[MossMan]

What a difference one week makes!

From 32 and snow to 70’s and sun!

[TacomaWaWx]

71 at my house right now just before 1pm. Feels like July. Lots of 70s all around as well.

[Cloud]

I’m not too familiar with SEA as a station besides knowing that it tends to run warm, but I would warn against extrapolating highs on a windy day like this. Very commonly temperatures tend to spike early and rise more slowly in the afternoon with this sort of set up.

Yeah, I totally agree and a day like this in the summer we'd be pushing it in the 90s. 

12:30PM reading for SEA is 75. NWS Seattle 76. Be interesting to see if they do hit 80F today.

[Deweydog]

At least SEA’s windchill is in the 60’s...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

65 now.  Let's see if we can hit 72.

[Deweydog]

65 now. Let's see if we can hit 72.

How much snow do you have left?

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS brings the trough into CA on days 8 and 9 and then goes back to a ridge by day 10.   

 

This coming weekend has been trending nicer as well.  

 

Here is day 10:

 

[jakerepp]

My phone is showing 77 here in South Seattle, and.....64 at home in Edmonds. 

[High Desert Mat?]

32 currently at Redmond, OR with fog. Quite the inversion they have going on over there.

So it says on the weather apps. It’s been clear and sunny for hours now. And temp is up to 48

[Jesse]

Yeah, I totally agree and a day like this in the summer we'd be pushing it in the 90s.

12:30PM reading for SEA is 75. NWS Seattle 76. Be interesting to see if they do hit 80F today.

Comparing this pattern to a summer pattern is sort of apples to oranges since we generally would never see this deep of offshore flow in the summer, or a big ridge with such relatively low heights. Taking today’s airmass at face value though, 850s of 12-13c wouldn’t be that outlandish for summer. Probably a close to average day, and definitely not enough to get SEA to 90.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Comparing this pattern to a summer pattern is sort of apples to oranges since we generally would never see this deep of offshore flow in the summer, or a big ridge with such relatively low heights. Taking today’s airmass at face value though, 850s of 12-13c wouldn’t be that outlandish for summer. Probably a close to average day, and definitely not enough to get SEA to 90.

 

Hey Jesse, I expanded on my original thoughts over in the Banter thread...

[Cloud]

Bothell hit 80F

[Timmy Supercell]

Wunderground has 0.22" precip next Tuesday... Should pick up some more 'Umbrella' 6-packs at the store

 

[MossMan]

The pollen is accumulating rapidly today!

[Geos]

Been enjoying all the warm weather since Saturday. Up to 76* here now. Was about 72* here yesterday.

[Cloud]

If I have to guess, I'd say temps will be stabling out at 76-78 next few hours for SEA. Mainly because it hasn't spiked in the last hour as it did all day with the same steady wind. Will miss the 80 mark.

[bainbridgekid]

79 at SEA. 

 

Hottest March day in history.

[Jesse]

79 at SEA.

 

Hottest March day in history.

I’m seeing 77 on the hourly report. The five minute obs often feature celcius to fahrenheit rounding errors.

[bainbridgekid]

Impressive diurnal temperature swings today.

 

BLI rose 34 degrees in just 4 hours this morning, and Olympia is sitting at a toasty 74 after a morning low of 28.

[bainbridgekid]

I’m seeing 77 on the hourly report. The five minute obs often feature celcius to fahrenheit rounding errors.

True, but 78 was the record, so even a rounding error would tie the monthly record.

[Cloud]

At 2PM SEA is warmer than Miami, Vegas, and Houston. Only cooler than Phoenix. 

[Winterdog]

Currently 78.6F after a morning low of 29.6F. I’m sure I’ve never seen a daily spread of 49 degrees here before. Too lazy to go over 27 years of records to find out though.

[Jesse]

Some high cirrus clouds approaching from the south here. Glad to see them since that means the beginning of the end for this awful stretch of weather.

[TacomaWaWx]

Many places in mid 70s with a few upper 70s away from the water. A few mid to upper 60s in the N.Interior near the water.

[Bryant]

I'm not prepared for this heat... can we rewind a few weeks and enjoy some more snow please?

[seattleweatherguy]

80 here

[Deweydog]

Maybe the quickest shift from #pray4tim to #pray4jesse in forum history.

 

Dynamic new regime we’ve entered! Me likey!