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March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

SpringWinter Cold Phase Blob GLAAM Dew Snow 70 degrees 8-9
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#51
jcmcgaffey

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:21 AM

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Here's a good one - Wilbur, WA never rose above 34 in February. First time they didn't hit 40 in February (records back to 1899!), and they didn't even come close.

Only three other months have stayed under 35 previously, all during January (1929, 1937, 1979).

Wow. Keeps these coming. These are interesting.
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#52
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:23 AM

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Spokane hit -1. 

 

Over on the west side I see a lot of low-mid 40s already. 


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Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#53
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:24 AM

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With forecast lows in the mid-20s in the Portland area early next week, I'm trying to remember the last time PDX got below the upper 20s in March. It looks like their March benchmark for this century so far is only 28 (2012 and 2002).

 

Edit: It appears the last time they fell below 28 in March was 3/3/89 (low of 19).



#54
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:26 AM

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Opheim 10N, Montana pulled off their coldest month in 63 years of records.

 

Average ended up at -9.0, smashing the previous coldest Feb set just last year (-0.2 in 2018). 

 

Previous coldest any-month was -8.2 in January 1969. 

 

This station only goes back to 1956, obviously missing some big hitters like Feb. 1936.


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#55
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:31 AM

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EURO going with 50 at PDX today. After that 43, 35, 35, 41


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#56
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:32 AM

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With forecast lows in the mid-20s in the Portland area early next week, I'm trying to remember the last time PDX got below the upper 20s in March. It looks like their March benchmark for this century so far is only 28 (2012 and 2002).

 

Edit: It appears the last time they fell below 28 in March was 3/3/89 (low of 19).

 

Been tough to come by. That's a really weak benchmark for March for 30 years!



#57
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:34 AM

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Also, definite UHI influence there with the March stats at PDX. 

 

19 of 49 years hit 27 or lower, until 1989...about once every 2-3 years. 


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#58
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:37 AM

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Euro shows widespread highs in the 30s on Wednesday with cloud cover and light precipitation.


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#59
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:38 AM

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EURO says PDX will hit 50 today.

#60
Esquimalt

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:42 AM

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Euro shows widespread highs in the 30s on Wednesday with cloud cover and light precipitation.

Snow maps?



#61
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:42 AM

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Also, definite UHI influence there with the March stats at PDX. 

 

19 of 49 years hit 27 or lower, until 1989...about once every 2-3 years. 

 

I also think it is a total lack of airmasses like we are about to see. Up here we've had a lot of snow in March over the past 10 years or so, but it has all come with pretty strong onshore flow. There were plenty of times in the late 40s, 50s, and 60s Silver Falls had lows in the teens in March, and we haven't even been close while I've lived up here. I think the most impressive day overall in the past 10+ years was a 37/24 on 3/11/09.


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#62
TacomaWaWx

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:43 AM

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EURO going with 50 at PDX today. After that 43, 35, 35, 41

that would be pretty impressive 35 degrees for highs on March 3rd and 4th pretty cold for this time of year

#63
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:43 AM

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Snow maps?

 

Doesn't really show anything of interest.


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#64
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:46 AM

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EURO going with 50 at PDX today.

#65
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:46 AM

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that would be pretty impressive 35 degrees for highs on March 3rd and 4th pretty cold for this time of year

 

Yes, and then 35 on Wednesday.


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#66
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:48 AM

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EURO going with 50 at PDX today.

 

Forecasting widespread 50-51 degree temps in the metro. PDX hanging tough right now at 41, so maybe they miss out. Up to 46 at HIO, 45 at Aurora and 45 at Salem, so those locations are well on their way.


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#67
TT-SEA

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:50 AM

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Doesn't really show anything of interest.

 

 

Marginal overrunning event on Wednesday... I would not count on the gray shaded area being anything though.

 

ecmwf-snow-48-washington-29.png


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#68
GHweatherChris

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:51 AM

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Marginal overrunning event on Wednesday... I would not count on the gray shaded area being anything though.

ecmwf-snow-48-washington-29.png


No need to keep making the same comment about the gray shades area.

#69
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:54 AM

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Marginal overrunning event on Wednesday... I would not count on the gray shaded area being anything though.

 

ecmwf-snow-48-washington-29.png

 

Precip is very sparse. Highs in the Willamette Valley are 35-37 that day.


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#70
HighlandExperience

Posted 01 March 2019 - 10:56 AM

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Marginal overrunning event on Wednesday... I would not count on the gray shaded area being anything though.

ecmwf-snow-48-washington-29.png

Grey equals no snow

#71
TT-SEA

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:03 AM

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Precip is very sparse. Highs in the Willamette Valley are 35-37 that day.

 

And mid-40s in the Seattle area on Wednesday.

 

In fact... every day after Monday is in the mid-40s or higher in the Seattle area.



#72
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:08 AM

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Latest EURO forecast is out, going with 50 at PDX today.

#73
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:12 AM

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Doesn't really show anything of interest.


Just a 2-3” snow event for the metro area Wednesday. WILLAMETTE VALLEY is left out though.

#74
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:25 AM

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I also think it is a total lack of airmasses like we are about to see. Up here we've had a lot of snow in March over the past 10 years or so, but it has all come with pretty strong onshore flow. There were plenty of times in the late 40s, 50s, and 60s Silver Falls had lows in the teens in March, and we haven't even been close while I've lived up here. I think the most impressive day overall in the past 10+ years was a 37/24 on 3/11/09.

 

That's true, we definitely haven't had many impressive airmasses in March in recent decades. At the same time, the March 2009 airmass could have produced a lower minimum than 28 with less UHI influence. I.e. it produced 24 in Eugene, tied for their coldest in March since 1971...



#75
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:26 AM

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That's true, we definitely haven't had many impressive airmasses in March in recent decades. At the same time, the March 2009 airmass could have produced a lower minimum than 28 with less UHI influence. I.e. it produced 24 in Eugene, tied for their coldest in March since 1971...


Yeah. If I remember right Mark was forecasting a low of 25 at PDX with that one as well.

#76
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:28 AM

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Crazy, EUG couldn’t even manage a freeze last night despite all that snowpack. Hope they can pull off an impressive number or two at some point before it’s gone.

#77
Timmy

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:30 AM

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Crazy, EUG couldn’t even manage a freeze last night despite all that snowpack. Hope they can pull off an impressive number or two at some point before it’s gone.

I only made it down to 30 surprisingly and I still have 6 inches of snow on the ground.

#78
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:30 AM

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-1 in Odessa, WA this morning smashed the March record low of 4, set in 1922/1955/1989.


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#79
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:33 AM

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I only made it down to 30 surprisingly and I still have 6 inches of snow on the ground.


Was there much clearing up there?

#80
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:33 AM

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Yeah. If I remember right Mark was forecasting a low of 25 at PDX with that one as well.

 

That's about what I remember as well. Coulda...



#81
Timmy

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:34 AM

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Was there much clearing up there?


Not really sure, it snowed about 1/2”

#82
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:35 AM

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Crazy, EUG couldn’t even manage a freeze last night despite all that snowpack. Hope they can pull off an impressive number or two at some point before it’s gone.

 

Yeah, can't do much with a saturated airmass and southerly breeze. Need some of that dry air to advect in the next couple days. Will be an uphill battle trying to keep the snowpack until then, with that March sunshine.



#83
MossMan

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:35 AM

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+PNA keeps getting delayed and might now stay negative for the next few weeks at least.

#84
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:37 AM

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+PNA keeps getting delayed and might now stay negative for the next few weeks at least.


Blurry screenshot plz!!
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#85
Cloud

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:39 AM

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EURO going with 50 at PDX today. After that 43, 35, 35, 41

That's super impressive cold for this time of the year. 



#86
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:42 AM

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Coldest Feb. on record at The Dalles (airport), finishing at 29.4 degrees. Previously 30.8 in 1989.


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#87
Cloud

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:42 AM

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And mid-40s in the Seattle area on Wednesday.

 

In fact... every day after Monday is in the mid-40s or higher in the Seattle area.

Not very surprising without a fraser outflow. Cold air is bottled up east of the cascade so the gorge outflow will benefit PDX. 



#88
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:56 AM

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Just a 2-3” snow event for the metro area Wednesday. WILLAMETTE VALLEY is left out though.


We had our fun. Y’all’s turn. 👍🏻🙏🏻
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Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#89
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 11:58 AM

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Coldest Feb. on record at The Dalles (airport), finishing at 29.4 degrees. Previously 30.8 in 1989.

 

That's crazy. I had no idea they beat it, especially by that much.


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#90
wx_statman

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:04 PM

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That's crazy. I had no idea they beat it, especially by that much.

 

Looks like Quillayute tied 1989 for coldest Feb. as well, at 35.0. Pretty amazing they accomplished this without a top tier Arctic blast like that year. The persistence has been off the charts, obviously. 



#91
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:32 PM

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Looks like widespread low 50s from Salem north except for a small sliver along the Columbia River. Even Larch Mtn up to 54!


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#92
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:34 PM

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Eugene hanging tough at 39. I think the airmass early next week could produce some pretty impressive lows even without snowpack. 

Only managed a low of 30 last night with several hours of clear skies and an 18" snow depth. 

 

Salem's sub-50 streak ends at 26 days. Still impressive. Hopefully PDX can hang onto their's today.


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Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#93
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:35 PM

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Looks like widespread low 50s from Salem north except for a small sliver along the Columbia River. Even Larch Mtn up to 54!


EURO says PDX hits 50 today.

#94
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:35 PM

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EURO says PDX hits 50 today.

 

Does it make you angry that I mentioned it or are you employing some kind of reverse psychology in an effort to prevent it?


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#95
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:37 PM

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Eugene hanging tough at 39. I think the airmass early next week could produce some pretty impressive lows even without snowpack.
Only managed a low of 30 last night with several hours of clear skies and an 18" snow depth.

Salem's sub-50 streak ends at 26 days. Still impressive. Hopefully PDX can hang onto their's today.


Will need for those Gorge winds to surface soon if they have a shot. EURO says that today, PDX hits 50. Troutdale just 41 on the hour with gusts to 33mph.

#96
Jesse

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:38 PM

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Does it make you angry that I mentioned it or are you employing some kind of reverse psychology in an effort to prevent it?


Just reporting on the EURO.

#97
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:38 PM

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Pendleton had 13 sub-freezing highs in February.


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#98
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:43 PM

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Just reporting on the EURO.

 

Oh no. Has Tim been slacking?


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#99
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:44 PM

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Final February Stats

 

Avg Max: 37.6

Avg Min:  28.2

Mean:      32.9

Precip: 12.22"

Snow:   52.2"

Sub-freezing lows: 25

Days with precip: 23

Days with measurable snow: 18


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#100
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 March 2019 - 12:49 PM

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Salem has now had two top 10 coldest December's and a top 10 cold February since 2013. Now we just need to add a top 10 January, I think 2017 came in like 15th or something like that. 


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 






Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: SpringWinter, Cold Phase, Blob, GLAAM, Dew, Snow, 70 degrees, 8-9