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Mountain West Discussion

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#2601
Black Hole

Posted 25 January 2018 - 08:32 AM

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Was surprised to find I still had about 4-5" of snow on the ground getting back home tonight, despite a high around 50 today.

 

With temps near 60 tomorrow, though, I'm sure most of it will be gone soon. However, I'm off to Park City, UT for the weekend and it looks like they'll be getting several inches tomorrow.  :D

Doesn't look so great, but it will be something at least. 

Overall a boring period coming up with no big storms, but a few small ones might sneak through.


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2602
happ

Posted 25 January 2018 - 03:26 PM

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Snow on the ground in Denver this late afternoon

 

@cReppWx

 

Attached Files


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#2603
Black Hole

Posted 25 January 2018 - 05:08 PM

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1.5" of fluff this evening from the front. 


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2604
Kayla

Posted 25 January 2018 - 07:55 PM

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3" of wet snow here in the late afternoon. Lots of drifting snow out ahead and along the front with 40-50mph winds. Had to plow/shovel 2ft deep drifts off the driveway this evening on top of the new snow that fell.

 

Unsettled conditions this weekend with little accumulations. Next big'ish storm looks to arrive on Tuesday.


Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2605
Black Hole

Posted 25 January 2018 - 10:31 PM

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Not looking at any significant snow anytime soon, but we should have a mostly dry, but strong, cold front in a week or so. 


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2606
Black Hole

Posted 27 January 2018 - 02:54 PM

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Models all over the place in the 7-10 day period. Going from big ridge to massive arctic blast. Hopefully things settle down soon, and for the best!


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BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2607
Black Hole

Posted 31 January 2018 - 06:23 PM

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They settled down for the worse. Massive ridge over the whole west setting up in a few days and not going anywhere.


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2608
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 31 January 2018 - 07:00 PM

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They settled down for the worse. Massive ridge over the whole west setting up in a few days and not going anywhere.

 

If this pattern doesn't change soon, a large portion of the western half of the country is going to be in a major drought as we go into the spring and summer.



#2609
Kayla

Posted 31 January 2018 - 08:11 PM

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We picked up 4" of snowfall here yesterday afternoon out ahead of the front. Chilly behind the front today with highs in the 20's and tonight we're already down to 18F.

 

We once again find ourselves on the boundary line up here beginning tomorrow night through the at least Monday. Looks like some moderate to heavy accumulations at times. It's a fine line and the models are really struggling with who sees the brunt of the moisture and cold. Either way, the mountains continue to get slammed up here this winter.


Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2610
Kayla

Posted 31 January 2018 - 08:30 PM

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Bozeman is already up to 93.7" of snowfall on the season as of today. For perspective, Bozeman averages ~90" of yearly snowfall. Pretty impressive considering we just flipped the page on January with the snowiest months (historically) ahead of us over the next few months. 

 

Definitely a legitimate chance of breaking Bozeman's all-time snowiest season set in 1996-97 of 158.5"


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Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2611
Front Ranger

Posted 31 January 2018 - 09:25 PM

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Bozeman is already up to 93.7" of snowfall on the season as of today. For perspective, Bozeman averages ~90" of yearly snowfall. Pretty impressive considering we just flipped the page on January with the snowiest months (historically) ahead of us over the next few months. 

 

Definitely a legitimate chance of breaking Bozeman's all-time snowiest season set in 1996-97 of 158.5"

 

So different than the rest of the West.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2612
Kayla

Posted 01 February 2018 - 07:14 AM

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So different than the rest of the West.

 

Yeah, its been such a bizarre pattern this season. Western and central Montana has continuously found itself right along the storm track since early November and that continues now into this first week of February. I can't think of too many similar years...besides maybe 1996-97.

 

Its just been so strange to be completely buried here while knowing that the rest of the West snowfall is running 30% or less below average. Definitely feel for you guys.


Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2613
Front Ranger

Posted 01 February 2018 - 11:17 AM

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Yeah, its been such a bizarre pattern this season. Western and central Montana has continuously found itself right along the storm track since early November and that continues now into this first week of February. I can't think of too many similar years...besides maybe 1996-97.

 

Its just been so strange to be completely buried here while knowing that the rest of the West snowfall is running 30% or less below average. Definitely feel for you guys.

 

1996-97 was easily better to this point here, though. Boulder had almost 50" of snow by end of January that winter. This winter, they're at 31".

 

1996-97 also had a huge February and an even bigger April here, so we'll be lucky to finish anywhere near that winter.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2614
Black Hole

Posted 05 February 2018 - 07:36 AM

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A few models, including the 6z GFS, showing a downslope wind event next Saturday. Overall the dry weather continues, but a wind storm would be fun to see.


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2615
Mercurial

Posted 05 February 2018 - 01:48 PM

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Got back from Japan a few days ago, man what a country.  4 inches of snow was enough to send Tokyo into a tailspin, though.

 

Anyway, seems we have a good 4-5 feet otg here, and the summit is reporting 120".  Big Mountain isn't quite Niseko, but it'll suffice :)



#2616
Mercurial

Posted 05 February 2018 - 11:09 PM

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Not bad

 

mt_swepctnormal_update.png


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#2617
Black Hole

Posted 06 February 2018 - 06:55 AM

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GFS is consistent showing a downslope windstorm pattern on Saturday, ECMWF is far from it, with the CMC in the middle. 


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2618
Front Ranger

Posted 06 February 2018 - 11:27 AM

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Upcoming pattern looks more promising than probably any other period this winter, except maybe the one around Christmas.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2619
Kayla

Posted 09 February 2018 - 08:55 AM

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Winter returned with a vengeance last night here. High of 45F yesterday was quickly replaced with a strong East winds and a flash freeze with temps falling into the low teens by early evening.

 

Picked up about 3" of "cold smoke" so far this morning with a current temp of 3F and light snow continuing. Looks like the cold is here to stay for a while with well below zero readings expected tonight.


Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2620
Black Hole

Posted 09 February 2018 - 03:21 PM

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ECMWF ensemble mean strongly suggests a return of a deep western trough in the week 2 period. GEFS has not been so confident. 


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BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2621
Front Ranger

Posted 09 February 2018 - 05:34 PM

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In the 20s all day here with freezing fog and flurries.

 

Temps may not make it out of the teens tomorrow, 1-3" of snow forecast.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2622
Kayla

Posted 09 February 2018 - 06:09 PM

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Had a high of only 10F today which was set at midnight. Temps never rose above 7F during the day today with light snow falling throughout the day. About 5" of new snow on the day.

 

Currently 4F with light snow continuing to fall.


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Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2623
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 09 February 2018 - 11:53 PM

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ECMWF ensemble mean strongly suggests a return of a deep western trough in the week 2 period. GEFS has not been so confident. 

 

I really feel like we are due for at least one significant storm cycle this season that brings widespread rain and mountain snow across the west. The pattern has been locked into one position for far too long now, and in years past, this would have changed sooner and not been nearly as persistent as it has been this year.



#2624
Black Hole

Posted 10 February 2018 - 12:41 PM

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I really feel like we are due for at least one significant storm cycle this season that brings widespread rain and mountain snow across the west. The pattern has been locked into one position for far too long now, and in years past, this would have changed sooner and not been nearly as persistent as it has been this year.

I think So Cal actually stands an above average chance of a good storm in the next two weeks with the pattern setting up. We can only hope.

I see no sign of a big storm here, but several small storms are better than none.


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BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2625
Front Ranger

Posted 10 February 2018 - 03:38 PM

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Snow has tapered to very light flurries here. High of just 15 today, got almost 3".


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Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2626
epiceast

Posted 11 February 2018 - 04:30 PM

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Above average snowfall, below average snowpack in the city of Missoula this winter(too warm). 



#2627
Kayla

Posted 12 February 2018 - 08:49 AM

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Dropped down to -3F here this morning with a wind chill of -20F and some light snow. Not expecting to warm up much today, maybe upper single digits if we're lucky. Currently 2F.

 

Next storm looks to arrive here Wednesday afternoon with moderate snowfall accumulations (3-6") expected.


Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2628
Front Ranger

Posted 12 February 2018 - 09:04 AM

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Above average snowfall, below average snowpack in the city of Missoula this winter(too warm). 

 

Pretty sharp divide between much above normal and much below across MT this winter.

 

Attached File  60dTDeptWRCC-NW.png   121.6KB   1 downloads


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Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2629
Black Hole

Posted 12 February 2018 - 09:50 AM

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Today's system split too much so no precip for me. A slightly better chance on Thursday and better yet over the weekend. No big storms still, but its nice to see things looking up.


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2630
Kayla

Posted 12 February 2018 - 09:50 AM

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Pretty sharp divide between much above normal and much below across MT this winter.

 

attachicon.gif60dTDeptWRCC-NW.png

 

Continental Divide, divide.


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Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2631
Front Ranger

Posted 12 February 2018 - 10:10 AM

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Continental Divide, divide.

 

Exactly...I almost said the same thing when I posted it.  ;)


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Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2632
Black Hole

Posted 13 February 2018 - 05:34 PM

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Mid range is really looking promising with trough after trough moving into the west. This will be made possible by the pacific ridge moving west and stalling, then the greenland block anchoring things to the east. 


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2633
Front Ranger

Posted 13 February 2018 - 09:52 PM

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Mid range is really looking promising with trough after trough moving into the west. This will be made possible by the pacific ridge moving west and stalling, then the greenland block anchoring things to the east. 

 

Pretty good chance the next 2-3 weeks are the best of the winter for the West overall. Not saying much, but at least it's not more of the same.

 

By the way, I did mention a few weeks ago that based on how this winter has played out and ENSO, a much better Feb/Mar were pretty likely for our areas.  ;)


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Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2634
epiceast

Posted 13 February 2018 - 10:35 PM

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Continental Divide, divide.

The Inverse would bring a lot more snow to everyone(SW to NE running lows with huge deformation zones??)



#2635
Black Hole

Posted 14 February 2018 - 09:54 AM

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Pretty good chance the next 2-3 weeks are the best of the winter for the West overall. Not saying much, but at least it's not more of the same.

 

By the way, I did mention a few weeks ago that based on how this winter has played out and ENSO, a much better Feb/Mar were pretty likely for our areas.  ;)

Yeah, I agree its now or never. Hopefully at least a few decent events coming up for both of us. Main problem for me is that the pattern is overall very amplified but with little overwater trajectory, meaning smaller storms.


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2636
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 14 February 2018 - 04:21 PM

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I just don't know why we can't get at least one cycle of storms this winter with a deep trough off the west coast with lots of over-water trajectory that brings beneficial snow and rain to a widespread region.

 

I am hoping this pattern doesn't become so dominant from one year to the next to the point that a major portion of the west is denied of rainfall again and again.



#2637
Kayla

Posted 14 February 2018 - 09:26 PM

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Looks like this latest Arctic front is packing quite the punch. Blizzard like conditions have become quite widespread with the front in North Central MT and is progressing south. A Civil Emergency Watch was issued which I'm not sure I've ever experienced. Very hazardous travel out there. 

 

Will be interesting to see what we end up with come tomorrow morning. Currently 27F with moderate snowfall.


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Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2638
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 14 February 2018 - 11:39 PM

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Looks like this latest Arctic front is packing quite the punch. Blizzard like conditions have become quite widespread with the front in North Central MT and is progressing south. A Civil Emergency Watch was issued which I'm not sure I've ever experienced. Very hazardous travel out there. 

 

Will be interesting to see what we end up with come tomorrow morning. Currently 27F with moderate snowfall.

 

Who issues a "Civil Emergency Watch"? I have never heard of such a watch before. A Winter Storm Warning or Blizzard Warning would seem more likely, unless those have already been issued as well.



#2639
Kayla

Posted 15 February 2018 - 07:06 AM

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Who issues a "Civil Emergency Watch"? I have never heard of such a watch before. A Winter Storm Warning or Blizzard Warning would seem more likely, unless those have already been issued as well.

 

My first same thought! Blizzard and Winter Storm Warnings were also issued but a "Civil Emergency Watch" was issued by state officials and came across the TV Broadcast system like an Amber Alert but for very hazardous travel conditions. Definitely a first for me!


  • Dan the Weatherman likes this

Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2640
Black Hole

Posted 15 February 2018 - 10:50 AM

Black Hole

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Just a bit of snow this morning at my place, perhaps 1/4".


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2641
Black Hole

Posted 15 February 2018 - 10:51 AM

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Good looking storm Sunday-Monday could bring several inches if it works out right. Maybe some lake effect too. 


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BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2642
Kayla

Posted 15 February 2018 - 02:10 PM

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Ended up with 3" of snowfall with the front here. 

 

Looks like we'll see another quick shot of snowfall tomorrow night into Saturday morning. Then, a decent snowstorm looks to take aim with the strong Arctic front moving through Saturday night into Monday. Coldest temps of the season look to settle in here on Monday when we may stay below zero all day.


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Warm season June/July/August 2018:

Total rainfall: 4.11"
Highest daily rainfall 0.83"
Coldest high: 51.1ºF
Coldest low: 27.7ºF

Average temp thus far: 60.5ºF 

June: 56.3ºF

July: 63.9ºF

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#2643
Black Hole

Posted 15 February 2018 - 04:06 PM

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Unlike other storms this season, the storm will linger a bit as it moves past and the coldest air aloft will move in. Should allow for a lot of orographic snow in the mountains.


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BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2644
Front Ranger

Posted 15 February 2018 - 08:20 PM

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Little surprise snowfall here tonight. Wasn't supposed to see anything more than flurries, but have about 1" and still coming down good. 


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Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2645
Black Hole

Posted 16 February 2018 - 08:51 PM

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Winter storm watch for Sun-Tues morning for 2-6", higher on benches. I think thats pretty conservative but good to see.


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BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2646
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 16 February 2018 - 09:06 PM

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Winter storm watch for Sun-Tues morning for 2-6", higher on benches. I think thats pretty conservative but good to see.

 

It's good to finally see some more significant action in your area. Hopefully the pattern changes enough so CA and the rest of the southwest gets some beneficial rain and snow before the season comes to a close. It would be nice to see all the areas in dire need of precip to finish this absolutely dismal season on a positive note!



#2647
Black Hole

Posted 16 February 2018 - 09:15 PM

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It's good to finally see some more significant action in your area. Hopefully the pattern changes enough so CA and the rest of the southwest gets some beneficial rain and snow before the season comes to a close. It would be nice to see all the areas in dire need of precip to finish this absolutely dismal season on a positive note!

Agreed. It's too late for a good winter, but perhaps we can end without being so far in the hole. :)


  • Dan the Weatherman likes this

BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2648
Front Ranger

Posted 17 February 2018 - 08:31 AM

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Winter storm watch for Sun-Tues morning for 2-6", higher on benches. I think thats pretty conservative but good to see.

 

Same storm is looking like maybe 2-4" here the next day.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#2649
Black Hole

Posted 17 February 2018 - 11:24 AM

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Same storm is looking like maybe 2-4" here the next day.

They upped their totals to 3-7" valleys, 8-16" benches. Probably a more reasonable call. 


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#2650
Mercurial

Posted 17 February 2018 - 06:19 PM

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Blizzard Warning just issued for Whitefish and Kalispell.  Absolute dumpage ongoing.  


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