Mountain West Discussion

[TT-SEA]

Those are beautiful pics!

 

Your cell phone did great.

[luminen]

Stunning pic (the last one). Must be a nice place to work.

[Kayla]

The ECMWF continues to advertise a quick hitting arctic blast for here with below zero readings. The 00z and now the latest 12z shows lows dropping in excess of -10F on Thursday morning with highs struggling to climb above the single digits. The GFS isn't nearly as aggressive with the cold air so still lots of uncertainty in the models.

 

The ECMWF is also the most robust with snowfall totals next week where it shows 6-10" in town and 8-12" IMBY.

 

So early to mid next week could either get very cold and snowy or just somewhat chilly and snowy. At the very least it's something fun to track!

[Black Hole]

Cold but likely dry shot of air here this week. Kayla will get the brunt of it. First meaningful snow may be a while off yet.

[Kayla]

Cold air starting to settle in here. Had some light snowfall this morning with just a dusting of accumulation. Looks like the snow showers should pick up this afternoon into tonight and tomorrow as the Canadian cold front continues to push south.

 

The ECMWF continues to insist that we'll see 6-10" by the end of the day on Wednesday while the rest of the models are much drier. I guess the ECMWF is picking up some sort of snow banding over the next few days. 

 

Models are also now in agreement that the cold air and unsettled conditions will last through at least next weekend.

[Kayla]

With that all said; Winter Weather Advisory just issued by the Great Falls NWS from 5pm today to 8am tomorrow for Bozeman and other Central Montana valley locations.

[Front Ranger]

Looks like it will be a chilly week here, but only a small chance of snow. The coldest temps should stay to our north and east.

[Kayla]

Snow has begun here. Just a light dusting so far but the snow should continue off and on throughout the night with dropping temps.

[Kayla]

Just measured 3" of snow on the ground IMBY this morning. Moderate snowfall is continuing to fall as some banding is starting to train right over Bozeman. Live view over MSU where it is a very snowy morning.

 

http://i66.tinypic.com/2r3jsk7.jpg

[Kayla]

Took this pic just before leaving for work this morning. About 4" before I left and still coming down at a good clip.

 

Looks like about 5-6" of snow in town currently and still coming down.

 

http://i67.tinypic.com/2dimuec.jpg

[Kayla]

Ended up with 5" of snowfall on the day here. Looks like just some off and on snow showers tonight into tomorrow morning until snowfall rates pick back up again tomorrow afternoon and evening. 

 

Currently 27F.

[Kayla]

Dropped down to 16F early this morning during a break in the clouds. Looks to be a cold day today, staying below freezing with snow showers moving in later this afternoon and evening. Currently 23F. 

[Black Hole]

Dropped down to 16F early this morning during a break in the clouds. Looks to be a cold day today, staying below freezing with snow showers moving in later this afternoon and evening. Currently 23F. 

Off to a good start! Looks bleak in Utah. I need to come visit Montana. 

[Kayla]

Off to a good start! Looks bleak in Utah. I need to come visit Montana. 

 

Yeah we do really well with these clipper like systems. Almost always overachieves with the Euro having the best handle on snow amounts in these type of systems.

 

I think you guys will have a good year, just might take a little longer to get going.

[Kayla]

Incredibly foggy out there. Was a beautiful early morning and now we're just stuck in this pea soup fog with light snow. Here's a before and after.

 

Winter Weather Advisory issued for this afternoon and tonight. Expecting 2-4" of new snow.

 

http://i66.tinypic.com/29ljngm.jpg

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I need to move to Montana. When I looked some years back the job market and wages were pretty pathetic though.

[Front Ranger]

Models are advertising a light snow event here for Sunday, but I'll believe it when I see it. Every hint of precip in the models has faded as we get closer lately.

[Front Ranger]

Looks like we will actually get our first widespread precip event since late October tomorrow. 1-3" predicted, with higher amounts by the foothills. 

[Black Hole]

Looks like we will actually get our first widespread precip event since late October tomorrow. 1-3" predicted, with higher amounts by the foothills. 

 

May see some flurries here but first real snow is no time soon.

[Kayla]

Had 2" of snowfall this morning. Current base depth is sitting at 6". Tomorrow is looking like another cold day with some light snow showers during the afternoon.

 

Looks like we'll begin to warm up Tuesday with highs returning to the 40's. Possible brief shot of snow again on Thursday then warming again. 

[Front Ranger]

About 3" so far with moderate snow continuing. There have been much heavier echoes to my west all night and this morning, I wouldn't be surprised if Boulder has 7-8" now.

[gardenmom]

The snow brushed by us last night and left a light dusting. Supposed to get to 15* tonight.

[Black Hole]

A dusting overnight here. Looks dry all week.

[Front Ranger]

Have 5" now with light snow still. Nice overperformer.

[Kayla]

Glad to hear I'm not the only one on here seeing snowfall!

 

Light snow all day here with a high of only 26F. Snowfall is continuing this evening, about 2" on the day so far.

[Front Ranger]

Got a couple more good snow bands last night and this morning, surprisingly, for a storm total of 7". More than all but one storm last season.

[Kayla]

Coldest of the season this morning with a low of 4.6F. Yesterday was also the coldest day of the season with a 26/13 spread.

 

http://i66.tinypic.com/2prcm06.jpg

[Scott]

This morning was our first subzero temperature of the season; -1 at the house.  

[Front Ranger]

View from the office in Boulder this morning.

 

[ShawniganLake]

View from the office in Boulder this morning.

 

IMG_20181112_113803694.jpg

How much snow fell in Boulder?

[Black Hole]

How much snow fell in Boulder?

I heard 12.5" somewhere in Boulder.

[Front Ranger]

I heard 12.5" somewhere in Boulder.

 

Yeah, parts of NW Boulder had over a foot. However, where the office is in south Boulder they had about the same as my house, around 7-8".

[Front Ranger]

Almost halfway through the month, and DEN is running about 7 degrees below normal. Remarkably cold for much of the nation so far.

 

[Kayla]

Almost halfway through the month, and DEN is running about 7 degrees below normal. Remarkably cold for much of the nation so far.

 

Don't show Jesse this map!

[Kayla]

Looking more and more likely that a pretty significant Canadian clipper is going drop in here on Friday. Great agreement in the models with the ECMWF showing 4-8" of snowfall throughout the Bozeman area.

 

Looks like the brunt of the moisture is going to arrive during the daylight hours which could cut down on the snowfall totals but a little tweak here or there could make a big difference. Either way, dropping temps throughout the day, high snowfall rates and strong north winds will give it that Arctic front type of feeling.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Almost halfway through the month, and DEN is running about 7 degrees below normal. Remarkably cold for much of the nation so far.

 

MonthTDeptUS.png

 

Wow.

[Front Ranger]

Looking more and more likely that a pretty significant Canadian clipper is going drop in here on Friday. Great agreement in the models with the ECMWF showing 4-8" of snowfall throughout the Bozeman area.

 

Looks like the brunt of the moisture is going to arrive during the daylight hours which could cut down on the snowfall totals but a little tweak here or there could make a big difference. Either way, dropping temps throughout the day, high snowfall rates and strong north winds will give it that Arctic front type of feeling.

 

It's looking like it will be a decent front with some snowfall here on Saturday as well. Models had started to really slow it down and cut back snowfall, but that trend has reversed the past few runs.

 

I know from experience that the models often underestimate the speed and penetration of these continental cold fronts that slide down the mountains.

[Jesse]

Don't show Jesse this map!

I don’t get it.

[Kayla]

I don’t get it.

 

Just another map showing the never ending warm anomalies in the PNW. 

[TT-SEA]

Just another map showing the never ending warm anomalies in the PNW. 

 

Today was the 8th below normal day in a row at PDX.