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April 2019 Observations and Discussion

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#501
Andie

Posted 23 April 2019 - 03:50 PM

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Thunderstorms tonight and mañana. Some will be severe but hail should limit itself to pea size.
The DFW area will,see 1-2", while further east and south will get the full treatment at 2-4".
Hey, it's Spring.


PS.....Uhhhh, is it time to change the banner??
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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*

#502
St Paul Storm

Posted 23 April 2019 - 06:30 PM

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Some heavy hitters in there.

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#503
Tom

Posted Yesterday, 06:35 AM

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Haven't we seen this pattern before???  Dominant SE ridge and a cold pool right across the central CONUS is being predicted per the latest 00z EPS.  My call for warmth post 6th/7th of May is not looking good at this point as a majority of the climate models are turning cooler.

 

@MikeKC, your not going to need your sprinklers starting next week for good while.  Big time wet signal showing up for your region.

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#504
CentralNebWeather

Posted Yesterday, 09:15 AM

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Models show storm after storm in the extended.  Looks like lots of moisture in the next 2 weeks.



#505
Andie

Posted Yesterday, 11:53 AM

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Texas confirmed the model last night. 3" of rain here. Heavy downpours, plenty of lightning.
We got the full treatment.
More on the way today.
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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*

#506
MIKEKC

Posted Yesterday, 11:59 AM

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The LRC called for a wet/wild/cool month of April for the KC area. The total opposite has occurred, we’re above average on temps and parts of the city are 2.5 inches below average on moisture. We have missed every storm except for a few smaller ones. Hopefully rain returns soon as we were terribly dry last spring and summer.

Tom,

The cycling pattern forecast was a bust for KC in April. Lezak won’t let you know that and he deletes your comments on his blog when you ask why? You are great at letting people know when you miss a forecast, thanks for doing that. Although you don’t miss too many. Lezak runs and hides or makes up excuses. Love your analysis on the pattern every day.

How’s KC looking the next two months? Will we be above average on temps in May like we were in April? Big rains coming?
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#507
MIKEKC

Posted Yesterday, 12:02 PM

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Tom,

Oops, I didn’t read your comment above. We’ll see, the models showed a bunch of rain for KC back in early April for the next 2-3 weeks and here we sit with some parts only seeing .5 inches this month.

May and June are very wet months in KC on average, hopefully they act like it this year.

#508
Andie

Posted Yesterday, 04:28 PM

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Another 1.41" of rain today.....that's 4.41" over the last 24 hrs.

Not bad.
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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*

#509
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 04:45 PM

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Cut my lawn for the first time this evening. We've had just enough rainfall to see things green up nicely around here without going crazy. Any white stuff is officially unwelcome at this point. Doubt I have much to worry about here tbh. Not thrilled about all those blue departures painted going into May, but it's better than pre-mature scorching. Trees are beginning to leaf-out around here enough to be noticeable as well. Easter Sunday we began the morning at 31F and by late afternoon hit a high of 70F. That's a 39 degree recovery! Doubt that happens very often here in the Lakes. 


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#510
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 05:56 PM

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Cut my lawn for the first time this evening. We've had just enough rainfall to see things green up nicely around here without going crazy. Any white stuff is officially unwelcome at this point. Doubt I have much to worry about here tbh. Not thrilled about all those blue departures painted going into May, but it's better than pre-mature scorching. Trees are beginning to leaf-out around here enough to be noticeable as well. Easter Sunday we began the morning at 31F and by late afternoon hit a high of 70F. That's a 39 degree recovery! Doubt that happens very often here in the Lakes. 

Awesome amigo.

 

Here tbh, trees are still bare (80%) of them and I am not surprised because its been too chilly. Hopefully, they will start to bud soon. The grass has started to green up, but not to full capacity. Doesnt really feel like May is entering the picture. It feels more like April is about to start. Lows ova the next couple of nights are expected to dip into the 30s w wcf in the 20s.


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#511
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 05:59 PM

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Currently at 46F w mostly cloudy skies.



#512
Grizzcoat

Posted Yesterday, 11:25 PM

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Euro 6HR Min temps for Sun AM. Brrrrr. (personally wouldn't mind seeing some of the garden centers panic- they put their tender stuff out earlier and earlier every year). Hear in DSM the other day I heard some people talking about planting tomatoes all ready.(outside)  Good Luck with that!!!

Attached File  ecmwfued_rapid-MN2Tsfc--usnc-84-C-2mtminfh_2019042500_whitecounty.png   72.19KB   1 downloads


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2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#513
Sparky

Posted Today, 02:32 AM

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IEM daily feature. Daryl's statement mentioning the benefits for those with agricultural interests is very true. But that dryness looks to be ending in the next week for parts of the Midwest, at least for a period.


Wed Apr 24, 2019
IMG-3278.png

View larger image
Amazing to Talk Dryness
24 Apr 2019 05:33 AM
After a wet and snowy winter, it is somewhat amazing to now be discussing some dryness that has developed over Iowa. The featured map is of precipitation departures from average over the 11 March thru 22 April period. A significant portion of central and southeastern Iowa is below 75% of average with a smaller portion below 50%. Not many folks are currently complaining though as this dry weather was just what was needed to dry out the agricultural fields. There is also significant soil moisture still present and high river flows yet from the snow melt, so this dry weather has had few negative impacts.
Voting: Good - 13 Bad - 3
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(‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall total: 52”. )
‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall by month = Nov: 14.2, Dec: .30”, Jan: 21.2”, Feb: 13.8”,
Mar: 2.5”
Greatest season snowfall = 60.5” in 2007 - ‘08

#514
Sparky

Posted Today, 02:56 AM

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Euro 6HR Min temps for Sun AM. Brrrrr. (personally wouldn't mind seeing some of the garden centers panic- they put their tender stuff out earlier and earlier every year). Hear in DSM the other day I heard some people talking about planting tomatoes all ready.(outside)  Good Luck with that!!!

attachicon.gifecmwfued_rapid-MN2Tsfc--usnc-84-C-2mtminfh_2019042500_whitecounty.png

Yeah.. it's to early to plant tomatoes, especially with no real warmth in the forecast. Tomatoes do best in warm & somewhat dry conditions.
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(‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall total: 52”. )
‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall by month = Nov: 14.2, Dec: .30”, Jan: 21.2”, Feb: 13.8”,
Mar: 2.5”
Greatest season snowfall = 60.5” in 2007 - ‘08

#515
Niko

Posted Today, 03:25 AM

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Currently at 43F w cloudy skies and some rain on the way for later today and especially tanite.

 

The weekend looks crazy. Dont even wanna look at my forecast...UGH!


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#516
Niko

Posted Today, 03:27 AM

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Euro 6HR Min temps for Sun AM. Brrrrr. (personally wouldn't mind seeing some of the garden centers panic- they put their tender stuff out earlier and earlier every year). Hear in DSM the other day I heard some people talking about planting tomatoes all ready.(outside)  Good Luck with that!!!

attachicon.gifecmwfued_rapid-MN2Tsfc--usnc-84-C-2mtminfh_2019042500_whitecounty.png

Crazy weather. Trees here are still bare. Does not seem like May is about to begin.



#517
Niko

Posted Today, 03:30 AM

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Yeah.. it's to early to plant tomatoes, especially with no real warmth in the forecast. Tomatoes do best in warm & somewhat dry conditions.

Nothing like a great salad from your garden amigo. Tomatoes are so fresh and tasty when you get them right off your property. You can really taste the difference. Delicious!


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#518
Andie

Posted Today, 04:18 AM

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Started the day with a pea souper of a fog.

55* headed for a Sunny 83*.
If my allergies are any measure of the spring and summer (a wet one) ahead, I better stock up on meds.
Usually our hot dry Texas summers kill off a lot of allergens, but....if Tom's right, we'll have a misery index instead of a heat index.
Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*

#519
westMJim

Posted Today, 06:05 AM

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Yesterday was a great spring day. And today looks to be a repeat with slightly warmer temperatures. Here in my neck of the woods the grass is green, dandelions are showing their yellow flowers LOL spring flowers are in bloom, and the trees are starting to leaf out

With just 6 days to go it is time to look and see how April 2019 is playing out so far. At Grand Rapids the mean is now at 47.8° that is +1.0° above average. The warmest/coldest is at 77/19 and so far there has been 4.9” of snow fall. At Muskegon the mean is 47.5 the H/L is 80/26 and there has been 7.8” of snow fall. Elsewhere around Michigan Lansing the mean is at 47.2° that is a departure of +0.9 the warmest is at 76 and the coldest is at 20 and their snow fall is at 1.6” At Detroit the mean is 49.2 the H/L is 74/22 and just a trace of snow fall. At Flint the mean is 46.2 the H/L is 74/20 and they have recorded 2.1” of snow fall so far. As Saginaw the mean is at 46.1 the H/L is at 76/21 and their snow fall is at 2.1” At Alpena the mean up there is at 41.3 the H/L is 76/18 and they have had 10.1” of snow fall. At the Sault the mean there is at 38.2 with the H/L there being 63/15 with just 2.5” of snow fall and they report a trace of snow still on the ground. At Marquette the numbers are a mean of 35.1 the H/L of 65/11 they reported 8.6” of snow fall and still report a trace on the ground. At Munising their mean is at 36.1 with the H/L of 61/18 they reported 5.3” of snow fall and at the airport there is a reported 7” of snow still on the ground.



#520
LNK_Weather

Posted Today, 06:24 AM

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Getting a thin band of light-moderate rain. Nice break from the monotony of 70s and sunny. 54.5*F.


2019 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 0 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 2 (Last: 4/21/2019)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 0 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 0 (Last: 9/20/2018)

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0"), 12/28 (2.4"), 1/11-12 (4.9"), 1/22 (3.9"), 2/6-7 (2.2"), 2/15 (2.6"), 2/16-17 (4.2"), 2/19-20 (5.1"), 2/23 (8.0"), 3/2 (2.0"), 3/6-7 (4.3")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 55.5"             Coldest Low: -9*F (1/30, 3/4)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT                Last flake of the season (so far): 4/11/2019 @ 9:44 PM CDT

 


#521
OmahaSnowFan

Posted Today, 06:34 AM

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IEM daily feature. Daryl's statement mentioning the benefits for those with agricultural interests is very true. But that dryness looks to be ending in the next week for parts of the Midwest, at least for a period.


Wed Apr 24, 2019
IMG-3278.png

View larger image
Amazing to Talk Dryness
24 Apr 2019 05:33 AM
After a wet and snowy winter, it is somewhat amazing to now be discussing some dryness that has developed over Iowa. The featured map is of precipitation departures from average over the 11 March thru 22 April period. A significant portion of central and southeastern Iowa is below 75% of average with a smaller portion below 50%. Not many folks are currently complaining though as this dry weather was just what was needed to dry out the agricultural fields. There is also significant soil moisture still present and high river flows yet from the snow melt, so this dry weather has had few negative impacts.
Voting: Good - 13 Bad - 3

We're running about 30% of normal precip here in April with only .70". With this morning's showers, there's been precip 9/25 days, but for the most part it's been very light amounts.


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#522
Sparky

Posted Today, 07:14 AM

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Nothing like a great salad from your garden amigo. Tomatoes are so fresh and tasty when you get them right off your property. You can really taste the difference. Delicious!


Yes home raised food is usually much better since it gets real sunshine n rain.
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(‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall total: 52”. )
‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall by month = Nov: 14.2, Dec: .30”, Jan: 21.2”, Feb: 13.8”,
Mar: 2.5”
Greatest season snowfall = 60.5” in 2007 - ‘08

#523
Sparky

Posted Today, 07:20 AM

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Started the day with a pea souper of a fog.
55* headed for a Sunny 83*.
If my allergies are any measure of the spring and summer (a wet one) ahead, I better stock up on meds.
Usually our hot dry Texas summers kill off a lot of allergens, but....if Tom's right, we'll have a misery index instead of a heat index.

It was very foggy here as well this morning. Sun is shining now. Yesterday morning it rained 0.03" when none was forecast though chances might have been 10-15% then.
(‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall total: 52”. )
‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall by month = Nov: 14.2, Dec: .30”, Jan: 21.2”, Feb: 13.8”,
Mar: 2.5”
Greatest season snowfall = 60.5” in 2007 - ‘08

#524
Tom

Posted Today, 07:22 AM

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Hello from Carlsbad, CA! We have a heavy marine layer here which is typical as the locals call it “May Grey” and “June Gloom”. Skies will clear up around Noon and peak near 70F along the coast and be quite delightful as an early season heat wave is brewing in PHX this week. Great timing and planning to come out here for a short trip.
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#525
Sparky

Posted Today, 07:44 AM

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Awesome amigo.

Here tbh, trees are still bare (80%) of them and I am not surprised because its been too chilly. Hopefully, they will start to bud soon. The grass has started to green up, but not to full capacity. Doesnt really feel like May is entering the picture. It feels more like April is about to start. Lows ova the next couple of nights are expected to dip into the 30s w wcf in the 20s.

Vegetation as it appears on the farm here.
IMG-3282.jpg
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(‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall total: 52”. )
‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall by month = Nov: 14.2, Dec: .30”, Jan: 21.2”, Feb: 13.8”,
Mar: 2.5”
Greatest season snowfall = 60.5” in 2007 - ‘08

#526
Niko

Posted Today, 08:45 AM

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Vegetation as it appears on the farm here.
IMG-3282.jpg

wow

 

Btw: Are you a farmer? You must know a lot about gardens.



#527
westMJim

Posted Today, 09:10 AM

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Awesome amigo.

 

Here tbh, trees are still bare (80%) of them and I am not surprised because its been too chilly. Hopefully, they will start to bud soon. The grass has started to green up, but not to full capacity. Doesnt really feel like May is entering the picture. It feels more like April is about to start. Lows ova the next couple of nights are expected to dip into the 30s w wcf in the 20s.

It is kind of odd that the trees would not have buds on them in your side of the state, . Here in the west side of Michigan the spring flowers are out and the grass is green and growing and the trees either have baby leaves or are budding,