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May 2019 Observations and Discussion

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#501
Bryan1117

Posted Yesterday, 06:54 PM

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So this outbreak not as intense as forecasted. Definitely some tornadoes but nothing like what I was thinking. Oh and no rain really pushing up here. Still going for rain all day tomorrow but who knows at this point.

Yeah Oklahoma and Texas really appeared to dodge a bullet today, it seems that everything was coming together, and while there were some tornadoes, things really did not pan out for a high risk from the SPC. 

 

And not surprised that we did not see any rain today and this evening, I think all the action to the south pulled the energy away from the northern fringe. I had a feeling that the 5-8 inch rain totals that were being spit out by the models last week would be WAY off, however we really seem to be getting the short end of the stick lately when it comes to rainfall and storms. Not going to complain, as less precipitation helps the farmers out and keeps the risk of major flooding in Eastern Nebraska away.  


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#502
OKwx2k4

Posted Yesterday, 08:16 PM

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Still a pretty live situation down here. Going to be a light sleeping night. Rapid development year over my area this year.
I feel like this is the 3rd or 4th time to post one of these this year.Attached File  Screenshot_20190520-231834_RadarScope.jpg   268.57KB   0 downloads
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#503
OKwx2k4

Posted Yesterday, 08:24 PM

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Andie, rough night still to come.

#504
OKwx2k4

Posted Yesterday, 08:26 PM

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Leach, Oklahoma is reported to be leveled by an F-4 or F-5 nighttime tornado.
Not good.

#505
OKwx2k4

Posted Yesterday, 08:27 PM

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Attached File  IMG_2922(1).jpg   140.32KB   0 downloads
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#506
OKwx2k4

Posted Yesterday, 08:29 PM

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Probably one of the most perfect tornadoes on radar ever depicted over eastern Oklahoma. Unspeakable tragedy.

#507
Stormhunter87

Posted Yesterday, 09:36 PM

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That is an impressive hook echo and very odd where it developed. Trying to find info on Leach. Alot of people saying it was destroyed but I can't find any official reports. NOAA storm reports has nothing either.
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#508
Stormhunter87

Posted Yesterday, 09:40 PM

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Okay now there is storm report on it. Wow hopefully my words are not a curse. But again definitely dodged a bullet overall based on potential for a wide spread event.
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#509
Bryan1117

Posted Today, 02:41 AM

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Probably one of the most perfect tornadoes on radar ever depicted over eastern Oklahoma. Unspeakable tragedy.


Yeah I spoke too soon. That radar shot just gives you the chills.
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#510
Madtown

Posted Today, 04:34 AM

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Another high near 50 day. Honey locust trees still have no leaves here...this is crazy.
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#511
james1976

Posted Today, 05:04 AM

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Wind advisory today with windy wet and cool conditions later today into tonight. DMX said we will only be a few degrees off from record cold highs.

#512
westMJim

Posted Today, 05:07 AM

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I had a low here at my house of 38. The official low for Grand Rapids looks to have been 39.



#513
Andie

Posted Today, 05:28 AM

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Andie, rough night still to come.

I was more worried about you up there friend.
This is a return of the Oklahoma tornado pattern I recall as a child. It always frightened me.
Ponca City, Okla. received 6.75" of rain.
Our lake is at capacity and about to go over the spillway. Very rare.

I was thinking of you and hoping you, your family, and property were fairing well through this.
I've been lucky. Just a lot of rain.

We received and inch or so far this morning, but there's still some to the west of us.

This brings me to a future post, maybe 3 yrs in the future.
We will be likely moving closer to family on the Red River near Denison, Tx after my husband retires. As we will build, we will construct a safe room within the house, just for storms like this which I believe may be more common in the future. My brother in law is altering a master bath into one this year.

Weather is changing in the Southern Plains. Question is....how long will this trend last? Years?

What is the word on Leach, Oklahoma?
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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*

#514
Niko

Posted Today, 05:44 AM

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Blustery and cold conditions here in SEMI as lows dipped into the 30s last night. Highs yesterday remained in the 40s as well. Well BN.No records were broken though.


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#515
Niko

Posted Today, 05:48 AM

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I was more worried about you up there friend.
This is a return of the Oklahoma tornado pattern I recall as a child. It always frightened me.
Ponca City, Okla. received 6.75" of rain.
Our lake is at capacity and about to go over the spillway. Very rare.

I was thinking of you and hoping you, your family, and property were fairing well through this.
I've been lucky. Just a lot of rain.

We received and inch or so far this morning, but there's still some to the west of us.

This brings me to a future post, maybe 3 yrs in the future.
We will be likely moving closer to family on the Red River near Denison, Tx after my husband retires. As we will build, we will construct a safe room within the house, just for storms like this which I believe may be more common in the future. My brother in law is altering a master bath into one this year.

Weather is changing in the Southern Plains. Question is....how long will this trend last? Years?

What is the word on Leach, Oklahoma?

Good Luck down there!


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#516
Niko

Posted Today, 05:51 AM

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Temps currently are at 52F w a blend of sunshine n clouds. Highs will most likely remain in the upper 50s. Nice, brief warm-up coming for Thursday (80s), b4 it cools back down again.



#517
OKwx2k4

Posted Today, 05:51 AM

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Not finding much info on it this morning. I hate our news and NWS down here sometimes. I'll keep checking.

#518
Tom

Posted Today, 05:57 AM

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It's been the coolest morning thus far here in the hills outside of the valley where it dipped to 51F.  Yesterday was an interesting day across the state of Arizona as it snowed in the town of Flagstaff and a rare tornado was sited north of town: https://www.azfamily...bd0ac58e7d.html

 

I had a brief thundershower but nothing to crazy.  The only crazy thing about the weather here is how cool its been this month.  Tomorrows highs are only expected to be in the low 70's!  Unbelievable.  I've never experienced a May like this ever since I've been coming down here and the locals say its been quite a rare month.



#519
Hawkeye

Posted Today, 06:11 AM

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Very little rain got up here overnight.  All the heavy storms kept everything south.  We should get a half inch later today as the main band swings through.  It sure is a rotten day.... 40s, damp, and windy.


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season snowfall: 50.2"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#520
Iowawx

Posted Today, 06:46 AM

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Only 0.02" of rain so far today. Main band looks to move in later today, and should give us about a half inch or so. Driving this morning to work and having the heat on in my car on May 21 is pretty depressing.

 

I don't mind this wet and stormy pattern, and I hope it continues, but it sure would be nice to get the temperatures closer to normal. WPC 8-14 day outlook has above normal precipitation and below normal temperatures for Iowa. 



#521
OKwx2k4

Posted Today, 07:27 AM

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While a significant tornado and very damaging, I'm of the understanding that the statements of "total destruction" are not true. Either way, a lot of very fortunate people in my area today.

Spotting, chasing, and providing reliable storm reports out here at night is a bit of a pain but inaccuracies and exaggerated reports make things far worse on people.
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#522
jaster220

Posted Today, 08:40 AM

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While a significant tornado and very damaging, I'm of the understanding that the statements of "total destruction" are not true. Either way, a lot of very fortunate people in my area today.

Spotting, chasing, and providing reliable storm reports out here at night is a bit of a pain but inaccuracies and exaggerated reports make things far worse on people.

 

The one positive to those is that in the end, I'm glad it wasn't as bad as feared.  :)


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#523
snowstorm83

Posted Today, 09:14 AM

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Not much in the way of rain today like expected, very scattered in nature. Not like we need it terribly anyway and there's more chances to come this week. Sure is chilly and windy though. My roommate's hometown is Gering, NE and he posted on his Snapchat story of snow in his yard this morning. Yikes. 


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2018-19 Winter in Lincoln, NE: 55.5" of snow (2nd snowiest on record)


#524
LNK_Weather

Posted Today, 09:49 AM

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With a high of 51°F yesterday, we tied our daily record low high.
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2019 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 0 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 2 (Last: 4/21/2019)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 0 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 1 (Last: 5/5/2019)

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0"), 12/28 (2.4"), 1/11-12 (4.9"), 1/22 (3.9"), 2/6-7 (2.2"), 2/15 (2.6"), 2/16-17 (4.2"), 2/19-20 (5.1"), 2/23 (8.0"), 3/2 (2.0"), 3/6-7 (4.3")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 55.5"             Coldest Low: -9*F (1/30, 3/4)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT                Last flake of the season (so far): 4/11/2019 @ 9:44 PM CDT

 


#525
Sparky

Posted Today, 10:14 AM

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Very little rain got up here overnight. All the heavy storms kept everything south. We should get a half inch later today as the main band swings through. It sure is a rotten day.... 40s, damp, and windy.


Pretty crazy when it's almost winter like in late May & we're wasting away my favorite month shivering through many hours of chilly rain! I'm looking forward to a few days of warmer weather starting tomorrow. That warmer air could provide the fuel for strong to severe storms, especially on Friday according to the SPC. A few days ago DMX was thinking Thursday could be a severe day, but not so much as of now. I'm not rooting for severe like I saw last week. Just warm weather and an occasional strong storm with more dry hours. Oh well, can't have everything how I would like it to be!
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(‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall total: 52”. )
‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall by month = Nov: 14.2, Dec: .30”, Jan: 21.2”, Feb: 13.8”,
Mar: 2.5”
Greatest season snowfall = 60.5” in 2007 - ‘08

#526
Niko

Posted Today, 10:21 AM

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With a high of 51°F yesterday, we tied our daily record high.

I think you mean daily record low high, no?!



#527
Niko

Posted Today, 10:23 AM

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Cloudy day today w peeks of sunshine on and off. Temps are coolish (upper 50s).



#528
LNK_Weather

Posted Today, 10:26 AM

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I think you mean daily record low high, no?!

Fixed, thanks :)

2019 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 0 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 2 (Last: 4/21/2019)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 0 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 1 (Last: 5/5/2019)

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0"), 12/28 (2.4"), 1/11-12 (4.9"), 1/22 (3.9"), 2/6-7 (2.2"), 2/15 (2.6"), 2/16-17 (4.2"), 2/19-20 (5.1"), 2/23 (8.0"), 3/2 (2.0"), 3/6-7 (4.3")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 55.5"             Coldest Low: -9*F (1/30, 3/4)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT                Last flake of the season (so far): 4/11/2019 @ 9:44 PM CDT

 


#529
Iowawx

Posted Today, 10:47 AM

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Latest HRRR drops widespread 0.5-2 inch amouts across Iowa later today. Heaviest band could be just west of Cedar Rapids, but small shift east would put us back in the heaviest band. HRRR has around 0.75" here. 



#530
Tom

Posted Today, 10:58 AM

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U.S. Corn planting slowest on record thus far: https://www.bloomber...owest-on-record



#531
james1976

Posted Today, 11:39 AM

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48 and strong east wind with pouring rain.

#532
Hawkeye

Posted Today, 11:55 AM

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48 and strong east wind with pouring rain.

 

Yes, it's a terrible day.  The wind has gusted over 40 mph here.  The rain recently moved in.  It can't be much worse on May 21st.


season snowfall: 50.2"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#533
Stormhunter87

Posted Today, 12:42 PM

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Cold and nasty the last three days with limited rain. Might as well be snow. Very windy with the low close

#534
Tom

Posted Today, 01:05 PM

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This is quite the expansive storm system traversing the middle of the nation.  If there's any beauty that one can appreciate from this system, it's both the visible satellite imagery along with the massive comma shape on radar.  You could have fooled me if you'd say this was a Winter Storm system in the dead of Winter.

 

 

 

2130z.gif

 

 

 

 

2045z.gif


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#535
East Dubzz

Posted Today, 01:40 PM

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Rain missed east of here barely. Yawn once again. Let's see what tonight has to bring.


2019 Statistics (Starting 3/22/19)

-Total rainfall: 6.29"

-Largest 24-hour rainfall: 1.16" (4/28)

-Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 0


#536
Hawkeye

Posted Today, 01:48 PM

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Rain missed east of here barely. Yawn once again. Let's see what tonight has to bring.

 

People in Jo Daviess county (far nw corner of Illinois) are thinking, "What's this rain everyone keeps talking about?".  They've been missed by everything, getting less than a half inch in recent days while it's piling up in other areas.


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season snowfall: 50.2"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#537
LNK_Weather

Posted Today, 01:57 PM

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Hearing a report of blizzard conditions in Chadron.
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2019 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 0 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 2 (Last: 4/21/2019)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 0 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 1 (Last: 5/5/2019)

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0"), 12/28 (2.4"), 1/11-12 (4.9"), 1/22 (3.9"), 2/6-7 (2.2"), 2/15 (2.6"), 2/16-17 (4.2"), 2/19-20 (5.1"), 2/23 (8.0"), 3/2 (2.0"), 3/6-7 (4.3")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 55.5"             Coldest Low: -9*F (1/30, 3/4)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT                Last flake of the season (so far): 4/11/2019 @ 9:44 PM CDT

 


#538
East Dubzz

Posted Today, 02:23 PM

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People in Jo Daviess county (far nw corner of Illinois) are thinking, "What's this rain everyone keeps talking about?". They've been missed by everything, getting less than a half inch in recent days while it's piling up in other areas.


It’s been quite crazy. There’s even a noticeable difference between just my area and the western half of Dubuque county.

I’m sure the farmers aren’t too upset about it, though.

2019 Statistics (Starting 3/22/19)

-Total rainfall: 6.29"

-Largest 24-hour rainfall: 1.16" (4/28)

-Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 0


#539
Stormhunter87

Posted Today, 02:28 PM

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Hearing a report of blizzard conditions in Chadron.

Cheyenne looked like they were getting pounded earlier.

#540
Andie

Posted Today, 03:15 PM

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Good Luck down there!


We were lucky. We received an inch of rain which came down very fast.
That means a lot is run off into that already near over flowing spillway.

As we have a number of sunny days ahead, I'm sure they'll be emptying it as fast as they can, but a winter and spring of rain, won't drop quick.
We have been lucky. No tornados to date. A few small twisters dropped, but nothing like many midwestern cities are dealing with.
Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*

#541
Iowawx

Posted Today, 04:33 PM

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Up to 0.64" so far. With a couple of moderate to heavy bands about to move into Cedar Rapids, we should be able to get to an inch for a total.

 

My 7-day rainfall total so far is 3.14". GFS has another 7-9 inches falling in Iowa over the next two weeks. 



#542
Madtown

Posted Today, 04:59 PM

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all nws radar is out!?!

#543
Iowawx

Posted Today, 06:07 PM

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Finished with 0.84" of rain. Winds have really picked up after the rain has moved out. 

 

My total rainfall for the month of May so far is 4.37". If long term models are right, should be able to add on at least another 1-3 inches on to that before the end of month with this wet pattern.