June 2019 Observations and Discussion

[Tom]

If the Euro monthlies are right, "year without a real summer" for ya'll down south is practically a lock...Here is the July temp outlook...

 

 

[Tom]

I hope the 12z GFS is right, if so, downtown Chi will be buzzin' with nothing but sunny skies on Saturday!

 

 

 

 

Back to back sunny days???  Sunday precip may be much weaker...we'll see if that holds...I

 

 

 

[St Paul Storm]

^ that looks like a Sunday mess up this way. Not sure we need any more rain. I thought about throwing some fertilizer down as I’m in the middle of taking my lawn back from the weeds, but then I thought “do I really want to cut the grass 3X a week? Twice is more than enough.”

[jcwxguy]

Nice storm over/near Schuyler,Ne. SPC doesn't even have them under general thunderstorms

[Stormy]

I’ll post some pics of the storm once I have time. I’m guessing the wind was 50 to 60+ mph, but my anemometer didn’t show high enough for some reason. The anemometer that’s only 5’ high showed a bit higher wind than the one that’s 38’ up. First time it did that.

The storm appeared to be at max intensity in eastern Iowa county just before it got here.

Here are some pictures of the storm rolling in. I’m surprised that the NWS didn’t have a warning for this storm.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I picked up another 0.70” of rain this morning. It hailed a little twice, but it was pretty small.

[Andie]

Per Ryan Maue's tweet, the Euro is showing a nice dry signal for the northern half of the ag belt region. I'm afraid our members farther south are going to be beating the ol' drum with torrential rains as these CF's keep sliding in from the north and likely stalling out.

 

 

 

 

FREAK OUT !!

[Tom]

Here are some pictures of the storm rolling in. I’m surprised that the NWS didn’t have a warning for this storm.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I picked up another 0.70” of rain this morning. It hailed a little twice, but it was pretty small.

Beautiful!  I love the contrast of the dark storm clouds and the rolling, lush, green hills.

[Bryan1117]

Here are some pictures of the storm rolling in. I’m surprised that the NWS didn’t have a warning for this storm.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I picked up another 0.70” of rain this morning. It hailed a little twice, but it was pretty small.

Sparky, it looks like you are seeing plenty of severe weather action over in your part of Iowa this Spring so far. Outside of a localized hail storm that mostly missed my neighborhood during the early morning hours (thankfully), it has been fairly quiet severe weather-wise in "most" of the Omaha metro area so far this year (outside of river flooding of course). 

 

I have yet to see a truly photogenic thunderstorm roll into Omaha yet this year, we have lots of lightning and thunder during the overnight hours, however I am still looking forward to seeing some threatening skies in the day-time hours around here this year. 

[james1976]

Wicked photos Sparky!

[james1976]

After a short stretch of 80s it's looking like 70s next week...possibly lower 70s.

[Stormy]

Beautiful!  I love the contrast of the dark storm clouds and the rolling, lush, green hills.

Thank you.

I often wish I would live where my neighbors do, by that house on top of the hill in the pictures. The view is further and better than in the slight dip I live in. I do have a nice view to the south though.

[Stormy]

Sparky, it looks like you are seeing plenty of severe weather action over in your part of Iowa this Spring so far. Outside of a localized hail storm that mostly missed my neighborhood during the early morning hours (thankfully), it has been fairly quiet severe weather-wise in "most" of the Omaha metro area so far this year (outside of river flooding of course).

 

I have yet to see a truly photogenic thunderstorm roll into Omaha yet this year, we have lots of lightning and thunder during the overnight hours, however I am still looking forward to seeing some threatening skies in the day-time hours around here this year.

 

I really wasn’t expecting the rain and storms we got the last two days and just happen to get lucky multiple times this year, or very unlucky if you’re a crop farmer in this area! I can’t remember a year that so many fields are still not planted on June 6!! Usually there’s a small window to plant even in the wettest springs, but.... There were opportunities to plant in April, but it was plenty early for the many organic farmers in this area who need to plant untreated seeds which don’t easily survive wet cold soils we had lot of! Farmers are getting desperate is my guess.

[Stormy]

Wicked photos Sparky!

I also took a wicked video during the short, intense storm. Thought for a bit that I should be in the basement, but it didn’t last very long this time.

[Andie]

67*

 

Dewpoint 65*

 

Humidity 90%

 

Sheesh!

[Tom]

I spent the majority of afternoon yesterday outdoors at my friends pool and then we did some grilling on his deck.  What a splendid day of weather as we topped out around 83F which was the highest temp of the warm season.  That's incredible in itself to say that by early June we've only reached the low 80's a few times!  Who knows how many times we'll top 90F this Summer, if any, but I'm seeing numerous days in the 70's and barely getting to 80F in the extended.

 

Well, the JMA Weeklies are in and they haven't changed much for the remainder of this month.

 

Week 2 temps...a wetter period will develop during the 2nd half of the month and I like what it's showing here.

 

 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/1mE/map1/img/R07_2/Y201906.D0512_gl2.png

 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/1mE/map1/img/R07_2/Y201906.D0512_gl0.png

Week 3-4...

 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/1mE/map1/img/R14_3/Y201906.D0512_gl2.png

[Tom]

The weekend is trending better and better around these parts as the Euro is now keeping the region nearly precip free with temps hovering near 80F all weekend.  This would be a welcomed change in the forecast and I hope its right.  Keep adding to the streak of drier days!

[james1976]

Yeah I'm looking forward to a dry weekend. I plan on painting my garage so I'll need some dry weather!

[St Paul Storm]

87F today, 88 tomorrow and Saturday, then 70s Sunday through next week. What a stretch of awesome wx. The ‘summer cough’ strikes tomorrow. I’m spending all day in the yard drinking beer.

[Tom]

Ryan Maue says it like it is....and I have to agree..."June Gloom"

 

 

 

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 2h2 hours ago

More

Next 15-days temperature anomaly from the 00z ECMWF ensembles has well-below normal across the Central US into the Great Lakes and Northeast. Now we know why they call it "June gloom"

More

 

 

More

Next 15-days temperature anomaly from the 00z ECMWF ensembles has well-below normal across the Central US into the Great Lakes and Northeast. Now we know why they call it "June gloom"

 

[james1976]

Extended 70s on the table? I'd take it

[Tom]

Another run by the Euro, whereby, it's suggesting a piece of the Summer time vortex to swing through the GL's next week.  I thought this would be happening in July, but the pattern is becoming favorable earlier than I originally thought.

 

12z EPS is not backing down and showing major blocking up north and stout -NAO...that is a map you would see in the heart of winter.  Just fascinating stuff if this pans out.

 

[Stormhunter87]

Sticky today but not nightmare levels. Love these days because you can watch the cumulus clouds start stacking and form popup storms.

[jaster220]

I know it is June 3rd but here there is still snow in Michigan!!!

 

https://www.woodtv.com/weather/bill-s-blog/there-s-still-snow-in-michigan/2047818430

 

 

and notice that the grass is still kind of brown and the leaves are just coming on the trees

 

Still snow per the updated link (6/5), but everything looks super green now.

[OKwx2k4]

If the Euro monthlies are right, "year without a real summer" for ya'll down south is practically a lock...Here is the July temp outlook...

 

 

Could sure live without the rain. It's right over places that are experiencing some of the worst flooding in many many years.

 

Cold summer is a lock, it seems. Great call.

[Minny_Weather]

Had some diurnally-driven popcorn storms that are more typical for coastal areas earlier. Those are obviously gone now.

[Bryan1117]

Had some diurnally-driven popcorn storms that are more typical for coastal areas earlier. Those are obviously gone now.

Yeah I got home from work early today to do some yard work after being out of town in Kansas City to start the week. I was glad that we missed out on the initial activity this afternoon, as I was able to get everything done - even with distant thunder from some thunderstorm activity off to the south booming nearly the entire time I was in the backyard.

 

However once I got done, all of the activity that looked to move in from the northeast died off so we did not see a single drop of rain in my neighborhood, while areas just to my northeast and south appeared to get quite a downpour. Oh well, the soil in my yard is still damp and muddy in places, so it was not a big deal to miss out on more rain at this point. 

[East Dubzz]

Did not like the weather this evening while playing my softball game. Very sticky. No air movement at all. Was sweating just standing there.

[Tom]

I could get used to these cool, comfortable mornings and delightful afternoons.  Today will be another winner as we top out in the upper 70's and ample sunshine...#fantasticfriday!

[Niko]

Sunny skies and very pleasant w temps in the 50s and warming up into the upper 70s.

[Hawkeye]

Last night's euro had mid 60s here next week.  At least we are getting some perfect garden weather this week.

[St Paul Storm]

89/62 right now under near full sun. Got my heart pumping while cutting the grass.

[Minny_Weather]

89/67 outside right now with cumulus in the sky. Reminds me of growing up on the gulf coast.

[Tom]

78F/60F with a nice easterly breeze and not a cloud in the sky.  Absolute perfection.  Finally got to do a lot of yard work, pulling weeds, trimming the edges, raking the "helicopters" that come off my tree every Spring and a bunch of other stuff.  Carbon copy tomorrow.  Gotta soak in these wonderful days as much as possible.  My neighborhood has been quite active the last couple days with outdoor duties.  I'm sure tomorrow will be the same.  I am debating about going boating tomorrow on the Lake but with highs in the upper 60's and an east wind, gonna be a bit choppy.

[Hawkeye]

This entire month is looking like a real snoozer.

[St Paul Storm]

Another day just a tick shy of 90F. What a great stretch of wx. The cool down isn’t as bad as it once looked. Looks like upper 60s on Wed but back to the 80s by Saturday.

[OKwx2k4]

Very cool pattern and maps for June. Not often you see this progression in summer.

 

 

[Minny_Weather]

One more hot day before we get well below normal as advertised. 90.0*F.

[snowstorm83]

Even down to Mississippi looks to have highs in the upper 70s with sunshine next week. It's hard to get afternoon temps like that in June unless its pouring rain. 

[westMJim]

Just a few sprinkles so far but much more rain is on the way. The rain today is moving in from the SE not your typical  set in our area. Today looks like it going to be a wet one.  The current temperature here at my house is 64 with cloudy skies. 

[OKwx2k4]

Forecast high of 85° today is highest temperature I have until maybe the last day of the 00z GFS run. I'm pretty impressed by that.

 

Days over 85°F here in 2019: 2; One at 85° and one day at 87°.

 

Models also not being shy about trending back to the wetter pattern in the later periods. This is pretty likely and works well with the existing pattern.