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Fall and Winter 2019-20 Predictions and Discussion

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#51
BLI snowman

Posted 12 August 2019 - 08:02 PM

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Eh, see 2008-2011. That had La Nina and El Nino, easily warmer temps than mid 1980s and no volcanic cooling. High latitude blocking galore and plenty of major cold outbreaks.

 

Ultimately, major blocking overcome global temps for periods of time quite easily, at least for regions of the world. We certainly have seen that in recent history.

 

I never said we'd see plummeting global temps this winter, did I?

 

Well we've also seen a fair amount of global warming since then, it would seem.

 

And the 1983-86 stretch was probably a bit more impressive than that one for cold, even with no major La Nina and much higher solar. So global temp baselines do make a difference.

 

Obviously last February proves we can still see top tier cold anomalies, but it's definitely more of an uphill battle and the frequency of such events is lessening. 



#52
Front Ranger

Posted 12 August 2019 - 08:09 PM

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Well we've also seen a fair amount of global warming since then, it would seem.

 

And the 1983-86 stretch was probably a bit more impressive than that one for cold, even with no major La Nina and much higher solar. So global temp baselines do make a difference.

 

Obviously last February proves we can still see top tier cold anomalies, but it's definitely more of an uphill battle and the frequency of such events is lessening. 

 

Not as much as the mid 1980s to late 2000s.

 

A major La Nina cools global temps, sure, but is not more favorable for top tier winter cold outbreaks. Blocking is more important, and I'd bet a lot of money that we see big-time blocking this coming winter.


Low. Solar.


#53
BLI snowman

Posted 12 August 2019 - 08:19 PM

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Not as much as the mid 1980s to late 2000s.

 

A major La Nina cools global temps, sure, but is not more favorable for top tier winter cold outbreaks. Blocking is more important, and I'd bet a lot of money that we see big-time blocking this coming winter.

 

Assuming ENSO stays flat, I agree. I foresee a relatively front-loaded year for the West, since last year went all a**-backwards on us.


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#54
TT-SEA

Posted 12 August 2019 - 09:07 PM

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Assuming ENSO stays flat, I agree. I foresee a relatively front-loaded year for the West, since last year went all a**-backwards on us.

 

 

That would be sweet... hoping for the same thing.



#55
Front Ranger

Posted 12 August 2019 - 09:09 PM

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Assuming ENSO stays flat, I agree. I foresee a relatively front-loaded year for the West, since last year went all a**-backwards on us.

 

I think we're all pretty much leaning that way.


Low. Solar.


#56
ShawniganLake

Posted 12 August 2019 - 10:35 PM

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#57
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 13 August 2019 - 12:54 AM

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Definitely calling for action for this winter now that there will be no niño and low solar. Very few duds in that category even for the south valley.
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Springfield, Oregon cold season 19-20 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Nov 30)
Coldest low: 20 (Nov 29)
Days with below freezing temps: 34 (Most recent: Jan 17)

Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 30)
Total snowfall: 0.0"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31F)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope

 

24


#58
Phil

Posted 13 August 2019 - 09:34 AM

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47351E8C-7020-4C11-B844-F27DE49D6844.gif


The CFS seems to take the subsurface/thermocline state at initialization and just run with it. Excessive coupling.
Winter 2019/20
Winter events: 3 (11/16, 12/11, 12/16)
Total snowfall: 1.1”
Coldest temp: 21.4*F (11/14)
Highest Gust: 54mph (11/27)
Personal Weather Station Live Stream
NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa...168&banner=NONE
Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...019-08-23/daily

#59
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 13 August 2019 - 10:47 AM

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The CFS seems to take the subsurface/thermocline state at initialization and just run with it. Excessive coupling. 

 

 

I would be surprised to see a Nina develop. Probably right around even.


Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#60
Omegaraptor

Posted 15 August 2019 - 10:54 PM

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Attached File  55386672-B556-4E7B-9BB3-7E65897DC300.gif   125.06KB   0 downloads

Attached File  A551F222-FA1B-4ADE-9427-396C11ABCEE3.png   134.6KB   0 downloads

Definitely some good advancements being made in the tropical Pacific.
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No rain here until Hour 258.

#61
BhamMe

Posted 26 August 2019 - 08:47 AM

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Not science but an interesting take on the 2019/2020 winter from the Farmers Almanac for the NW. Lines up with what people have said here about a snowy winter. 

 

"The 2020 Old Farmer’s Almanac is calling for frequent snow events—from flurries to no fewer than seven big snowstorms, including two in April for the Intermountain region west of the Rockies. This snow-verload will include storms pummeling Washington state and points eastward across the northern-tier states into Michigan. For the Northwest, this could mean a repeat of last winter’s Snowpocalypse that dumped 20.2 inches on Seattle in February."

 

screen-shot-2019-08-22-at-11.47.15-am.jp



#62
snow_wizard

Posted 27 August 2019 - 10:04 PM

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Not science but an interesting take on the 2019/2020 winter from the Farmers Almanac for the NW. Lines up with what people have said here about a snowy winter. 

 

"The 2020 Old Farmer’s Almanac is calling for frequent snow events—from flurries to no fewer than seven big snowstorms, including two in April for the Intermountain region west of the Rockies. This snow-verload will include storms pummeling Washington state and points eastward across the northern-tier states into Michigan. For the Northwest, this could mean a repeat of last winter’s Snowpocalypse that dumped 20.2 inches on Seattle in February."

 

screen-shot-2019-08-22-at-11.47.15-am.jp

 

Very classic look for heavy snow in WA State.  Usually winters that are cold over the northern third of the Country from the Great Lakes westward are good snow makers for WA and northern OR.


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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 2.8"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 34

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 7

 

 


#63
Frontal Snowsquall

Posted 28 August 2019 - 05:45 PM

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Very classic look for heavy snow in WA State. Usually winters that are cold over the northern third of the Country from the Great Lakes westward are good snow makers for WA and northern OR.


I love the sound of that! 💙❄
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Psalm 148:8 Fire and hail, snow and frost, stormy wind fulfilling his command!


#64
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 29 August 2019 - 08:59 AM

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Watch our, Western Oregon and Western Washington, it says it will be wet . . . OR WORSE!!!  



#65
TT-SEA

Posted 29 August 2019 - 03:21 PM

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Watch our, Western Oregon and Western Washington, it says it will be wet . . . OR WORSE!!!  

 

 

Its so rudimentary... almost child-like.      Completely meaningless.   Long-range forecasting is much more complicated and challenging.

 

Easy to dismiss when it shows something people don't like.   But seemingly embraced when it shows something good.     :rolleyes:



#66
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 29 August 2019 - 04:47 PM

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Climate change predictions are long range forecasting.



#67
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 29 August 2019 - 04:49 PM

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Very classic look for heavy snow in WA State.  Usually winters that are cold over the northern third of the Country from the Great Lakes westward are good snow makers for WA and northern OR.

 

Showery for Southern California west of the mountains and the Arizona deserts. Coachella Valley is not only a desert, but it's also rain shadowed by the mountains.



#68
snow_wizard

Posted 29 August 2019 - 09:48 PM

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Watch our, Western Oregon and Western Washington, it says it will be wet . . . OR WORSE!!!  

 

It shows the East side of Puget Sound being in the snow zone.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 2.8"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 34

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 7

 

 


#69
snow_wizard

Posted 29 August 2019 - 09:51 PM

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Another potential point for forecasting this winter would be the consistently low SOI we are seeing despite the cooler than normal ENSO SST's now.  I'll have to look at that more closely.  I do know that 1949-50 was a La Nina winter that had little support from the SOI.

 

Given the recent introduction of major volcanic eruptions entering the mix I think the table is set for a wicked winter in the United States.  Many should get in on that.


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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 2.8"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 34

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 7

 

 


#70
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 31 August 2019 - 12:34 PM

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*
POPULAR

We do realize the Farmer's Almanac forecast is like throwing darts at a board right? 


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Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#71
Brennan

Posted 01 September 2019 - 01:09 AM

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We do realize the Farmer's Almanac forecast is like throwing darts at a board right? 

Are you saying they're bad at throwing darts? 



#72
snow_wizard

Posted 01 September 2019 - 08:59 AM

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We do realize the Farmer's Almanac forecast is like throwing darts at a board right? 

 

Of course, but it's fun to see them predicting a big winter here for once.  The general theme of a big winter for the country in general has a high chance of verifying.  


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 2.8"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 34

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 7

 

 


#73
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 September 2019 - 09:04 AM

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PDX has had 4 consecutive winters with 1"+ snowfall, when was the last time they had 5? I need to look this up...


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Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#74
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 September 2019 - 09:50 AM

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My early thoughts

 

September: Warmer than average

October: near to slightly below normal temps.

November: Near normal, with a greater than usual chance of anomalously cooler weather late in the month.

December: Below average temps.

January: Slightly below average temps.

February: Warmer than average.  


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Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#75
snow_wizard

Posted 01 September 2019 - 11:07 AM

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My early thoughts

 

September: Warmer than average

October: near to slightly below normal temps.

November: Near normal, with a greater than usual chance of anomalously cooler weather late in the month.

December: Below average temps.

January: Slightly below average temps.

February: Warmer than average.  

 

I think September will have a major transition to cool at some point.  I think I would also split the coldest part of the winter between Dec and Jan.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 2.8"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 34

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 7

 

 


#76
BLI snowman

Posted 01 September 2019 - 11:19 AM

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PDX has had 4 consecutive winters with 1"+ snowfall, when was the last time they had 5? I need to look this up...

 

1992-93 to 1999-00 all had 1"+ snowfall there. That makes 8.


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#77
Phil

Posted 01 September 2019 - 12:19 PM

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The only aspect I’m (somewhat) confident about right now is a drier than normal winter overall, or a background state that is of the meridional/weak jet type. I suppose a strong intraseasonal MJO/AAM cycle could wreak havoc on that prediction, but I have to lean dry right now.

Haven’t decided on temperatures yet..depends on a number of processes that have yet to fully evolve/tip their hand.
Winter 2019/20
Winter events: 3 (11/16, 12/11, 12/16)
Total snowfall: 1.1”
Coldest temp: 21.4*F (11/14)
Highest Gust: 54mph (11/27)
Personal Weather Station Live Stream
NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa...168&banner=NONE
Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...019-08-23/daily

#78
snow_wizard

Posted 01 September 2019 - 02:31 PM

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The only aspect I’m (somewhat) confident about right now is a drier than normal winter overall, or a background state that is of the meridional/weak jet type. I suppose a strong intraseasonal MJO/AAM cycle could wreak havoc on that prediction, but I have to lean dry right now.

Haven’t decided on temperatures yet..depends on a number of processes that have yet to fully evolve/tip their hand.

 

Dry is certainly quite possible given the blocking will probably be insane.  I have a hard time imagining this winter being anything other than cold for the nation collectively.  Extreme low solar, cool ENSO, major volcanic eruptions going on, etc.  As for solar this is now a lock to be the deepest minimum since the Dalton.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 2.8"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 34

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 7

 

 


#79
BLI snowman

Posted 01 September 2019 - 02:53 PM

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Dry is certainly quite possible given the blocking will probably be insane.  I have a hard time imagining this winter being anything other than cold for the nation collectively.  Extreme low solar, cool ENSO, major volcanic eruptions going on, etc.  As for solar this is now a lock to be the deepest minimum since the Dalton.

 

What major volcanic eruptions?

 

There hasn't been a VEI-5 eruption since 2011.



#80
snow_wizard

Posted 01 September 2019 - 04:57 PM

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What major volcanic eruptions?

 

There hasn't been a VEI-5 eruption since 2011.

 

There was just one in Russia that sent a plume to 70,000 feet and there have been two others that also breached the stratosphere this year.  I saw a picture a few days ago from New Mexico that indicated aerosols in the stratosphere indicated by a purple tint at sunrise.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 2.8"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 34

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 7

 

 


#81
Phil

Posted 01 September 2019 - 08:57 PM

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Big AP index spike the last two days. Blech.
Winter 2019/20
Winter events: 3 (11/16, 12/11, 12/16)
Total snowfall: 1.1”
Coldest temp: 21.4*F (11/14)
Highest Gust: 54mph (11/27)
Personal Weather Station Live Stream
NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa...168&banner=NONE
Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...019-08-23/daily

#82
Jesse

Posted 01 September 2019 - 09:10 PM

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Big AP index spike the last two days. Blech.


Gave us a nice aurora show here in NW Montana. Blech.

#83
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 September 2019 - 04:16 AM

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Gave us a nice aurora show here in NW Montana. Blech.

 

So much for that going for us. Funny how we craft a narrative sometimes, only to have it fall apart in front of us. 


Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#84
Jesse

Posted 02 September 2019 - 05:26 AM

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So much for that going for us. Funny how we craft a narrative sometimes, only to have it fall apart in front of us.


Sounds like Andrew is already MOLTING into his winter coat. 😏

#85
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 September 2019 - 08:01 AM

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Sounds like Andrew is already MOLTING into his winter coat.

 

Would you expect anything less?


Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#86
Jesse

Posted 02 September 2019 - 08:12 AM

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Would you expect anything less?


Seems earlier than usual. Best sign yet!

#87
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 02 September 2019 - 09:00 AM

TigerWoodsLibido

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Big AP index spike the last two days. Blech.

 

That's most unfortunate.


Springfield, Oregon cold season 19-20 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Nov 30)
Coldest low: 20 (Nov 29)
Days with below freezing temps: 34 (Most recent: Jan 17)

Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 30)
Total snowfall: 0.0"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31F)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope

 

24


#88
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 September 2019 - 09:28 AM

SilverFallsAndrew

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Also definitely will not be a Nina this winter. 


Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#89
Front Ranger

Posted 02 September 2019 - 12:16 PM

Front Ranger

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Big AP index spike the last two days. Blech.


Get it out of the way now!

Low. Solar.


#90
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 02 September 2019 - 02:01 PM

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There was just one in Russia that sent a plume to 70,000 feet and there have been two others that also breached the stratosphere this year.  I saw a picture a few days ago from New Mexico that indicated aerosols in the stratosphere indicated by a purple tint at sunrise.

"The recently reported eruption on 25 Aug alerting of an ash plume as high as 70,000 ft (21300 m) did not take place
There is no data (satellite-based, direct observations etc) to confirm an eruption of this magnitude. 
The report was based on an erroneous alert from the Anchorage VAAC. An eruption did take place, observed by a group of people staying nearby and who sent us images on social media, but it was "only" producing an ash column rising approx. 23,000 ft (7 km) - something not unusual for Shiveluch which has been having eruptions of this size for decades at irregular intervals."

 

 

https://www.volcanod...-not-70000.html


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#91
Omegaraptor

Posted 02 September 2019 - 02:03 PM

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Is every single Pacific system going to crash into CA again this winter leaving the PNW with well below average precipitation?
No rain here until Hour 258.

#92
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2019 - 02:05 PM

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Is every single Pacific system going to crash into CA again this winter leaving the PNW with well below average precipitation?


That would be lovely!

Sure hope so. Endless rain is stupid.

#93
Omegaraptor

Posted 02 September 2019 - 02:13 PM

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That would be lovely!
Sure hope so. Endless rain is stupid.


You would absolutely love the climate in Washington County. When it’s drier than normal, it actually feels drier than normal and we consistently get less snow than the rest of the area. In fact, we only got 2-3” total for the 2018-19 winter.
No rain here until Hour 258.

#94
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 02 September 2019 - 03:05 PM

TigerWoodsLibido

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You would absolutely love the climate in Washington County. When it’s drier than normal, it actually feels drier than normal and we consistently get less snow than the rest of the area. In fact, we only got 2-3” total for the 2018-19 winter.

 

We had 0" from Feb 1995-Dec 2003. By far the longest snowless stretch in the entire records we have.  It won't be that bad.


Springfield, Oregon cold season 19-20 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Nov 30)
Coldest low: 20 (Nov 29)
Days with below freezing temps: 34 (Most recent: Jan 17)

Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 30)
Total snowfall: 0.0"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31F)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope

 

24


#95
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 September 2019 - 03:49 PM

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We had 0" from Feb 1995-Dec 2003. By far the longest snowless stretch in the entire records we have.  It won't be that bad.

 

EUG reported 4" of snow on 2/28/1996


Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#96
Omegaraptor

Posted 02 September 2019 - 03:50 PM

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We had 0" from Feb 1995-Dec 2003. By far the longest snowless stretch in the entire records we have.  It won't be that bad.


Wow that actually sounds horrible. Sure, 99-05 was pretty bad for the PNW sans 03-04, but at that rate you might as well be living in San Francisco.
No rain here until Hour 258.

#97
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 02 September 2019 - 04:41 PM

TigerWoodsLibido

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EUG reported 4" of snow on 2/28/1996


Gotcha so 1 year off. It’s still by far the longest snowless stretch in the records for here.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 19-20 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Nov 30)
Coldest low: 20 (Nov 29)
Days with below freezing temps: 34 (Most recent: Jan 17)

Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 30)
Total snowfall: 0.0"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31F)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope

 

24


#98
Omegaraptor

Posted 02 September 2019 - 04:45 PM

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Anyway I’ll stop the Washington County bashing. Further advancements being made in the tropical Pacific:

Attached File  846F5785-0273-4F31-856A-20DCE0439649.png   133.68KB   0 downloads

Attached File  A5CA04FB-DB8C-4A11-817D-E75CA5834569.png   126.61KB   0 downloads

NOAA anomaly map:

Attached File  D258D84C-E6DF-48DA-8CCA-1376B47C09D7.gif   233.5KB   0 downloads

How much does the Blob actually impact our weather? Phil said it’s overrated and doesn’t have much effect.
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No rain here until Hour 258.

#99
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 02 September 2019 - 08:27 PM

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Anyway I’ll stop the Washington County bashing. Further advancements being made in the tropical Pacific:

846F5785-0273-4F31-856A-20DCE0439649.png

A5CA04FB-DB8C-4A11-817D-E75CA5834569.png

NOAA anomaly map:

D258D84C-E6DF-48DA-8CCA-1376B47C09D7.gif

How much does the Blob actually impact our weather? Phil said it’s overrated and doesn’t have much effect.


The blob seems to always be here during Summer, at least the last several years, but will likely go away in the Fall when the usual parade of storms causes a lot of upwelling.

#100
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 September 2019 - 08:35 PM

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If I recall the blob was on steroids around this time in 2016, and as you may remember the following winter turned out alright. 


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Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 13.0" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill!