July 2019 Observations and Discussion

[Andie]

Happy 4th Guys !!

 

 

Gorgeous day ahead.

[jaster220]

There has been a reported DP reading of 77° today at Marshall, Michigan now that is very high for Michigan and in fact it is among the highest so far today in the US. Today there have been several locations in Florida and Texas with readings of 79 (Perry and Daytona Beach) with the highest today anywhere in the us being 81° in Brownsville Texas.  

I thought Jaster would bring this up LOL

 

I actually follow the wx daily during the cold season but nasso much during the warm season. Besides, I've been too busy hunkering down in the a/c. Mostly due to the high humidity moreso than the actually temps, tho we did hit 92F one day this week. While it's been nice to have green grass this deep into the warm season, I'm fully tired of mowing every 3rd day and now with the heat, sweating silly every time I do so. 

 

Nonetheless, I wish you and all a wonderful 4th of July holiday. Heading north to Traverse in the morning and expecting to run into some spectacular conditions there by Friday evening and thru the remainder of the weekend! 

[CentralNebWeather]

Earlier in the week all the local mets had the best chance of storms on Thursday. Now that we are there, the CAMs are showing nothing today. Are we really going to go the entire "active" week with only a few hundredths of an inch of rain?

I hear ya. Been forecasted for rain the last 3 days and got only a few drops. Rain has been amazing in Northern Nebraska in South Dakota but nothing here. Not that long ago it was almost raining daily. Had to turn on the sprinklers for the 1st time this year. Latest in all of my years of home ownership.

[Stacsh]

Hottest day on the beach in Pentwater, MI in years. Clear skies light south wind. 88 and Sunny. Slight east wind this morning caused the water temp to drop, but not enough to go under for me! Beautiful. Grand Rapids at one point point had 92 and heat index at 99. Lake breeze cause some downpours there.

[Stacsh]

That big “vortex” cool down looking less impressive now.

[Andie]

We clocked in at 94* today. Rather hot.

 

Humdity 45%......amazing

Dewpoint 74*

 

Not bad. The evening will be a knockout!

[jaster220]

Per GRR's daily graphic, DP's >70 have a real-feel rating of "Gross".  LOL @ their high-tech term 

[Stormhunter87]

That is one intense looking hail core in central Nebraska

[OKwx2k4]

Happy Independence Day every one!

I love this nation. Keep making her great, my friends!

[Stormy]

Earlier in the week all the local mets had the best chance of storms on Thursday. Now that we are there, the CAMs are showing nothing today. Are we really going to go the entire "active" week with only a few hundredths of an inch of rain?

Yes I’m disappointed as well. I got only 0.04” yesterday while several miles sw. and e. had downpours ranging from a half inch to over 1.50”. Quite the heat wave we’re having too. Don’t think we’ve had so many consecutive days (6 days so far, and would be 8 days if not for one cooler day) in the 90°s in awhile, tho it’s easy to forget if it’s not recorded.

[clintbeed1993]

Those storms out by Holdrege have literally not moved in 2 hours. It's going to be an ocean in spots if they don't start making way.

[CentralNebWeather]

Those storms out by Holdrege have literally not moved in 2 hours. It's going to be an ocean in spots if they don't start making way.

Radar estimates of 8-10”. I doubt if is that much but easily 4-6” in western Phelps County by Bertrand. I am in a flood advisory. in Central Phelps County. We haven’t gotten nearly as much, but unbelievably loud thunder and heavy rain the last 1-2 hours.

[Tom]

Radar estimates of 8-10”. I doubt if is that much but easily 4-6” in western Phelps County by Bertrand. I am in a flood advisory. in Central Phelps County. We haven’t gotten nearly as much, but unbelievably loud thunder and heavy rain the last 1-2 hours.

The radar blew up with training storms right overhead.  I know you needed the moisture, but not all at once!

[Stormhunter87]

These morning storms are a new trend. About to get dumped on. The temperature this morning very comfortable plus the outflow of the storms is bringing a nice breeze.

[CentralNebWeather]

The radar blew up with training storms right overhead. I know you needed the moisture, but not all at once!

More training storms most of the night and have started up again. I would bet parts of my county to the western half are under water this morning. Moisture is great, but this much in a short period of time really doesn’t help anyone. Farmer compared a picture yesterday of corn on 4th of July 2016. It was taller than his pickup. Took the same location picture yesterday and the corn was maybe 2’ tall. This morning I’m wondering if that corn is completely underwater.

[westMJim]

A lot of rain in parts of the GR metro area here at my house I recorded 1.25” of rain yesterday afternoon to this morning. While at GRR the total was 1.16” But at Lansing it was just 0.19” and at Muskegon no rain fell at all.  At this time here at my house I have a temperature of 74 with a DP of 72 once again it was a nice warm walk this morning with clear skies and a good touch of humidity in the air. Summer is here.

[CentralNebWeather]

Just in the last hour, we have had 3 separate thunderstorms move through each lasting 5-10 minutes. Heavy rain, thunder and lightning then it ends. Been quite a 7 hours around this area. I’ll let you know of potential crop damage if I hear of any today.

[Niko]

That big “vortex” cool down looking less impressive now.

Yes, but not by much in my area. Highs still look to be in the upper 70s and lows in the upper 50s. Now, that is refreshing for July standards.

[Niko]

A scorcher day coming up for today as highs approach the 90 degree mark. Humidity levels will be high as well as the dewpoint reaches the very muggy mid 70s, UGH! Cannot wait for that front to pass by ova the weekend and bring some relief to my area. Also, there is a chance for some pm storms later today. Possibly severe. Lets hope so!

[Niko]

For SEMI today:

 

PER NOAA:

A Heat Advisory means that a period of hot temperatures isexpected. The combination of hot temperatures and high humiditywill combine to create a situation in which heat illnesses arepossible. Drink plenty of fluids...stay in an air-conditionedroom...stay out of the sun...and check up on relatives andneighbors.   Take extra precautions...if you work or spend time outside.When possible...reschedule strenuous activities to early morningor evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion andheat stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing whenpossible and drink plenty of water.   To reduce risk during outdoor work...the occupational safetyand health administration recommends scheduling frequent restbreaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcomeby heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.   Heatstroke is an emergency...call 9 1 1.

[Andie]

How quickly conditions change.

 

Texas will be joining the heat with Heat Indexes at 100*+.

We can't complain, it's been an awesome spring and early summer. AND the summer may not be long.

 

High today 96*. Tomorrow 99*.

The farmers will be happy and that's not a bad thing.

[westMJim]

How did this years July 4th stack up compared to past hot July 4ths? Yesterday the official H/L at Grand Rapids was 90/71 There have been 23 years where the high at Grand Rapids reached 90 or better on July 4th two of them were at 100 (1897 and 1911) two more were at 99 (1921 and 2012) 5 at 94, 4 at 93, 2 at 92, 4 at 91 and now 4 at 90. There have been 18 times when the low did not get below 70 with the warmest being 78 in 2012. Last year the H/L was 94/73 the coolest high was 64 in 1970 and the coldest low was 45 in 1972
The current temperature at GRR is a very warm and humid 86 with a DP of 74 here at my house I now have 87 with some sun and clouds off to the north 

[Hawkeye]

Today appears to be another dud for this area.  We are running out of storm chances.

[Niko]

Currently at 88F w a dew of 75F, which makes a realfeel of 98F and a RH of 87%. Now, you get the picture. Yup, you guessed it. Its like a sauna.

[Niko]

Just received a quick downpour...huge drops. Felt good seeing some water from Ma Nature.

[Bryan1117]

These morning storms are a new trend. About to get dumped on. The temperature this morning very comfortable plus the outflow of the storms is bringing a nice breeze.

The outflow was definitely nice, but everything fell apart again for the most part as it hit Eastern Nebraska (continuing a trend that has dominated since the start of May). I picked up a whopping 0.03 of rain this morning, not even enough to wash off the spent fireworks on my street. Worst yet, the outflow has pushed the best chance of strong storms and heavy rain back south, to you guessed it - Northern Kansas and Northwest Missouri - ugh. 

 

Outside of a fairly intense but quick downpour from a dying thunderstorm that we got on Wednesday evening (picked up just under 1/2 of rain from that one), it's been tough to get any appreciable rain in my backyard. This pattern in my opinion, still really blows but what can you do (rant over, LOL)?

[Bryan1117]

Today appears to be another dud for this area.  We are running out of storm chances.

I completely feel your pain Hawkeye, I am getting really tired of seeing outflow boundaries from morning storms pushing the best chances of strong/severe storms and heavy rain south of my area. This pattern is a broken record it seems like, either feast or famine depending on where you live - seems more indicative of a summer pattern in the Deep South, than in the Upper Midwest. 

[Niko]

Currently at 91F and realfeel is at 99F. Dew is at 75F. Plain sultry! UGH!

[Tom]

As expected, beach goer's during this long holiday weekend are enjoying the rapid rise in lake Michigan water temps. 

 

 

 

 

 

We had a lone strong cell move right over ORD late yesterday afternoon that dropped about .40" of rain as I lounged on my deck watching the towering cumulonimbus clouds to my south.  The simple things in life I tend to enjoy.

[Niko]

Alaska like Miami...

 

 

Lightly clad Alaskans take advantage of a record heat wave to enjoy lake fun in the city of Anchorage on July 4, 2019.

[Niko]

Currently at 77F w mostly cloudy skies. It will be getting drier as the CF passes my area today. Lows tanite in the 50s and highs in the 70s for both Sun n Mon. Splendid indeed.

[jaster220]

In TC and as expected by sundown yesterday it was perfect comfort wx. 70s today and tomorrow with low DPs. Yay! A true break from the sultry week downstate.

[MIKEKC]

@Tom

 

You still seeing a cooler and stormier set-up for the central plains in July. The 12z GFS is awful hot and dry the next 16 days for KC. Is it wrong?? KC finished the last 2 out of 3 months above average on temps, will that continue this summer?

[james1976]

7 day here is 80s and mostly dry

[westMJim]

In TC and as expected by sundown yesterday it was perfect comfort wx. 70s today and tomorrow with low DPs. Yay! A true break from the sultry week downstate.

I see you are out of Marshal but I will toss this at you just the same. A report of a Dew Point of 82° was reported at Marshal's Brooks Airport today (July 6th ) I have sent a email to the NWS to see if that can be verified 

[Andie]

High of 93 today. Humidity 43% makes it quite tolerable.

Currently a 50% chance of rain with some heavier storms scattered in the line.

 

The next week will be in the high 90’s. So, summer is well and truly here.

[Tom]

@Tom

 

You still seeing a cooler and stormier set-up for the central plains in July. The 12z GFS is awful hot and dry the next 16 days for KC. Is it wrong?? KC finished the last 2 out of 3 months above average on temps, will that continue this summer?

I'm not a fan of the tropical storm Barry throwing a wrench into the forecast later next week .  Changes in the EPO (+) and subsiding high lat blocking is certainly throwing me a curve ball, thus resulting in a much warmer pattern than I had anticipated.  Might end up resulting in the hottest temps of the season later next week as the tropical system "vents" into the heartland and blocks up the pattern.  As the anti-cyclone heat creating machine blocks up, its going to Dry and Fry in parts of the Plains!  I'd lean towards a warmer pattern and a drier one.

[Tom]

The day started of bit warm and humid yesterday, but increasing northerly winds quickly ushered in a much more comfortable airmass by the afternoon.  Temps peaked into the upper 70's and DP's around 60F lead me to turn off the A/C and open the windows.  It was a delightful day.  Winds have not backed down all night and as I write this morning, they are still pretty strong out of the N @ 15mph.  Currently 66F/61F.  Looking forward for another beauty today.

[Stormy]

Yeah this summer is starting off much warmer and drier than normal, at least in parts of se. Iowa. That is opposite of what I thought it was supposed to be! To bad my place just missed all of the recent good rains and it appears I will be suffering from drought sooner than most. Folks just 3-4 miles ne. of me can’t say that since they got a 1.70” downpour 3 days ago, I think it was. If I miss the smallish chances of rain mid week I’m going to be bummed, as hot and dry wx returns! What a turnaround!

[Hawkeye]

The Tuesday/Wednesday rain is drying up on the models.  Even worse, that is only real rain chance over the next ten days.  Getting missed by all the bubbly storms last week really hurt.