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August 2019 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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I'm at 1.15".  I thought we had a shot at 1.5, but the general rain shield has crapped out somewhat and a dry hole has formed over CR.

 

No surprise that almost 4" of rain has been reported from western Benton county.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Sunshine trying to break through the low deck of clouds this morning. It will also be a very muggy day w temps in the upper 80s.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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I'm at 1.15". I thought we had a shot at 1.5, but the general rain shield has crapped out somewhat and a dry hole has formed over CR.

 

No surprise that almost 4" of rain has been reported from western Benton county.

Sounds like you guys out in Central and Eastern Iowa at least picked up some much needed rain again, this should continue to help with the abnormally dry conditions in your area. That front end of the MCS sure looks nasty on radar, sounds like Sparky got one heck of a storm this morning with it.

 

Looks like East Central Nebraska has a really good shot at more rain and storms tonight and tomorrow. This will be a nice relief after a sweltering day in the mid 90’s with dew points in the mid and upper 70’s today. At least the heat isn’t going to last!

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I'm at 1.15".  I thought we had a shot at 1.5, but the general rain shield has crapped out somewhat and a dry hole has formed over CR.

 

No surprise that almost 4" of rain has been reported from western Benton county.

I am at only 0.54" so far. Better than nothing, but really disappointed that the storm in Benton county could not move just straight east. What caused it to not be able to make it here? 

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Looks like most of the rain well stay south of Grand Rapids today. So I watered the grass this AM. Still in a thunderstorm drought here in NW Grand Rapids area. You know it has been a long time since I have seen such few thunderstorms and this has been going on now for 3 years. It would be different if it was cool and dry but it has been warm and humid and still not very many storms. The current temperature here at my house is 75 with a dew point of 65 the last reading at the airport was 71 with a dew point of 63 and the skies are mostly cloudy with a few peaks of the sun.

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We are getting a nice soaking rain from this final band moving through.  I love mornings like this.  They were totally absent this summer until the last few days.

 

I am at only 0.54" so far. Better than nothing, but really disappointed that the storm in Benton county could not move just straight east. What caused it to not be able to make it here? 

 

We see this kind of thing fairly often from MCSs like this.  I think it's just that the low level jet is feeding the MCS from the sw and as the MCS itself has no ne momentum, it just backbuilds and the LLJ is continuously intercepted by the backbuilding storms.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I forgot to mention that the Euro is suggesting big rain is possible somewhere in the upper plains/midwest later in the period.  Last night's op run has 5+ inches in nw Iowa.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The wind is getting pretty gusty here on the back edge of the MCS.

 

Update:  Many 40+ mph gusts here.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Just brutal here this morning. My weather station at 942a showed 87.8 temp/ 77.6 dew/ 100.8 heat index!!

 

Hoping for some good storms tonight, but just looks like a possible heavy rain threat if it doesn't miss us to the south.

Woke up at around 3 am(I believe) to see a bunch of tstorm warnings and even a tornado warning in western Iowa about 50 miles east of here.

 

This has been probably the lamest severe weather season around Omaha that I can remember in quite some time. No tornado watches,  5 tstorm watches with 3 in May and 2 in June with the last one on the 26th. Have only had 1 severe tstorm warning at my home. Maybe have seen a few pea sized pieces of hail. I would guess the majority of our storms have been in the middle of the night as well. Pretty common to get late night systems here that form way out west, but still the very few daytime storms around here has sucked.

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I finished with 1.52" of rain, so that last rain band quickly boosted us up to the 1.5 I hoped for.

 

Our drought is pretty much over.  Over three days we've had two big soakers totaling 3.13".  The lawns were already greening up somewhat after the first soaker.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Street lights are on here. Dark as midnight. T-storm warning just to my northwest.

 

It had looked like the line was weakening as it approached St Paul, but a last minute burst brought a strong line right into the metro.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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There was no wind throughout the event, then at the very back edge of the rain, ten minutes of 40+ mph wind gusts broke several of my plants.  My plants are pretty protected from typical west to north wind, but this came from the east.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I finished with 0.78" of rain. That is a bit more than I was expecting based on how the HRRR was looking last night. 

 

The rainfall today brings my August rainfall total so far to 4.05". I expect the updated drought monitor to remove the drought from this area. The average rainfall here for the month of August is 4.43 so we aren't too far away from getting there. There is a chance of thunderstorms tomorrow as well, and the pattern looks active again starting Sunday. 

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Man I was to busy to post again.

 

This wasn’t the worst storm of the year, but it was the best one! That’s how I like them when it’s dry. Not severe, but strong, with winds up to 40 mph, torrential rain, and lots of lightning. I wasn’t by my station during the storm, but I think it poured nearly 1” in 15 minutes during the brunt of it. I ended up with 2.43” with maybe around 2” in one hour. I think the drought is past as I’m approaching 4.75” since the rains have returned this month!

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There was no wind throughout the event, then at the very back edge of the rain, ten minutes of 40+ mph wind gusts broke several of my plants.  My plants are pretty protected from typical west to north wind, but this came from the east.

Here the wind was mainly from the north and northeast, then west last.

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This wasn’t the worst storm of the year, but it was the best one! That’s how I like them when it’s dry. Not severe, but strong, with winds up to 40 mph, torrential rain, and lots of lightning. I wasn’t by my station during the storm, but I think it poured nearly 1” in 15 minutes during the brunt of it. I ended up with 2.43” with maybe around 2” in one hour. I think the drought is past as I’m approaching 4.75” since the rains have returned this month!

 

Wow, that's a real nice rainfall for you!  My August total is up to 4.26".

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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First signs of Autumn...I meant to say, Winter...Autumn is hitting those folks up north fast and hard!  One of my "bucket list" places to visit is to the Brooks Range of Alaska.

 

 

 

 

Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
443 AM AKDT Tue Aug 20 2019

AKZ206-210015-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WS.W.0027.190820T1400Z-190821T1400Z/
Northeastern Brooks Range-
Including Anaktuvuk Pass, Atigun Pass, Galbraith Lake, Sagwon,
and Franklin Bluffs
443 AM AKDT Tue Aug 20 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected. Plan on difficult travel
conditions. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are
expected.

* WHERE...Northeastern Brooks Range above 2000 feet.

* WHEN...6 AM today to 6 AM Wednesday. Snow will develop this
morning, and then become heavy this afternoon through late
tonight. Snow will taper off Wednesday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Look for significant reductions in
visibility at times. Below 2000 feet, only 1 to 2 inches of
snow are expected.
 
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Is there any chance of that line of thunderstorms currently in southeast MN holding together and moving into Eastern Iowa? 

 

Nope.  The line crapped out.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Hello from Phoenix! Drove from L.A. last evening right through the desert. It was in the 90s well after dark! But 15% humidity makes it tolerable. Spent a few days in L.A. Man it's a whole different world out there. And the weather was perfect with low 80s, low humidity, all sun and a light breeze from the Pacific. Now on our way to Texas. Not looking forward to the heat and humidity out there. Looking forward to those CFs late this month when I return home though!

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Hello from Phoenix! Drove from L.A. last evening right through the desert. It was in the 90s well after dark! But 15% humidity makes it tolerable. Spent a few days in L.A. Man it's a whole different world out there. And the weather was perfect with low 80s, low humidity, all sun and a light breeze from the Pacific. Now on our way to Texas. Not looking forward to the heat and humidity out there. Looking forward to those CFs late this month when I return home though!

Since you drove at night, you didn’t miss much of the views on hwy 10 through AZ. Some spots along the way have some nice views but it’s primarily plain ol’ desert landscape. I’ve driven that route a few times over the years. What I find beautiful is how the landscape changes from the mountains of Cali and almost instant desert once near Palm Springs. It’s even more dramatic if you take the trip on hwy 8 from CA into AZ. It goes from lush green mountains to desert in a span of like 20-30 miles.

 

Cali living, esp ocean side, is impeccable from May-Oct. I’d love to have a place somewhere in between San Diego and LA during those months. Glad your enjoying your trip!

 

Btw, where are you staying in the PHX valley?

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Officially the hottest day of the year (by heat index on my weather station). Hit 117.0 about 330. Dews have been 79-82 most of this afternoon. Currently at 94.8/ 81.2/ 117.0 at 334p.

 

With all the heat and humidity, SPC mesoanalysis shows SBCAPE of 7500 j/kg!!

 

NWS has upgraded their heat advisory to an excessive heat warning just a bit ago. We didn't even have the heat advisory issued until 10 this morning. Seems like this heat has kind of snuck up on them today.

 

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
320 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019

IAZ069-NEZ052-053-066-210200-
/O.UPG.KOAX.HT.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190821T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KOAX.EH.W.0002.190820T2020Z-190821T0200Z/
Pottawattamie-Douglas-Sarpy-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Council Bluffs, Omaha, Bellevue,
Papillion, La Vista, and Lincoln
320 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2019

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Omaha/Valley has issued an
Excessive Heat Warning, which is in effect until 9 PM CDT this
evening.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...109 to 117 in urban areas, and 105 to 112
in rural areas.

* TIMING...The hottest conditions are expected between 4 and 7
PM. Heat index values should fall below 105 after 9 PM.

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Currently mostly cloudy w a temp of 82F.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

342 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

 

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-211945-

Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

342 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019

 

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast

Michigan.

 

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

 

There is a continued chance of thunderstorms this evening. Isolated

storms may be strong to severe. The strongest storms will be capable

of producing damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to 1 inch.

Storms will move west to east at about 20 mph.

 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

 

There is a chance of thunderstorms on Wednesday as a cold front is

forecast to move across the region.

 

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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At least you're climbing in elevation. Tucson will be cooler, though not cool.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Big storm hitting SEMI (my particular area) w vivid lightning, thunder, strong winds and torrential downpours.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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