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August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW


Omegaraptor

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Great looking Labor Day weekend on the 12z Euro. I’d be surprised to see that hold.

 

I need maps.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I remember last Labor Day looking that good too, then it all fell apart on us.

 

Yeah there was some talk on a FB group about that last night. 2nd times a charm

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Great looking Labor Day weekend on the 12z Euro. I’d be surprised to see that hold.

I would be surprised if it does not end up deeper and colder than shown now. That is how everything has gone this year.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Yep, lol. Snakes, lizards, dragonflies, and cicadas all having their annual end-of-summer orgy.

These guys/gals were just chilling together. They mate in the spring. Garters are one of the few snake species that totally tolerate each other.

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Gorgeous day here... sunny most of the day and 77.

 

Looked it was going to turn cloudy in the middle of the afternoon... but the sun came back quickly. Looks like a c-zone might be forming to the north based on the satellite.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Gorgeous day here... sunny most of the day and 77.

Looked it was going to turn cloudy in the middle of the afternoon... but the sun came back quickly. Looks like a c-zone might be forming to the north based on the satellite.

Caught the end ( tv) of the Boeing Golf Classic out there at Snoqualmie and looked very dark! Surprised me

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Caught the end ( tv) of the Boeing Golf Classic out there at Snoqualmie and looked very dark! Surprised me

It was off to the east for the most part... towards the Cascades. It made for spectacular scenery.

 

I took a pic of the TV when I turned it on because my son was following Fred Couples around the course today and he had just got to the 18th green. Freddie is tearing it up... -16 after 2 rounds and a five stroke lead heading into the final round.

 

20190824-182610.jpg

 

My son works there and has access to everything. He can also golf for free at that course whenever he wants and he has been playing maybe 3 or 4 times a week lately and having a blast.

 

Side note... the announcers have been repeatedly saying how wet it has been here and how soft the greens are as a result. That is playing a major role in the low scores as well.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Salmon Creek where my folks are had 2" going into that event. Enough to keep it white through the whole week. Then over a foot there with the February storms. Areas away from the strong outflow did much better that winter.

It's crazy how localized that event was. I think Steve Pierce also lives in that area. Remember him posting pictures of his snow.

 

Yeah, I did okay out here on the east side but not as good as other places. Still did decent after combining all the 3 snowstorms that February.

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Check this out! Major cooling along the West Coast while the warmest SST anoms are pushing further offshore. Not surprisng when you consider the much higher surface pressure that has developed over the NE Pacific in recent days. I like the prospects for farily chilly weather (in relation to normal) in the near future.

No matter how you slice it we have a highly elevated chance of seeing a decent winter this year. Just based on solar alone we are in fantastic company. Now that ENSO has come around and the warm water over the NE Pacific has begun to shift westward we're in great shape.

Loving your enthusiasm for this winter! Hopefully we won't have to wait until February like the last 2 winters and we can score in December.

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It was off to the east for the most part... towards the Cascades. It made for spectacular scenery.

I took a pic of the TV when I turned it on because my son was following Fred Couples around the course today and he had just got to the 18th green. Freddie is tearing it up... -16 after 2 rounds and a five stroke lead heading into the final round. 20190824-182610.jpg

My son works there and has access to everything. He can also golf for free at that course whenever he wants and he has been playing maybe 3 or 4 times a week lately and having a blast.

Side note... the announcers have been repeatedly saying how wet it has been here and how soft the greens are as a result. That is playing a major role in the low scores as well.

I assume then he got to witness the hole in one by Fred, that was exciting! !!! Pretty cool he get to enjoy such benefits at the course

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I assume then he got to witness the hole in one by Fred, that was exciting! !!! Pretty cool he get to enjoy such benefits at the course

He was right there for the hole in one.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It was off to the east for the most part... towards the Cascades. It made for spectacular scenery.

 

I took a pic of the TV when I turned it on because my son was following Fred Couples around the course today and he had just got to the 18th green. Freddie is tearing it up... -16 after 2 rounds and a five stroke lead heading into the final round.

 

20190824-182610.jpg

 

My son works there and has access to everything. He can also golf for free at that course whenever he wants and he has been playing maybe 3 or 4 times a week lately and having a blast.

 

Side note... the announcers have been repeatedly saying how wet it has been here and how soft the greens are as a result. That is playing a major role in the low scores as well.

What does your son do at the course?

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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What does your son do at the course?

 

A variety of things... primarily a server in the restaurant and he is on the team that handles banquets and weddings.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It was off to the east for the most part... towards the Cascades. It made for spectacular scenery.

 

I took a pic of the TV when I turned it on because my son was following Fred Couples around the course today and he had just got to the 18th green. Freddie is tearing it up... -16 after 2 rounds and a five stroke lead heading into the final round.

 

 

 

My son works there and has access to everything. He can also golf for free at that course whenever he wants and he has been playing maybe 3 or 4 times a week lately and having a blast.

 

Side note... the announcers have been repeatedly saying how wet it has been here and how soft the greens are as a result. That is playing a major role in the low scores as well.

 

Pretty cool that your son has that access.  I played in my company tournament this afternoon, and between the rain Wednesday, Friday, and the drizzle/rain today the greens were quite soft up here as well.  At least it was cool.  For a while it was getting into mid-upper 80's on tournament day.  Absolutely miserable since it is a links style course with no trees/shade whatsoever.

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Nice improvements for the holiday weekend on the 00Z GFS and ECMWF. Need to see consistency now... still don't believe it.

latest gfs run still doesn’t look too bad for Labor Day weekend but like you said need to see some consistent runs. Hasn’t been much consistency in awhile.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Some decent sun breaks already here... and the cloud bases are high.   I was expecting this morning to be drizzly with thick low clouds... but its totally dry.   Should be a pretty nice afternoon.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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