September 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Jesse]

12z GFS is much nicer with the trough this coming weekend than the 00Z was.

 

Must have fallen back in line with its ensembles.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

GFS says no rain for the south valley after Tuesday for several days.  Still feels like fall though.

[GHweatherChris]

Coastal radar is now down for maintenance through 9/20.

 

Edit- now back up on UW radar site.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12z GFS is much nicer with the trough this coming weekend than the 00Z was.

 

Must have fallen back in line with its ensembles.

 

Noticed the operational was a pretty big outlier on the 06z run too compared to the ensembles. Will be nice to have our pasture grass green up before we go into winter mode this year as we will likely be adding some goats and maybe hair sheep to the flock.

[El_Nina]

Feels legitimately chilly with that breeze going.

[El_Nina]

Today, NWS will determine if a tornado touched down in west Multnomah County.

https://www.kptv.com/news/pumpkin-patch-on-old-cornelius-pass-road-damaged-by-possible/article_82fe051a-d2f6-11e9-a561-5b7d28b070a9.html

[TacomaWaWx]

Rain has finally made it here. 61 degrees out.

[Omegaraptor]

Wonder if this fall/winter will deliver any significant windstorms.

[MossMan]

Up to .55” since midnight.

[MossMan]

Good news if you like severe weather! This truck is currently in our parking lot at my work!

Take cover now!

[TacomaWaWx]

Still only 61 at noon. Wet breezy and very October like. 0.05” so far.

[TT-SEA]

Up to .55” since midnight.

 

 

Some good news for those who don't want it to rain every single day (there are a couple of us goofy people in that group)... the 12Z ECMWF shows several dry days mixed in over the next 10 days.

 

Potential dry periods include:  Wednesday, Thursday, Friday afternoon, Saturday, and then next Tuesday - Thursday).    Plan accordingly!

[Kayla]

Some good news for those who don't want it to rain every single day (there are a couple of us goofy people in that group)... the 12Z ECMWF shows several dry days mixed in over the next 10 days.

 

Potential dry periods include: Wednesday, Thursday, Friday afternoon, Saturday, and then next Tuesday - Thursday). Plan accordingly!

Soooo 7 of the next 10 days look dry...sounds like you’re in a real pickle there!

[TT-SEA]

Soooo 7 of the next 10 days look dry...sounds like you’re in a real pickle there!

 

Lets hope it works out.   

[Front Ranger]

Looking back at September 2013, it really is amazing how wet that month was. A lot of places completely blew their previous records out of the water.

 

Probably the most impressive was SLE's 7.05". The previous record was 4.84" from all the way back in 1914. Battle Ground's 8.85" gets honorable mention as well. Shattered their previous record by over 3", though their records are more spotty and don't go back near as far as SLE.

 

Long way to go for this month to be impressively wet, though the first third of the month is a nice start.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Looking back at September 2013, it really is amazing how wet that month was. A lot of places completely blew their previous records out of the water.

 

Probably the most impressive was SLE's 7.05". The previous record was 4.84" from all the way back in 1914.

 

Battle Ground's 8.85" gets honorable mention as well. Shattered their previous record by over 3", though their records are more spotty and don't go back near as far as SLE.

 

Early fall and cold seasons in general feel to me like they bode well for action during the winter here.

[MossMan]

Up to .62” on the day.

[Jesse]

Looks like some stronger cells starting to fire to the SW of Portland.

[ShawniganLake]

Beautiful sunny lunch hour here in Victoria

[TacomaWaWx]

Looks like some stronger cells starting to fire to the SW of Portland.

Really inconvenient time for the coastal Radar to be down, can’t see anything SW of Olympia lol.

[TT-SEA]

Beautiful sunny lunch hour here in Victoria

 

Some off and on light rain here so far today... but looks like it might dry out for awhile out here.   Also looks like some breaks in the clouds moving up from the south.

[TacomaWaWx]

0.15” so far and 61 degrees. Hopefully we see some heavy showers or a couple rumbles up here.

[jakeinthevalley]

Was out on the back patio (covered) yesterday afternoon, roasting a big batch of Hatch Chiles when the first squall line of showers moved through. As hard as I have ever seen it rain in Salem. Totally overwhelmed the gutters and turned my backyard into a lake. The creek out back went from a trickle to a torrent in minutes. The airport barely got a drizzle while I had .65" in less than a half hour.

 

Amazing what the moisture carrying capacity of warm season air masses can be. (Not really amazing, but just not that common around these parts)

[Skagit Weather]

Pretty strong cell just north of Stanwood according to radar. Here we've seen half an inch today and 1.1" since Saturday.

[BLI snowman]

Soooo 7 of the next 10 days look dry...sounds like you’re in a real pickle there!

 

He'll be in Toppenish or some godforsaken place those 3 days anyways.

[TacomaWaWx]

Looks like some stronger cells are starting to develop in SW WA finally. Activity ramping up across the board in general.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

63F with light rain here in the south valley.

[GHweatherChris]

Holy hell, we have picked up .83 of rain in the last 15 minutes, insane. Sucks that the radar is down.

[TacomaWaWx]

Holy hell, we have picked up .83 of rain in the last 15 minutes, insane. Sucks thatvthe radar is down.

That is insane. Can’t see the radar on the coast, can only see from roughly I-5 east in SW WA, but can see some strong cells also developing and moving NE. Strong cells in the NW interior and NW OR too.

[FroYoBro]

Surprisingly breezy right now under this shower in Bull Mountain. I enjoy our sunny summers, but days like this bring me right back into fall mode.

 

Nice day.

[Blizzard777]

Nice little cell down here in Centralia

Pulled off by airport

[Blizzard777]

The main cell is not moving at all

Radar showed it pop up so perhaps still popping

[TT-SEA]

He'll be in Toppenish or some godforsaken place those 3 days anyways.

 

Lots of wineries and some microbreweries around there.

 

We were close to there in July and had a great time at Hoptown Pizza in their huge outdoor patio area after wine tasting... with a live band and bocce ball courts and other activities.    They also have awesome wood-friend pizza.   It was very festive with lots of people and a couple bachelorette parties in limos.

 

Don't be such a prude, Justin.    

[Blizzard777]

Looks mean but no lightning

Everything quiet and still

[TT-SEA]

Rain is staying well west of my area this afternoon... its been dry and partly sunny at times.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Showers are pretty wimpy so far down here today.

[BLI snowman]

Lots of wineries and some microbreweries around there.

 

We were close to there in July and had a great time at Hoptown Pizza in their huge outdoor patio area after wine tasting... with a live band and bocce ball courts and other activities.    They also have awesome wood-friend pizza.   It was very festive with lots of people and a couple bachelorette parties in limos.

 

Don't be such a prude, Justin.    

 

Better book while you still can!

[GHweatherChris]

Ended up getting 1.8 inches of rain in just 45 minutes.

[TT-SEA]

Better book while you still can!

So depressing over there...

 

 

I hate having reliable sun and warmth so close. I wish it was all dark rain forest for hundreds of miles in every direction so there was no options. Topographical variety sucks!

[Blizzard777]

Down in the Nisqually refuge area you can see the action moving our way to the south sound.

Rain pretty good from Centrailia thru Tumwater.

No lighting detected as per the a.m radio