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10/9 - 10/13 Plains/Upper MW Powerful Winter Storm


Tom

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Euro #'s for Devils Lake,ND-    holy smokes!

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: DVL    LAT=  48.12 LON=  -98.92 ELE=  1453                                            00Z OCT08                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000                  TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500                  (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK TUE 00Z 08-OCT  14.3     9.6    1009      49      25             565     557    TUE 06Z 08-OCT  11.4    12.7    1006      54      14             564     559    TUE 12Z 08-OCT   9.9    15.1    1003      64      59    0.00     564     561    TUE 18Z 08-OCT  17.4    15.0    1002      54      30    0.00     565     563    WED 00Z 09-OCT  15.7    15.8    1002      72      36    0.00     565     563    WED 06Z 09-OCT  10.8    15.3    1003      87      49    0.00     564     561    WED 12Z 09-OCT   8.0     8.4    1005      94      20    0.00     563     559    WED 18Z 09-OCT   6.8     3.2    1010      82      28    0.03     563     555    THU 00Z 10-OCT   3.9    -0.7    1016      84      47    0.06     563     551    THU 06Z 10-OCT   2.6    -2.9    1021      83      85    0.02     564     547    THU 12Z 10-OCT   1.8    -4.3    1021      83      99    0.05     562     545    THU 18Z 10-OCT   0.8    -5.0    1023      89      93    0.57     562     544    FRI 00Z 11-OCT   0.4    -5.8    1022      88      98    0.17     560     543    FRI 06Z 11-OCT   0.6    -6.5    1019      87      98    0.12     558     542    FRI 12Z 11-OCT   0.4    -5.8    1014      88     100    0.10     553     542    FRI 18Z 11-OCT   0.5    -5.9    1008      91     101    0.39     548     542    SAT 00Z 12-OCT   0.6    -5.7    1005      91     104    0.78     541     537    SAT 06Z 12-OCT   0.6    -5.6    1002      92     102    0.69     538     536    SAT 12Z 12-OCT   0.5    -5.6    1002      91      92    0.50     537     536    SAT 18Z 12-OCT   0.9    -5.5    1004      87      87    0.07     539     536    SUN 00Z 13-OCT   1.0    -5.3    1006      88      59    0.06     541     537    SUN 06Z 13-OCT   1.0    -4.8    1007      89      50    0.03     543     538    SUN 12Z 13-OCT   1.1    -4.7    1008      91      79    0.01     543     537    SUN 18Z 13-OCT   1.6    -4.2    1009      89      51    0.01     545     537 
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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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It's hard to fathom the amount of snow the Euro keeps spitting out run to run along with the GFS.  Both of them are suggesting 2-3 feet somewhere over the Upper MW.  Just an incredible storm is in the works.  #Makin'History

 

snku_acc.us_nc.png

 

 

snku_acc.us_nc.png

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This storm means business. Wow. Enjoy the snowstorm y'all. That is a lot of snow. ;)

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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With 2m temps above freezing, add warm (& moist) ground. You can cut those totals down a fair amount imho. Still a potent storm by mid-Oct standards.

 

Apparently CPC was so hesitant yesterday afternoon, that they weren't willing to put a "heavy snow zone" outside the mountains: 

 

20191007 hazards_d3_7_contours.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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With 2m temps above freezing, add warm (& moist) ground. You can cut those totals down a fair amount imho. Still a potent storm by mid-Oct standards.

 

Apparently CPC was so hesitant yesterday afternoon, that they weren't willing to put a "heavy snow zone" outside the mountains: 

 

attachicon.gif20191007 hazards_d3_7_contours.png

True. But remember ground temps during a snowfall can quickly become colder (cold enough) than 2M temps. Some of the biggest snow events here in DSM the last 5 years have happened with 2M temps at 33F during the heaviest snow. Albeit it was FEB, but temp can be much different at ground level than 2M. 

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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True. But remember ground temps during a snowfall can quickly become colder (cold enough) than 2M temps. Some of the biggest snow events here in DSM the last 5 years have happened with 2M temps at 33F during the heaviest snow. Albeit it was FEB, but temp can be much different at ground level than 2M. 

 

Same way that the Nov bliz last year robbed Tom's total due to it being the first storm and early one at that. There's more to overcome versus the same parameters later in winter (Feb). I will add that wind may actually help with cooling in this case. Tom's problem last year was those strong winds blowing in off a warm Lake Michigan. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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The Twin Cities largest snowstorm ever (Halloween 1991) started hours after a high of 65 degrees the day before. 28” of snow fell on warm ground. You can talk about warm soil, bottom up melting, 2m temps, etc. But time and time again it’s proven that if it snows heavily, those warm factors can be overcome in a hurry.

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There was a Nov 2001 snowstorm in Minnesota that the current storm may play out similar to. Despite it occuring in late November. That November was record warm up until that point. I was in St cloud at the time and got about a foot of snow after nearly 24 hours of rain before changing to wet snow. I remember Wilmar MN having a storm total of 30".

https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/climate/journal/snowstorm011127.html

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A few tidbits from Lezaks blog this morning on this upcoming storm and this years LRC.

  • There is a strong cold front, and it is well defined. Last year the fronts over the plains were rarely well defined, and certainly nothing like this.
  • The temperature contrast is from the 20s to the 90s.  It will be fun to show this on NBC tonight on KSHB, 41 Action News.
  • The upper level storm system is unlike anything we have seen in years.  Oh, there have been upper lows that have ripped out of the Rocky Mountains, but nothing like this one, and the waves rotating around the storm are so different than anything we experienced a year ago.
  • There is one wave rotating around the base of the storm as you can see below.  This wave will help produce the energy for a few severe thunderstorms, and there is a risk from the SPC
  • And, another wave is forecast to rotate around the main storm that will produce a potential band of rain and thunderstorms in the colder air north and west of the front.  This must be watched to see if this exists in other storm systems this winter. It likely will, but lets see it happen first.
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A few tidbits from Lezaks blog this morning on this upcoming storm and this years LRC.

  • There is a strong cold front, and it is well defined. Last year the fronts over the plains were rarely well defined, and certainly nothing like this.
  • The temperature contrast is from the 20s to the 90s.  It will be fun to show this on NBC tonight on KSHB, 41 Action News.
  • The upper level storm system is unlike anything we have seen in years.  Oh, there have been upper lows that have ripped out of the Rocky Mountains, but nothing like this one, and the waves rotating around the storm are so different than anything we experienced a year ago.
  • There is one wave rotating around the base of the storm as you can see below.  This wave will help produce the energy for a few severe thunderstorms, and there is a risk from the SPC
  • And, another wave is forecast to rotate around the main storm that will produce a potential band of rain and thunderstorms in the colder air north and west of the front.  This must be watched to see if this exists in other storm systems this winter. It likely will, but lets see it happen first.

 

 

Some interesting observations in those comments. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Grand Forks comparing this storm to last October's snow...eerily similar to say the least...this one will be even bigger and stronger...

 

 

 

Tab4FileL.png?5d63064c7c1c75ef8309fefe31

I remember that snowstorm last year. That storm was modeled to primarily affect central and east central MN. But the snow band setup over eastern ND and just kept regenerating like a summer thunderstorm on radar.
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Nature is just beginning to unleash her fury out in the N Rockies as our storm system has dived SE into the N Rockies, taking what's known as an "inside runner" track, which IMO will be a common N stream storm track this season.  The beauty of nature is unfolding and as the northern tier of the U.S. will be inundated by a multi-day Historic October snowstorm.  I wasn't exaggerating when I said this system had the potential to be a beast if the blocking set up just right.  With that being said, it's going to be interesting tracking this blockbuster...Blizzard???

 

The NWS of Bismark is already talking about the historic potential from this storm...

 

https://www.weather.gov/media/bis/sitreport/SitReport1.pdf

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Nature is just beginning to unleash her fury out in the N Rockies as our storm system has dived SE into the N Rockies, taking what's known as an "inside runner" track, which IMO will be a common N stream storm track this season.  The beauty of nature is unfolding and as the northern tier of the U.S. will be inundated by a multi-day Historic October snowstorm.  I wasn't exaggerating when I said this system had the potential to be a beast if the blocking set up just right.  With that being said, it's going to be interesting tracking this blockbuster...Blizzard???

 

The NWS of Bismark is already talking about the historic potential from this storm...

 

https://www.weather.gov/media/bis/sitreport/SitReport1.pdf

 

Didn't realize this is a 1-2 punch scenario. Should be fascinating to follow! 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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This is a potent storm for October standards.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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All eyes out into the Dakotas for this storm. But I’m excited about snow showers and 40mph gusts on Saturday here. I’ll have a bonfire going as I rake leaves.

 

That's a great weekend right there!

 

I can almost smell that by memory.  :)  Enjoy it

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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20191009 Bliz Tweet.PNG

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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/\ and let's not forget EAST! lolz

 

CPC's confidence has elevated and yesterday they went with the tri-fecta Hvy Snow/High Winds/Below temps = bliz zone

 

20191008 hazards_d3_7_contours.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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With a date of 10-13 on it. Yeah, it's a pretty darn amazing map. It would be a good map for 12-13. Lol.

I suppose anything is possible, but pragmaticly this amount of moisture being transported to the center of the north America with enough cold air present for snow to fall could only be expected on the fringes of the cold season...mainly October or April.

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Will be excited if we get maps to move south in the coming months

Yup..that would be fantastic to see maps like that for our regions in the near future.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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I suppose anything is possible, but pragmaticly this amount of moisture being transported to the center of the north America with enough cold air present for snow to fall could only be expected on the fringes of the cold season...mainly October or April.

 

Thanks BI 

 

This is exactly the point I was trying to make about how different MSP is from DTW. These crazy high moisture systems and adequate cold NEVER meet up over the S. Great Lakes. If the moisture can get there, the cold can't, and vice-versa. 

 

That being said, Detroit did pull it off once - April of 1886. Perhaps I need to replace NEVER with ALMOST NEVER. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Thanks BI 

 

This is exactly the point I was trying to make about how different MSP is from DTW. These crazy high moisture systems and adequate cold NEVER meet up over the S. Great Lakes. If the moisture can get there, the cold can't, and vice-versa. 

 

That being said, Detroit did pull it off once - April of 1886. Perhaps I need to replace NEVER with ALMOST NEVER. 

A whopping 2footer+

 

Quote:
April 6, 1886 : Detroit Endures Record Snow. The worst snowstorm in Detroit history came in early April, 1886, and dumped 24.5 inches of the white stuff on the city. Accompanying winds caused drifts up to 12 feet high in some places. The second worst storm in 1974 brought us a mere 19.2 inches.Apr 6, 2018
 
 
Man, how sweet that was. I wonder if the cold air remained thereafter and how long the snow stayed on the ground. W the high sun angle, probably melted fast during the next couple of days. Snow piles may have remained into May, I would think.
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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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A whopping 2footer+

 

Quote:
April 6, 1886 : Detroit Endures Record Snow. The worst snowstorm in Detroit history came in early April, 1886, and dumped 24.5 inches of the white stuff on the city. Accompanying winds caused drifts up to 12 feet high in some places. The second worst storm in 1974 brought us a mere 19.2 inches.Apr 6, 2018
 
 
Man, how sweet that was. I wonder if the cold air remained thereafter and how long the snow stayed on the ground. W the high sun angle, probably melted fast during the next couple of days. Snow piles may have remained into May, I would think.

 

 

I've read a more detailed news account. The snow was very high moisture content and with the high winds basically drifted into immovable mounds to the point it derailed train cars! I don't think that melted rapidly the way a typical spring snow does. As a youth I experienced a similar 18" storm in Genesee Cnty April 2-3, 1975. Not certain how many days of actual snow cover followed, but the pile at the end of my street remained well past "green-up" and into baseball playing weather. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I've read a more detailed news account. The snow was very high moisture content and with the high winds basically drifted into immovable mounds to the point it derailed train cars! I don't think that melted rapidly the way a typical spring snow does. As a youth I experienced a similar 18" storm in Genesee Cnty April 2-3, 1975. Not certain how many days of actual snow cover followed, but the pile at the end of my street remained well past "green-up" and into baseball playing weather. 

Snow piles w the April, 1886 Blitz probably survived into May (Maybe?!) Who knows. Let me know if you find that answer. Very curious.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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I suppose anything is possible, but pragmaticly this amount of moisture being transported to the center of the north America with enough cold air present for snow to fall could only be expected on the fringes of the cold season...mainly October or April.

This is true. Its still impressive even for October standards. I do agree though. My largest snows down here, historically have been in late February or March even though the monthly avgs are much less. They should be though considering the variance in Nov and Mar.

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from the Grand Forks AFD..

 

SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

Issued at 351 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2019

The most difficult snow forecast and highest snowfall forecast of
my 30 year career.

Hard to believe model data at this point. Chat with WPC and they
can`t believe it either
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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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..and this tidbit

 

Main upper low will move thru western MN and settle over NW MN

Friday night and then wobble around. A very strong def zone will
be over E ND Friday afternoon and night with heavy snow and likely
very high snow rates...NE ND ...roughly Hallock to Grand Forks to
just west of Fargo and west. Very strong winds will develop west
of the sfc low which will near the 500 mb low location.
Well mixed
layer up thru 50-55 kts to mix down Langdon to btwn Devils Lake
and Grand Forks Friday into Saturday AM.

 

Stacked monster storms - whoa! at the potential for the lucky  ;)

 

Tell you what. If I was anywhere within striking distance it'd be storm chase time! 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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