December 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Tons of mountain snow in the mid/long range on the 00z. 

[Front Ranger]

Big block develops over Scandinavia this run.

 

That’s what I like to see.

 

It's always about the Atlantic. 

[ShawniganLake]

Big block develops over Scandinavia this run.

 

That’s what I like to see.

Kill the PV

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Front Ranger has been in a good spot so far this season and I think that will continue. 

[AbbyJr]

 

[Front Ranger]

Front Ranger has been in a good spot so far this season and I think that will continue. 

 

Yep. But I'm certainly not the only one who has benefited from the very real blocking that has existed. 

[Gradient Keeper]

The 00z GEM unfortunately is splittier and ridgier through Day 8. CMCE Ensembles may not agree with the Op though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yep. But I'm certainly not the only one who has benefited from the very real blocking that has existed. 

 

Strong southern jet, typical of El Nino.  

 

There definitely was some blocking a couple months ago. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Way too soon to say. Things can change very quickly.

 

Witness last February.

[Deweydog]

PDX down to 48.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Down to 39 here. 

[Front Ranger]

Some legit cold up in northern BC and the Yukon near the end of the run.

 

Nice to see semi close to us even if it's in no-man's-land range.

Well before that, too.

[Deweydog]

Gonna be a COLD month!

[MossMan]

Gonna be a COLD month!

In the banter thread.

[Deweydog]

In the banter thread.

That’s the big question. What will end first? Winter or football season?

[MossMan]

That’s the big question. What will end first? Winter or football season?

Winter will begin when the XFL season begins!

[Phil]

It's always about the Atlantic.

Huh? What does a retrograding Scandinavian block have to do with the Atlantic?

 

I mention it because it’s a wave-2 conduit. It’s called science.

[Phil]

The 00z GEM unfortunately is splittier and ridgier through Day 8. CMCE Ensembles may not agree with the Op though.

Shh. You’re not allowed to talk about stuff like that.

[Phil]

Kill the PV

Yuppers.

 

Kill the PV...decelerate flow...beef up Flatiron’s blocking.

[GHweatherChris]

The Atlantic and Pacific have zero relations.

[Phil]

The Atlantic and Pacific have zero relations.

 

And I’m Jesus Christ.

[Deweydog]

The Atlantic and Pacific have zero relations.

You and your wife refer to each other as Atlantic and Pacific?

 

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Bring back the B L O C K

[MossMan]

Andy In Woodinville just posted this map on FB!

Winter is coming!

[Phil]

PNA and NAO since 1948.

 

There’s a decent multi-ur correlation coefficient. They tend to phase-lock from one decade to the next.

 

[Deweydog]

People need to make up their minds.

 

Zonal, blocking, zonal blocking, zonally infused blockbusters, zombified Chuck Knoblauchs, etc.

 

Time is wasting and Christmas lists need to be submitted S O O N.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

People need to make up their minds.

 

Zonal, blocking, zonal blocking, zonally infused blockbusters, zombified Chuck Knoblauchs, etc.

 

Time is wasting and Christmas lists need to be submitted S O O N.

 

Unfortunately his life after baseball has not turned out so well.

[seattleweatherguy]

Andy In Woodinville just posted this map on FB!

Winter is coming!

Would love to join that fb group. Where the heck has Andy been? He use to post here all the time

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Would love to join that fb group. Where the heck has Andy been? He use to post here all the time

 

I think he tired of all the drama. 

[GHweatherChris]

You and your wife refer to each other as Atlantic and Pacific?

 

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!

You and your wife don't have pet names? Like "NO" and "I will call 911"?

[GHweatherChris]

I think he tired of all the drama.

No, he got tired of alot of us calling him out for basically sounding like the NWS discussion all the time.

[GHweatherChris]

 

And I’m Jesus Christ.

Not even close.

[Gradient Keeper]

No, he got tired of alot of us calling him out for basically sounding like the NWS discussion all the time.

I remember several years ago I was in a FB group with him and one day I posted the GFS run before he had and he LOST his friggin mind at me over it. Complete mental fruitloops level. I don't know how he his now.

 

6z GFS in 2 hours 48 minutes

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS, GEM, EURO are vastly different after Day 5-6. The past 3-4 days every model run after Day 6 is varying so much with little to no run-to-run consistency and certainly no model agreement.

[MossMan]

Watching Highway Thru Hell...The good old days of snow and wrecks up in BC.

 

Temp down to 37 degrees!

[jakeinthevalley]

You and your wife don't have pet names? Like "NO" and "I will call 911"?

Not sure about Dewey but my wife and I have our own safe words. Hers is Watch and mine is Warning.

[Gradient Keeper]

24-48 hours from now models will look very different.

 

12z NAM in 6 hours 36 minutes

[Deweydog]

Mine is perturbance. My wife’s is wavebreaker.

[MossMan]

Mine is perturbance. My wife’s is wavebreaker.

Mine is low solar. My wife’s is wet bulb.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Oregon department of agriculture recently released their December-February forecast. It is not pretty... The 3 analogs they used were 1969-70, 1977-78, 1980-81. OUCH.