December 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Guest CulverJosh]

His initials are F. A.

 

Surely the amazing minds on here can figure it out.

[Timmy Supercell]

Nothing will ever top how creepy sloths are. And I came across an article a while back that they actually used to be larger than people some ages ago.

:squishface:

[umadbro]

His initials are F. A.

 

Surely the amazing minds on here can figure it out.

Pics or it didn't happen.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 4 to 4.5 ridge over us being shoved eastward sooner. I like that.

[Dave]

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5. Don't hate this

 

[FroYoBro]

Oh gosh. I'm telling everyone. 

 

IS ABOUT TO HIT THE FAN! FIGHT OR FLIGHT? WHICH ONE IS IT GOING TO BE MOTHERf*****!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Requiem]

Pretty potent AR in the S. Oregon coast this run.

[Gradient Keeper]

Pretty potent AR in the S. Oregon coast this run.

Yep. If the jet energy didn't split inside 130 W it could be a big league wind storm pattern too.

 

00z ECMWF in 1 hour 4 minutes

[ShawniganLake]

Just talked to god himself. He said don’t hold your breath if you’re hoping for any significant cold in the next 2 weeks. I trust him. He’s a good guy.

[Timmy]

Just talked to god himself. He said don’t hold your breath if you’re hoping for any significant cold in the next 2 weeks. I trust him. He’s a good guy.

what are his initials? F. A?

[Phil]

He works there but has colleagues throughout the area. Trust me. He told me no details until it locks in early next week.

I call BS.

[Timmy]

I call BS.

chill, no one has secret weather info let alone anyone from culver.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow this run is not fun. 

[HighlandExperience]

I call BS.

He’s calling for semi permanent polar vortex over PNW similar to the red spot on Jupiter.

[Deweydog]

[BLI snowman]

Wow this run is not fun. 

 

The 2004-05/1976-77 comparisons seem pretty apt right now, locally. Of course this won't be anywhere near as cold as 1977 in the East.

 

Both winters peaked in early January with some actual troughing before quickly returning to ridging and split flow that lasted until mid March.

[Timmy Supercell]

 

 

He didn't use the puppy killer emote! 

[Blizzard777]

[Blizzard777]

Scut Farkus just got the crud beat out of him!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The 2004-05/1976-77 comparisons seem pretty apt right now, locally. Of course this won't be anywhere near as cold as 1977 in the East.

 

Both winters peaked in early January with some actual troughing before quickly returning to ridging and split flow that lasted until mid March.

 

Be careful. I got completely shredded for going there yesterday. But sometimes it just is not our year. 

[MossMan]

I just told my wife...

 

 

That winter is over.

 

.01” on the day. Currently 40 degrees.

[Phil]

The 2004-05/1976-77 comparisons seem pretty apt right now, locally. Of course this won't be anywhere near as cold as 1977 in the East.

 

Both winters peaked in early January with some actual troughing before quickly returning to ridging and split flow that lasted until mid March.

Eww. 1977 was a disaster in the snowfall department here, and 2005 was full of near-misses. Will gladly take my chances with this regime versus the flat waves of those suppression depression patterns.

[Phil]

I just told my wife...

 

 

That winter is over.

 

.01” on the day. Currently 40 degrees.

Lol. It’s the second week of December. Y’all are crazy.

[BLI snowman]

Be careful. I got completely shredded for going there yesterday. But sometimes it just is not our year. 

 

The truth is that we're really owed one after last year's late winter hail mary. 

 

Would be totally insane for two winters in a row to start so splitty and ugly and still wind up worthwhile for the region. These types of patterns tend to be hard to shake, and our climo is pretty consistent with that, 2018-19 notwithstanding.

[Timmy Supercell]

Lol. It’s the second week of December. Y’all are crazy.

 

My biggest 1 day snow this year was March 10th. 

[BLI snowman]

Eww. 1977 was a disaster in the snowfall department here, and 2005 was full of near-misses. Will gladly take my chances with this regime versus the flat waves of those suppression depression patterns.

 

1977 was historically cold for the East and 2005 was historically snowy for New England and the interior NE (Cleveland's #1 winter for snow). I think you'd take your chances with something like either, smaller scale snowfall synoptics aside. Point being that those were obviously both eastern-centric winters.

[MossMan]

Lol. It’s the second week of December. Y’all are crazy.

Justin and Andrew say it’s over...So it’s over.

[Gradient Keeper]

Yuck. 00z GFS Ensembles much drier. Not surprised though. Hoping the GEM Ensembles/EURO/EPS shows the GFS it just out to brunch (Red Lobster?)

[BLI snowman]

Justin and Andrew say it’s over...So it’s over.

 

Definitely not over, and it would be hard for January to end up being as bad as December will be from a 500mb perspective (though I'm sure it will try to find a way).

 

Given how it's playing out right now, people should just be prepared for the rest of winter to finish what NDJ 2018-19 started. I suspect it might actually take another big ENSO flip to get out of this weather rut. Or maybe we'll defy the odds and just get nailed again.

[jcmcgaffey]

Snoqualmie getting dumped on right now. Good to see that pass getting as much snow as they did the last few days. Was supposed to be less at that low of an elevation.

[Gradient Keeper]

Definitely not over, and it would be hard for January to end up being as bad as December will be from a 500mb perspective (though I'm sure it will try to find a way).

 

Given how it's playing out right now, people should just be prepared for the rest of winter to finish what NDJ 2018-19 started. I suspect it might actually take another big ENSO flip to get out of this weather rut. Or maybe we'll defy the odds and just get nailed again.

This. I have to wonder the same thing. I will say that unfortunately we are due for a complete and utter Winter dud, especially the lowlands. I hope not. ....

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

You hate to see that...

[jcmcgaffey]

https://images.wsdot.wa.gov/sc/090VC05200.jpg

[jakeinthevalley]

Just got back from picking up my daughter at UW. Beautiful day up there. Some very dramatic clouds to the west and east of downtown

[TigerWoodsLibido]

43F and damp.

[GHweatherChris]

43F and damp.

Moist

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF through Day 8 Mega wet, Mega snowy in mountains. Even snow in the foothills.

[Jbolin]

00z ECMWF through Day 8 Mega wet, Mega snowy in mountains. Even snow in the foothills.

LOCK THAT s**t IN!!!

 

P.S., might finally be time to get that surly, yellow ocean sailing bastard back on board for his hot take?

[SouthHillFrosty]

00z ECMWF through Day 8 Mega wet, Mega snowy in mountains. Even snow in the foothills.

post it pls?