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Part I - January 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

january 2020 winter snow cold weather PNW
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#11601
snow_wizard

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:20 PM

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Weird.  The NWS real talk discussion says a trace to 2 inches with some places getting 4, while the EPSL forecast says 2 to 6 inches Sunday night and then snow likely on Monday.


  • Timmy_Supercell likes this

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 3.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 57

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 10

 

 


#11602
Deweydog

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:23 PM

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Ask Matt or Justin.

Lower than 34 with a SW wind.


It’s cold. Does it matter what label it gets?
  • Randyc321 and renton42 like this
All roads lead to Walgreens.

#11603
snow_wizard

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:23 PM

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One thing to note about this situation is brutally cold air will be very close so small changes from what is modeled could have big implications.  A widespread significant snow event could happen for the Central Puget Sound tomorrow night given the circumstances.


  • clipper_range likes this

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 3.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 57

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 10

 

 


#11604
KeVamgedon

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:24 PM

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Haha.


Tina is pissed
  • umadbro likes this

#11605
snow_wizard

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:25 PM

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Let us hope for a great 0z run.  Any better than the 18z would be great.


  • HighlandExperience, Timmy_Supercell and Frontal Snowsquall like this

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 3.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 57

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 10

 

 


#11606
Rubus Leucodermis

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:27 PM

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That almost look like really thick frost on the trees.  Gorgeous!

 

Rime ice. Caused by cloud droplets freezing on contact.


It's called clown range for a reason.

#11607
runninthruda206

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:27 PM

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Someone on twitter was saying that the 18z had thw low a little bit further south?!



#11608
puyallupjon

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:28 PM

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One thing to note about this situation is brutally cold air will be very close so small changes from what is modeled could have big implications.  A widespread significant snow event could happen for the Central Puget Sound tomorrow night given the circumstances.

 

I'm pretty sure this one stays Seattle and points north.

 

When can we start looking at the UW model?



#11609
Deweydog

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:28 PM

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Colder runs ahead!

At some point...
  • DJ Droppin and Frontal Snowsquall like this
All roads lead to Walgreens.

#11610
Rubus Leucodermis

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:29 PM

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One thing to note about this situation is brutally cold air will be very close so small changes from what is modeled could have big implications.  A widespread significant snow event could happen for the Central Puget Sound tomorrow night given the circumstances.

 

The cold air is not “very close.” Last I checked, both Cache Creek and Lillooet were still above freezing. Had to go upriver to Kamloops to find a subfreezing temperature, and they were reporting -1˚C.


It's called clown range for a reason.

#11611
MossMan

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:29 PM

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Someone on twitter was saying that the 18z had thw low a little bit further south?!

Tim says no. Further north.

#11612
Frontal Snowsquall

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:31 PM

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Interesting. Wonder what his thinking was to be that aggressive with the cold. It is bold indeed. Must be thinking Gorge outflow will be colder? Not sure.


Here's his video update for today.


  • Tyler Mode likes this
<p><font size="4"><font color="purple"><b>Psalm 148:8 <font color="violet">Fire and hail, snow and frost, stormy wind fulfilling his command!</font></b></font></font>

#11613
Memer

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:32 PM

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Seeing a lot of disagreement for tomorrow, so I have decided to invent my own weather forecast model.

 

WHAT? My house is getting 36 inches of snow?? No way!??

 

Attached File  myforecast.jpg   201.5KB   6 downloads

 


  • TT-SEA, luvssnow_seattle, DJ Droppin and 3 others like this

#11614
TT-SEA

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:33 PM

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Tim says no. Further north.


Pretty much exactly the same.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**


#11615
MossMan

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:36 PM

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Interesting...

Attached Files


  • HighlandExperience, luvssnow_seattle, Prairiedog and 3 others like this

#11616
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:40 PM

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43F and cloudy.  Business as usual.

 

46/39 for a +2.2F departure. That will bring our average down from the +6.1F we are currently at. I doubt those numbers come down much in the next week.  We are too far south.


Springfield, Oregon cold season 19-20 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Nov 30)
Coldest low: 20 (Nov 29)
Days with below freezing temps: 60 (Most recent: Mar 22)

Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 30, 2019)
Total snowfall: 0.0"

Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope

 

24


#11617
MillCreekMike

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:41 PM

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Interesting...


Got 2” last year in February on Super Bowl Sunday before the real stuff arrived. Could be similar tomorrow maybe.
  • Meatyorologist likes this

2019-2020 Snow:

 

1/8: Tr.

1/9: 0.25"

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 4"

1/13: 1.5"

1/14: 1"

1/15: 2"

 

Total: 9.25"

 


#11618
TT-SEA

Posted 11 January 2020 - 05:43 PM

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Seeing a lot of disagreement for tomorrow, so I have decided to invent my own weather forecast model.

WHAT? My house is getting 36 inches of snow?? No way!??

myforecast.jpg


:)
  • Memer likes this

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**






Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: january, 2020, winter, snow, cold, weather, PNW