runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 CZ looks to start developing around 5PM and then by 9PM... I am really liking that the Euro is picking up on this signature so nicely. Gives me slightly more confidence for higher totals. Sweet! I’m sure it it’ll end up being more also 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 CZ looks to start developing around 5PM and then by 9PM... I am really liking that the Euro is picking up on this signature so nicely. Gives me slightly more confidence for higher totals. So close! Not far from a solid coating for me. 1.5-2 inches as it currently shows isn't too bad. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 From 4AM Sunday through 4AM Monday... Most of this falls after 5PM. Again, really starting to like the look of this for Central Puget Sound. Oh much better. Right about the sweet spot. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 From 4AM Sunday through 4AM Monday... Most of this falls after 5PM. Again, really starting to like the look of this for Central Puget Sound. Trend north! Trend north!! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Trend north! Trend north!! No! South! 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 No! South!NO! STAY PUT! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 This run would be rough for the downtown Seattle morning commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 That’s me! Love all your snow pics with your pups in them. My 'niece' would love to play with them 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 This set up seems alot like November 2010. We did quite well here with snowfall that time when the precip dropped south. Get the feeling it'll happen again this time around. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Euro says f*ck off PDX (Monday night). Good track of the low but a bit too warm. 34F and precip. It is close enough that an inch or two can't be ruled out still. I think K%% should score Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 LOL the FV3 is insane with it's snow amounts. Those lows are going to warm nose me so hard, there's no way... Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Nice to see the mountains get hammered the last week or so. Nice cold temps today with the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 EURO is way stronger with the CZ Sunday evening than the WRF. Good news. And it mainly stays north of I-90 and then actually moves a little norhward before falling apart. I expected it to push southward into Pierce County. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Good time to be checking out Leavenworth as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 ECMWF agrees with the GFS with a little over 3in from the c-zone at KSEA. Pretty impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Euro says f*ck off PDX (Monday night). Good track of the low but a bit too warm. 34F and precip. It is close enough that an inch or two can't be ruled out still. I think K%% should score Monday. Central and South Valley special. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Euro is a step back with the Columbia Basin cold pool. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Here she is 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Euro says f*ck off PDX (Monday night). Good track of the low but a bit too warm. 34F and precip. It is close enough that an inch or two can't be ruled out still. I think K%% should score Monday. Looking at the snow map, does the low end up going through southern Oregon? I see snow in the southern valley. Maybe Portland is just missing precip. Intensity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Central and South Valley special. In onshore flow? With shadowing? I don't see how. DPs will be in the mid to upper 30s. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Here she is Honestly beautiful 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yellowstone Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 From 4AM Sunday through 4AM Monday... Most of this falls after 5PM. Again, really starting to like the look of this for Central Puget Sound. That is a pretty healthy CZ. If it's being underdone at all (which we have seen numerous times in the past), we could score nicely heading into the cold. I'm loving this for me in North Seattle, but I'm also not believing Bellingham gets completely screwed Sunday. GFS seems much more logical there. Expecting the best of both seems like wishcasting. Not sure what to really believe. In general feeling less optimistic about this and the week than I was a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Looking at the snow map, does the low end up going through southern Oregon? I see snow in the southern valley. Maybe Portland is just missing precip. Intensity? yeah low goes through straight across OR, maybe a Florence landfall. PDX doesn't get enough precip rate. Fine balance between cold and precip rate here. The sweet spot is well south of PDX for sure on this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Euro keeps the warm nose in the eastern part of the Columbia Basin. Also not good. The GFS and Euro just cannot agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Love all your snow pics with your pups in them. My 'niece' would love to play with them A cutie! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Close up look at the Monday system. 1-3" from SLE to EUG. 6-8" up here. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Less snow on Wednesday compared to 00Z run. East wind in charge for the Seattle area. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Just not getting enough ommph out of this thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 November 2010 was brought up earlier...Models way under forecasted how much snow we ended up with in my area...So I’m not panicking...Yet... Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 yeah low goes through straight across OR, maybe a Florence landfall. PDX doesn't get enough precip rate. Fine balance between cold and precip rate here. The sweet spot is well south of PDX for sure on this map. For once we are rooting for a low to trend north. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 This is why PDX gets hosed Monday on the EURO. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Good time to be checking out Leavenworth as well.Steady light snow all morning, still continuing. Nothing major for us, but nice to look at, and it is nice that it will stick around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Snow Thursday afternoon... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Trend north! Trend north!!You’ve reached your snow quota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Good run for Seattle still. Over 4in of snow from the mid week system though Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 EURO is WAY warmer than the GFS by Thursday. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The main event on Wednesday is pretty much just ~4 inches now on the latest euro for PDX. The 00z had 7 inches and the 12z before had 9-10. Not exactly a good trend there. I hope there will be some other dynamics with this low that are maybe better picked up by mesoscale models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Ouch....not a great run for Portland. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Good run for Seattle still. Over 4in of snow from the mid week system though Thursday.And I’m assuming it’ll be more than that. AND Seattle/N Seattle looks to get that c zone setup Sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts