Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[MossMan]

Hard to believe this was just less than 24hrs ago. D**n south wind. Could have used at least one more week of sub freezing weather.

[Deweydog]

Hard to believe this was just less than 24hrs ago. d**n south wind. Could have used at least one more week of sub freezing weather.

Tim wants before and after pics for his spank bank.

[OysterPrintout]

18z!!!

 

It's trying again! Looked like the 18z NAM just completely whiffed on any precip over the metro (probably due to sign stealing imho). Euro is pretty anemic as well.

[MossMan]

Guys!!! The 18z WHAM ccr2 SST’s Just came out...Wow!!!

(Image via my daughter)

[MossMan]

Tim wants before and after pics for his spank bank.

I will get him one when I head home...For now he will need to just use the latest EPS.

[Deweydog]

It's trying again! Looked like the 18z NAM just completely whiffed on any precip over the metro (probably due to sign stealing imho). Euro is pretty anemic as well.

Been a little of suspicious swings and misses by the models lately....

[MikeInEverett]

The sun is out and it feels so warm!!

 

[Deweydog]

Safely into the 40’s at PDX. The melt is in full swing!!!

[snow maniac]

Just drove through Matlock and it was very heavy hail/snow and turning everything white. Tonight looks like it may be interesting.

[AJ1013]

Light rain and 54F here in Tucson, been raining for the last 7-8 hours with almost no accumulation (0.06”). Snow falling in the mountains just to the NE of the city.

[MossMan]

Just drove through Matlock and it was very heavy hail/snow and turning everything white. Tonight looks like it may be interesting.

[GHweatherChris]

Just had a rain/snow shower.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Nice snow shower in the Barkley Village area of Bellingham.  Looks like .5-1” has fallen in the past 45 minutes or so.

[Deweydog]

[MossMan]

[El_Nina]

My son at UW wanted to know if our snow was melting... he was hoping it was not. I sent him this on Snapchat.

You could really start getting creative with all the different filters on snapchat..

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

FWIW the Euro weeklies are coming out, showing a retrogression signal starting in February.  Yes, getting kind of late, but it looks pretty decent by late February.   A ways out there of course.

[Omegaraptor]

Sun angles!

 

I’m starting to feel them actually. Just walked home and the sun was out.

[Deweydog]

Sunbreaks!!!

[umadbro]

FWIW the Euro weeklies are coming out, showing a retrogression signal starting in February. Yes, getting kind of late, but it looks pretty decent by late February. A ways out there of course.

I am at the point where I refuse to believe anything the models put out there. Burned last year and I was burned this year. Until the ground is white I refuse to believe anything now.

[Deweydog]

FWIW the Euro weeklies are coming out, showing a retrogression signal starting in February. Yes, getting kind of late, but it looks pretty decent by late February. A ways out there of course.

I suspect they may not be entirely accurate.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I'm taking the family to Disney world in mid Feb which is against my rule to take a vacation in winter. Probably will be the biggest snowfall here in 700 years.

[MossMan]

I'm taking the family to Disney world in mid Feb which is against my rule to take a vacation in winter. Probably will be the biggest snowfall here in 700 years.

And we are going to Cabo in mid February...It’s going to happen. I was not thrilled that my wife picked February. Anything after the 2nd week of March is fine. So yeah it’s going to be an even bigger February than last year!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

FWIW the Euro weeklies are coming out, showing a retrogression signal starting in February.  Yes, getting kind of late, but it looks pretty decent by late February.   A ways out there of course.

 

Once we get past mid-February it kind of takes the top tier arctic blast thing off the table, but I wouldn't mind it. That would probably be a better progression if we wanted something more classically regional. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I would love to see a report from Timmy Supercell. It looks like K-Falls has just been getting nuked with snow today.

[TT-SEA]

And we are going to Cabo in mid February...It’s going to happen. I was not thrilled that my wife picked February. Anything after the 2nd week of March is fine. So yeah it’s going to be an even bigger February than last year!!

You are soooooo unlucky when it comes to snow. I am sure nature will screw you as usual.

[Omegaraptor]

Bad news, I have a dentist appointment on February 20. Those usually come with warm anomalies. I had a dentist appointment last March when it was in the 70s here.

[jakerepp]

Yeah I'm going to Arizona in late Feb, so it'll probably be something awesome all month long just to make sure we all get properly screwed at some point. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

And we are going to Cabo in mid February...It’s going to happen. I was not thrilled that my wife picked February. Anything after the 2nd week of March is fine. So yeah it’s going to be an even bigger February than last year!!

Lol we think alike.

[El_Nina]

I would love to see a report from Timmy Supercell. It looks like K-Falls has just been getting nuked with snow today.

Me too. And his location is so far away it'll be hard to get jealous.

[High Desert Mat?]

Been snowing pretty much all day. Just a little bit too warm. Sitting at 30 now with decent snow falling. Sticking to everything but roads. Dam sun angle!!

[jakerepp]

 

I'm sure Timmy is enjoying himself in this. Only a little bit envious. 

[Timmy]

 

I'm sure Timmy is enjoying himself in this. Only a little bit envious.

no, I’m in hawaii

[jakerepp]

no, I’m in hawaii

Wrong Timmy!

How's the Big Island today?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

 

I'm sure Timmy is enjoying himself in this. Only a little bit envious. 

 

My wife grew up there. Needless to say she does not get as excited about snow as I do. 

[Deweydog]

Has everyone’s extrapolation easels thawed out?

[snow maniac]

Snow mix here now.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

I am at the point where I refuse to believe anything the models put out there. Burned last year and I was burned this year. Until the ground is white I refuse to believe anything now.

umadbro?

[Cloud]

Good lord. Talk about changing gears.

 

Good lord indeed. Posts like these are why some people on here give you such a hard time. You constantly post things that only that only you understand without a thorough explanation of what the graphics/graphs means for other people. Surely you wouldn’t give a presentation or write an academic paper base off of this. Better just kept to yourself.

[MikeInEverett]

Good lord. Talk about changing gears.

 

PDX’ers and South Sounders can blame the snow bust on the VERTICAL AND ZONAL INTEGRAL OF CALCULATED TENDENCY not being up to par.