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Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

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#51
snow_wizard

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:47 PM

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The NAM (FWIW) shows a classic sliding c-zone tomorrow night.  Everett to Tacoma gets snow.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 3.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 60

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 10

 

 


#52
Jginmartini

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:48 PM

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Just another animation of tomorrow CZ setting up  between 1pm--4pm

Looking forward to see how this develops along with game action. I’m back home in my nest for whatever falls from the sky!

Attached Files


Layman’s terms please 😁

#53
snow_wizard

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:51 PM

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Currently -26 in Fort Nelson and -2 in Prince George.  -54 at one station in the southern Yukon.  Nice numbers and will get better.


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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2019-20 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 3.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 3

Total Hail = T

Coldest Low = 20

Lows 32 or below = 60

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 1

Highs 40 or below = 10

 

 


#54
Requiem

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:52 PM

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NAM is way north with the feature after the Monday low-- buries Olympia and areas around there. Buried Portland last run. Certainly will move around next few runs, but worth watching out for.


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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"


#55
MossMan

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:53 PM

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What is the c-zone?

You used to live right in the heart of it...

#56
TT-SEA

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:54 PM

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Pretty easy to see why the NAM thinks the CZ will slide south so easily. Nice northerly flow down the Sound by Sunday night. Euro doesn't even start outflow until around this time.

Here's the link to monitor the Fraser gradient tomorrow for anyone interested.

http://wxweb.meteost...hoice=KBLI CYWL



And great reason to discount anything it shows.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**


#57
Guest_LaPineLurker_*

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:55 PM

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You used to live right in the heart of it...


Doubt that happens in Texas. Especially where I was.

#58
Jesse

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:55 PM

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Currently -26 in Fort Nelson and -2 in Prince George.  -54 at one station in the southern Yukon.  Nice numbers and will get better.


Would be awesome if that airmass was getting pushed down here a little more effectively. But...at least it still stands to give many of us snow.

#59
TT-SEA

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:56 PM

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You used to live right in the heart of it...


:)
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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**


#60
Jesse

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:56 PM

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Doubt that happens in Texas. Especially where I was.


How would you know it doesn’t happen there if you don’t even know what it is?
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#61
bainbridgekid

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:57 PM

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NAM is way north with the feature after the Monday low-- buries Olympia and areas around there. Buried Portland last run. Certainly will move around next few runs, but worth watching out for.

Would be an interesting little guy . . .

Attached File  namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_fh69-84.gif   1.05MB   1 downloads
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Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 


#62
Deweydog

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:58 PM

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The NAM needs to be taken out in the back yard and shot.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.

#63
Jesse

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:58 PM

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Avalanche warning has now been posted for backcountry areas around Mt. Hood.

Already three feet of drifting snow in some spots, with an additional 1-2’ expected through tomorrow.

#64
Requiem

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:58 PM

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Would be an interesting little guy . . .

attachicon.gifnamconus_ref_frzn_nwus_fh69-84.gif

 

I think it could be (at least I thought so before this run), Portland's biggest chance to score a little snow (in the lowest elevations). We'll see, feeling more dubious but the NAM isn't exactly the most accurate...


"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"


#65
TacomaWaWx

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:59 PM

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Doubt that happens in Texas. Especially where I was.

if you hadn't given yourself away yet you have now. You just said you did work in the Marysville area maybe last night or a couple nights ago im pretty sure I could find the post on the old thread since it's locked .
Warm Season Stats (Since 6/1) Rainfall-2.20”(80+)days-3 (85+)days-0 (90+)days-0 Warmest High-81 July Rainfall-0.31”

#66
jcmcgaffey

Posted 11 January 2020 - 06:59 PM

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.54” of rain here just from that convergence. Let’s see a repeat tomorrow night with snow!

#67
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:02 PM

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NAM is just way to aggressive with the cold air and its push south. It is a known bias the model has. It shows 516 thickness getting to about SLE on Tuesday. It also has the Monday low down near the CA border, when the EURO had it about 150 miles north. 


Snowfall                                  Precip

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 36.14" 

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#68
Andrew.

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:02 PM

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*
POPULAR

Attached File  What Did It Cost Everything 11012020184704.jpg   97.78KB   0 downloads
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#69
Jginmartini

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:03 PM

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TIM! I lost my meditation tool! 

Attached Files


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Layman’s terms please 😁

#70
Requiem

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:04 PM

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I never bought into the 15+ inch madness-- but I'm hoping for 2-5 inches in our general area (I assume we live pretty close by).


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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"


#71
FroYoBro

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:07 PM

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The 0z GFS is going to be great for Portland. I can't wait to celebrate!


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#72
GHweatherChris

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:09 PM

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I never bought into the 15+ inch madness-- but I'm hoping for 2-5 inches in our general area (I assume we live pretty close by).


Yes you did, we all did!
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#73
Deweydog

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:13 PM

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Rainy out!
All roads lead to Walgreens.

#74
DJ Droppin

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:13 PM

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Do I post in Part 1, or Part II? Do I wait for Part III? I'm more confused than a retarded virgin in a whorehouse!

 

00z GFS in 17 minutes! Root for the low Wednesday-Thursday to stay south of PDX! Envision the Gorton's Fisherman using a magic lasso(presumably made out of fish sticks) pulling the low towards Newport or even Yachats. C'MON!!!!


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#75
Deweydog

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:15 PM

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PDX was not THAT far above average today. Something to keep in mind moving forward...
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All roads lead to Walgreens.

#76
Guest_LaPineLurker_*

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:17 PM

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How would you know it doesn’t happen there if you don’t even know what it is?


Because it was just described to me. No mountains where I am from.

#77
Guest_LaPineLurker_*

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:18 PM

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if you hadn't given yourself away yet you have now. You just said you did work in the Marysville area maybe last night or a couple nights ago im pretty sure I could find the post on the old thread since it's locked .


I am from Brownsville. I'm not sure what this outing stuff is? I'm just here for weather talk.

#78
AJ1013

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:19 PM

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You used to live right in the heart of it...

 

What's going on here? How can you be so sure this guy is a returning member? And what on earth did he do to earn such disdain on here?


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#79
Deweydog

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:20 PM

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🤦‍♂️
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All roads lead to Walgreens.

#80
MossMan

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:20 PM

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Temp down to 37.

With lumps!!!!
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#81
Guest_LaPineLurker_*

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:21 PM

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What's going on here? How can you be so sure this guy is a returning member? And what on earth did he do to earn such disdain on here?


Beats me but it is pretty ridiculous.

#82
Randyc321

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:23 PM

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You used to live right in the heart of it...

 

And now he's full of it.



#83
TT-SEA

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:23 PM

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00Z ICON not on board with the arctic blast or snow through at least Tuesday. But tomorrow is a long way off yet. Plenty of time for things to change.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**


#84
MossMan

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:23 PM

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What's going on here? How can you be so sure this guy is a returning member? And what on earth did he do to earn such disdain on here?

It’s DomeBuster. And he did a lot to earn it.

#85
MossMan

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:24 PM

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00Z ICON not on board with the arctic blast or snow through at least Tuesday. But tomorrow is a long way off yet. Plenty of time for things to change.

Rain for everyone! ICON says so.
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#86
TT-SEA

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:25 PM

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Rain for everyone! ICON says so.


Not for you of course. You still win on the ICON. Actually true. :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**


#87
Guest_LaPineLurker_*

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:25 PM

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It’s DomeBuster. And he did a lot to earn it.


I assure you I know nothing about whoever you are talking about. Isn't this a weather forum to talk about weather? Or is this a high school clique?

#88
MossMan

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:26 PM

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Not for you of course. You still win on the ICON. Actually true. :)

Perfect! That’s all I care about!

#89
OysterPrintout

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:27 PM

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I assure you I know nothing about whoever you are talking about. Isn't this a weather forum to talk about weather? Or is this a high school clique?


You are, and I can't stress this enough, EXTREMELY bad at this
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#90
AJ1013

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:27 PM

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It’s DomeBuster. And he did a lot to earn it.

 

Who is DomeBuster, what did he do, and how do you know this new guy is him? I'm bored waiting for the 00z, gimme some details lol.



#91
Requiem

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:28 PM

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If only the ICON weren't useless-- it's great for PDX.


"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"


#92
Guest_LaPineLurker_*

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:28 PM

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Whatever is going on here, perhaps I won't post anymore. Life is too short.

I have my fire going and it is starting to snow once again. Life is great.

#93
Andrew.

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:29 PM

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Attached File  There Is Another 11012020184300.jpg   66.79KB   0 downloads
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#94
MossMan

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:29 PM

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Whatever is going on here, perhaps I won't post anymore. Life is too short.

I have my fire going and it is starting to snow once again. Life is great.

Good idea. Can’t wait to see what your new profile name will be!

#95
bainbridgekid

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:31 PM

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Who is DomeBuster, what did he do, and how do you know this new guy is him? I'm bored waiting for the 00z, gimme some details lol.


You might be him too. 🤣
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Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 


#96
Rubus Leucodermis

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:31 PM

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Arctic front just got delayed by about 6 hours. Used to be forecast to hit BLI around 11:00. Now more like 17:00 local.

 

There goes my Sunday snowstorm. It will be mostly rain. As will any PSCZ Sunday evening.


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It's called clown range for a reason.

#97
Requiem

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:31 PM

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Who is DomeBuster, what did he do, and how do you know this new guy is him? I'm bored waiting for the 00z, gimme some details lol.

 

Quick rundown of the drama: DomeBuster, MtScottJosh, CulverJosh, Joshthesnowman, and potentially other handles too was an inflammatory, often-drunk, and very vulgar poster on here. He got personal with quite a few users, and did similar things on the FOX12WeatherBlog (another weather site run by very proficient met Mark Nelsen). He often came back with a different name-- last month he started a campaign of telling people about a mysterious NWS contact that gave him some sort of prophetic information (all the while throwing insults and vulgarity around left and right). Eventually he was banned by iFred, and may or may not be back (we'll see).


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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"


#98
AJ1013

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:32 PM

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Models starting to agree that we'll see precip down here on Thursday, worried about snow levels though since it's going to be a warm system, could be borderline for the ski area which is not good, if it turns out to be all snow above ~7,000 we're in the money. 



#99
Requiem

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:33 PM

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Models starting to agree that we'll see precip down here on Thursday, worried about snow levels though since it's going to be a warm system, could be borderline for the ski area which is not good, if it turns out to be all snow above ~7,000 we're in the money. 

 

Mountains are getting buried-- I wouldn't worry about ski snow right now.


"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"


#100
AJ1013

Posted 11 January 2020 - 07:34 PM

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You might be him too.

Lmao. Maybe I am  :ph34r: