Deweydog Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Maps please!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Looking forward to the cold convective showers, hail, and t-storms this week. C'MON!!!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Looking forward to the cold convective showers, hail, and t-storms this week. C'MON!!!! And rainbows...C'MON!! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 I did see it and posted some pics. Q13 was on Mt Si yesterday and they said people doing OK with distancing... David Rose posted it on his FB page. I am not sure a mountain top is a breeding ground... Safeway is probably much worse and there is nothing we can do about that. But that is apparently a VERY controversial opinion in this current situation. I guess it depends on how long the virus can stay transmissible on rock. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 I guess it depends on how long the virus can stay transmissible on rock. I guess. Probably not a serious concern in the bright sun and open air. Transmission on objects has to be way more of a concern with all of the items on the shelves in grocery stores and we are all going there. Why are people not freaking out on social media over the hundreds of planes in the air right now between US cities? That seems like true petri dish conditions. The top of Rattlesnake Ledge should not be such a concern. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 And rainbows...C'MON!! Absolutely. Good to see you, Tim. 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 55 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 What a nice day. 62/32 here with morning frost and afternoon sunshine giving way to overcast. Breezy NW wind out there now and cooling off, already down to 50. For the record, I didn’t start the “people who are rooting for weather I don’t like are rooting for the virus to spread”, schtick. IMO it is kind of an idiotic point no matter which side you look at it from. It’s just kind of ironic seeing Jim and others getting scolded when the long stretch of mild and sunny days we just endured pretty much happened at the worst possible time to keep people inside throughout the region, basically starting right as the pandemic hit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 What a nice day. 62/32 here with morning frost and afternoon sunshine giving way to overcast. Breezy NW wind out there now and cooling off, already down to 50. For the record, I didn’t start the “people who are rooting for weather I don’t like are rooting for the virus to spread”, schtick. IMO it is kind of an idiotic point no matter which side you look at it from. It’s just kind of ironic seeing Jim and others getting scolded when the long stretch of mild and sunny days we just endured pretty much happened at the worst possible time to keep people inside throughout the region, basically starting right as the pandemic hit. What if it turns out that being inside all the time is the worst thing you can do... and UV rays and fresh air are very good at stopping the spread? You don't know it was the worst possible time. Maybe it was a saving grace at the right time. Side note... you exclaim it was a nice day and then say you had to "endure" it in the same post. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Boys..... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 This seems to be a theme in the models for next weekend lately. A pattern of alternating ridges and troughs would be pretty nice. Nothing gets the vegetation going better than rain followed by sun and repeat. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 The native maples are close to leafing out. The landscape will look much different in a couple weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 The native maples are close to leafing out. The landscape will look much different in a couple weeks. Wow... that is ahead of here and that never happens. I was looking at our big leaf maple today and it has a ways to go yet. But some regular rain and getting rid of the frosty nights should make for a huge change in the scenery over the next couple weeks. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Wow... that is ahead of here and that never happens. I was looking at our big leaf maple today and it has a ways to go yet. But some regular rain and getting rid of the frosty nights should make for a huge change in the scenery over the next couple weeks.It was the trees that had southern exposure that I noticed on Friday. Leaf buds were quite large and green. Our pink magnolia started to bloom today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 It was the trees that had southern exposure that I noticed on Friday. Leaf buds were quite large and green. Our pink magnolia started to bloom today.And our magnolia has not started yet... very close though. Your area is actually ahead of my area for once. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 And our magnolia has not started yet... very close though. Your area is actually ahead of my area for once. That is unusual. Perhaps we had more sun in February Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 What if it turns out that being inside all the time is the worst thing you can do... and UV rays and fresh air are very good at stopping the spread? You don't know it was the worst possible time. Maybe it was a saving grace at the right time. Side note... you exclaim it was a nice day and then say you had to "endure" it in the same post. Your last sentence is false, Jesse did nt say that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Euro looks a lot wetter than the GFS through hour 162. That's good to see. It's amazing how even obtaining near average rainfall can feel like chasing a carrot sometimes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 WOW. The pattern in the mid-long range on the Euro is so much better than what the FV3 coughed up earlier this evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 WOW. The pattern in the mid-long range on the Euro is so much better than what the FV3 coughed up earlier this evening.And much different than the 12Z euro was. Lots of model noise in that period Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 WOW. The pattern in the mid-long range on the Euro is so much better than what the FV3 coughed up earlier this evening. Pun intended. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 And much different than the 12Z euro was. Lots of model noise in that period Odds always favor another ridge but I will enjoy a fun model run for now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Screenshot_20200322-224958_Chrome.jpg That good huh? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 That good huh?Andrew Ensemble Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Odds always favor another ridge but I will enjoy a fun model run for now. I think you might be OK... the EPS did not really agree on a big ridge and the 06Z was different than the 00Z run. Although I honestly think you are incorrect in your assumption that the weather this past week was a negative for WA and OR. It very likely was a significant benefit at the exact right time for people to be outside in the sun and fresh air so often... and most people are hyper-aware of distancing anyways. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 06z ensembles are cooler and show a lot of promise for troughing in coming weeks. A very raw 37 degree morning with rain falling. I agree with Tim that the past week had incredible weather. I enjoyed the weekend and got a ton of work done in the yard. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Salem still running -2.1 for March. They have also had 12 freezes. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 06z ensembles are cooler and show a lot of promise for troughing in coming weeks. A very raw 37 degree morning with rain falling. I agree with Tim that the past week had incredible weather. I enjoyed the weekend and got a ton of work done in the yard. It was a very pretty week. We got three hikes in. St. Helens yesterday. We actually drove all the way to Coldwater Lake and it was WAY too packed there. Didn’t even get out of the car, just turned around and left the parking lot when we saw what a zoo it was. And probably with lots of people from Seattle to boot. Luckily we were able to find some places off the beaten path instead. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 .05” on the day so far, and 3.04” for the month. Currently 39 degrees and raining. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Got our first rainfall in 10 days here this morning...0.06” this morning and 1.15” for March. This was the 2nd longest March dry streak I’ve recorded...behind last years 11 day dry streak in mid March. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Partly cloudy and 33F this morning. 0.01” of rain overnight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Got our first rainfall in 10 days here this morning...0.06” this morning and 1.15” for March. This was the 2nd longest March dry streak I’ve recorded...behind last years 11 day dry streak in mid March. The Cedar Lake station near me is running about 6 inches below normal for March... after falling .02 short of the wettest January/February ever. A drier than normal March was basically inevitable up here... and it happened despite the protests from certain Portland area members. A wet April seems more than likely than usual now as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 It was a very pretty week. We got three hikes in. St. Helens yesterday. DF83AA6F-534E-417D-A10F-1512D1746459.jpeg We actually drove all the way to Coldwater Lake and it was WAY too packed there. Didn’t even get out of the car, just turned around and left the parking lot when we saw what a zoo it was. And probably with lots of people from Seattle to boot. Luckily we were able to find some places off the beaten path instead. It was a very pretty week. We got three hikes in. St. Helens yesterday. DF83AA6F-534E-417D-A10F-1512D1746459.jpeg We actually drove all the way to Coldwater Lake and it was WAY too packed there. Didn’t even get out of the car, just turned around and left the parking lot when we saw what a zoo it was. And probably with lots of people from Seattle to boot. Luckily we were able to find some places off the beaten path instead. I am pretty lucky living where I live. Plenty to do outdoors to keep busy. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 12z GFS seems to be trending toward the Euro's wetter solution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 The Cedar Lake station near me is running about 6 inches below normal for March... after falling .02 short of the wettest January/February ever. A drier than normal March was basically inevitable up here... and it happened despite the protests from certain Portland area members. A wet April seems more than likely than usual now as well. we’ve had just 1.97” in the last 7 weeks here...the flip to wetter than normal will be arriving soon. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 The light shower this morning brought my monthly total up to exactly 0.33” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 we’ve had just 1.97” in the last 7 weeks here...the flip to wetter than normal will be arriving soon. Or it could be a flip to just normal. Or a flip to a little wetter overall but still drier than normal. Or a flip to wetter in some areas but still dry for others. There seems to be kind of a myth perpetuated here that the region moves through several week cycles of much wetter than normal to much drier than normal then back again, and it is of course all centered around how much rain western Washington gets compared to average. Although it would make things really simple to predict, weather doesn't actually work that way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Some very refreshing rain, and 44 currently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 This seems to be a theme in the models for next weekend lately. A pattern of alternating ridges and troughs would be pretty nice. Nothing gets the vegetation going better than rain followed by sun and repeat. Agreed, a couple rainy days during the weekday and a sunny weekend is what I prefer this time of the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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