Geos Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 A strong wave or waves will eject out of the Rocky Mountains next Sunday and it could bring severe weather heavy rains and even some snow to areas of the sub forum. Discuss. 0z NAM showing widespread 1" + amounts. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 0z GFS will be a widespread 2+ inch rainstorm as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 0z GFS 4-7 inches of Snow in E. WI with 2-3 inches of rain in N. IL/S. WI (via Instant Weather Maps) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 Sunday continues to look like a pretty good soaker for Iowa on the nw side of the main wave. It's less clear how the Saturday evening storms will play out. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 11, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 12z run of the NAM and GFS backed off any idea of a large scale snowfall for the region. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014041112&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=078 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014041112&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=075 You'll probably have to be lucky (or unlucky) to get accumulation out of this setup. Cold air seems to chase out/push the moisture ahead like a snowplow and not actually mix with it very much. Extensive area of heavy rain from convective storms though. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 i hope to get some good thunder boomers this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 Looks like a "training" type event is shaping up that will bring some very heavy rainfall. Sort of reminds me of last year's torrential rains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 Looks like a "training" type event is shaping up that will bring some very heavy rainfall. Sort of reminds me of last year's torrential rains.Nothing will beat the night I got 15".. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 Send it further West where people really need it. We need a break out here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 11, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 Nothing will beat the night I got 15".. Wow, when was this? One night I had about 7" in about 8-9 hours. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 11, 2014 Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 Wow, when was this? One night I had about 7" in about 8-9 hours.Late July in 2011. Dubuque received 14.33" and the town to my east, Galena, received over 15"... Mudslides all over, roads completely wiped out, major flooding, it looked like total devastation is much of the town. It's a small town of only about 2,000 residents I live in, so one of the links ill post talks about FEMA aid and how we didn't have enough damage, but just think about how small our town is so the damage was quite extensive. Anyway, here are two little articles about it: http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2011/07/28/282008/dubuque-flooded-by-14-inches-of-rain-in-12-hours/ http://www.kcrg.com/news/local/No-FEMA-Funds-For-East-Dubuque-131101323.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 11, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 11, 2014 At Dubzz - yeah now I remember that event there! I've been to Galena several times and know that the area is prone to mud/rock slides. I'll have to look when I get home to see how much I got from that. NAM really shoves the snow area west on this run. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014041118&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=072 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Local mets hitting at the possibility of flooding late Sunday into Monday. Caplan showed a model spitting out 2-4.5" of rain for far northern and southern WI! Good chance some flood watches/flash flood watches/warnings will go up during this storm. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Looks like we're in for a real good soaker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 00z NAM showing a 2nd wave on Monday night that may lay down some snows.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Late July in 2011. Dubuque received 14.33" and the town to my east, Galena, received over 15"... Mudslides all over, roads completely wiped out, major flooding, it looked like total devastation is much of the town. It's a small town of only about 2,000 residents I live in, so one of the links ill post talks about FEMA aid and how we didn't have enough damage, but just think about how small our town is so the damage was quite extensive. Anyway, here are two little articles about it: http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2011/07/28/282008/dubuque-flooded-by-14-inches-of-rain-in-12-hours/ http://www.kcrg.com/news/local/No-FEMA-Funds-For-East-Dubuque-131101323.html I had 4.98" of rain in about a 24 hour period here (27-28th). Thing of it was there was another extreme rainfall event the 22-23rd. 10.45" of rain that month.I remember the mold spores were bad that month/summer. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 GGEM showing 4 IN amounts http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/accum/RN_000-120_0000.gif 100 MM=3.9 or so QPF Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Severe t-storm roaming northern IL and WI this morning. Some of prolific hail producers. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 That first one will miss me to the north, second (larger) one headed toward me. We'll see how much energy it has left once it gets here. 1.5" hail reported near Cherry Valley/Rockford. Either my eyes are playing tricks on me, or the radar seems to indicate rotation. Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 That first one will miss me to the north, second (larger) one headed toward me. We'll see how much energy it has left once it gets here. 1.5" hail reported near Cherry Valley/Rockford. Either my eyes are playing tricks on me, or the radar seems to indicate rotation.could be a tornado warning at any time meichel that the storm might be producing walnut to pingball size. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Had a nice storm pass through at about 8:30 this morning. Didn't last long at all, but some real nice strikes of lightning and a quick downpour. However, since then the sun and popped out and it's really starting to hear up outside... Up to 66. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 could be a tornado warning at any time meichel that the storm might be producing walnut to pingball size.These are elevated storms so rotation down near the ground is going to be pretty hard, that's why there hasn't been any tornado warnings if you are seeing rotation on the storm relative velocity scans 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 1.25" was the biggest. 1 Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Receiving some pea sized hail here, but mainly big rain drops. A lot of C-G strikes. No wind. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Had very little in the way of wind here when it passed through. 15mph gust max. Not much rain either. It's weakened considerably since heading east. Found a coupla pieces of hail closer to 2", and a majority of the pieces were around 1". Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Got .60" from the storms this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 About to get hit pretty good with rain/storms here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Had very little in the way of wind here when it passed through. 15mph gust max. Not much rain either. It's weakened considerably since heading east. Found a coupla pieces of hail closer to 2", and a majority of the pieces were around 1". Near 2" is pretty impressive! Any damage? It just stopped raining here and the sky is brightening up. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 After the storms this morning, sun popped out and humidity is on the rise. Getting up towards 70 now, feels pretty hot out there. Hopefully setting up for some good storms tonight.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Quarter-sized hail here in Buffalo grove. It lasted a good 10-15 minutes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Up to 72 here now. Excuse me for not knowing this, I haven't been paying a ton of attention except for today's stuff... Is tomorrow expected to just be more of a widespread rain event? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 sunny windy and 75 here. awesome! had a storm last night. need to get a new rain gauge set up. im late to the rain measuring party! lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Up to 72 here now. Excuse me for not knowing this, I haven't been paying a ton of attention except for today's stuff... Is tomorrow expected to just be more of a widespread rain event? Yeah, although there could be thunder mixed in. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Near 2" is pretty impressive! Any damage? It just stopped raining here and the sky is brightening up. That 2" piece was mushroom shaped (as about 1/3 of all the pieces were) and looked to be 3 or 4 pieces fused together. Biggest piece that was smooth/round was 1.5" Dents on vehicles for sure, haven't checked the roof or aluminum siding. The storm chaser contractors will be out in full force here next week. Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Picked up about 1.2 so far this morning/early afternoon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Up to 75 here! (!!!!!) Feels like the perfect set up for some nice storms tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Enjoy the warm weather. Only 40 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Just hit 60° here... again. Was that when I got up at 9am. Upper 70s already showing up in NE IL to the south of here. Someone is going to hit 80° at this pace. Will be interesting to see if there are hail producers tomorrow as well. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FiNsTa Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 79° at O'hare Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 12, 2014 Report Share Posted April 12, 2014 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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