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Pacific NW July 2014 Discussion

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#1
Chris

Posted 01 July 2014 - 09:10 AM

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Sunshine and Thunderstorms



#2
Phil

Posted 01 July 2014 - 11:31 AM

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Still trapped in the swamp that is DC...god please help me...this feels worse than 110 in Scottsdale AZ
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3
richard mann

Posted 01 July 2014 - 11:34 AM

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.. Hanna Montana, says hang in their bud. 

 

http://theweatherfor...ific-northwest/


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#4
Phil

Posted 01 July 2014 - 11:40 AM

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.. Hanna Montana, says hang in their bud.


Haha.

Seriously this place should be uninhabited, it's like you're walking in a hot tub. Humidity so thick it lowers your visibility and clogs your lungs.

No wonder our politicians lose brain cells when they get here :lol:
  • Dan the Weatherman likes this
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#5
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2014 - 11:44 AM

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Warm and windy out here. 87 currently with a DP of 48.

#6
Deweydog

Posted 01 July 2014 - 12:21 PM

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Haha.

Seriously this place should be uninhabited, it's like you're walking in a hot tub. Humidity so thick it lowers your visibility and clogs your lungs.

No wonder our politicians lose brain cells when they get here :lol:

 

Keep us posted!


All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#7
Phil

Posted 01 July 2014 - 12:31 PM

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Keep us posted!


If I stop ranting, it means I've perished
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#8
Deweydog

Posted 01 July 2014 - 12:36 PM

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If I stop ranting, it means I've perished

 

It'll be an awkward mix of happiness and sadness.  


All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#9
Phil

Posted 01 July 2014 - 01:32 PM

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It'll be an awkward mix of happiness and sadness.


You're an a**

:)
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#10
richard mann

Posted 01 July 2014 - 02:15 PM

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-

.. Wonder what's going on of general interest, weatherwise, in the PNW.

 

Maybe I'll check "The Weather Forums". 


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#11
richard mann

Posted 01 July 2014 - 02:19 PM

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-

 

http://www.atmos.was...ather/sat.shtml


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#12
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 July 2014 - 04:37 PM

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Geez it was hot today! 92 up here today. Tied for my warmest temp in 3 summers with Aug 4, 2012.


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#13
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 July 2014 - 04:38 PM

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My hottest temp of last summer was June 30th, so this could be it. ;)


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Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#14
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2014 - 05:23 PM

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98/61 out here today with breezy conditions and low humidity. Hot, but not too bad.

#15
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 July 2014 - 06:58 PM

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PDX hit 99 officially


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Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#16
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2014 - 10:19 PM

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80 at PDX, 71 out here. I love living away from the urban heat island. :)

#17
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2014 - 10:19 PM

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Someone should pin this thread.

#18
Jesse

Posted 02 July 2014 - 11:03 AM

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12z runs say we are in for a pretty hot first half of the month. Bring it.

#19
Jesse

Posted 02 July 2014 - 11:04 AM

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In the mean time. Overcast, breezy and pleasantly cool this morning.

68 currently. It was already approaching 90 at this time yesterday.

#20
Phil

Posted 02 July 2014 - 12:38 PM

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Tourists are actually puking at the National Mall...this city sucks

98F with a 74 dp...I might not make it


800.jpg
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#21
TT-SEA

Posted 02 July 2014 - 12:52 PM

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Tourists are actually puking at the National Mall...this city sucks

98F with a 74 dp...I might not make it


800.jpg



According to you... that is cold compared to your 3,000 foot elevation where dewpoints are in the low 80s all summer! A dewpoint of 74 is very low for you. :)
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#22
Deweydog

Posted 02 July 2014 - 12:53 PM

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Tourists are actually puking at the National Mall...this city sucks

98F with a 74 dp...I might not make it


800.jpg

 


All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#23
Deweydog

Posted 02 July 2014 - 01:08 PM

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In non-east coast news, PDX with a max/min record this morning of 64.  It'll be a good evening of thermometer watching to see if it can get counterfeited.  


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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#24
Jesse

Posted 02 July 2014 - 01:14 PM

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Low of 65 here this morning.

#25
Phil

Posted 02 July 2014 - 01:27 PM

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According to you... that is cold compared to your 3,000 foot elevation where dewpoints are in the low 80s all summer! A dewpoint of 74 is very low for you. :)


Nice one. :)

Dewpoints are essentially the same as back home...it's just 10 degrees hotter here, with more sunshine and concrete/asphalt..


Again, you're an azzhat
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#26
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 July 2014 - 01:42 PM

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It was 59 at my place this morning.


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#27
TT-SEA

Posted 02 July 2014 - 02:04 PM

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Nice one. :)

Dewpoints are essentially the same as back home...it's just 10 degrees hotter here, with more sunshine and concrete/asphalt..


Again, you're an azzhat

 

Its 78.8 with a dewpoint of 66 in McHenry right now.

 

Heat index at your house is 81.

 

Heat index in DC is 109.

 

It ain't even close to being the same... and that is why you are suffering.   And that is why your area is considered a cool haven in the summer for the people in DC.



#28
Phil

Posted 02 July 2014 - 02:34 PM

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Its 78.8 with a dewpoint of 66 in McHenry right now.

Heat index at your house is 81.

Heat index in DC is 109.

It ain't even close to being the same... and that is why you are suffering. And that is why your area is considered a cool haven in the summer for the people in DC.


Yeah it's significantly cooler up there, but dewpoints are usually within 2-3 degrees, sometimes higher at my place if winds are westerly.

Today there was an EML present...which was mixed down via earlier convection, while here in DC we had S winds and were capped:

640.jpg
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#29
Chris

Posted 02 July 2014 - 02:38 PM

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In non-east coast news, PDX with a max/min record this morning of 64.  It'll be a good evening of thermometer watching to see if it can get counterfeited.  

 

Surely you expected no less, given the warm SST's we had.


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#30
richard mann

Posted 02 July 2014 - 02:48 PM

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Tourists are actually puking at the National Mall...this city sucks

98F with a 74 dp...I might not make it .....

 
.. It's on report "Phil". (You just can't take the hint, apparently. @)
 
".. Not in any way, shape or form related to the weather of the PNW. 
 
Slow day, activity, notwithstanding. ... People, members or guests, I would wager, do not tune in this thread to find out what's going on out east." 


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#31
richard mann

Posted 02 July 2014 - 02:53 PM

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Nice one. :)

Again, .....

 
@  Have another beer, and maybe a nice long nap.


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#32
Deweydog

Posted 02 July 2014 - 03:46 PM

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Surely you expected no less, given the warm SST's we had.

 

Had.  Things are getting dangerously chilly out there.  


All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#33
Chris

Posted 02 July 2014 - 03:49 PM

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Had.  Things are getting dangerously chilly out there.  

 

Oh ****.  Does that mean we're in for a dreary, drizzly, wrist-slitting summer?



#34
TT-SEA

Posted 02 July 2014 - 04:42 PM

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Had.  Things are getting dangerously chilly out there.  

 

 

Yes... the entire NE Pacific is well below normal.   :)

 

SST.jpg



#35
richard mann

Posted 02 July 2014 - 07:07 PM

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Yeah... the holiday weekend looks great now.  ....
 
And then it gets even warmer next week.


So how are the models lookin' for the 5th and 6th at this point then, Tim. ?


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#36
Tyler Mode

Posted 02 July 2014 - 08:31 PM

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Sunrise this morning...

http://weathercrazy....um-Sunrise-7214



#37
TT-SEA

Posted 02 July 2014 - 08:38 PM

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So how are the models lookin' for the 5th and 6th at this point then, Tim. ?

 

Perfect up here.

 

Nothing like the ECMWF showed on that crazy run last weekend though.



#38
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 July 2014 - 10:29 PM

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Interesting blog post by mNel

 

http://fox12weather....day-on-mt-hood/


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#39
iFred

Posted 03 July 2014 - 02:11 AM

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Interesting post on the Mt. Hood melt-out. I would like to the see the same data for Rainier and Baker, and see if the same trends are present.


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#40
TT-SEA

Posted 03 July 2014 - 04:40 AM

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For comparison... here is where began the month of June:

anomnight.6.2.2014.gif

 

 

And here is where we begin the month of July:

anomnight.7.3.2014.gif

 

 

 

As I said... the pattern in early June with a strong surface high offshore would dent the +PDO and the warm anomalies off our coast but if history was a guide it would be temporary and we would end up right back where we started.



#41
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2014 - 10:21 AM

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For comparison... here is where began the month of June:

anomnight.6.2.2014.gif

 

 

And here is where we begin the month of July:

anomnight.7.3.2014.gif

 

 

 

As I said... the pattern in early June with a strong surface high offshore would dent the +PDO and the warm anomalies off our coast but if history was a guide it would be temporary and we would end up right back where we started.

 


All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#42
Phil

Posted 03 July 2014 - 06:51 PM

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Hope it's ok if I post this here...an absolutely beautiful storm. Offshore reports of sustained winds over 100mph, which somewhat impressive for an early-season storm:

800.jpg
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#43
Phil

Posted 03 July 2014 - 10:49 PM

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Live feed from JP (storm chaser) in the middle of it..for anyone interested..insane:

Was just showered with sparks from an exploding transformer: http://m.ustream.tv/.../chasercam-live
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#44
Jesse

Posted 04 July 2014 - 10:26 AM

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Happy Fourth everyone!

Beautiful day in progress here. Currently 66 after a pleasantly cool low of 54. Should be heading for 80 today or just short of it.

#45
richard mann

Posted 04 July 2014 - 01:01 PM

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Hope .....

 
... "springs eternal".
 

Live feed from JP (storm chaser) in the middle of ….. [nowhere.]


.. Will you ever get the "clue". ?  (I wonder.)
 
... If again, .. I don't understand why you feel that you need to use this thread as a "general catch-all" for anything and everything that you find noteworthy and / or interesting weather-wise, when it's plainly been designated "Pacific NW July 2014 Discussion".

And with this, why you either whether won't or can't trust in the idea that people tuning in here—members (even if more sparse at this point.), guests, whomever—won't note or be able to find what you've had in mind to post where it would be, both more appropriately, and more in line with the way that the Staff here have set up different categories / main sub-forums, more toward the idea of working to differentiate (organize.) different main weather or climate themes.

It looks like Fred has taken the "New Content" element out of the main "Welcome" to the site message, main front page. Perhaps the idea (A link to it.) should be made more prominent there—in addition to and apart from the more simple top menu icon to the left. But just dropping in whatever here—certainly where considering what you decide to, quite often certainly only, if at all more remotely relating / related to the PNW—is ultimately counter-productive as I see it. …. And, with this, as others have suggested to you previously, certainly somewhat intrusive. / .. over the line more generally, even arrogant more essentially. 

As I've worked to suggest to you in the past more myself, the more academic approach, if or where you might be "hoping" to communicate whatever, to whomever more from the PNW, and with thinking to perhaps, by posting whatever here, .. would be to post whatever, where more appropriate, and then drop in a link to it here. ….

— Then at least, whatever response to it, won't work to clutter up this thread. This, or either more otherwise, and if as with this set of "inserts" of yours above, to detract (potentially. ?) from peoples' interest more in what is or might be going on, in the Pacific Northwest. 

.. If a bit lengthy (Of necessity. ?) .... "Hope", this is clear.                        @


http://theweatherforums.com/index.php?app=core&module=search&do=viewNewContent&search_app=forums
 
http://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/574-the-tropics-tropical-storm-arthur-atlantic-region/


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#46
richard mann

Posted 04 July 2014 - 01:04 PM

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-
 
http://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/573-pacific-nw-july-2014-discussion/?p=29555  (post no. 44 above.)


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#47
GHweatherChris

Posted 04 July 2014 - 01:42 PM

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Perfect weather today, 71 degrees and partly cloudy and just a slight breeze.

 

I am so glad I do not live in a coastal region.



#48
Jesse

Posted 05 July 2014 - 11:40 AM

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12Z runs look hot. 



#49
Jesse

Posted 05 July 2014 - 01:23 PM

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Ensemble support for the 12Z EURO's hot solution starting next weekend looks pretty good.  12Z GFS ensemble mean is still close to climo, though.



#50
richard mann

Posted 05 July 2014 - 04:55 PM

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So how are the models lookin' for the 5th and 6th at this point then, Tim. ?


Perfect up here.
 
Nothing like the ECMWF showed on that crazy run last weekend though.

 


hey Tim.

.. Not much going on. So we might as well look as this. (For fun.) .. $ Main focus here just below.
 

Here is the 'bad data' from yesterday morning for ... (7/5):
 
msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%
 

Here is the 12Z ECMWF from Friday for next Saturday (7/5):
msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%


.. Set against what actually transpired, where and with looking at the main initializations (t+000VT) since, for 12z daily.

20140626_12z_850%3A500hPa_t+000vt_201405

Basically, if you check through what I'd been trying to have you look ati.e. more in line with the more basic potential (at all.) where considering the broader circumstance where looking at the "odd" run, appreciated at the time as an "outlyer", or "bad" one, to have verified. .. Or, anything anywhere near to it, being my more specific meaning, both now and at the time, ...

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/541-pacnw-june-2014-discussion/?p=29354

.. You'll see that what I'd said, has in fact taken place. Again, where looking at the over-all and more general potential. And in fact more than the run's not having accounted for main colder air's progressive "slowing" east, that I'd point to, it also apparently hadn't accounted for a / the steady expansion (movement and spread) of colder air, daily more southward.  @

 

And so then, finally, both runs set with what actually transpired. ....

 

3_run_20140705_12z_850%3A500hPa.gif


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