IMO, it will be another unprecedented ridge yet again this winter. I know you live in the NW coast and would like to see some winter weather, but I highly doubt troughing develops this winter in your area, maybe very early in the season but eventually that same pattern we saw last year will take hold. Of course you will see some storms, but not many snowstorms.
The weather pattern cycles continuously and we are seeing this same SST pattern as we saw back in 1917/18 where that warm pool of water in NE Pacific stayed in place and didn't go anywhere. In result, the Central/Eastern U.S. saw severe winters. We will have yet another, even if an El Nino does develop. Another important fact is that last year at this time there wasn't as much warm water in the Bearing Sea, Gulf of Alaska and off the west coast. I posted those map comparisons.
yes I'd like to see some winter weather in the northwest, but more than that I'd like to see rain in the southwest. I try not to let my biases infect my predictions. I also should point out that I've busted on my last 4 winter forecasts.
I'm not ready to write off El Nino yet. I want to see how the next kelvin wave goes first.