james1976 Posted August 4, 2014 Report Share Posted August 4, 2014 thats quite a ways below normal for next week. normal high here is 83....it was 84 last week. starting to fall now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 It's been off and on heavy rains out here...probably got close to 2" already. Some heavier showers about to come through. Very beneficial rains to say the least. Lawns should start turning greener tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 had a nice downpour for about a half hour earlier. fell to 69 degrees. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 Had a really strong downpour around 6 o'clock. Man it was raining so hard it was hard to see driving and I wasn't even going that fast. Very windy as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 Had a really strong downpour around 6 o'clock. Man it was raining so hard it was hard to see driving and I wasn't even going that fast. Very windy as well.That's pretty much how it was earlier today around 5:00 or 6:00...torrential rains, getting hit again with the last batch of storms. Easily over 2.50" in my town. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 Since yesterday the models have shifted the heavy rain Wednesday/Thursday farther northeast into eastern Iowa. I hope that pans out because I think we've only had about a half inch since July 12th. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 Since yesterday the models have shifted the heavy rain Wednesday/Thursday farther northeast into eastern Iowa. I hope that pans out because I think we've only had about a half inch since July 12th.Hopefully Mother Nature shares the wealth ...my town got the bullseye from yesterday's rains...3-4" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 only talkin upper 60s for highs tomorrow with heavy rain potential. seems they have lowered highs for the rest of the week as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 6, 2014 Report Share Posted August 6, 2014 im right on the ne edge of that rain. that high pressure to the ne is really cutting it off. kinda reminds me of a winter system when a high pressure makes for a sharp cutoff. i always hate those situations. always seems like im on the outside looking in. i do think ill get some rain eventually with this sytem though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 7, 2014 Report Share Posted August 7, 2014 There is a good chance we can see some 90's towards the last 10 days of August. We may see some ridging build back into the region briefly and spike temps. Might get to 90F or better for the 4th time at ORD for the summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 7, 2014 Report Share Posted August 7, 2014 There is a good chance we can see some 90's towards the last 10 days of August. We may see some ridging build back into the region briefly and spike temps. Might get to 90F or better for the 4th time at ORD for the summer.long range GFS thru the 22nd looks cooler than normal. Are there signs of hot weather after that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 7, 2014 Report Share Posted August 7, 2014 long range GFS thru the 22nd looks cooler than normal. Are there signs of hot weather after that?Not GFS, but Euro and CFSv2 show a brief 1-2 day spike...nothing to get excited about just yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted August 7, 2014 Author Report Share Posted August 7, 2014 way i just heard that this fall will be chilly source accuweather and they are saying that the polar vortex will make an apperance in the northeast i know that the polar vortex will be felt here in the midwest as well and they are saying too that from mid to late month next month will be chilly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 7, 2014 Report Share Posted August 7, 2014 Lake Michigan hit season high water temp of 74F.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 7, 2014 Report Share Posted August 7, 2014 Lake Michigan hit season high water temp of 74F....isnt that cold?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 7, 2014 Report Share Posted August 7, 2014 isnt that cold??Not really, mid 70's water temps are actually doable... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 7, 2014 Report Share Posted August 7, 2014 12z Euro spitting out some real chilly air in N WI for next Tuesday...upper 50's for highs! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 8, 2014 Report Share Posted August 8, 2014 I'm really starting to think we see our first sustained heat wave of the season in 10 days or so. Could be about a week long heat wave. Euro/GFS are coming into agreement. The pattern that is showing up looks ripe for this to happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 8, 2014 Report Share Posted August 8, 2014 oh well, it is summer i guess. bound to happen at some point. we've been below normal most of the summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 8, 2014 Report Share Posted August 8, 2014 I'm not seeing much of a heat wave on GFS. am i missing something? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 8, 2014 Report Share Posted August 8, 2014 this is through the 21sthttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 8, 2014 Report Share Posted August 8, 2014 I'm not seeing much of a heat wave on GFS. am i missing something?Ya, GFS not buying into it, but Euro Ensembles and the CFSv2 bringing the heat into our region. I don't mind, its been a while since we have seen 90's anyway. ORD has only had 3 90's so far this season which is much below normal. Maybe it has a chance to hit 6 or 7. After this though, 90's will be a distant memory. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 8, 2014 Report Share Posted August 8, 2014 The latest 12z GFS run is starting to show a ridge building into the region around the 20th or so. This makes sense as the jet stream is reaching its weakest point this time of year and so it can be expected to see some sustained warmth. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 8, 2014 Report Share Posted August 8, 2014 The latest 12z GFS run is starting to show a ridge building into the region around the 20th or so. This makes sense as the jet stream is reaching its weakest point this time of year and so it can be expected to see some sustained warmth. haha yeah i just seen that. GFS wasnt fully loaded when i looked earlier. yup, looks like a ridge wants to develop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 GFS has completely lost the idea of a heat wave. Whats Euro looking like? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 00z Euro Control still showing baking heat and the ensembles... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 CFSv2 backed off and looks like the GFS.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 I'm not buying a heat wave (3 or more consecutive days of 90+) yet, at least here. We have rarely risen above 85F this summer, and I think with warmer temps we will see more storms, which will create enough cloud debris to keep any heat wave in check. The one caveat would be if we continue to dry out, making 90F easier to achieve if it comes with lower dewpoints than we normally see with a ridge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FiNsTa Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 GFS has completely lost the idea of a heat wave. Whats Euro looking like?Long range GFS is continuing to show a nice ridge developing from the Midwest on east. Not sure where you're getting this information from. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 12z Euro for consecutive runs trying to pump upper 80's/low 90's near are region, esp N IL... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 Latest CFSv2 run...there may be some severe wx potential in and around the Midwest with this sharp contrast in temperatures.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 Long range GFS is continuing to show a nice ridge developing from the Midwest on east. Not sure where you're getting this information from.If you looked you would see i posted this earlier this morning so I was going off the 6z run. 12z run is completely different and shows a big ridge. Prolly gonna flip flop a bit since it's long range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 Right now i'd buy the Euro since it's been more consistent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2014 Report Share Posted August 9, 2014 I'm beginning to see a lot of consistency on the Euro ensembles for a torchy Day 10-15 and beyond to finish off August. I don't mind if the heat comes actually, bring it. Our AC's have had enough time off this summer and they will be humming later next weekend. Just hoping Labor Day weekend is nice to finish off this Summer season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted August 10, 2014 Report Share Posted August 10, 2014 Yeah, let's wait for football to come around to finally get hot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 10, 2014 Report Share Posted August 10, 2014 Yeah, let's wait for football to come around to finally get hot.Perfect timing, right??? I remember training camp back when I played soccer in high school in the heat...D**n it sucks. I can't imagine how it is with 25lbs of added weight on your body. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 10, 2014 Report Share Posted August 10, 2014 now those are maps that we are not used to seeing! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted August 10, 2014 Author Report Share Posted August 10, 2014 just found out that the great lakes and to the northeast will have a visit from the polar virtex from mid to late september and the way accuweather is saying from their fall forecast that this is a chilly one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 10, 2014 Report Share Posted August 10, 2014 Model flip flopping on the heat...Euro Control went cooler now to... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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