james1976 Posted August 17, 2014 Report Share Posted August 17, 2014 CPC bringing back the cooler air to end out the monthhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Spent the entire weekend in downtown Chicago and enjoyed the weather on Saturday. Unfortunately, the day that we all thought would be the best day to see the Air and Water show it ended up being the worse day. The show ended up being cancelled today which blew balls! I wanted to see the F-22 Raptor and the Blue Angels so bad. Oh well, till next year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Looks like the "Preliminary Winter Outlook" tab has been removed for our region. Maybe tech is updating it or something. Anyhow, remember how good the Brazilian Meteograms was last year on giving us a "gauge" to our winter? Well, well, well....looky at what it's showing for this winter...snow events from Mid-December through Feb! I'm really seeing the fast start to Winter that I had expected last year and a very cold and snowy winter on tap. I'm sure we will have a consistent NW Flow and at times this winter a persistent Clipper train will evolve in each LRC cycle along with systems coming out of the SW. The cards to the deck are being shuffled and some pretty nice hands are being laid out by the models. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Heat still on tap for this weekend? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Tom, you can find it under "long range forecasts discussions" on homepage. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Heat still on tap for this weekend?Oh ya, Euro keeps pumping low 90's Fri/Sat/Sun...could be our first official Heat Wave of the summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Tom, those Brazilian meteograms do that every year, IMO we were just lucky that they happened to be right last year. To me they are the definition of 'weenie'. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Tom, those Brazilian meteograms do that every year, IMO we were just lucky that they happened to be right last year. To me they are the definition of 'weenie'.The way I see it, it does make sense to have this type of outlook given the overall pattern I'm seeing this winter. You can say "weenie" if you want, but if your getting agreement with both the JMA and also the Euro's Seasonal outlook (btw it has a PAC NW Ridge, eastern trough) you can't turn your head and laugh at it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 The way I see it, it does make sense to have this type of outlook given the overall pattern I'm seeing this winter. You can say "weenie" if you want, but if your getting agreement with both the JMA and also the Euro's Seasonal outlook (btw it has a PAC NW Ridge, eastern trough) you can't turn your head and laugh at it.Tom, have you posted those Euro maps? Maybe I've already seen em, lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Looks like the "Preliminary Winter Outlook" tab has been removed for our region. Maybe tech is updating it or something. Anyhow, remember how good the Brazilian Meteograms was last year on giving us a "gauge" to our winter? Well, well, well....looky at what it's showing for this winter...snow events from Mid-December through Feb! I'm really seeing the fast start to Winter that I had expected last year and a very cold and snowy winter on tap. I'm sure we will have a consistent NW Flow and at times this winter a persistent Clipper train will evolve in each LRC cycle along with systems coming out of the SW. The cards to the deck are being shuffled and some pretty nice hands are being laid out by the models.Tom, can you imagine my area has a record snowfall year again??!! That would be awesome. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 Looks like we may see some storms rumbling later tonight in the wee hours of the morning. Would be nice to get some rain around here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 After our mini heat wave this weekend, a very strong cold front heading this way by next week Tuesday/Wednesday. Highs near 70F are possible those days. The amplified pattern continues. This heat is def going to feel hot from what we have been used to this summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 18, 2014 Report Share Posted August 18, 2014 18z GFS showing what the 12z Euro hinted at a major cool shot mid next week. This fits the LRC's last cycle for the year and predicts a strong cold front for late August. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 19, 2014 Report Share Posted August 19, 2014 18z GFS showing what the 12z Euro hinted at a major cool shot mid next week. This fits the LRC's last cycle for the year and predicts a strong cold front for late August.yes....and with a couple moisture-laden systems. GFS goes crazy. Can't wait to see if it pans out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 19, 2014 Report Share Posted August 19, 2014 DMX just put my area in a severe tstorm watch. Storms are moving in from the NW. Finally looks like we may get some rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 19, 2014 Report Share Posted August 19, 2014 Saturday looks toasty around here with a high in the mid 90's! I'm going to try and enjoy this hot weekend and spend some time at the beach or on a boat and hit up the Playpen. This might be the last hot spell of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 19, 2014 Report Share Posted August 19, 2014 Every day the next decent rain chance just keeps getting pushed back further. Now the Euro has removed any rain for eastern Iowa Wednesday night. It has Friday night being the next chance. If that doesn't pan out it has no more rain through mid next week. I've had 0.08" of rain in the last four weeks. We need some rain! 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 No more rain needed here. Over 5" of rain has fallen this month. Everything is soaked. Speaking of rainfall, heavy thunderstorms today in my area and the whole entire week looks unsettled. What a wet month it has been. Thursday looks to be the driest day of the week. Forecasters are calling for mostly sunny skies with a 10% chance of Rain. Hopefully, dry weather returns for next week. Also, the air is very humid, warm and unstable. By weeks end, I could be nearing 90 degrees. Haven't seen lots of 90's this summer, thats for sure. Minneapolis, MN I think has not reached 90F at all this summer. Talk about extremes. Major cooldown possible in the cards for late August with temps here not getting higher than the lows 60s for highs and lows in the mid 40s. Yup, Autumn is knocking on our doorstep. Bring it on! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 What's Euro showing for the cooldown? GFS is kind of all over the place. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FiNsTa Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 Every day the next decent rain chance just keeps getting pushed back further. Now the Euro has removed any rain for eastern Iowa Wednesday night. It has Friday night being the next chance. If that doesn't pan out it has no more rain through mid next week. I've had 0.08" of rain in the last four weeks. We need some rain!Yeah, your area has gotten very unlucky. All the other surrounding areas are running well above average in terms of precipitation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 I have been watching the CFSv2 for the month of September and the majority of the runs are for a cooler outlook in our region, warmer in the east. Some runs have been very chilly, especially the latest run. Check out the warmth near Alaska that should create a huge trough in the central U.S. Something to watch come September. I know WxBell is calling for a warmer than normal month close by, but I'm having a hard time believing it given the amplified pattern we have been locked in. The only reason I see which could bring a warmer month is the seasonal change of the jet stream up in Canada that can pump a ridge, but given all the warm waters in the NE Pacific, that wouldn't make sense. Also, the blocking showing up near Greenland is the wild card if it continues through early Fall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 20, 2014 Report Share Posted August 20, 2014 man, that has most of the country below normal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 21, 2014 Report Share Posted August 21, 2014 GFS going quite a bit warmer now for next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FiNsTa Posted August 21, 2014 Report Share Posted August 21, 2014 The cooler air keeps getting pushed back. The warmth sticks around through Wednesday of next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 21, 2014 Report Share Posted August 21, 2014 The sun just came out for the first time in 2 days. Now its gonna get brutal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 21, 2014 Report Share Posted August 21, 2014 I'm liking what the forecasts look like for Labor Day weekend in our region. Planning on heading to Wisco with my friends to Castle Rock Lake. Probably staying at Northern Bay Resort. Hope it turns out nice. 00z Euro scaling back on the # of 90's for the weekend. Outflow for storms and cloud cover may hamper real hot and humid weather. Going boating Saturday with some friends, should be nice at the lake with a nice lake breeze. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 22, 2014 Report Share Posted August 22, 2014 Surprised how long the blocking up near Greenland has lasted and how deeply negative it has gotten this month. Looks to continue into September. Sign of a pattern change up there this Fall/Winter??? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 22, 2014 Report Share Posted August 22, 2014 This is the storm track i need 4 months from now!http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/18/gfs_namer_288_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted August 22, 2014 Report Share Posted August 22, 2014 Had some rain overnight. GD flash flood mobile alert scared the piss out of me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 22, 2014 Report Share Posted August 22, 2014 I'm liking the active train of storms heading out of the Plains and cutting up into the Great Lakes on the GFS as we head into September. This could be something to watch as we head into October for the new LRC pattern. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 22, 2014 Report Share Posted August 22, 2014 I'm liking the active train of storms heading out of the Plains and cutting up into the Great Lakes on the GFS as we head into September. This could be something to watch as we head into October for the new LRC pattern.was thinking the same!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted August 23, 2014 Report Share Posted August 23, 2014 Kinda funny after hearing all the local mets talking about 3, 4, 5 days of consecutive 90s, and now we'll be lucky to get 1. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 23, 2014 Report Share Posted August 23, 2014 E IA finally is getting some beneficial rains this morning! Hoping it stays there and not here so it wont hamper my boating plans. Have a great weekend! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 23, 2014 Report Share Posted August 23, 2014 I only picked up 0.30" of rain this morning, upping my August total to 0.48". Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted August 24, 2014 Report Share Posted August 24, 2014 D**n camp has been hot. Today was brutal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted August 24, 2014 Report Share Posted August 24, 2014 Is that band camp by chance East Dubzz? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 25, 2014 Report Share Posted August 25, 2014 Cedar Rapids hit 90 for the first time this summer today. The dewpoint was up to 79 at one point as well. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 25, 2014 Report Share Posted August 25, 2014 Storms bubbling up over the local region. Kind of doubt it will get to 90° today! Remember one year the only 90° high was in early September. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 25, 2014 Report Share Posted August 25, 2014 Storms bubbling up over the local region. http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/wisc/images/wisgif32.gif Kind of doubt it will get to 90° today! Remember one year the only 90° high was in early September.Ya, I just got drenched on from that first line of storms that blossomed out of nowhere. Very torrential rains in my area over the past few days. The ground is soaked and very moist. As for hitting 90F today, it isn't looking likely at ORD since it dropped to 79F just now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 25, 2014 Report Share Posted August 25, 2014 Falling into the low 70s with rain starting now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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