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December 2014 Observations for the Pacific Northwest

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#1
stuffradio

Posted 30 November 2014 - 06:35 PM

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Hopefully we get a nice Christmas present of lots of snow for the last week of December!


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#2
stuffradio

Posted 30 November 2014 - 07:26 PM

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-I picked up a few inches of rain maybehere where I am at the southernmost extent of the PNWwith this most recent more systemic activity.

 

".. Observations", "Discussions", more PNW focused.  

 

Don't you have a rain gauge?



#3
snow_wizard

Posted 30 November 2014 - 11:25 PM

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I'm holding out some hope for a white New Years.  It's been a while.  I'll be surprised if the pattern is able to turn cold in time for Christmas though.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2017-18 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.2"

Coldest Low = 26

Lows 32 or below = 8

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 4

 

 


#4
MossMan

Posted 01 December 2014 - 05:20 AM

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I'm holding out some hope for a white New Years. It's been a while. I'll be surprised if the pattern is able to turn cold in time for Christmas though.


The turn around didn't take very long the last time, only two weeks!

#5
MossMan

Posted 01 December 2014 - 05:21 AM

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Currently 19 degrees here this morning, hopefully a drop at sunrise as well.

#6
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 06:47 AM

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Currently some light freezing rain falling and 30 degrees up here.


Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#7
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 06:48 AM

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The CFS for January.

 

CFSv2.NaT2m.20141201.201501.gif


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Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#8
bainbridgekid

Posted 01 December 2014 - 07:15 AM

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Today makes the 9th low in the teens for Tacoma McChord AFB in the last 20 days. Pretty impressive.


2016-17 snowfall: 12"

 

12/8-9: 3.5"

12/23: 0.25"

12/31: 0.25"

2/3: 0.5"

2/5-6: 4"

2/26: 0.25"

2/27: 1.5"+0.5"+0.25"

2/28: 0.25"

3/7/17: 0.5"

3/8/17: 0.25"

 

 


#9
AlpineExperience

Posted 01 December 2014 - 07:34 AM

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Hopefully we get a nice Christmas present of lots of snow for the last week of December!

 

It would be nice if we can stay out of split flow hell.


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#10
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 08:12 AM

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The CFS for January.

 

CFSv2.NaT2m.20141201.201501.gif

 

Oh certainly not an El Nino pattern!


Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#11
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 08:17 AM

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PDX ends November with a -0.3 departure.


Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#12
westiztehbest

Posted 01 December 2014 - 08:40 AM

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CFS is showing torch thru Dec15th...then cold from then thru the end of the run (mid Jan).



#13
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 December 2014 - 08:43 AM

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CFS is showing torch thru Dec15th...then cold from then thru the end of the run (mid Jan).

Sounds like heaven to me. Wish the Cfs was a little bit dependable.
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#14
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 08:58 AM

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CFS is showing torch thru Dec15th...then cold from then thru the end of the run (mid Jan).

 

Go CFS!


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Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#15
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 09:02 AM

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The next week reminds me of January 2001....


Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#16
westcoastexpat

Posted 01 December 2014 - 09:48 AM

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January 2001 was awful.

 

Be careful with trusting the CFS, guys. It was an absolute joke with its October and November forecasts for most of the continent. It had a scorching warm November for the midwest and look what happened.



#17
luvssnow_seattle

Posted 01 December 2014 - 09:50 AM

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Go CFS!

I used to follow the CFS quite a bit but it's forecast usually seemed all over the map as far as accuracy. Does anyone know if it predicted these events?  I was not following it in late summer/early fall. I guess I hope it can be accurate but based on my past experience it will only get the general theme/outcome correct but not the timing or duration. Basically, it will get cold/warm "around" the time frame it shows but not as extreme for as long.  MY hope is that it is correct with an overall theme not the details!! :)  -- I would love a true white Christmas with snow falling on Christmas day -- A post card white Christmas. Bring it!!

 

--- That being said... If I were a gambling man I would never bet on the CFS. ;)



#18
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 09:54 AM

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January 2001 was awful.

 

Be careful with trusting the CFS, guys. It was an absolute joke with its October and November forecasts for most of the continent. It had a scorching warm November for the midwest and look what happened.

 

Yes it was. And that is what the next week looks like. A meandering split flow pattern. 


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Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#19
Deweydog

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:13 AM

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Good to see the December thread is off to a CFS-heavy start.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#20
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:14 AM

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Good to see the December thread is off to a CFS-heavy start.

 

Would we want it any other way? 


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Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#21
Snowman5678

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:20 AM

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I bet the PNW gets a wicked snowstorm the last week of December into the first few days of January. Why you ask? Because I won't be here...and November 2010 happened when I left the PNW in the winter. :P 

 

Barely eeked out 19 for a low here this morning.



#22
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:22 AM

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Salem still only 32 as of 10am. 

 

Looks like the NWS has dropped the forecast high to 39 today. 


Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#23
bainbridgekid

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:22 AM

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Yes it was. And that is what the next week looks like. A meandering split flow pattern. 

Besides the utter lack of mountain snow, this week looks pretty enjoyable. Chilly and crisp for the next 3 days or so and things don't look too bad through the weekend. Obviously no indication of arctic air coming up, but it'd be pretty silly to expect that after what we've been through over the last few weeks.


2016-17 snowfall: 12"

 

12/8-9: 3.5"

12/23: 0.25"

12/31: 0.25"

2/3: 0.5"

2/5-6: 4"

2/26: 0.25"

2/27: 1.5"+0.5"+0.25"

2/28: 0.25"

3/7/17: 0.5"

3/8/17: 0.25"

 

 


#24
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:25 AM

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I'd kill for some NW flow right now.

 

I would actually take a December 2012 repeat. I had a white Christmas Eve that year.


Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#25
Guest_Winterdog_*

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:26 AM

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Still a winter wonderland here after a low of 16F. It's going to start melting today though. Not a bad November with seven lows in the teens! Currently 22F. That reading seems a bit cold since Arlington is showing 27F but I have three thermometers showing the same temp.

#26
Deweydog

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:39 AM

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I'd kill for some NW flow right now.

I would actually take a December 2012 repeat. I had a white Christmas Eve that year.


Homicidal maniac.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#27
bainbridgekid

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:49 AM

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Nelson Cruz! So excited for next year.


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2016-17 snowfall: 12"

 

12/8-9: 3.5"

12/23: 0.25"

12/31: 0.25"

2/3: 0.5"

2/5-6: 4"

2/26: 0.25"

2/27: 1.5"+0.5"+0.25"

2/28: 0.25"

3/7/17: 0.5"

3/8/17: 0.25"

 

 


#28
bainbridgekid

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:50 AM

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Still a winter wonderland here after a low of 16F. It's going to start melting today though. Not a bad November with seven lows in the teens! Currently 22F. That reading seems a bit cold since Arlington is showing 27F but I have three thermometers showing the same temp.

How much snow did you end up getting?

 

You'll probably get into the mid 30's today, but with the dry air not much of your snow will melt. If you have more than an inch or two I doubt your snow melts till Thursday.

 

We only got 1/2" here at UW, but most of that is still there in the shade.


2016-17 snowfall: 12"

 

12/8-9: 3.5"

12/23: 0.25"

12/31: 0.25"

2/3: 0.5"

2/5-6: 4"

2/26: 0.25"

2/27: 1.5"+0.5"+0.25"

2/28: 0.25"

3/7/17: 0.5"

3/8/17: 0.25"

 

 


#29
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 10:56 AM

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Nelson Cruz! So excited for next year.

 

They are making a push for it. With Texas a mess, the A's trading away their best player, and the Angels still having a somewhat lackluster rotation, this could be our year.


Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#30
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 December 2014 - 11:00 AM

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They are making a push for it. With Texas a mess, the A's trading away their best player, and the Angels still having a somewhat lackluster rotation, this could be our year.

Canada is thankful for that.



#31
bainbridgekid

Posted 01 December 2014 - 11:01 AM

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They are making a push for it. With Texas a mess, the A's trading away their best player, and the Angels still having a somewhat lackluster rotation, this could be our year.

Absolutely. The time is right to make a strong push while Cano and Felix are still elite players.


2016-17 snowfall: 12"

 

12/8-9: 3.5"

12/23: 0.25"

12/31: 0.25"

2/3: 0.5"

2/5-6: 4"

2/26: 0.25"

2/27: 1.5"+0.5"+0.25"

2/28: 0.25"

3/7/17: 0.5"

3/8/17: 0.25"

 

 


#32
Guest_Winterdog_*

Posted 01 December 2014 - 11:10 AM

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How much snow did you end up getting?
 
You'll probably get into the mid 30's today, but with the dry air not much of your snow will melt. If you have more than an inch or two I doubt your snow melts till Thursday.
 
We only got 1/2" here at UW, but most of that is still there in the shade.

I had around 3" total of wet snow. The snow has not melted at all off the trees or anywhere in the shade yet. Yeah if the clouds are kept at bay we should be good in the shade.

#33
Chris

Posted 01 December 2014 - 11:32 AM

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Homicidal maniac.

 

Future client.



#34
Chris

Posted 01 December 2014 - 11:33 AM

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Absolutely. The time is right to make a strong push while Cano and Felix are still elite players.

 

They better win now.  They're going to have some old, highly paid players down the road.



#35
BLI snowman

Posted 01 December 2014 - 11:45 AM

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Nelson Cruz! So excited for next year.

 

Not sure I like the years, but it's got potential.



#36
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 11:50 AM

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Not sure I like the years, but it's got potential.

 

Baltimore got a sweet deal for him. 1 yr 8 mil. Plus they are going to be getting a compensatory pick since he rejected their qualifying offer.


Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#37
Timmy

Posted 01 December 2014 - 12:02 PM

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Can someone post the Euro links they use?  I can't seem to find the classic one I am used to.



#38
Brennan

Posted 01 December 2014 - 12:18 PM

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Cano, Cruz, Seeger in the heart of the lineup. FINALLY.



#39
bainbridgekid

Posted 01 December 2014 - 12:27 PM

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Baltimore got a sweet deal for him. 1 yr 8 mil. Plus they are going to be getting a compensatory pick since he rejected their qualifying offer.

There are reports we had him all but signed for 2 years, 16 million last year but ownership nixed it. 

 

http://www.cbssports...ed-by-ownership

 

Not a stretch to say they would have made a run in the playoffs last year with him instead of the black hole we had at DH.

 

38 at SEA, 35 at PDX  and 33 at BLI at Noon.


2016-17 snowfall: 12"

 

12/8-9: 3.5"

12/23: 0.25"

12/31: 0.25"

2/3: 0.5"

2/5-6: 4"

2/26: 0.25"

2/27: 1.5"+0.5"+0.25"

2/28: 0.25"

3/7/17: 0.5"

3/8/17: 0.25"

 

 


#40
Jesse

Posted 01 December 2014 - 01:14 PM

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Only 29 out here currently after a low of 25. Good chance I score another sub-freezing high today. Would be my fourth this season so far.
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#41
Deweydog

Posted 01 December 2014 - 02:16 PM

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They are making a push for it. With Texas a mess, the A's trading away their best player, and the Angels still having a somewhat lackluster rotation, this could be our year.

 

ALDS or bust!


All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#42
bainbridgekid

Posted 01 December 2014 - 02:34 PM

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Ice is starting to form in the fountain's pond on campus. The water's actually pretty deep so the ice is still thin but it was thick enough to not break when I threw some small rocks out on it. Love the sound of rocks skimming a cross a frozen pond.

The ground is still mostly covered in snow in the shade.

2016-17 snowfall: 12"

 

12/8-9: 3.5"

12/23: 0.25"

12/31: 0.25"

2/3: 0.5"

2/5-6: 4"

2/26: 0.25"

2/27: 1.5"+0.5"+0.25"

2/28: 0.25"

3/7/17: 0.5"

3/8/17: 0.25"

 

 


#43
Tyler Mode

Posted 01 December 2014 - 02:46 PM

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It's not often the skies clear after snow on the west side.

 

This image from yesterday clearly shows the snow on the NE side of the Olympics, near Vancouver BC, and the convergence zone near Seattle.  There was a dry slot between Bellingham and Seattle that I would be pissed to live in :)

 

For the full size version:

 

http://ge.ssec.wisc....resolution=250m

 

t1.14334.USA1.143.250m-L.jpg


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#44
Guest_Winterdog_*

Posted 01 December 2014 - 02:59 PM

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Topped off at 32F today. I don't get much sun here after about 1pm so there is still a lot of snow-cover.

Attached Files


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#45
TT-SEA

Posted 01 December 2014 - 03:14 PM

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Small area of clouds helped earlier in the day here... but now its melting snow even though the sun is going down.    Can't get any radiational cooling here now.    There is no benefit to the shaded areas.



#46
Deweydog

Posted 01 December 2014 - 03:21 PM

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Small area of clouds helped earlier in the day here... but now its melting snow even though the sun is going down.    Can't get any radiational cooling here now.    There is no benefit to the shaded areas.

 

Sounds horrific.  


All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#47
TT-SEA

Posted 01 December 2014 - 03:26 PM

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Sounds horrific.  

 

My son thinks it is!   His snow fort was solid as rock yesterday... this afternoon its all mushy.    The horrors of alto-stratus continue!



#48
Deweydog

Posted 01 December 2014 - 03:28 PM

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My son thinks it is!   His snow fort was solid as rock yesterday... this afternoon its all mushy.    The horrors of alto-stratus continue!

 

Take to the streets with bottles and rocks in protest!


All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#49
MossMan

Posted 01 December 2014 - 03:44 PM

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Topped off at 32F today. I don't get much sun here after about 1pm so there is still a lot of snow-cover.

Looks pretty much like my yard still!



#50
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2014 - 03:52 PM

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  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 11134 posts
  • LocationSilverton, OR

Today's CFS has an arctic blast on Christmas!


  • iFred and MossMan like this

Snowfall

2017-18: 0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"