Deweydog Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 By popular demand of all those hair-splitters out there, let's make love to the numbers! KSEA, KPDX. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and, I guess, Thursday. Highs and Lows. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 I'll start... PDX- 40/3035/2636/2337/20 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 PDX 42/3335/2734/2436/23 Sea 40/3136/2835/2436/27 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 PDX 41/32 32/27 34/23 37/21 SEA 38/31 35/26 37/22 38/24 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 Obligatory "are we actually going to grade this one!?" post. PDX 42/3233/2634/2437/21 SEA 40/3137/2538/2339/24 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 I can create an excel document and grade this thing. Deadline tonight at midnight? Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Just slightly adjusted mine, I'll let it fly from here. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 I can create an excel document and grade this thing. Deadline tonight at midnight?Sure okay. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Just slightly adjusted mine, I'll let it fly from here.32... 33... 32... Ahhhhhhhhhh! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedonbye Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Portland 37/26. 34/25, 35/22,40/27Seattle 37/28, 33/24, 39/27, 42/30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 PDX: 41/32 34/26 35/22 36/24 SEA: 40/29 35/25 37/24 38/25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Decent turnout for this, but I think we can do better. Let's extend the deadline to Noon tomorrow and see how many entries we can get. The 12z runs tomorrow will be HUGE!!!!! Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 SEA41/3234/2635/2241/25 PDX42/3333/2634/2338/25 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 For comparison, here's the NWS point / click forecast: SEA:40/~2835/2537/2439/27 PDX:40/~2629/2334/2237/25 Monday lows are hard so I just added a few degrees to their Monday night forecast assuming the lows would be at midnight. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 12z GFS extracted data: SEA:36/2533/2138/2340/25 PDX:38/2229/1835/1940/23 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 34 more minutes to make adjustments or submit your forecast! Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 29, 2014 Report Share Posted December 29, 2014 SEA 38 and PDX 41 at midnight so Monday's highs will be at least that. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 29, 2014 Report Share Posted December 29, 2014 SEA 38 and PDX 41 at midnight so Monday's highs will be at least that.Front Ranger takes the early lead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 29, 2014 Report Share Posted December 29, 2014 Highs of 42 at both SEA and PDX so far today. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 30, 2014 Report Share Posted December 30, 2014 Looks like 43/33 for PDX and 43/34 for SEA today but I will wait for the official numbers to calculate our scores so far. Looks like everybody at least slightly overestimated the cold today. Tomorrow will be interesting. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 30, 2014 Report Share Posted December 30, 2014 Looks like 43/33 for PDX and 43/34 for SEA today but I will wait for the official numbers to calculate our scores so far. Looks like everybody at least slightly overestimated the cold today. Tomorrow will be interesting. I think the lows today will be at 11:59pm.... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 30, 2014 Report Share Posted December 30, 2014 I think the lows today will be at 11:59pm.... Agreed, assuming winds calm down by then for PDX - they're really raging now. Both stations got down to 28 this morning. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 31, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 31, 2014 Only 34 for a high in Troutdale. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 31, 2014 Report Share Posted December 31, 2014 Looks like highs of 38 and 35 for SEA and PDX today. Tonight should be cold for places that lose the wind. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 31, 2014 Report Share Posted December 31, 2014 The standings through yesterday's highs/lows and today's highs. We are killing the GFS! SilverFallsAndrew: 9Bainbridgekid: 11BLI Snowman: 11FroYoBro: 15Front Ranger: 17NWS point and click: 28Bedonbye: 31GFS raw output: 43 I'll update again at midnight. Both PDX and SEA may set today's lows at 11:59 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 31, 2014 Report Share Posted December 31, 2014 The standings through yesterday's highs/lows and today's highs. We are killing the GFS! SilverFallsAndrew: 9Bainbridgekid: 11BLI Snowman: 11FroYoBro: 15Front Ranger: 17NWS point and click: 28Bedonbye: 31GFS raw output: 43 I'll update again at midnight. Both PDX and SEA may set today's lows at 11:59Looks like 38/28 for SEA and 35/26 for PDX today. Updated Standings: Dewey: 6 (only forecast PDX)SilverFallsAndrew: 10Bainbridgekid: 13BLI Snowman: 14FroYoBro: 18Front Ranger: 23Bedonbye: 26NWS point and click: 34GFS raw output: 58 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Here are the standings after yesterday's 38/27 at SEA and PDX's 37/21. Dewey: 9 (Only forecast PDX) SilverFallsAndrew: 22BLI Snowman: 24FroYoBro: 25Bainbridgekid: 26Front Ranger: 34Bedonbye: 40NWS point and click: 42GFS raw output: 66 So far that's 12 forecasts (highs and lows for 3 days at two stations) so even a score of 36 is only off by an average of 3 degrees. I'm impressed we are all beating the NWS. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Looks like Thursday's lows will be 26 for SEA and 24 for PDX. Updating for that gives us these standings: Dewey: 15 (Only forecast PDX) SilverFallsAndrew: 28FroYoBro: 28Bainbridgekid: 28BLI Snowman: 29Front Ranger: 39NWS point and click: 46Bedonbye: 47GFS raw output: 70 4 of us within 1 point of the win with just today's highs to go! Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 And here were our predicted highs today for PDX/SEA. SilverFallsAndrew: 36/36FroYoBro: 36/38Bainbridgekid: 38/41BLI Snowman: 37/39Front Ranger: 37/38Bedonbye: 40/42NWS: 37/39GFS: 40/40 It all comes down to this! Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 SEA 39 and PDX 35 at Noon. Edit: 40 / 37 at 1 PM. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 The results are in. With a strong last day, the winner is . . . . . Me! I'm pretty impressed that every single one of us had an average error of 3 degrees or less. That's a pretty useful forecast at this range. And we all beat the NWS! December 2014 forecast contest - Sheet1.pdf Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Rigged!! Nice job, bbkid. I think all of us ended up a little too cold, but like you said...at least we beat the NWS. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Rigged!! Nice job, bbkid. I think all of us ended up a little too cold, but like you said...at least we beat the NWS.Especially Tuesday. Still not sure how PDX cracked freezing. Hopefully Richard or Kevin Martin chime in with an explanation. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Especially Tuesday. Still not sure how PDX cracked freezing. Hopefully Richard or Kevin Martin chime in with an explanation. Nice call Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Nice call Redemption for dicking the dog on Monday... cold. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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