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1/8 - 1/9 Great Lakes Clipper

Tom

By Tom
in East of the Rockies

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
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Same here...last nights light snow that swept through KC/STL area was not supposed to be all that impressive but if you got underneath those heavy bursts it accumulated pretty quickly.  This system will have a little better moisture supply and it will be falling along another arctic front.  I find these situations bring surprises here and there.

 

Expecting a pretty nice surprise on this side of the lake. If either of the two increase (winds or qpf), I would think GRR may be forced to upgrade some SWMI counties. As it stands, this looks like very high-end WWA event at the least. Potential ingredients are there for more though. Time will tell if this over-performs as it would be a first for this season over my way anyhow. Have a solid 4" OTG so it's not starting from scratch wrt blowing and drifting component either.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Tony
Tony

Might as well add the 12z Gem to this thread.

Tony
Tony

I don't trust the Euro with clippers. Last year it had a hard time with them and this past clipper it was weak with the qpf as well.   Edit: It also has been last to the party with the past couple sto

Money
Money

I hate the cold not the snow

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Geos Proficient

Geos

Posted
Posted

It's looking like really nasty conditions tomorrow afternoon. Winds are supposed to be up near 40 mph!

 

post-783-0-79122600-1420690244.png

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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00z GGEM...it'll be interesting to see the what the radar looks like tomorrow afternoon...afternoon commute doesn't look pretty.  Especially with the frozen ground from this frigid cold weather...the roads will be a mess.

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Trinomial Newbie

Trinomial

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Latest discussion sounds promising from LOT:

 

SUGGESTING A FEW SITES IN MCHENRY/LAKE COUNTY IL APPROACHING 3-4".
THE DIFFICULTIES WILL BE THE GUSTY WIND CONDS. WITH THE SNOW LIQUID
RATIOS HOVERING ARND 20:1...

 

N IL looks to get a decent snow with this clipper. More so, then the last one (maybe).

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Trinomial Newbie

Trinomial

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They have beefed up qpf here this morning but its not going to matter.  I am riding an inch at best here.  Somewhere east of here could score a couple inches.

It appears that the model is taking into effect the speed of the storm with QPF. This thing is going fast.

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Tony Enthusiast

Tony

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Most of the models have this clipper stronger(wetter) as it travels farther east. WAA will be a big factor as it enters our area especially with that 70+kt LLJ poking into the area.

 

Don't know how it will all play out but as Tom alluded to yesterday, this is a bonus no matter what happens!

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Tony Enthusiast

Tony

Posted
Posted

Latest discussion sounds promising from LOT:

 

SUGGESTING A FEW SITES IN MCHENRY/LAKE COUNTY IL APPROACHING 3-4".

THE DIFFICULTIES WILL BE THE GUSTY WIND CONDS. WITH THE SNOW LIQUID

RATIOS HOVERING ARND 20:1...

 

N IL looks to get a decent snow with this clipper. More so, then the last one (maybe).

 

Most of the hi-res models have been showing this for the past couple runs. 12zRGEM continues to show this. Of course the ratios being shown are too high but you get the idea.

12zrgenpost-13723-1420729905_thumb.png

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