jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Thus far, through hour 39, gfs has a similar sharp cutoff near lincoln also Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Maps JC? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Maps JC?http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh287/jnc3985/00zgfs_zps775a8af4.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Solid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LincWeath Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Man that is a sharp cut off, I hate these types of storms! Congrats to those of you in Lincoln you win again, I'm on the short end; tale of this winter for me.I def. wouldn't say congrats Lincoln u won again. We haven't won all year and this may be our one storm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 I def. wouldn't say congrats Lincoln u won again. We haven't won all year and this may be our one stormIn terms of the snow we have had this year and it isn't much, I would say you have won for this part of the state. Ever snow we have had it's been the same story for me, a brush by I have seen half the amounts every time from what Lincoln received. I'm not complaining just not my year... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 If it wasn't for dry air and that hp to the north of us we wouldn't have to worry about such a sharpe cut off in the precip. It won't take much for things to change for everybody; this will literally come down to the day of the event to play out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 My thinking is a band of 6-10 inches right through Lincoln-Omaha and with some 8-14 amounts furthur SE ecp along border into a good chunk of E KS. SW IA looks solid on that 6-10 band to but more advisory type as you head towards DSM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 My thinking is a band of 6-10 inches right through Lincoln-Omaha and with some 8-14 amounts furthur SE ecp along border into a good chunk of E KS. SW IA looks solid on that 6-10 band to but more advisory type as you head towards DSM.Have I mentioned how much I love you lately...? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sludge Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 So KETV Randy in Omaha says, 3-6 and dry slot. Basically story of Omaha, like a lot. LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaBubble Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 So KETV Randy in Omaha says, 3-6 and dry slot. Basically story of Omaha, like a lot. LOL Dry air… not dry slot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 So KETV Randy in Omaha says, 3-6 and dry slot. Basically story of Omaha, like a lot. LOL Dry-slot? I think northern burbs yeah dry air but city south should reach 6+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFanOMA Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm happy with six! Wouldn't say were out of the woods yet, with that cutoff so close it wouldn't take much of a shift to take us out of the running! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LincWeath Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 If it wasn't for dry air and that hp to the north of us we wouldn't have to worry about such a sharpe cut off in the precip. It won't take much for things to change for everybody; this will literally come down to the day of the event to play out.I agree Gabel. This year has been bad for you guys. Really for this entire area but yes Lincoln has probably gotten the best snows out of everywhere in the state minus Nebraska city and Auburn. Those guys are right at average, same with Valentine. Hope you guys can get at least a few inches out of this. Guess time will tell and hope we can put blades on the ground tomorrow night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah Gabel, I feel really bad you're missing out on this for the most part. I'd love to see a NW shift so you could clock in on some good totals. Crossing my fingers for you bro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaBubble Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 My thinking is a band of 6-10 inches right through Lincoln-Omaha and with some 8-14 amounts furthur SE ecp along border into a good chunk of E KS. SW IA looks solid on that 6-10 band to but more advisory type as you head towards DSM.Where do you see this at? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah Gabel, I feel really bad you're missing out on this for the most part. I'd love to see a NW shift so you could clock in on some good totals. Crossing my fingers for you bro. I agree Gabel. This year has been bad for you guys. Really for this entire area but yes Lincoln has probably gotten the best snows out of everywhere in the state minus Nebraska city and Auburn. Those guys are right at average, same with Valentine. Hope you guys can get at least a few inches out of this. Guess time will tell and hope we can put blades on the ground tomorrow night.Thx guys, don't get me wrong I would be fine with 2-4 and you guys 6-10. Just please no shift to the south east and take all of us out of it! I'll take what I get and hopefully by winters end we get a Colorado low that clobbers the entire state. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Guys, can you add your location if you don't mine (if you have not done so already)? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/oax/wx/File.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sludge Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Dry Slot dry air either way pretty much normal for Omaha. Besides I watched the weather after the Super Bowl so my air and slots can be forgiven. lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Final calls boys? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 man, its such a close call for lincoln, but nam still has 6-8" for lincoln Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh287/jnc3985/12znam_zpscf781754.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Local mets continue to downplay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 im going with 4-8 here in lincoln, 3-7 in omaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wonder if Omaha will get a wsw..? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Wonder if Omaha will get a wsw..?im thinking advisory, but with a possibility (if system goes slightly farther north), of a warning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomas9824 Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Hope to see at least 8 inches in Kansas City Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh287/jnc3985/12znamclown_zpsc1086de0.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh287/jnc3985/12zgfs_zpsb7ac9a8e.png looks like lincoln is in the 5.5 to 6 inch area Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Frost Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 With the cold front pushing south during the event the dry air will win out! I'm going with 4.3 inches in Lincoln. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 sticking with my forecast farther up on this page unless Euro is dry again (was not pretty last night 00z ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Frost Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 WSW will be down graded to a WWA with the afternoon Update! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 If you understood the meteorological factors, raw model data, and deformation bands I may give your opinion some credit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 If you understood the meteorological factors, raw model data, and deformation bands I may give your opinion some credit. http://static2.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20130711132208/mk_/images/2/25/Anchorman_well_that_escalated_quickly_966.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWIAWX Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 12z GFS/NAM a touch drier ahead of the system tonight. Ratios should be between 14:1 and 16:1 due to temps in between 15 and 20F throughout. If I were to guess, I'd say about 3-6 inches in Omaha with locally heavier amounts and maybe 5-8 inches in Lincoln where the heavier bands will set up initially later tonight with lesser amounts the further north you go and greater amounts the further south you go. So likely advisory snows for Omaha and Lincoln given the 24 hour period of snowfall, and Winter Storm Warnings for far southern Nebraska, eastern Kansas, and northwest Missouri. Quote Winter 2013-14 Snowfall(Through February 3rd): 10.3 inches*Winter Storm(February 3rd-5th): No Current Watches and Warning, 3-6 inches forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joecoal Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 this is going to kick a** in NE KS...can't wait Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah you are. I think we'll do well in Lincoln too. I bet we'll get an advisory and people around here will freak out. However, I think we will end up with 6-10" total in and around the city. I wouldn't be surprised if banding ends up further north, or further south, hence the broad totals. It really could go either way given that we are literally on the edge of the heavy stuff especially here in downtown. I hope models are wrong and this banding sets up further north, generally models can't pinpoint exactly where they setup, so it's time to just check the radar and HRRR from this point. Going to be a fun one, hopefully. Hope for the best for everyone on this forum! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Well said, it may not be the big one that everyone has wanted, but it will be nice to finally get something more than an inch or two. There is still some hope for this weekend to possibly add a couple inches as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 3, 2014 Report Share Posted February 3, 2014 Lol at the fact they went for WWA for all counties except those who border Kansas, ignorant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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