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East Coast and Gulf Coast Weather Observations for 2015

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#601
iFred

Posted 21 February 2016 - 06:40 AM

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Some strong storms in PA and MD a possibility on Wednesday.

#602
Phil

Posted 21 February 2016 - 08:14 AM

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Pouring here. Definitely a convective nature to the precipitation today.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#603
weatherfan2012

Posted 22 February 2016 - 04:15 PM

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It's pretty funny how a few days ago there were lots of debating going on a possible big snow event this week when the final outcome is a storm that is 600 mails west and possible severe thunderstorms more likey south is the Maine threat.certainly a pretty poor medium range outlook from most models which showed a off shore track to one that we'll west.from this week's debacel it likey wise to go with caution over the next few weeks considering the differcultys the data has been having.Philly has also broke the record of the most 60 and above days in one winter ironically the same winter that produced a big snow storm in January and as phil has stated lots of times it amazing the lack of any real well defound phased systems this winter and the lack of any real true cold.this febuary over all has been weak even for El nino climo stats.one reason maybe that the negative nam just never really locked in after mid late januarys period.

#604
iFred

Posted 23 February 2016 - 09:08 AM

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Weird living in an area that "Crippling March Blizzard" is a realistic thing.

 

Also kind of getting excited for storm season, I will probably chase.



#605
iFred

Posted 24 February 2016 - 12:50 PM

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For the second time in my life, I am under a Tornado Watch.

#606
Phil

Posted 24 February 2016 - 03:06 PM

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Holy f**k.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#607
Phil

Posted 24 February 2016 - 03:12 PM

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Intense microburst here, verified the severe thunderstorm warning easily. Winds well over 60mph and nickel sized hail. Got some pictures/video that I'll post soon.

These were probably the strongest winds I've seen since the microbursts in the summer of 2014. Took off several shingles and snapped a lot of branches in my yard.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#608
Phil

Posted 24 February 2016 - 03:25 PM

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Fred is next, assuming the squall line/QLCS holds together (I don't see any reason why it won't).
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#609
iFred

Posted 24 February 2016 - 07:01 PM

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I saw the bow form on radar, some rotation from the echo, and then the line started to breakup near my house. Looks intense to the north and south of me.

Heard the cloud tops were at 36k feet.

#610
Phil

Posted 24 February 2016 - 07:24 PM

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Some video from here. I chickened out and darted inside when I heard the roar of the wall of wind in the distance, but caught the very beginning of it towards the end of the 2nd video.

Incoming:



Start of microburst.


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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#611
Phil

Posted 24 February 2016 - 07:26 PM

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Aftermath. Lost a few shingles and some limbs. A few trees down in the area, lots of branches.


Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#612
Phil

Posted 24 February 2016 - 07:31 PM

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Some pictures.

My street:

Attached File  image.jpeg   125.71KB   0 downloads

Tree down near Wilson Lane:

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Pine tree snapped near Neelsville Middle School, too blown into another tree where it is currently suspended:

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Radar Archive of bow echo:

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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#613
weatherfan2012

Posted 25 February 2016 - 08:01 AM

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The high light of mid febuary through early march has turned into being warm and severe weather instead of cold and storms.the blocking that we all expected for febuary just never really held together after the mid to late january period.the mid to late january period has ended up being the highlight of the true wintery weather exceap for the wild snow ice to thunderstorm event valentine's it been the true one wonder winter.certainly a strange winter almost an 82-83 vibe.

#614
weatherfan2012

Posted 25 February 2016 - 08:08 AM

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Some pictures.
My street:
attachicon.gifimage.jpeg
Tree down near Wilson Lane:
attachicon.gifimage.jpeg
Pine tree snapped near Neelsville Middle School, too blown into another tree where it is currently suspended:
attachicon.gifimage.jpeg
Radar Archive of bow echo:
attachicon.gifimage.png

impressive pictures phil impressive event for febuary for sure radar reminded me of a summer one then one that looks like febuary the strange winter of 2015-2016 continues

#615
Phil

Posted 25 February 2016 - 09:42 AM

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Nice summary from the capital weather gang. Arguably, as far as areal coverage is concerned, this might've been the most impressive squall line since the derecho of 2012.

https://www.washingt...sdfsdfsdfsdfsdf

While I wouldn't call it a top-tier event (winds topped out between 60-70mph regionwide, which isn't too abnormal) it was still notable due to the time-of year (February) and the areal coverage of the winds. Plus the fact it struck during the heart of the evening rush hour.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#616
Phil

Posted 25 February 2016 - 01:05 PM

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I had no idea how much damage occurred until the sun rise today..my goodness. Looking at the damage in the veil of daylight, it's safe to say these gusts exceeded 80mph, may have surpassed 100mph. I took these pictures within a 1 mile radius here..portions of roofs ripped off, several hundred trees snapped and/or uprooted. A solid 25% of the trees were destroyed.

First two pictures depict hardwood trees snapped like toothpicks. These include oaks and tulip poplars.Attached File  image.jpeg   234.14KB   0 downloadsAttached File  image.jpeg   120.66KB   0 downloads

Portion of roof ripped off this house, tree obliterated:

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Additional damage:

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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#617
Phil

Posted 25 February 2016 - 01:11 PM

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Additional pictures, roofing/siding ripped off, trees down everywhere.

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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#618
Phil

Posted 25 February 2016 - 01:18 PM

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More pictures, just incredible. Easily the strongest storm to strike here since the derecho.

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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#619
Phil

Posted 26 February 2016 - 09:45 AM

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We got our power back today..yay. How did the pioneers survive without our necessary luxuries?
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#620
Snowman5678

Posted 26 February 2016 - 10:09 AM

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d**n, reminds me of what my hill looked like after the hannukah eve windstorm. Trees and destruction everywhere.


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#621
Andie

Posted 26 February 2016 - 10:29 AM

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Great pictures and video.
I experienced a microburst in the 90's. I stood on the deck when a roughly 50mph downward burst on hot air hit and continued for 4 or 5 minutes. The cherry laurels bent and slapped the deck and I decided to ride it out. It was the most amazing weather experience to have your hair blow down like a great fan.

Remember the plane crash at 1986 DFW from a microburst? It altered passenger plane policies.
The plane hit at 10'/second decent.
The last words on the cockpit recorder was the Pilot, a veteran with 29,000 hrs of flying shouted, " Hang on to the son of a *****!"
The pitch went below the glide scope. It took out some cars on the freeway, 2 large water tanks and killed 123 passengers, including the pilot.
https://en.m.wikiped...ines_Flight_191

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem, First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes................. "TwcMan say's...I've got the brass...to ban...your a**." .... TWCMan, the Legend.

#622
weatherfan2012

Posted 26 February 2016 - 06:06 PM

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A strange winter for sure it makes me wonder what happens when we get into the meet of the upcoming solar min end of cycle 24 and into cycles 25 and cycle 26 what the patterns could well look like of course this winter was largely in part played by the strong El nino.

#623
Phil

Posted 27 February 2016 - 09:15 PM

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A strange winter for sure it makes me wonder what happens when we get into the meet of the upcoming solar min end of cycle 24 and into cycles 25 and cycle 26 what the patterns could well look like of course this winter was largely in part played by the strong El nino.


Definitely one of the warmest winters on record, at this point in time.

It'll be awhile before Spring truly takes hold, though. Early final warming/seasonal flow reversal in the polar stratosphere, coupled with MT/WPAC subsidence/W-IO forcing plus a fading Niño background will keep things cold and nasty through at least mid/late March, though brief warmups are easier to come by at this time of year.

I think Spring arrives fully starting between April 1-10. From that point, we've got like 7-8 weeks of comfortable temperatures to enjoy before the Bermuda High takes over and delivers the soup of sweaty doom.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#624
iFred

Posted 01 March 2016 - 03:24 AM

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Some possible wet snow for Philly on Thursday night, again on Sunday too. It looks like after that event we will be staring down the barrel of Spring. 38F° and partly cloudy in Ambler, PA.

#625
iFred

Posted 02 March 2016 - 03:21 AM

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6z looks great for snow in DC and Philly. 5 inches of heavy wet snow.

#626
Phil

Posted 02 March 2016 - 04:40 AM

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Howling wind this morning. Gusts 40-50mph areawide.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#627
Phil

Posted 02 March 2016 - 08:37 AM

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Winds tore up our gutter helmets last night:

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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#628
Phil

Posted 02 March 2016 - 11:45 AM

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Looks like a few WxBug stations gusted above 60mph last night/early this morning. I wish we had better-sited stations nearby here..most are close to large trees. My station is still out of commission due to a broken magnetic reed switch on the anemometer.

Looks like our ~130lb grill blew 15 feet across the deck..snapping the gas hose out of the pipe connector in the process. Scattered siding/gutter damage also noticeable around the neighborhood, including ours. Obviously, last week's microburst "darwinized" the trees here. Not even a single twig down.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#629
Phil

Posted 03 March 2016 - 01:31 PM

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Snow has begun here, falling lightly. Temperature currently at 40 degrees but wetbulbing will be efficient.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#630
Phil

Posted 03 March 2016 - 08:13 PM

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Approaching 1" as of 11pm. Definitely the most "scenic" snowfall of the season so far...sticking to every twig.

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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#631
Phil

Posted 04 March 2016 - 07:10 AM

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Beautiful scene out there this morning. Finished with about 1.5" of snow, which puts us over 40" for the season. Awesome to go from a severe weather outbreak one week to snowfall the next week. Might see some more snow Saturday night with the clipper.

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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#632
Phil

Posted 04 March 2016 - 07:16 AM

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This also extends March's recent dominance over December as a "winter" month. March has featured more snowfall than December in 6 out of the last 9 winters, and one of the exceptions was a year where neither featured any snowfall (2011-12). December has been fading into oblivion as a winter month in the averages since the 1990s.

The November 15 - January 15 period has seemingly morphed into an extended autumn, while the January 15 - March 15 period has become the "new" winter. Seems they're having the opposite problem on the west coast, where winter blows its load in November/December and develops E.D. by January.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#633
Phil

Posted 06 March 2016 - 10:13 AM

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Had a burst of heavy snow last night, very large flake aggregates approached golfball size but was too warm for substantial accumulation. Probably the last event of the season unless we score a late-March bomb, 1958 style.

There will be a return to a nasty/cold pattern later this month following the return of IO forcing in conjunction with the effects of the early final warming given the reduced wave spacing, but it takes a lot to get a blizzard once into the final week of March. We did manage a cold snowstorm in the middle of March back in 2014, so I guess there's room to work with, but we'll be pushing the limits of what is possible.

After that, we have 5-8 weeks to enjoy comfortable temperatures, flowers, and occasional severe weather before the soup arrives.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#634
weatherfan2012

Posted 06 March 2016 - 05:48 PM

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Snow in mid late March is kind of useless any way as even if we did get a decent blast it would pretty much melt in a day or so after it all fell due to the the strong sun angel which is very noticeable in mid late march.unless it's one like 2014 where it super cold I just perfer it not to snow now really more of an annoyance.April though June tends to be nice.starting late june-August is when the true heat misery begins as you said.