May Observations and Discussion

[Geos]

Lake breeze weakened a little. Up near 80° at home. 

 

California even seen some rain and snow today.

[Hawkeye]

Picked up another 0.40" of rain late this afternoon as a potent cell popped up along a line just before moving over me.  There was not much lightning, but the wind gusted to 40+ mph.  That puts me at 2 inches for the week.

[james1976]

Sunday is looking more and more ominous around here. And after the system moves thru it looks like 50s and 60s for highs. Pretty interesting Spring so far.

[Maxim]

Could tag 80 again on Sunday depending on where the low tracks and when the warm front lifts through the area.

[Geos]

1.4" today and still pouring rain out there. Had some pretty good lightning as the convection rolled in at 5pm.

 

Ominous looking clouds over Kenosha on the way home.

 

 

High of 80° today.

[Tom]

Pretty significant Mother's Day weekend late Spring storm across the central CONUS.  WSW's up in near the Rockies/Black Hills with 1-2Feet of powder...Meanwhile, Tornado/Flood Watches hoisted in the central Plains...lots of weather action taking place for sure.

[Seahawkfan]

All t he ingredients are there for fireworks on Mother's day. The million dollar question will the trigger be able to set it off.

[Maxim]

Euro showing almost a ring of fire type pattern by next weekend...

[Tom]

The Super Bowl storm part of the LRC cycling on through this weekend.  Blizzard Warning's were upgraded near Rapid City, SD....

 

Blizzard Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
241 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...STRONG SPRING SNOW STORM TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM EASTERN COLORADO TO
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA ON SUNDAY. RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BECOME ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT. HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE
FROM EAST CENTRAL WYOMING INTO NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA. ON THE
PLAINS...SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 IS EXPECTED...WITH ONE TO TWO
FEET OF SNOW FOR THE BLACK HILLS.

A WIDE RANGE OF SNOW TOTALS IS EXPECTED FOR NORTHEAST
WYOMING...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS THE FURTHER YOU GO NORTHWEST OF
GILLETTE.

A WIDE RANGE OF SNOW AMOUNTS IS ALSO EXPECTED THE CLOSER YOU GET
TO CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FOR
HAAKON...JACKSON..AND BENNETT COUNTIES WILL BE ON THE RIDGES WITH
LESS SNOW IN THE RIVER BOTTOMS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL ALSO BE
DEPENDENT ON HOW FAST THE RAIN CHANGES OVER TO SNOW...THE
INTENSITY AND DURATION OF THE SNOWFALL... IN THIS AREA.

SDZ012-013-031-073-100445-
/O.CAN.KUNR.WS.W.0003.150510T0000Z-150511T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KUNR.BZ.W.0001.150510T0000Z-150511T0000Z/
BUTTE-NORTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS-
SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLE FOURCHE...FAITH...WALL...
UNION CENTER
241 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RAPID CITY HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MDT
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...AND THEN INCREASE TO 30
TO 40 MPH FOR SUNDAY. WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH WILL OCCUR
THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY.

* MAIN HAZARD...9 TO 15 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. THE
STRONG WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL RESULT IN BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS FROM HEAVY SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW. THE HEAVY SNOW COULD ALSO DOWN TREE BRANCHES WHICH
MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. THE SNOW AND WIND WILL LEAVE
CALVES AND LAMBS VULNERABLE TO HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
AND STRONG WIND WILL CREATE DANGEROUS WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

[Geos]

Pretty crazy for South Dakota tonight and tomorrow, but not unheard of in May. Their snowiest part of the year is Spring, but it's usually in March and April more or less.

 

High of 60° today at midnight. 1.78" of rain fell yesterday into the morning. Yearly total up to 10.49" now.

[Tom]

@ CentralNebraskaWx, looks like a Tornado Warning popped near Holdrege.  Was it near you???

[CentralNebWeather]

Sorry, for my absence son's birthday yesterday. Tornado spotted 7 miles south of holdrege and our sirens went off. We went to our basement storm room for about 20 minutes. Have not heard reports of damage so I will do some checking. Got a very heavy downpour for about 20 minutes.

 

Heard that Chadron Nebraska Had 14-15 inches of snow as of 7 am this morning. That is in the extreme northwest panhandle of Nebraska.

[Geos]

What crappy weather for Mother's Day around here. 46°, with borderline dense fog and drizzle. 

 

Saw some near 15" amounts in the central Black Hills ending at 6am-7am this morning!

[Hawkeye]

The warm front that was going to surge north  across Iowa this morning has not done so.  We are cloudy and cool.  It's pretty good for planting annuals in the garden.

[Seahawkfan]

Storm's are a coming Looks like the warm front was delayed.

[james1976]

Storms really lining up and heading this way now. Dont know if there will be much sever though. Been cloudy and cool. Crazy stuff in SD!

[Geos]

That NNE breeze is really blowing in the fog and drizzle today. Warm front probably won't pass until tomorrow morning by the looks of it.

[Seahawkfan]

Yup Cloudy morning temperature has quickly sky rocked into the mid 70 with mid 60 dew points. Nice line of storm's coming Not sure they be severe though

[Seahawkfan]

Today's shaping up to be a pretty major bust weather wise Actually pretty happy it has busted hate to see any servere weather especially on Mother's day.

[Hawkeye]

Picked up a quarter inch from the low-end showers and storms that just passed.  There just wasn't any CAPE available after a cloudy, cool day.

[Geos]

Fog all day today here. Had about 4 or 5 rumbles of thunder here and a wave of rain a few minutes ago. It did touch 50° today - 95% of the day in the 40s though.

 

Looks like the warm front is hung up from just north of Peoria to Kankakee currently.

[Hawkeye]

 

Fog all day today here. Had about 4 or 5 rumbles of thunder here and a wave of rain a few minutes ago. It did touch 50° today - 95% of the day in the 40s though.

 

Looks like the warm front is hung up from just north of Peoria to Kankakee currently.

 

40s on May 10th?  Yuck!

[NEJeremy]

I have my video edited and uploaded! Video is of two of the tornadoes I saw last Wednesday May 6th in north central Kansas. Had issues with my camera fogging up on the second tornado, so it's a bit choppy where I cut out parts. Watch in HD too!

 

[Tom]

Nice to see the high Plains get soaked over the next 10 days...should ease the drought conditions up there...

 

 

[james1976]

Only .22" all weekend. Nothing like they were saying. Everything tracked further west than anticipated.

[Maxim]

Finally some offshore flow... I can't recall a spring that had as many strong onshore flow days as this one. Not even last year.

[Geos]

40s on May 10th?  Yuck!

 

Yeah it was real Yuck!

Even now it kind of is. Up above 60° at least though. Borderline foggy conditions with drizzle currently.

 

Cooler with dense fog hugging the lakeshore at Racine.

[Seahawkfan]

Major bust here yesterday as well got a brief heavy rain shower with a couple rumbles of Thunder was all we got. All the excitement was well west of me.

[NEJeremy]

Crazy!  How close were you to the second tornado?

I would have to guess around a quarter mile or a little closer

[NEJeremy]

Here are some of my pics from my chase on May 6th

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Geos]

Awesome video and pictures NEJeremy! Really like those last two.

Yeah I was going to guess a 1/3 mile or so. You were pretty close!

 

---

Funny about today - it was warmer after the cold front passed then before it! High of 69°. 0.27" of rain in the last 24 hours.

[Hawkeye]

Nice video.  Even though I've always been a severe weather geek, I've never had the desire to go chasing myself so I've never seen a tornado.

[Tom]

Like last year, the Polar regions seem to be heading towards another cooler than normal summer up near the arctic....less ice should melt this summer...would like to see what the AGW crowd has to say about this.

 

http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/meanT_2015(1).png

[james1976]

Like last year, the Polar regions seem to be heading towards another cooler than normal summer up near the arctic....less ice should melt this summer...would like to see what the AGW crowd has to say about this.

 

http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/meanT_2015(1).png

Tom, what could this mean for our weather?

[james1976]

Its been chilly, cloudy and windy here the past couple days. I know its only May but I'm starting to wonder if we will see a cool/wet summer. A few years ago (2010 i think) it was very cool and wet and it continued into the Winter. Leaves were already changing in August.

[gosaints]

Like last year, the Polar regions seem to be heading towards another cooler than normal summer up near the arctic....less ice should melt this summer...would like to see what the AGW crowd has to say about this.

 

http://www.weatherbell.com/images/imguploader/images/meanT_2015(1).png

Mini ice age right?  2014 was only the warmest year on the planet in the modern record

[james1976]

Will the typhoon that hit the Philippines have any impact on our weather?

[Maxim]

Its been chilly, cloudy and windy here the past couple days. I know its only May but I'm starting to wonder if we will see a cool/wet summer. A few years ago (2010 i think) it was very cool and wet and it continued into the Winter. Leaves were already changing in August.

This Spring has been NOTHING like the last two springs on a regional scale. March was an absolute torch for the plains, and now it's looking like May will be a torch for the East Coast. Yeah, we've been wet, but that doesn't mean anything. You can still get heat with wet soils. It might be tempered a bit, but dews would end up being higher, so it really wouldn't be too much different. You're thinking of 2009 that had the cool summer, 2010 was quite warm.

[Maxim]

Will the typhoon that hit the Philippines have any impact on our weather?

Potential downstream effects which could mean warmth for the eastern half of the nation, and a strong western trough. I don't see it having too big of an impact, though. Not every typhoon has an effect on our weather.

[Tom]

Mini ice age right?  2014 was only the warmest year on the planet in the modern record

2015 will see a spike in global temps bc of the El Nino.  10-15 years down the road, we'll see who is right about where global temps are heading.  Solar cycles, oceanic cycles and ultimately the weather will be the judge and not man-made CO2.

 

Will the typhoon that hit the Philippines have any impact on our weather?

There is another Tyhpoon that is supposed to re-curve off the East Asian coast in the 6-10 day range.  Using this Theory, it is lining up darn close to a cooler/wet pattern near the Lakes using the LRC.