Jump to content

February 2014, non-sun angle affected, Arctic forecast contest

Deweydog

By Deweydog
in West of the Rockies

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 64
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

Deweydog
Deweydog

Kevin Martin. 

TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

PDX


2/4: 41/27


2/5: 37/24


2/6: 32/21


2/7: 34/15


2/8: 31/23  (4" of snow)


 


SEA


2/4: 37/26


2/5: 36/23


2/6: 35/21


2/7: 34/20


2/8: 33/26  (4" of snow)


**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

PDX

2/4: 41/27

2/5: 37/24

2/6: 32/21

2/7: 34/15

2/8: 31/23  (4" of snow)

 

SEA

2/4: 37/26

2/5: 36/23

2/6: 35/21

2/7: 34/20

2/8: 33/26  (4" of snow)

I will be absolutely shocked if SEA doesn't have at least one high below freezing in spite of the horrible warm bias they have developed.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

Sun angle isn't that big of a deal in early Feb. I will admit it is more of a factor after the 15th or so.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Updated:


 


PDX


2/4: 42/28


2/5: 36/23


2/6: 34/20


2/7: 36/19


2/8: 40/21  (increasing clouds with flurries by evening)


 


SEA


2/4: 36/26


2/5: 35/22


2/6: 33/20


2/7: 34/18


2/8: 39/23  (increasing clouds and light snow by evening) 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites
BLI snowman Grand Master

BLI snowman

Posted
Posted

 

Updated:

 

PDX

2/4: 42/28

2/5: 36/23

2/6: 34/20

2/7: 36/19

2/8: 40/21  (increasing clouds with flurries by evening)

 

SEA

2/4: 36/26

2/5: 35/22

2/6: 33/20

2/7: 34/18

2/8: 39/23  (increasing clouds and light snow by evening) 

 

 

This is just dumb, dude.

 

Highs above freezing, especially at outflow afflicted PDX, isn't going to happen with an airmass this cold. Outflow prone locations are going to have 40-50mph wind gusts in the day on Wednesday. The daytime highs won't peak above 30. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

This is just dumb, dude.

 

Highs above freezing, especially at outflow afflicted PDX, isn't going to happen with an airmass this cold. Outflow prone locations are going to have 40-50mph wind gusts in the day on Wednesday. The daytime highs won't peak above 30. 

 

 

Whatever... let it roll.     We will see how close I am.

 

I still can change it before midnight.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

BLI:

 

Tue: 29-19

Wed: 27-14

Thu: 26-12

Fri: 28-14

Sat: 30-22 (Like, lots of snow)

Sun: 32-28 (Like, some more snow.)

Too warm.

 

I'm thinking the Fraser outflow winds will be blowing at about 10 degrees at the coldest point. It will be much more impressive than the December event up there.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

Final guess:

 

PDX

 

2/4: 40/25

2/5: 29/18

2/6: 31/15

2/7: 34/14

2/8: 34/25 with 2" of snow

 

SEA

 

2/4: 37/24

2/5: 31/18

2/6: 33/17

2/7: 36/19

2/8: 37/26 with 2" of snow

 

You should do BLI also.  The WRF shows Fraser outflow winds blowing at about 14 degrees at the coldest point.  That is pretty serious cold, although it has blown colder in the past.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

FINAL BABY!     Wait until Saturday to rip on me.   


 


PDX


2/4: 41/27


2/5: 36/22


2/6: 34/19


2/7: 38/20


2/8: 40/21  (increasing clouds with light snow by evening)


 


SEA


2/4: 37/25


2/5: 36/22


2/6: 34/20


2/7: 35/19


2/8: 38/24  (increasing clouds and light snow by evening) 


**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted

 

FINAL BABY!     Wait until Saturday to rip on me.   

 

PDX

2/4: 41/27

2/5: 36/22

2/6: 34/19

2/7: 38/20

2/8: 40/21  (increasing clouds with light snow by evening)

 

SEA

2/4: 37/25

2/5: 36/22

2/6: 34/20

2/7: 35/19

2/8: 38/24  (increasing clouds and light snow by evening) 

 

 

What made you go so ridiculously warm?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
BLI snowman Grand Master

BLI snowman

Posted
Posted

 

FINAL BABY!     Wait until Saturday to rip on me.   

 

PDX

2/4: 41/27

2/5: 36/22

2/6: 34/19

2/7: 38/20

2/8: 40/21  (increasing clouds with light snow by evening)

 

SEA

2/4: 37/25

2/5: 36/22

2/6: 34/20

2/7: 35/19

2/8: 38/24  (increasing clouds and light snow by evening) 

 

 

Portland's not going to be warmer than Seattle with this. Look at an east wind map. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Portland's not going to be warmer than Seattle with this. Look at an east wind map. 

 

 

Yeah... don't follow PDX too much so I might be off there.    GFS MOS does well for Seattle.    The east wind is a wild card... does it keep the temp up?    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites
TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Wednesday:

 

PDX: 29/21

SEA: 31/22

 

Brrrrrrr!!!

 

 

Yeah... nobody had blizzard conditions in Portland for Thursday.    Total bust!

 

This one turned out completely impossible to forecast.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites
TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Everyone will still be WAY closer with temps than you, though. :)

 

Nobody saw this playing out like it did.    Cold biases ruled though given how it has gone so far.   :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 7261

      Polite Politics

      It’ll be interesting for certain but reminds me a bit of watching an auto collision in slo-mo. People have forgotten how to play nice in their own back yards. Food fight!
      Andie in Off Topic
    2. 7261

      Polite Politics

      More hate-watching for our favorite troll: Outstanding interview. I loved the back and forth with Jon's points about the U.S. being total hypocrites about our stated goals and framed arguments for our actions, and David's simple response is "And so we've got to make a really hard and bad choice, which is, do we want to be the one trying to-- to fill that void with our technology and our principles, understanding that we violate them all the time? Or do we want to let an authoritarian regime go fill that space, which we know how that's going to look?" A simple yet incredibly hard to refute response. We are the most benevolent imperialist power. We f*ck up a lot of stuff around the world, but do you want them to fix things or us? The other interesting point that is pretty obvious is that China will throw as much as it can into catching up to TSMC, whether it is by ingenuity or theft, and as soon as they are, Taiwan is theirs. Will the U.S. go to war over that? Dunno. There's no going back to fix our mistakes, and competition is really heating up around the world. The next few decades are going to be very interesting.
      • 2
      • Like
      roadtonowhere08 in Off Topic
    3. 1452

      April 2024 Weather in the PNW

      Saw this thing in Moab. Not sure if it’s a Tesla but it sure is hideous.
      • 1
      • Sick
      SilverFallsAndrew in West of the Rockies
    4. 6996

      West Coast Sports Talk and Other Banter

      They know that their dad did it.
      MossMan in West of the Rockies
    5. 1452

      April 2024 Weather in the PNW

      Ensembles look a little better for rainfall chances later this week than the operational. Although the trend lately has been for everything to warm up and dry out as it approaches so it wouldn’t surprise me to see this meet the same fate.
      • 2
      • Sun
      • Popcorn
      Cascadia_Wx in West of the Rockies
×
×
  • Create New...