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November 2015 in the Pacific Northwest

snow cold rain wind storm
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#51
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2015 - 09:44 PM

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NAM MOS has 48 at SEA on Tuesday.

#52
luminen

Posted 01 November 2015 - 10:06 PM

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It's been raining here in biblical proportions tonight. I wonder what the rain gauge will read tomorrow. The visibility was down quite a bit while driving tonight.

 

Major flooding at some intersections in Vancouver and Burnaby tonight. It seems to have stopped raining finally...



#53
stuffradio

Posted 01 November 2015 - 10:27 PM

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Major flooding at some intersections in Vancouver and Burnaby tonight. It seems to have stopped raining finally...

It stopped here for a while, but it started again about 10-20 minutes ago.



#54
Deweydog

Posted 01 November 2015 - 11:19 PM

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Hmmm...did you say something similar last year when they were 3-3 or was that someone else? If not for mostly bad luck the Seahawks could very well be at 7-1 or even 8-0. We still have what it takes to go back to the big game like last year.


They could and should be 3-5.

When they were 3-3 last year they were still essentially the team I thought was going to go 15-1, or at least 14-2. Big difference.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#55
Phil

Posted 02 November 2015 - 05:20 AM

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Image below.

Notice the 60E/IO forcing coming to life. Significant intraseasonal wave will allow low W-Hem AAM integral/-PNA to continue through at least November 15th. Watch for poleward wave amplification mid-month if wave survives low-freq ENSO subsidence over Indonesian domain.

While I suspect the CFS is failing to propagate the VP200 reflection sufficiently, this is definitely a notable event. Jesse and Jim should be happy.

Attached File  image.png   358.4KB   1 downloads
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#56
Front Ranger

Posted 02 November 2015 - 09:19 AM

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Not likely.

Historical daily averages will be dipping below 50 soon. That's a lot for Redding Jr. (PDX) to keep up with. Don't pressure the little guy!

 

I didn't say PDX. I said most places. That would include most places that are not PDX.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#57
Jesse

Posted 02 November 2015 - 10:37 AM

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I didn't say PDX. I said most places. That would include most places that are not PDX.

But not most places that aren't OLM.

In the running for their latest freeze on record. That's gotta sting.

#58
Front Ranger

Posted 02 November 2015 - 12:14 PM

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But not most places that aren't OLM.

In the running for their latest freeze on record. That's gotta sting.


Most places is most places. For some reason you interpreted that through a PDX only lens. Weird.

Why would that sting? I live closer to PDX than OLM. ;)
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Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#59
ShawniganLake

Posted 02 November 2015 - 02:11 PM

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Definitely feels cool and November-like here today. Upper 40's with partly sunny skies and a breezy NE wind this afternoon.

#60
Jesse

Posted 02 November 2015 - 02:18 PM

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Most places is most places. For some reason you interpreted that through a PDX only lens. Weird.

Why would that sting? I live closer to PDX than OLM. ;)


The warm anomalies are being felt even in the heart of the -PDO sanctuary!

Nowhere is safe.
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#61
Front Ranger

Posted 02 November 2015 - 02:24 PM

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The warm anomalies are being felt even in the heart of the -PDO sanctuary!

Nowhere is safe.

 

Indeed. 

 

Of course, if one compares the number of record warm months in recent years at PDX to OLM, one will still find a bit of a difference. The evils of AGW may have spread everywhere, but not the evils of UHI.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#62
Jesse

Posted 02 November 2015 - 03:11 PM

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Indeed.

Of course, if one compares the number of record warm months in recent years at PDX to OLM, one will still find a bit of a difference. The evils of AGW may have spread everywhere, but not the evils of UHI.

Honestly though, how does the count compare at OLM? Have there been any?

I haven't looked yet (classes taking up lots of time) but did any other major stations bedsides PDX see another record warm Oct? I have to imagine they did given how widespread the warmth was throughout the western U.S.

#63
Eujunga

Posted 02 November 2015 - 05:16 PM

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I haven't looked yet (classes taking up lots of time) but did any other major stations bedsides PDX see another record warm Oct? I have to imagine they did given how widespread the warmth was throughout the western U.S.

 

In Oregon at least, Eugene and Roseburg had record warmest Octobers this year.  Medford tied with 1988 (61.9º) and Salem was just a tad cooler than in 1901 (which is so long ago that you have to wonder about thermometer accuracy).

 

Farther south, stations just about everywhere throughout California had a record warmest October.  Many records were smashed by a significant margin.  Redding, Sacramento, San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Diego, and many surrounding stations all had their warmest October ever.


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#64
Front Ranger

Posted 02 November 2015 - 06:13 PM

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Honestly though, how does the count compare at OLM? Have there been any?

I haven't looked yet (classes taking up lots of time) but did any other major stations bedsides PDX see another record warm Oct? I have to imagine they did given how widespread the warmth was throughout the western U.S.

 

I think it's like 8 to 3, PDX to OLM for the past 18 months? Something close to that.

 

As far as Oct 2015, PDX was one of the only long term stations north of Salem that saw a record warm month. The vast majority did not.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#65
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 02 November 2015 - 06:23 PM

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Looks like the 18z GFS trended drier. 


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#66
MossMan

Posted 02 November 2015 - 06:47 PM

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Already down to 41 degrees here at my house. Brrrr.

#67
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 05:42 AM

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Already down to 41 degrees here at my house. Brrrr.


 

Clear skies filled in here and radar shows showers now. This pattern does not allow for real breaks between systems. Models show clouds and various amounts of precip for the next 10-14 days at least. As soon as one system exits... the next one is pushing in up here. OR might see more clear skies in between.



#68
MossMan

Posted 03 November 2015 - 07:22 AM

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39 degree light rain currently!

#69
Jesse

Posted 03 November 2015 - 07:56 AM

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Nice to see lots of areas in the I-5 corridor in the 30s this morning. PDX hit 40, which is their lowest temp of the season so far. Tonight looks like it has the potential to be a few degrees colder.

#70
Jesse

Posted 03 November 2015 - 08:31 AM

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Amazingly, PDX's low of 40 this morning was their first temperature of 40 or lower since April 16th. 

 

Yesterday's high of 58 was their first high that cool since May 12th.



#71
IbrChris

Posted 03 November 2015 - 09:55 AM

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Looks like a low of 38 forecast for PDX tonight, P10 of 35. Good chance the 'burbs see a bit of frost.


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The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die.


#72
Tyler Mode

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:07 AM

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We had clouds here in Battle Ground which kept my min temp at 42. 



#73
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:11 AM

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12Z ECMWF trending way better.     Be nice to actually have a couple dry days with clear skies at some point.



#74
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:37 AM

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12Z ECMWF trending way better.     Be nice to actually have a couple dry days with clear skies at some point.

 

When you say better I now know you mean "worse."


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Snowfall

2017-18: 30.0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#75
Jesse

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:40 AM

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When you say better I now know you mean "worse."

 

We are understandably starved for sunshine after being pummeled with relentless rain and mountain snow the last few years.

 

Nice to hear we might finally have a break coming up.


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#76
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:52 AM

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When you say better I now know you mean "worse."

 

 

Not really.

 

Can't get frosty nights without clear skies.   

 

This is not a bad pattern... something the cold freaks can love as well.    I like it because its rained about half a foot here in the last week.   

 

msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%

 

We certainly do not need more rain up here.   Reservoirs have filled up to normal levels and its been very wet overall.   And its just the start of the rainy season.    

 

It does not have to rain non-stop.  



#77
stuffradio

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:59 AM

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We are understandably starved for sunshine after being pummeled with relentless rain and mountain snow the last few years.

 

Nice to hear we might finally have a break coming up.

I hear the warmth we've been having has been destroying everything! No plant in sight...



#78
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 12:04 PM

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I hear the warmth we've been having has been destroying everything! No plant in sight...

It's become pretty silly on here lately.

Nature goes in cycles. The panic and fear mongering is just stupid. Really stupid. We had a miserable period from 2010-12. A nice period from 2013-15 and I am sure another miserable coming up.  And we don't control any of it!  

News flash... the climate goes through different phases and life adapts just fine. The next ice age will actually destroy all vegetation so we have that coming up!

I just read that the Orcas in the Sound are thriving. How is that possible in this apocalyptic nightmare of pleasant weather lately??


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#79
Jesse

Posted 03 November 2015 - 12:05 PM

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Still 52 at noon. What a gorgeously cool, crisp day.



#80
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 03 November 2015 - 12:16 PM

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Not really.

 

Can't get frosty nights without clear skies.   

 

This is not a bad pattern... something the cold freaks can love as well.    I like it because its rained about half a foot here in the last week.   

 

msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%

 

We certainly do not need more rain up here.   Reservoirs have filled up to normal levels and its been very wet overall.   And its just the start of the rainy season.    

 

It does not have to rain non-stop.  

 

Yeah that looks good. Here in Oregon we need the rain badly. Many of the reservoirs in the Cascade foothills are at all time low levels. The Corps has indicated they will not change their normal practice of holding back water until March 1st, so snowpack and spring rains will be key. 


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#81
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 12:18 PM

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Yeah that looks good. Here in Oregon we need the rain badly. Many of the reservoirs in the Cascade foothills are at all time low levels. The Corps has indicated they will not change their normal practice of holding back water until March 1st, so snowpack and spring rains will be key. 

 

Look at the jump in the main Seattle reservoir...

 

USGS.12115900.01.62614..20150701.2015110

 

Back to almost normal now... but next year is dependent on snowfall over the winter.    Not worried about drought up here at all.    We did really good through this dry spell per Cliff Mass.



#82
catnip

Posted 03 November 2015 - 03:19 PM

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Look at the jump in the main Seattle reservoir...

 

USGS.12115900.01.62614..20150701.2015110

 

Back to almost normal now... but next year is dependent on snowfall over the winter.    Not worried about drought up here at all.    We did really good through this dry spell per Cliff Mass.

 

Reservoir levels up here are looking much better as well. Running higher than this time in 2014 and 2013.

 

And this is before all the rain we have had the last little while.

 

Attached File  reservoirlevels.png   58.08KB   0 downloads



#83
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 03:32 PM

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Reservoir levels up here are looking much better as well. Running higher than this time in 2014 and 2013.

 

And this is before all the rain we have had the last little while.

 

attachicon.gifreservoirlevels.png

 

 

Solidly normal... and maybe above normal after the deluge this past weekend.

 

Not the end of the world as we know it maybe?    :lol:



#84
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 03:36 PM

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Clearing up here after pretty much a week straight of clouds and copious rain.

 

November started a few days early this year.    



#85
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 04:48 PM

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Seattle cleared out... its a small miracle!

 

seattle.jpg

 

seattle2.jpg



#86
MossMan

Posted 03 November 2015 - 06:00 PM

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Down to 39 degrees under clear skies...could have a good shot at some frost tomorrow morning.
And yeah at least for the Puget Sound area the drought is a thing of the past, many fields in this area are still under water from all the rain.

#87
Jesse

Posted 03 November 2015 - 06:28 PM

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You guys are all in our thoughts up there. #pugetsoundstrong

#88
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 03 November 2015 - 06:32 PM

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It was a beautiful evening with a gorgeous sunset. 


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#89
Deweydog

Posted 03 November 2015 - 06:34 PM

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It's become pretty silly on here lately.

Nature goes in cycles. The panic and fear mongering is just stupid. Really stupid. We had a miserable period from 2010-12. A nice period from 2013-15 and I am sure another miserable coming up. And we don't control any of it!

News flash... the climate goes through different phases and life adapts just fine. The next ice age will actually destroy all vegetation so we have that coming up!

I just read that the Orcas in the Sound are thriving. How is that possible in this apocalyptic nightmare of pleasant weather lately??


You telling people to settle down.

Funny.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#90
bainbridgekid

Posted 03 November 2015 - 06:48 PM

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It was 41 degrees when I left work at 5:30 today. That's the coldest it's been walking to my car by almost 10 degrees.

Felt invigorating today. Hoping for some frost in the morning!
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Mountlake Terrace 2017-18 snowfall:

 

11/3: 0.25"

11/5: 0.25"

12/24: 4"

2/18: 0.5"

2/21: 1"

2/25: 1"

3/23: 0.25"

 

Total: 7.25"

 

 


#91
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 07:08 PM

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You telling people to settle down.

Funny.

And it's very fitting here. You know it's bad when even I have to speak up. :)

#92
Deweydog

Posted 03 November 2015 - 07:29 PM

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And it's very fitting here. You know it's bad when even I have to speak up. :)


It's not that bad aside from the guy you're supposedly "ignoring."

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#93
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 07:35 PM

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It's not that bad aside from the guy you're supposedly "ignoring."

Exactly. Not bad at all otherwise.

d**n quotes!

#94
Deweydog

Posted 03 November 2015 - 07:45 PM

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Exactly. Not bad at all otherwise.

D**n quotes!


Words cut very deep.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#95
Jesse

Posted 03 November 2015 - 07:58 PM

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Delightfully crisp out this evening!
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#96
Front Ranger

Posted 03 November 2015 - 08:42 PM

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I can feel the normalish temps and lack of drought from here.

Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#97
luminen

Posted 03 November 2015 - 08:49 PM

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It was a beautiful evening with a gorgeous sunset. 

 

It was nice here too...

 

Note the timestamp...4:29pm  <_<

Attached Files


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#98
Abbotsford_wx

Posted 03 November 2015 - 09:45 PM

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It's down to 39 here already.



#99
stuffradio

Posted 03 November 2015 - 09:49 PM

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It's 38 here. Very torchy.



#100
TT-SEA

Posted 03 November 2015 - 09:50 PM

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It was nice here too...

 

Note the timestamp...4:29pm  <_<

 

Another month and we have already reached the earliest sunset.   







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