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November 2015 in the Pacific Northwest


MikeInEverett

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Defense actually stepped up and won a close game. Much nicer going into the bye week at 4-4. Would have been a long 2 weeks if we had to watch Dan Bailey win it with a 55 yard field goal and fall to 3-5.

Garbage game. Two teams going nowhere in the second half.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Garbage game. Two teams going nowhere in the second half.

 

 

Two points...

 

1) They actually had a sustained drive when they needed it at the end of the game using up 5 minutes and taking the lead.

 

2) The defense stood up and did not allow them to get the 30 yards they needed to try a field goal.

 

 

Those are improvements.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Garbage game. Two teams going nowhere in the second half.

Hmmm...did you say something similar last year when they were 3-3 or was that someone else? If not for mostly bad luck the Seahawks could very well be at 7-1 or even 8-0. We still have what it takes to go back to the big game like last year.

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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I would take the Seahawks losing every game for the next 30 years if it meant we could have 1945-1975 WX in that period. :wub:

 

Heck, I would take them losing every game for the next 30 years even if it didn't. Great thing about not caring about a silly sports team. :)

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It's been raining here in biblical proportions tonight. I wonder what the rain gauge will read tomorrow. The visibility was down quite a bit while driving tonight.

 

Major flooding at some intersections in Vancouver and Burnaby tonight. It seems to have stopped raining finally...

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Hmmm...did you say something similar last year when they were 3-3 or was that someone else? If not for mostly bad luck the Seahawks could very well be at 7-1 or even 8-0. We still have what it takes to go back to the big game like last year.

They could and should be 3-5.

 

When they were 3-3 last year they were still essentially the team I thought was going to go 15-1, or at least 14-2. Big difference.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Image below.

 

Notice the 60E/IO forcing coming to life. Significant intraseasonal wave will allow low W-Hem AAM integral/-PNA to continue through at least November 15th. Watch for poleward wave amplification mid-month if wave survives low-freq ENSO subsidence over Indonesian domain.

 

While I suspect the CFS is failing to propagate the VP200 reflection sufficiently, this is definitely a notable event. Jesse and Jim should be happy.

 

image.png

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Most places is most places. For some reason you interpreted that through a PDX only lens. Weird.

 

Why would that sting? I live closer to PDX than OLM. ;)

The warm anomalies are being felt even in the heart of the -PDO sanctuary!

 

Nowhere is safe.

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The warm anomalies are being felt even in the heart of the -PDO sanctuary!

 

Nowhere is safe.

 

Indeed. 

 

Of course, if one compares the number of record warm months in recent years at PDX to OLM, one will still find a bit of a difference. The evils of AGW may have spread everywhere, but not the evils of UHI.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Indeed.

 

Of course, if one compares the number of record warm months in recent years at PDX to OLM, one will still find a bit of a difference. The evils of AGW may have spread everywhere, but not the evils of UHI.

Honestly though, how does the count compare at OLM? Have there been any?

 

I haven't looked yet (classes taking up lots of time) but did any other major stations bedsides PDX see another record warm Oct? I have to imagine they did given how widespread the warmth was throughout the western U.S.

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Honestly though, how does the count compare at OLM? Have there been any?

 

I haven't looked yet (classes taking up lots of time) but did any other major stations bedsides PDX see another record warm Oct? I have to imagine they did given how widespread the warmth was throughout the western U.S.

 

I think it's like 8 to 3, PDX to OLM for the past 18 months? Something close to that.

 

As far as Oct 2015, PDX was one of the only long term stations north of Salem that saw a record warm month. The vast majority did not.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Looks like the 18z GFS trended drier. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Already down to 41 degrees here at my house. Brrrr.

 

Clear skies filled in here and radar shows showers now. This pattern does not allow for real breaks between systems. Models show clouds and various amounts of precip for the next 10-14 days at least. As soon as one system exits... the next one is pushing in up here. OR might see more clear skies in between.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12Z ECMWF trending way better.     Be nice to actually have a couple dry days with clear skies at some point.

 

When you say better I now know you mean "worse."

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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When you say better I now know you mean "worse."

 

 

Not really.

 

Can't get frosty nights without clear skies.   

 

This is not a bad pattern... something the cold freaks can love as well.    I like it because its rained about half a foot here in the last week.   

 

http://old.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!168!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2015110312!!chart.gif

 

We certainly do not need more rain up here.   Reservoirs have filled up to normal levels and its been very wet overall.   And its just the start of the rainy season.    

 

It does not have to rain non-stop.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I hear the warmth we've been having has been destroying everything! No plant in sight...

It's become pretty silly on here lately.

 

Nature goes in cycles. The panic and fear mongering is just stupid. Really stupid. We had a miserable period from 2010-12. A nice period from 2013-15 and I am sure another miserable coming up.  And we don't control any of it!  

 

News flash... the climate goes through different phases and life adapts just fine. The next ice age will actually destroy all vegetation so we have that coming up!

 

I just read that the Orcas in the Sound are thriving. How is that possible in this apocalyptic nightmare of pleasant weather lately??

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Not really.

 

Can't get frosty nights without clear skies.   

 

This is not a bad pattern... something the cold freaks can love as well.    I like it because its rained about half a foot here in the last week.   

 

http://old.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!168!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2015110312!!chart.gif

 

We certainly do not need more rain up here.   Reservoirs have filled up to normal levels and its been very wet overall.   And its just the start of the rainy season.    

 

It does not have to rain non-stop.  

 

Yeah that looks good. Here in Oregon we need the rain badly. Many of the reservoirs in the Cascade foothills are at all time low levels. The Corps has indicated they will not change their normal practice of holding back water until March 1st, so snowpack and spring rains will be key. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Yeah that looks good. Here in Oregon we need the rain badly. Many of the reservoirs in the Cascade foothills are at all time low levels. The Corps has indicated they will not change their normal practice of holding back water until March 1st, so snowpack and spring rains will be key. 

 

Look at the jump in the main Seattle reservoir...

 

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-vXN1rtpG_kw/Vjg3dWqJjZI/AAAAAAAAi70/9zEegsJSLpw/s1600/USGS.12115900.01.62614..20150701.20151102..0..gif

 

Back to almost normal now... but next year is dependent on snowfall over the winter.    Not worried about drought up here at all.    We did really good through this dry spell per Cliff Mass.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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