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November 2015 in the Pacific Northwest

snow cold rain wind storm
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#101
ShawniganLake

Posted 03 November 2015 - 09:58 PM

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36f here. Could be a freeze tonight but high clouds aren't far away. First freeze date is already pushing 2 weeks late.

#102
Farmboy

Posted 03 November 2015 - 09:58 PM

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A couple stations near Graham are reporting 32 with many in the area at 33-35....


Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#103
Front Ranger

Posted 03 November 2015 - 10:27 PM

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Seattle cleared out... its a small miracle!

 

seattle.jpg

 

seattle2.jpg

 

Now they just need a sweet cam on top of the Columbia Center.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#104
Jesse

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:28 PM

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54/38 here today and already 39 this evening.

Nice weather.

#105
Tyler Mode

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:35 PM

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32.5 degrees in Battle Ground...



#106
stuffradio

Posted 03 November 2015 - 11:55 PM

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It's 36 now.



#107
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 04 November 2015 - 07:14 AM

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Hit 30 on the nose this morning with a nice heavy frost. The puddles even have a layer of ice. Oh the humanity!


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Snowfall

2017-18: 30.0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#108
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 07:29 AM

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Definitely need some solidly frosty nights in the next couple months... its good for fruit tree production the following year.

 

Hard to do when its raining every day!   

 

33 here with just a touch of frost on elevated surfaces.



#109
Prairiedog

Posted 04 November 2015 - 07:39 AM

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31f this morning. Some blue sky with light patches of fog and with the sunrise and fall leaves it was about as perfect as
it can get for a fall morning. First time this season with a little ice on the car.

#110
Tyler Mode

Posted 04 November 2015 - 07:44 AM

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31.1 in Battle Ground. Over the last 5 years, my average first frost is November 3rd, so this is right on cue.
 
This was the second longest growing season when going from freeze to freeze at 203 days. The longest was last year at 226 days.
 
In addition, this year had 96 days between the first and last 90 degree day, the longest in my 5 years out here.


#111
Guest_Winterdog_*

Posted 04 November 2015 - 08:24 AM

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Had a low of 34 this morning. It was overcast most of the night. I just checked and the previous latest freeze here in the past 23 years that I've kept records was October 30th, 2003. Might have a shot Monday night into Tuesday morning but after that it could be a while longer. Back under the bridge.

#112
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 08:43 AM

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Had a low of 34 this morning. It was overcast most of the night. I just checked and the previous latest freeze here in the past 23 years that I've kept records was October 30th, 2003. Might have a shot Monday night into Tuesday morning but after that it could be a while longer. Back under the bridge.

 

 

Yeah... looks like this exact pattern repeats next week.    



#113
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 04 November 2015 - 09:51 AM

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Pattern looking active. 


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Snowfall

2017-18: 30.0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#114
BLI snowman

Posted 04 November 2015 - 10:33 AM

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Pattern looking active. 

 

Great mountain snow pattern coming up. Likely the best since at least February/March 2014.



#115
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 04 November 2015 - 10:52 AM

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Right now I would say Tim has about a 50% of seeing snowfall before Thanksgiving, I'd rate my chances around 25%.


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.0"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#116
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 11:06 AM

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Right now I would say Tim has about a 50% of seeing snowfall before Thanksgiving, I'd rate my chances around 25%.


ECMWF at 10 days out does not look like anything promising.

#117
GobBluth

Posted 04 November 2015 - 01:06 PM

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Pattern looking active. 

GFS looks active, ECMWF is getting ridgy all over again. If this was a lame ESPN segment I'd buy ECMWF and sell GFS.



#118
Jesse

Posted 04 November 2015 - 01:18 PM

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GFS looks active, ECMWF is getting ridgy all over again. If this was a lame ESPN segment I'd buy ECMWF and sell GFS.

ECMWF will be right. We are due for some ridging after the historically wet period for the Puget Sound anyway.

Plus the mountains are basically buried in snow. Ski area operators are praying for the snow to stop so people can get a chance to ski and snowboard in fair conditions.

#119
Jesse

Posted 04 November 2015 - 01:19 PM

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Great mountain snow pattern coming up. Likely the best since at least February/March 2014.


If the Euro doesn't show it then toss it out. No reason to get your hopes up over nothing.

#120
Jesse

Posted 04 November 2015 - 01:23 PM

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Close but no cigar for OLM this morning. Ouch.

#121
Jesse

Posted 04 November 2015 - 01:47 PM

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Nice day.

#122
BLI snowman

Posted 04 November 2015 - 02:27 PM

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If the Euro doesn't show it then toss it out. No reason to get your hopes up over nothing.

 

Midmonth has the ingredients of a pretty active pattern, with the polar vortex rotating around Alaska and pressing the northern branch of the jet southward. Should be a nice storm somewhere in there.



#123
stuffradio

Posted 04 November 2015 - 02:47 PM

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Some people act like I haven't received 17 inches of rain since August. That is relentless rain.



#124
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 03:00 PM

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Some people act like I haven't received 17 inches of rain since August. That is relentless rain.

Some pepole assume the entire planet exists within a mile of an airport in Portland. And the world is ending soon. Don't worry about it.

It's been very wet here overall since the last weekend in July when over 2 inches of rain fell. SEA had one of the wettest months of August ever.

Parts of this planet while survive this apocalypse!

#125
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 03:40 PM

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Another nice November afternoon in Seattle... also see the new Amazon complex in lower right corner and all the ongoing construction around there.

 

seattle3.jpg



#126
Chris

Posted 04 November 2015 - 04:30 PM

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I heard there were auroras visible in Washington and Oregon last night.  There's a chance tonight too.

 

screenshot_26.png


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#127
Jesse

Posted 04 November 2015 - 04:39 PM

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Midmonth has the ingredients of a pretty active pattern, with the polar vortex rotating around Alaska and pressing the northern branch of the jet southward. Should be a nice storm somewhere in there.


Meh. You have a tendency to overhype coming storminess. I'm sure things will trend ridgier if that's what the Euro is showing.

#128
stuffradio

Posted 04 November 2015 - 05:12 PM

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It is 43 right now and it was raining just a few minutes ago again. Ridge'pocalypse November 2015. Too dry.



#129
Front Ranger

Posted 04 November 2015 - 06:15 PM

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After today, SEA and BLI both running negative anomalies for the month. That didn't take long.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#130
BLI snowman

Posted 04 November 2015 - 06:54 PM

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Meh. You have a tendency to overhype coming storminess. I'm sure things will trend ridgier if that's what the Euro is showing.


Yeah, I thought calling for an active pattern in mid November seemed pretty bold. Hopefully the drought won`t worsen too much!

#131
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 07:31 PM

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Yeah, I thought calling for an active pattern in mid November seemed pretty bold. Hopefully the drought won`t worsen too much!



Trees looking real stressed here now... most of them are starting to look bare and possibly dead. They had turned some bright colors but now they are looking more terrible each day. I am sure the last couple days have been rough without being constantly pounded with water.

#132
ShawniganLake

Posted 04 November 2015 - 07:41 PM

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Please make it stop.


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#133
Jesse

Posted 04 November 2015 - 09:11 PM

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Yeah, I thought calling for an active pattern in mid November seemed pretty bold. Hopefully the drought won`t worsen too much!


Just because ridging is returning doesn't mean it's a drought.

My point is I wouldn't bet on a blockbuster snow pattern for the mountains when that kind of thing clearly seems to be outside the realm of what our climate is capable of anymore.

Oh, plus the Euro wasn't showing it.

#134
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 09:18 PM

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00Z GFS is crazy!   



#135
stuffradio

Posted 04 November 2015 - 09:23 PM

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00Z GFS is crazy!   

Why?



#136
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 09:28 PM

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Why?

 

 

Looks like a very strong jet stream kicking in soon.



#137
Front Ranger

Posted 04 November 2015 - 09:48 PM

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Just because ridging is returning doesn't mean it's a drought.

My point is I wouldn't bet on a blockbuster snow pattern for the mountains when that kind of thing clearly seems to be outside the realm of what our climate is capable of anymore.

Oh, plus the Euro wasn't showing it.

 

Surely you're not serious. I mean, 2014 was a long time ago and the climate has obviously changed dramatically since then, but...

 

At face value, the 12z Euro actually did show quite a bit of mountain snow.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#138
TT-SEA

Posted 04 November 2015 - 09:53 PM

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Surely you're not serious. I mean, 2014 was a long time ago and the climate has obviously changed dramatically since then, but...

At face value, the 12z Euro actually did show quite a bit of mountain snow.


You did not hear? It does not snow in the mountains here now. Not ever again. That's it.

#139
Deweydog

Posted 04 November 2015 - 11:33 PM

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Nice day.


Even nicer for those of us not weighed down by climate-related anxiety.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#140
BLI snowman

Posted 04 November 2015 - 11:35 PM

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Just because ridging is returning doesn't mean it's a drought.

My point is I wouldn't bet on a blockbuster snow pattern for the mountains when that kind of thing clearly seems to be outside the realm of what our climate is capable of anymore.

Oh, plus the Euro wasn't showing it.

 

LOLzzzzzz


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#141
BLI snowman

Posted 04 November 2015 - 11:40 PM

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Euro shows a reasonably active pattern, GFS is still much wetter.



#142
Chris

Posted 05 November 2015 - 07:22 AM

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38 degrees and raining when I left for work this morning. 

 

 



#143
stuffradio

Posted 05 November 2015 - 07:46 AM

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GFS shows 6" of rain for the next 10 days.



#144
Chris

Posted 05 November 2015 - 07:50 AM

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Euro shows a reasonably active pattern, GFS is still much wetter.

 

Active on the ensembles

 

ecmwf_ens_z500a_namer_10.png


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#145
HighlandExperience

Posted 05 November 2015 - 08:48 AM

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Should be getting a decent dump of mountain snow over the next few weeks!

#146
TT-SEA

Posted 05 November 2015 - 09:08 AM

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Should be getting a decent dump of mountain snow over the next few weeks!

 

 

Really looks like it now... I just hope the jet and the trough can dig south.    Deliver heavy rain to OR and NoCal and cold air with mountain snow up here.   

 

Otherwise it just ends up being a copious warm rain situation.   



#147
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted 05 November 2015 - 09:49 AM

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Should snow this month in seattle.


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We come from the land of the ice and snow.


#148
Deweydog

Posted 05 November 2015 - 12:53 PM

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Should snow this month in seattle.


Duh.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#149
Jesse

Posted 05 November 2015 - 02:05 PM

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Duh.


Is snow nice?

Snow ball!

#150
iFred

Posted 05 November 2015 - 02:09 PM

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Hope everyone is enjoying the cooler weather. Moving to Philly meant that I took the warm anomolies with me too.
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