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The average high for Iowa City on October 1st is 70, Euro is showing temps in the low to mid 50s. That sucks. I want to hang on to the warm weather as long as possible. Even with this cold we aren't going to see snow, so I'd much rather keep highs in the 70s until about Thanksgiving when we have real shots of snow. I don't mind a cool day here or there, but that trough means business on the Euro, so that's a multi day cool down coming up.

I spotted something this morning when flipping through the models and if you look at the 500mb pattern across N.A later next week, it almost looks like what the CFSv2 is currently forecasting for the month of October. A glimpse of whats to come??? I'm already anticipating to see an active northern stream this coming season as being one Exhibit of the developing LRC. The BIG difference this cold season will be the Greenland Block that I truly believe will show up in the colder months. This will allow a southerly shift in the storm track. I got this feeling December will continue the theme this Autumn...#FlipTheScript Compared to the CFSv2...

This should be a refreshing way to open Oct.

65F attn under mostly sunny skies. I did spot some patchy color around here, so, its starting up. Next week comes the cooldown w highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.

Taking a stroll around the neighborhood this morning and I’m seeing more trees starting to turn color. Starting to look like Autumn !

It's another comfortable morning with a current temp in the upper 50's (56F). I could get used to this tranquil and warm weather pattern but we still need some more rain. Speaking of which, the models are not trending kindly over here for a good soaker and primarily hitting N and E of here. Full disclosure, this storm early next week totally feels like I'm tracking a hybrid clipper that would blast the GL's with a good synoptic snow along with a vicious LES set up on the back end. The 00z Euro brings down some of the coldest air of the season with multiple days of lake effect rains next week and highs in the 40's for parts of the GL's.

This sucks. 87°F.

NWS Hastings graphic on one of the driest June - September on record. Not good.

This will be next week y'all....."Get Ready."

If the Greenland block really is that prominent, the trough will actually be in retrogression all through the month, so I'd center it right over the center of the US. Cold outbreak driving down the front of the Rockies next month is almost 100 percent. Lock-n-load.

You can't get more boring weather than what we've had for the last few weeks. Basically everyday is mid 80's or a little higher, breezy south wind, smoky skies, and a dew of about 50. Very dry conditions continue with no end in sight according to local forecasts. Hopefully cooler weather is coming, but we'll need quite a storm to put a dent in the drought.

That would be amazing! First freeze here if that verifies.

I see a couple upper 50s in the extended. Yes please

Beta is doing its dirty job down south. Los of flooding due to its slow progression. OkWx missed out on Beta's hvy rains unfortunately, as all of this moisture is moving east. Speaking of the tropics, "Gamma" is next, if we do get another named storm, which I am sure we will.

It's certainly looking pretty chilly next week as a deep trough digs and holds over the eastern US. As far as rain goes, it sure would be nice if we could get something more consistent. We went weeks with nothing from July into early August, then we got the derecho. Then, we went weeks more with nothing and then a week of nothing but rain. Now, we're right back to weeks with nothing again.

@ James Wow does that sound delicious

That does!! Wow. Perfect night here. Had to broom a bunch of leaves off the deck. That helps gettin those fall vibes goin! Doin chicken, potatoes and sweetcorn on the Weber. No wind at all and low 70s. Love it

Sorry to hear the news jbolin. My mom had a similar scare several years ago but it turned out to be no big deal. Hope it goes the same for you.

I was at Sun Lakes riding the big waves during that! Came home to no power the next day and quite the mess.