Leaderboard

Finally got back from my big retirement/eclipse trip last night, feels great and weird to be retired now! Worked my a*s off from my mid 20s-low 50s, and the last few years I've been working some because I can and not because I need to, but now it's time to relax and retire. And now I have a lot of time for model riding! Got to see a lot of beautiful redrock canyons and snowy mountains in Utah/Wyoming on this trip. We had pretty great weather the whole time, only got hit by a storm while we were in Wyoming, and saw some epic thunderstorms the night following the eclipse.

Looking forward to going on a vacation in a couple weeks. Hopefully it'll be a lot of fun. My wife and I never got to take a proper honeymoon after getting married in May 2021, so it's finally a trip that just the 2 of us have had the opportunity to take. Headed to New Orleans then down to Costa Maya. Got a pretty good deal on the trip cuz on the last one, I got knocked over by a big door and hit my head on the last cruise I went on, so they gave me a discounted balcony room & $200 in on-board credit, then gave me the casino upgrade so now I've got $600 to use for blackjack. Honestly, super grateful to be able to do things like this because I don't get to very often for a lot of reasons. I often wonder how I would feel when just dropping in and changing over $5k in chips each night and seeing the pit boss's reaction. Those are the ones who get the freebies. Even though I won't ever get to that status in my life, I know I've gotten to experience some awesome shitt and I'm forever grateful for y'all's friendship and to the people that helped put this RNS cyberware on my brain. 44F and clear in downtown Springfield.

Beautiful morning at Rowena Crest. Got out there early to beat the crowds.

Great sunset tonight. Cheers from Cashmere!

Took advantage of a weekday off to get a nice Columbia Gorge sampler in yesterday, with a focus on the Little White Salmon area. Big Cedars County Park, Spirit Falls and hidden wildflower spot near Home Valley

Please stop.

Drove out to Ocean Shores to see family today. Amazing summer like drive and being out on the Jetty when the front rolled in was a memorable experience. We really need to do a coastal meetup when we get the next decadal storm.

Looks like I can post again! My account got messed up big time for some reason.

64° and gorgeous. Azaleas are happy this year.

We liked this dramatic change of weather TOO MUCH for you. Not sure you'll ever be ok with other people's feelings about weather.

Planting garden today.

Im 62 in a couple months and planning to go to 65. I could probably retire and make my money last but it’s a surprisingly difficult decision (for me anyway) to stop the income and start drawing on my 401k.

Gorgeous day. Was up in the Seattle area earlier. Giving my best friend and his wife a ride to Sea-Tac. They will be going to New York and DC this week. Great day to drive up I-5 with the mountains popping. Had enough time afterward to check out a nice park along the Green River near Kent before heading back south. Temps were in the mid-60s with breezy conditions and very dry air.

GFS shows one of the most impressive daytime temp crashes I've ever seen tomorrow. From 71 at 2pm to 49 at 5pm in Tacoma.

Photo Credit: Thomas Wong from the Oregon skiers Facebook group. A mountain Goat has been spotted at Mt. Hood Meadows' in Heather Canyon. I believe this is the first Mountain Goat spotted here in 100+ years (correct me if I'm wrong).

Amazing day today, took advantage of the last decent day of weather for a while to abuse my body and mentally prepare myself for our Denali expedition starting mid may. Did a double hitter of south sister and broken top via the 3 o'clock couloir which made for a nice 27 miler with 9300ft of gain, all while carrying a 70lb backpack to prepare for the 130lb backpack/sled duo that I'll have to carry on Denali. At this rate, I'll probably be crippled by the time I'm 70.

A multi day severe weather outbreak will occur across the southern and central Plains beginning as soon as Wednesday. Persistent troughing west of the area will encourage warm and moist southerly flow with repeated rounds of dry line convection possible. Forecast parameters and pattern recognition show obvious severe potential, potentially significantly severe. It always comes down to the details, but we will have multiple chances for something. For my part of the country, I suspect Friday-Sunday will be our main window but time will tell.

That system tomorrow is a PNW classic. 24 hours of light-moderate stratoform rain and very little wind for just about everyone from Brookings to the tip of Vancouver Island.

Your climate seems like it would be heaven for Jim.

Cool little front today ! Interesting cloud deck as well. The first photo is on 205 bridge looking south. Zoomed in shot as well

Just finished putting all of my yard tools and patio furniture away. Waiting for the first drops to fall! Just like waiting for the first flakes to fly on the morning of 2/3/19!

Buy local not corporate (sometimes this is impossible, but do it when you can) shop main st, not big box (this is way more possible with a small effort)

we grind single origin sustainable beans from Guatemala that are roasted by a local roaster. we then french press. life is too short to drink shiitty coffee

I think their 2" on August 24th 1992 is absoluetly f****** absurd. At least in June there is just enough residual wintertime cold left over at the poles to drop snow levels down to 5k feet should it be displaced south, and enough of a poleward thermal gradient still in tact to spawn strong-ish cutoff lows around the meridian line. Mid-late August is a joke of a time to get a snowstorm, even at their somewhat high elevation. They pretty much combined the strongest weather system possible at that time of year with the coldest air possible... Neither factors being very impressive nonetheless. But enough is enough. The only month I doubt they could pull off a snowstorm at all would be during July, and even then I bet the first week holds some out-there potential in the right setup. July 15-August 15 is off the table though. I think....

The tree across the street is in full bloom.

Yes... dry but not warm. And if the ECMWF is right it might not even end up that dry.

Drove to Seattle in a dust storm. The suddeness of the wind was remarkable. Only .01 rain here though - disappointing.

Your backyard looks like a resort

1130-1230-1330

70’s and full sun! If I didn’t know via this forum and weather predictions that it was coming shortly, I would have no idea that it was coming shortly!

And 16 years ago yesterday I believe Everett got 7” of snow from a CZ.

It delays the rain a couple hours behind the GFS. Still drops to 48 by 8pm, so still an impressive crash.

Hello Friday... going to be a spectacular day.

The warm, dry outflow allowed some time for the kids to ride bikes and explore the creek beside our place

Funny enough, the last few big snowpack years in CA were all *drumroll... Niñas! 2010-11, 2016-17, 2022-23. La Niña truly brings the nourishing juices of life to all. Particularly to the Mid Atlantic states, where it allows the newly-native flora to thrive as it works to further expedite the transfer of the humid subtropical climate/bioregion into your neck of the woods.

I’ve spent my career with a large, evil insurance company. They’ve given me opportunities and rewarded me financially when Ive done good work. I’ve been able to take care of my family, put my kids through college, live in a place I enjoy. I’ve worked with hundreds of good people over the years. I don’t get the hate for large corporations because they provide millions of good jobs.

Long range GFS suggests the upcoming whet pattern may be in and out…

Snow at home is just fundamentally different. Never hits the same when you're on vacation.

Models continue to bless the west.

Nice morning outside.

Euro ensemble avg next 15 days. That is what I want.... warm, stormy, wet.

You are such a wet blanket sometimes. Geez

Wow! One of the craziest shifts from strong offshore flow to strong onshore flow I've seen. Nearly 20 degree plunge already at Shelton in the middle of the day and strong SW winds here after east all day. Nice 850mb plunge with this as well.

You missed a cloud behind the tall tree.

Crazy day... a gusty east wind becoming a gusty SW wind by 5 p.m. And sunny for a good part of the day with a front early this evening but then the sun is back out by sunset.

NOAA has been having a rough time lately. Horrible busts last winter on both the seasonal and subseasonal scales. Idk what their methodology is but it’s been failing them since the niño established. IIRC they rely heavily on the IRI which is notoriously bad when seasonal/LF forcing components destructively interfere w/ canonical EOFs (example: strong niño in tandem with -PMM).

It will be so nice to see my area off the dreaded drought monitor soon! I have a incredible 7 plus inches since March 1st. My ponds are almost full! Going back to Dec 1st 2023 I am steadily running surpluses. Except for the pultry .14 in Feb.

I wanted to comment about the weather on Tuesday, but I always get sidetracked in doing and looking at other things. Plus I was helping with storm cleanup for people from my church that evening. The first batch of showers Tuesday afternoon was heavier then it appeared on radar as PWATS were quite high, but I was in a gap between heavier cells of course. Still ended the first round with exactly 0.40". Then a short period of sunshine preceded an ominous shelf cloud from the last brief intense line of storms. The sky looked greenish, and I was out shooting video (with iPhone 15 Pro Max) and photos till the last second! But only 0.24" rain from that line with wind gust only around 43 mph and not as windy at my location as early in the afternoon. But had some decent hail with a few of the largest stones at 1" diameter. But 2 farms approximately 3-4 miles se. of me had buildings destroyed from a possible little spin up tornado or microburst? One building was totally flattened and the other farm had half of the roof gone among other damage. Total rainfall on Tuesday was only 0.64". The drought maps may be off for my location since we've had very good rains in March, and especially this month. Field tile lines are running since the heavy rains of early April and water is standing in roadside ditches after each rainfall. With today's rainfall I'm approaching 4" for the month. And it looks active again by late April. Just checked my weather station and I'm just over 4" for the month now, with over a third of an inch so far today.