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Phil

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Phil last won the day on August 26

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About Phil

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    Male
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    Cabin John, MD.
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    Physics, Atmospheric Science, Extreme Weather, Climate Change, Astronomy, Sports, Exercising, Relaxing, Love, and Life.

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  1. And every sun/drought fanatic should move as far away from North Bend as physically possible.
  2. We’re still talking about downvotes?
  3. From the CDC: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/1918-pandemic-h1n1.html Looks like it’s 50 million out of an estimated 500 million infections, not 150 million.
  4. Yes, but even today, the 1918 pandemic would have been more deadly than covid-19. ~ 50 million people died of the Spanish flu out of ~ 150 million who were infected. Several epidemiological studies estimate the death rate would still be somewhere around 2-3% if a deadly strain like that were to manifest today.
  5. I was referring to the fact day 15 has been replaced with day 30 now. #always30daysaway
  6. The GEFS extended version (and control run) has been released on WxBell. Gonna be a looong winter, lol.
  7. Most spectacular, enjoyable September in memory so far. Would be awesome to avoid torching through the autumn for the first time since 2014.
  8. Radar estimates are higher.
  9. Excess of 45mph for several consecutive hours, iirc.
  10. This is all demonstrably false. Faking a pandemic is literally impossible. It’s real, it’s worse than the flu, and you’re pulling in some negative karma with anti-science drivel like this. No offense.
  11. Eh, climate change between/within ice ages and interglacials is often extremely rapid/jumpy. More-so than the present warming, even. The whole “gradual” thing was debunked decades ago. For whatever it’s worth, paleoclimate is my primary field of study.
  12. Problem is long term solar/climate studies often look for linear correlations when in reality the connection is nonlinear and state dependent. The linear stuff is nothing more than inadequate, shallow minded thinking. And it’s not possible to resolve via GCMs or even (most) proxy reconstructions, save for some fundamentals here and there.
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