Phil Posted May 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Lots of gusts > 60mph east of the Fall Line, it looks like. Not bad for mid-May. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 13, 2018 Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Looks like a on and off shower type day today certainly not one of the most fantastic mothers day weather wise we have ever seen lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 13, 2018 Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Lots of gusts > 60mph east of the Fall Line, it looks like.Not bad for mid-May.also the amount of the hail reports was quite impressive as well.severe thunderstorm warnings that varfied in the reports. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 13, 2018 Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Was a good event east of the Fall Line, but I got shafted again. Been at least 3 years since we’ve had a severe thunderstorm core pass overhead. It used to happen several times a summer. that stinks man seems like there's a shield over you that prevents storms as of late a shield that hard to break. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Wut? I don’t see how this could possibly verify today. Heavy overcast, fog, and drizzle have dominated the entire day. And elevated instability rarely transfers severe conditions to the surface. But..we’ll see! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 13, 2018 Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Hey Phil, wake up! Check your Messenger ! 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Lol, really SPC? Will probably be like one supercell, way down in Central Virginia. But again..we’ll see! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Hey Phil, wake up! Check your Messenger ! Hmm..I don’t see any messages from you? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 13, 2018 Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Lol, really SPC? Will probably be like one supercell, way down in Central Virginia.But again..we’ll see! I also dislike the new wording on tornado watch's like yesterday possablty of a few strong tornados really? This is something new they are doing personally they should have stuck with the old way this new way could easily confuse the plubic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 13, 2018 Report Share Posted May 13, 2018 Hmm..I don’t see any messages from you? Okay, I reposted it. It's in Messages Give it a check. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 14, 2018 They used the D-word! Could it be? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 14, 2018 Okay, I reposted it. It's in Messages Give it a check.Will do, thanks. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 14, 2018 Report Share Posted May 14, 2018 They used the D-word! Could it be? if this is the D word that pretty impressive for may standals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 14, 2018 Report Share Posted May 14, 2018 biggest storms looks to past just south of me this looks like a Dc dare I say it special in the making there's a tornado warned storm on the top of the line the tops of these storms are insane would not be surprised if there were more big hail reports this evening.Dc looks to get raked pretty soon looking at radar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted May 14, 2018 Report Share Posted May 14, 2018 biggest storms looks to past just south of me this looks like a Dc dare I say it special in the making there's a tornado warned storm on the top of the line the tops of these storms are insane would not be surprised if there were more big hail reports this evening.Dc looks to get raked pretty soon looking at radar.#DerechoTheSwamp 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 #DerechoTheSwamp yep the storm part of the line is staying South of me just light to moderate rain no wind but thats ok we got ours saterday night which was pretty impressive.looks like a active week over all with a tropical low in the south same low that the gfs was advertising a southeast hurricane last week on it runs along with a stalled front and other systems should be plenty of shower and storm chances this week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Solid storm yesterday, but not severe here. Winds gusted to around 40mph and it got pitch black for awhile. Oh, and it rained a lot. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Nocturnal thunderstorm here, been going for 2hrs straight with flashbulb lightning and booming thunder. Might continue for the rest of the night based on radar. Gonna be hard to get back to sleep, I suspect. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Nocturnal thunderstorm here, been going for 2hrs straight with flashbulb lightning and booming thunder. Might continue for the rest of the night based on radar.Gonna be hard to get back to sleep, I suspect. man the sky has certainly turned on the water for a while we could not by much of anything now we getting round after round of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 man the sky has certainly turned on the water for a while we could not by much of anything now we getting round after round of it.Couldn’t be denied for long. Recently we’ve been getting around 50% of our annual rainfall between the months of May and August. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 15, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Blech..91*F, dewpoint of 73*F, heat index of 100*F. Storms probably don’t arrive until 7pm or later, after peak heating. Gonna be a long a** summer. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 Blech..91*F, dewpoint of 73*F, heat index of 100*F.Storms probably don’t arrive until 7pm or later, after peak heating. Gonna be a long a** summer. long summers is what we do best at.also looks like a heavey rain event possible Thursday into saterday for the region that low in the gulf looks to come north with the combination of the Bermuda high has that heavy rain pattern feel to it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 15, 2018 Report Share Posted May 15, 2018 classic northeast severe weather outbreak today tornado warnings all over the place up there.you can see why there is concern about the flooding aspect here tonight the tropica moisture from the low in the gulf and the line up north looks to be combining and this the possible training effect later on and the big question is where that front stalls out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 16, 2018 Report Share Posted May 16, 2018 The storms are here the thunder and lightning were quite a ways from the gust front when it moved through here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 16, 2018 Report Share Posted May 16, 2018 Holy crap Fredrick county had tennis ball sized hail reported at 7:25 this evening that pretty impressive.this could be a long night sleeping wise as the line is beginning to stall out and storms are running in train tracks could be a rough night sleeping Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 16, 2018 Report Share Posted May 16, 2018 This is interesting https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=21895200those im sure it has happen before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 16, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 16, 2018 Rainy and humid today, following yesterday’s thunderstorms. Flood watch in effect for another 3-5” of rain. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 18, 2018 Report Share Posted May 18, 2018 99* Tomorrow. Low of 72* That's no typo. 50% chance of rain Monday ...High of 87*. Looks like summer is almost here. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 19, 2018 Report Share Posted May 19, 2018 Way north Fred. Didn't even see the lightning. Hot today too. Like 99. Didn't stop the golfers though! Rain would be nice though. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 19, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 19, 2018 Between 5-10” of rain has fallen across the area this month so far. Drought is history. And there’s more coming. Severe chances increase again on Monday as well. Perhaps as early as Sunday. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 20, 2018 Report Share Posted May 20, 2018 Hope you get your Rain Phil. Western Texas is dealing with drought and we are all on standby for it. Fearsome things Drought. They believe the area will expand this summer. We received a nice thunderstorm early this morning. .75" of rain. Still overcast and high will be in the mid 80's. Just a grand thing, thunderstorms. We'd like more! Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 20, 2018 Report Share Posted May 20, 2018 Between 5-10” of rain has fallen across the area this month so far. Drought is history.And there’s more coming. Severe chances increase again on Monday as well. Perhaps as early as Sunday. the models today have really lesson the thunderstorm chances at least for tommore as the data has gotten more aggressive with pushing the front futher south on recent runs where as before they had it stalled in our region the big question is how far north does it come back on Tuesday or is this is one of these cases where the front gets hung up to the south and we get just showers with the next fronted system Tuesday through Wednesday night.next weekend and last week of may may have a weak tropica system in the gulf if so another heavy rain potential sometime in the last week of may seems like a likey hood.regardless how this week's gos we could be looking at a repeat of the severe weather pattern end of may or early june but this time adding a tropica depressing or storm to the mix? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted May 21, 2018 Report Share Posted May 21, 2018 So, Phil, I was just dropping in to ask you a question. You posted some charts a few days back in the western group. I couldn't help but notice that they correlated quite well with how winter has shown up later each season since the last one showed a negative anomaly in 2000, and then 2002. Since, they were all positive. I wish I could remember the names of the 3 charts you used. IF we see the flip that you speak of over there at times, does this mean that we could end the cold springs and start seeing normal autumns and winters again over the next few years? Talking generally and Nationwide. I know each season is different, but I was just curious as to what you thought. There seems, to my eyes and by looking at various things like SSTS, to be a major climate transition set to occur over the next year or 2. Thoughts? I'm not talking like October 2000 kind of cold but at least not blowtorching through December 20th from my area all the way to the east coast would be a nice treat. Anyway, you provoked my curiousity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted May 21, 2018 Report Share Posted May 21, 2018 This is the chart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 21, 2018 Report Share Posted May 21, 2018 Hey Phil, What's your take on the drought around the Texas Panhandle? Will it migrate/grow east or west? Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 21, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 21, 2018 This is the chart.K6fG807.pngThat’s the Sep-Nov Atlantic meridional mode. Essentially, the SSTA contrast between the equatorial Atlantic and the tropical North Atlantic. If that flips, it represents a huge shake-up in the seasonality of the global circulation, and yes, you would see colder autumns in the Arctic, retracting z-cells, and probably a reversal in some of the climate trends in recent decades. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted May 21, 2018 Report Share Posted May 21, 2018 That’s the Sep-Nov Atlantic meridional mode. Essentially, the SSTA contrast between the equatorial Atlantic and the tropical North Atlantic. If that flips, it represents a huge shake-up in the seasonality of the global circulation, and yes, you would see colder autumns in the Arctic, retracting z-cells, and probably a reversal in some of the climate trends in recent decades.That's the way I thought I understood it! Thank you sir! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 25, 2018 Report Share Posted May 25, 2018 First week of June....100* to 104*. WHA .!!....... 6 weeks too early! Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted May 26, 2018 Report Share Posted May 26, 2018 Today was the classic humidity dewpoint swamp dewpoints 70 degrees temperatures not really hot but high humidity plus few dew points made it quite disgusting today for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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