April 3rd-4th Plains/GL's Winter Storm

[Snowshoe]

I am still baffled as to why the point forecasts have a range of 6-12 around here. That seems way too high for this event. With how things have been I feel like 6 inches should be the top of the range... I know it is long duration, but don't see the high totals materializing...

 

Here's the 90% map from La Crosse.

[Snowshoe]

And the 10% chance.

[Money]

Under a WWA for 3-9

 

Nice range...

[gosaints]

Under a WWA for 3-9

 

Nice range...

Lol ya. Gonna come down to who gets hit from with both then front and backside. Front zone will be narrow

[gosaints]

Starting to like a a southern metro jack. Also think money has a shot to score big

[St Paul Storm]

Just under 3” down with wave 1. Currently some freezing rain/snow mix before round 2. A total of 6+” looks like a lock at this point.

[Money]

https://www.weather.gov/media/mkx/sitreport/SitReport1.pdf

 

9 inches would be nearly double my highest amount so far this year

[St Paul Storm]

With the 2” or so OTG from Saturday, the 3” that fell earlier, and the 4-6” still to come ...we might have 10” OTG in April. I’m going to say that hasn’t happened in a really long time.

[Money]

With the 2” or so OTG from Saturday, the 3” that fell earlier, and the 4-6” still to come ...we might have 10” OTG in April. I’m going to say that hasn’t happened in a really long time.

You’ll probably get more snow this weekend too

[St Paul Storm]

You’ll probably get more snow this weekend too

snow totals thru the 15th are ridiculous here and over by you.

 

Meanwhile my mom is complaining about 90F in Phoenix. O-K.

[Minny_Weather]

Been getting pretty solid drizzle for the past 30 minutes. All surfaces are just wet at the moment, even elevated ones. I'd expect that to change by tomorrow morning. May be an ugly commute. 30.4*F.

[St Paul Storm]

0z NAMs with a much thinner jack zone from north of Rochester up to the southern TC metro.

[gosaints]

0z NAMs with a much thinner jack zone from north of Rochester up to the southern TC metro.

Been the jack all winter

[St Paul Storm]

St Paul and Minneapolis upgraded to a warning. 6-10” in the point today. Might be our biggest storm of the season if you combine with yesterday’s totals. Wowzers.

[Tom]

St Paul and Minneapolis upgraded to a warning. 6-10” in the point today. Might be our biggest storm of the season if you combine with yesterday’s totals. Wowzers.

Good luck to you and the rest of you guys up north.

[gosaints]

St Paul and Minneapolis upgraded to a warning. 6-10” in the point today. Might be our biggest storm of the season if you combine with yesterday’s totals. Wowzers.

Could be a nasty gradient across the metro

[Tom]

Could be a nasty gradient across the metro

You got powder flying yet?

[St Paul Storm]

Could be a nasty gradient across the metro

Wouldn’t be a storm without a gradient right through the metro.

[james1976]

Low 30s and drizzle here. Still expecting 2-4". Column should cool once the better forcing gets here.

[gosaints]

You got powder flying yet?

Ya about an inch down.. Rates are not crazy.

[Tom]

Ya about an inch down.. Rates are not crazy.

Banding looks good for your area in SE MN...should pick up soon...I think your in the best position right now for the most snows today in MN.

[gosaints]

Banding looks good for your area in SE MN...should pick up soon...I think your in the best position right now for the most snows today in MN.

Should be a long duration moderate event.

[St Paul Storm]

That stuff out in SD looks legit on radar. Might skip out of the office a bit early to avoid the afternoon rush disaster.

[Minny_Weather]

Actually wondering what brand of glue OAX was sniffing when they put us in the WWA.

[Andrew NE]

Actually wondering what brand of glue OAX was sniffing when they put us in the WWA.

 

I'm guessing in part for Omaha at least it was only because of the morning rush.  There were some major accidents on bridges and overpasses, L street going over I-80 had a 12 car pile up and a couple roads around my office were closed as well as I arrived.  Honestly it wasn't that bad, but you know how people drive around here. . It looked like to me that the city of Omaha may have been caught off guard a bit getting salt trucks out.

[Minny_Weather]

I'm guessing in part for Omaha at least it was only because of the morning rush.  There were some major accidents on bridges and overpasses, L street going over I-80 had a 12 car pile up and a couple roads around my office were closed as well as I arrived.  Honestly it wasn't that bad, but you know how people drive around here. . It looked like to me that the city of Omaha may have been caught off guard a bit getting salt trucks out.

No issue here. Roads are dry as a bone and radar looks unfavorable.

[Snowshoe]

It's great when it snows during the daylight! I'll try to get a time lapse as work allows throughout the day. As you can see the first band overnight just missed me to the north. You can barely make out the smokestacks on the papermill and 3/4 mile away.

 

[Stormgeek]

Looks like the band out in SD is making its move and transferring energy to the south with the north band dissipating. Looks like south MN is in a very good spot (cities on south)!

[St Paul Storm]

Looks like the band out in SD is making its move and transferring energy to the south with the north band dissipating. Looks like south MN is in a very good spot (cities on south)!

The northern end of that intense band is expanding. We’re gonna get raked in a bit. South metro on south will do best but it’s going to be good by us too.

[james1976]

Heavy bands just to my west.

Nice dry slot in NW IA.

[jaster220]

 

Only that one week in Feb delivered on a model "storm threat" and even then could not pull off double digits in any single event. 

 

A kiss of white stuff should be on my deck some time tomorrow..

 

[St Paul Storm]

Pound town and flake size is increasing. 6” down combined last night and so far today. Looking good for 2-4” more today.

[bud2380]

It looks like a pretty narrow corridor that is probably scoring big right now.  i think some in the warning area will under perform.  

[gosaints]

It looks like a pretty narrow corridor that is probably scoring big right now. i think some in the warning area will under perform.

Small flakes but will hit warning criteria here for sure...

 

Not many storms where someone in the warning doesn't underperform

[Tom]

The severe side of this storm is not to be dismissed...looks like a very legit severe wx outbreak is forthcoming later today...Tornado Watch is going to be hoisted soon across the OV...

 

[james1976]

Snow/sleet just underway. Ground getting white.

What else would ya want on April 3rd? Lol

[james1976]

Poundtown. Quick 1/2 inch

[bud2380]

Cedar Rapids now in the winter weather advisory.  The double standards on issuing headlines is comical to me with the NWS.  Keokuk, IA got 4" of snow Sunday, but no advisory issued, despite all signs pointing towards 2-4" for that area.   Now CR is in line for a 1/2" of snow and maybe a thin glaze of ice, but they issue the advisory.  4" of snow would be significantly more hazardous than what we're expecting today.  

[Minny_Weather]

Cedar Rapids now in the winter weather advisory. The double standards on issuing headlines is comical to me with the NWS. Keokuk, IA got 4" of snow Sunday, but no advisory issued, despite all signs pointing towards 2-4" for that area. Now CR is in line for a 1/2" of snow and maybe a thin glaze of ice, but they issue the advisory. 4" of snow would be significantly more hazardous than what we're expecting today.

OAX has become comical with headlines too. This morning's WWA for my county was completely uncalled for as we had zero chance for appreciable precip even when the advisory was issued. Typically headlines are their stronger suit but maybe they're thinner skinned now cuz it's April.

[Madtown]

Drizzle has turned to flakes!