Grizzcoat Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 d**n, CentralNeb upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning! Congrats buddy! Storm totals of 5-9" are impressive.6 inches already, school late start. Amazing. Will get pictures after sun rises. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Been watching the obs all night in and around the Holdrege area. CentralNEWeather is getting it pretty good. Congrats. Dry air is the upper levels is really having an effect as the snow shield is really struggling to move E.Indeed, he's def that weenie band across S NE...with temps in the upper 20's, it should look and feel like a winter wonderland out there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 6 inches already, school late start. Amazing. Will get pictures after sun rises.Dude holy that's amazing. I think we're still good for 1-2" here. What a fall it's been so far, huh? 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Dude holy s**t that's amazing. I think we're still good for 1-2" here. What a fall it's been so far, huh?Some parts of Lincoln may get more, but I'm personally saying 1-2" for my porch cuz looking at radar trands and where dry air is, it looks like I'm fairly disadvantaged on the SE side of town. HRRR has the band fizzling out right as it gets here, radar isn't making it seem like that'll be the case. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 This is a copy my post on the November OBS topic. While I don't like to say too much before a event and to me the current temperatures here are too warm (I have 37 here at my house now) but all that said the GRR NWS has issued a Winter Weather Advisory starting later tonight. DISCUSSION (TODAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY) ISSUED AT 311 AM EST THU NOV 8 2018 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TWO PART EVENT UPCOMING ON THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FIRST PART IS THE SYNOPTIC SYSTEM SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AS AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH GOES NEGATIVE TILT. AREA OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF SNOW THAT SHOULD BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO OVERCOME ABOVE FREEZING SKIN TEMPERATURES AND ACCUMULATE ON ROADS THURSDAY EVENING. AIR TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING BY THE MORNING COMMUTE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL NOT BE HEAVY, GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES, BUT THE COMBINATION OF SNOWY ROADS DURING RUSH HOUR AND THIS BEING THE FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON WAS ENOUGH TO ISSUE THE ADVISORY. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE SNOW FRIDAY EVENING THEN LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINS AS UPPER LOW PIVOTS ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND LACK OF INVERSION IN NORTHWEST FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN VIGOROUS SNOW BANDS PRODUCING 1 TO 2 INCH AN HOUR SNOW RATES BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE ON SATURDAY. ALTHOUGH THIS IS A QUICK HITTER AS INVERSION HEIGHTS COME DOWN QUICKLY AFTER THE UPPER LOW SHIFTS EASTWARD SATURDAY MORNING, THERE IS THE GOOD CHANCE OF AN AREA OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE FAVORED NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW AREA OVER OUR NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST ZONES. ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK WITH A CLIPPER BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SNOW MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE SOUTHERN STREAM COMPONENT DURING THIS TIME AS THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SE LOWER MICHIGAN TO BE AFFECTED BY THE F-GEN SNOWS OF A DEVELOPING LOW MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST U.S. We will have to see if and how this plays out 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Not sure what OAX was thinking by not expanding the WWA North. Radar trends overnight indicated that they should have at least considered it. Especially since the current WWA area is looking to get screwed. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Yeah I'm not looking at models anymore. All the 12Z runs initialized horrendously. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Hey Jaster buddy...I think you are under your first WWA, No?! If so, congrats...looking good for ya. I am forecasted to receive 1-2inches. Not bad. Ill take it. Afterall, its only Nov.8th. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 @ Jaster, I see you have your first Heavy Snow wording in your grids for Friday night! Congrats buddy... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 The NAM really wants to give my area something more than 1-2inches...... 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Heavy snow has begun on the West side of Lincoln. Still just foggy here on the SE side but that should change soon. 28.0*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Heavy snow has begun on the West side of Lincoln. Still just foggy here on the SE side but that should change soon. 28.0*F.Good luck bud and for the rest of you in SE NE! #letitsnow 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 First flakes are falling right now. Looks awesome without the wind. Radar is trending crappy but we should still get about an hour or two of decent snowfall. 28.0*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 GFS has moved the Friday clipper into SW Iowa. Euro is the only one left keeping the track into eastern Iowa and even the Euro has shifted further SW with each run. Might just get a 1/2" tonight and that could be about it for my area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 I measured 7-8". This graphic is spot on me as the yellow bullseye is essentially over my house. Had a late start, 10 AM at school. The only reason we didn't have the entire day off was there was no wind. Just a straight down beautiful snow. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 GFS has moved the Friday clipper into SW Iowa. Euro is the only one left keeping the track into eastern Iowa and even the Euro has shifted further SW with each run. Might just get a 1/2" tonight and that could be about it for my area.Yeah looks dry up here. Cloudy cold and windy for sure though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 I measured 7-8". This graphic is spot on me as the yellow bullseye is essentially over my house. Had a late start, 10 AM at school. The only reason we didn't have the entire day off was there was no wind. Just a straight down beautiful snow. NWS 2.pngImpressive. Nice early start to winter for you guys. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Impressive. Nice early start to winter for you guys.Thanks. Also, our snow plow drivers in our town did a tremendous job clearing this heavy, wet snow. We had a few kids that live in the country not come in today due to bad road conditions in rural areas but attendance from the rest of the students looks really good. Been quite a while since we have had a good amount of snow in November. Hopefully it is a sign of the winter to come, but obviously we are way above normal and way early for our first large snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 6 inches already, school late start. Amazing. Will get pictures after sun rises. Since my dude is too busy making snow angels over there, here's some pictures from the McCook, Nebraska area that my friend posted! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Since my dude is too busy making snow angels over there, here's some pictures from the McCook, Nebraska area that my friend posted! hidden.jpg asfawe.jpgI will post some pictures later in the day. Winter wonderland here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Down to pixie dust with about 1-1.5" of powder on the ground here. Can't complain as it is November 8. Drove to downtown while it was still heavy, and the roads were fine. Downtown did seem to get way less. Melting is already beginning at my place, which is a bit disheartening. There is one more weenie band coming which may make up for it a bit. 30.7*F. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 d**n, CentralNeb upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning! Congrats buddy! Storm totals of 5-9" are impressive. Setting the seasonal trend? Cheers to more of this! Hey Jaster buddy...I think you are under your first WWA, No?! If so, congrats...looking good for ya. I am forecasted to receive 1-2inches. Not bad. Ill take it. Afterall, its only Nov.8th. Thx Niko! Yeah, I was driving into the office and Whoa! Surprised to see the WWA on the MDOT digital sign along 94. Dang if GRR isn't surprising me this early winter with a pro-active trigger pull for a change. Even down here in Jackson. Has to be one of my earliest headlines in SMI. @ Jaster, I see you have your first Heavy Snow wording in your grids for Friday night! Congrats buddy... Sneaked a peak did you? I have been super-busy this morning and haven't got there yet, lol. Thanks for the 'grats. Seems like I live in the land of (winter) enchantment since moving here. I did notice that WPC's map has the hashed snow line scary close to Marshall. Amazingly large white hatched region for our 1st storm of the new LRC 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Des Moines still calling for light snow tonight for most of IA. Maybe I'll score an inch yet. It hasn't warmed up at all. Still only 28° 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Euro now showing tomorrow's clipper in SW Iowa as well. Looks like its' tonight or bust for me. Just about every model is showing some snow here though tonight, so a dusting up to an inch looks possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 A stronger burst of snow combined with powerful windsand falling temperatures is forecasted for Friday night intoSaturday morning. The kind of intense stuff I like could be on the table tomorrow night. Prolly be during my ZZZZ hrs but should be interesting for so early in the season and I could be awoken by the roar of wind? Edit - NAM has it hitting mby from about 1 am til perhaps as late as 10 am. If accurate I should see some after daylight 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Low level dry air is gonna hurt us in E IA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Low level dry air is gonna hurt us in E IAThat hurt us here too. Without it we could have gotten 3". Oh well. It's November. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Much of the snow is already gone on the grass. Surprising how fast it melted, it's 31.6*F now. It melted almost as if it were sunny and 45. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 I don’t see much getting north of i80 in iowa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Just had my first flakes of the season, about 2 inches is forecasted here. Hope its a sign of a active winter. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 It's trying to get going in W IA and around Sioux land. Let's see if we can saturate the lower levels. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 I'd like to get at least a half inch of snow tonight. just something to look at and watch fall would be cool. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 DVN a little more bullish for eastern Iowa (which is out of their jurisdiction). But would be nice to see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 Getting some last minute action but it won't last long enough to amount to anything. The 5" in October was fun, but it would be nice if that had happened now since cold weather is following this. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 8, 2018 Report Share Posted November 8, 2018 0.5" reported at the airport. Figured they'd get less than down here. 30.9*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 9, 2018 Report Share Posted November 9, 2018 I'm only expecting a dusting here, maybe a tenth or two. I'm not going to bother waking up in the middle of the night to watch. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted November 9, 2018 Report Share Posted November 9, 2018 I'm only expecting a dusting here, maybe a tenth or two. I'm not going to bother waking up in the middle of the night to watch.Didn’t get anything here in Omaha either today, the dry air won again. No big deal, this wasn’t going to be our storm either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 9, 2018 Report Share Posted November 9, 2018 Didn’t get anything here in Omaha either today, the dry air won again. No big deal, this wasn’t going to be our storm either way.You may get a dusting out of the clipper snow tomorrow morning so that'd make up for it. My friend in Chalco got mood flakes but not much more. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted November 9, 2018 Report Share Posted November 9, 2018 All pixie dust so far here around Des Moines so far. Only chance for accumulating snows with this first system is if the band from Clear Lake to Harlan, forms, and holds together and pushes through Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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