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February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV


Geos

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Incredible duration of cold in Montana this month.

 

Cut Bank is on their 11th consecutive day with subzero maximums (currently at -7 and not likely to rise above zero today). 

 

This is about to become their 3rd longest streak all-time, breaking the current tie with Feb. 1936.

 

1) 13 days (Jan 18-30, 1969)

2) 13 days (Jan 15-27, 1954)

3) 10 days (Feb 3-12, 2019)

4) 10 days (Feb 11-20, 1936)

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Speaking of FV3, it’s scheduled to be operational March 20. Gonna go back and see how it performed last 10 days or so with its forecast of the snow here.

 

From what I can tell, it is worse than the legacy GFS.

 

As several of us on here have pointed out, you have to separate the precip issues (overdoing, mainly) the FV3 has with it's overall pattern recognition skills. 

 

The data says the FV3 is slightly better than the GFS and CMC at getting pattern features correct within 10 days. But they really do need to work on fixing the precip problems - it might even be worse than the CMC for that.

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When i called the nws couple days ago to tell them about the thunder snow we got to talking about how close we were to a 100nyear snow event if that low would of came in 100 miles south. He also said more snow is most likely coming to the lowlands. It was a fun conversation.

Could you imagine DT Seattle with the amount of snow that North Bend just had...that would have been something!

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Glad to hear you're in good spirits.  :)

 

It's hard not to be.  In spite of not doing as well as some it has been incredible for everyone in the Puget Sound area.  Still a chance of one more big cold shot too.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Could you imagine DT Seattle with the amount of snow that North Bend just had...that would have been something!

 

Jan 1880.  Makes you wonder what North Bend may have been like with that one.

 

I can't wait to see what Palmer looks like.  10 miles from here and snowier than North Bend on average.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Speaking of Palmer it appears Feb 1949 with 60.5" is the last time they had insane snowfall in Feb.  Pretty nice company.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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So how does the EPS look?

 

Good through day 11.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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High of 39 today and currently at 32. Snowplow was able to get up here at 1:30 this morning and left a small mountain range blocking my front driveway

....so we dug out the back driveway  :D

Our road still has a couple of downed trees partially blocking the road and a few scattered cars in ditches, so the plowed road is one lane in places. It was good to get out and do a store run though.

 

Tomorrow we tackle the front driveway...

 

1Kc1L3J.png

 

 

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Hmmm not great.

 

We're talking 11 more days after already having 10!  That is amazing if you ask me.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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National Guard has arrived now in North Bend to help dig out neighborhoods.

 

This happened in Detroit, OR in January 2008 when they had 6-8' of snow. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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So far the ony regretful thing about this month IMBY is mssing out on the last big snow by a freeking mile!  That having been said it has still been great.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Riverview SD called for schools to be closed again tomorrow, with mid-winter break starting on Friday and lasting through next Tuesday.

 

That means from February 1st through February 19th, they will have gone to school for only 2.5 days. Pretty crazy.

 

Those poor kids doing online school still have to do their coursework. 

 

Back when my late mother was teaching they expected the teachers to make it in on snow days if they could to do prep work and such.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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So far the ony regretful thing about this month IMBY is mssing out on the last big snow by a freeking mile!  That having been said it has still been great.

 

This month will go down in the record books for sure. 

 

YVR's average high/low so far are 2.2/-4.2 (or 36.0F/24.4F). What's even more amazing to me is the warmest temp reached at YVR so far is 8.5C which of course occurred on the first of the month. This winter has definitely been redeemed! I never thought it could or would happen.

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This is sad. February 2019 has truly been a 19th century month stuck in the 21st century. I know some of us in Oregon have been upset, but it'll still stack up okay down here, and regionally and across the northern plains and Rockies it is going to go down as an all-timer.

Yeah, this has been a month for the record books in the PNW. Hopefully we will have one more round of cold and snow down to the lowest elevations before the month is over. That would put the icing on the cake.

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Incredible duration of cold in Montana this month.

 

Cut Bank is on their 11th consecutive day with subzero maximums (currently at -7 and not likely to rise above zero today). 

 

This is about to become their 3rd longest streak all-time, breaking the current tie with Feb. 1936.

 

1) 13 days (Jan 18-30, 1969)

2) 13 days (Jan 15-27, 1954)

3) 10 days (Feb 3-12, 2019)

4) 10 days (Feb 11-20, 1936)

 

Too bad the streak looks to end tomorrow with the Arctic front being pushed just north of the border for about 24 hours before pushing back south. Gonna be close though, the staying power of these arctic air-masses are always stronger than forecasted.

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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For SEA, today was the 10th straight day of 40-or-lower maximums.

 

This the longest on record for Seattle so late in the winter, including downtown records.

 

Previously, 1929 had a 13 day stretch that ended on 2/8. 

 

This is also the first 10 day streak at any point since December 2008.

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Too bad the streak looks to end tomorrow with the Arctic front being pushed just north of the border for about 24 hours before pushing back south. Gonna be close though, the staying power of these arctic air-masses are always stronger than forecasted.

 

Will be interesting to see if they can add any more days. So close to the all-time record...

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For SEA, today was the 10th straight day of 40-or-lower maximums.

 

This the longest on record for Seattle so late in the winter, including downtown records.

 

Previously, 1929 had a 13 day stretch that ended on 2/8. 

 

This is also the first 10 day streak at any point since December 2008.

Getting into impressive territory.

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What could they have done to protect their livestock in this situation? Not familiar with precautions farmers take to protect the herd. Sad story :(

Ironically a few more dead ( weather related ) Australia! Inconceivable

I don't think much could have been done to help protect the dairy cows. Like that guy said this is probably a 100 year event for them. It was great seeing people come together though and help each other out so more cows could be saved.

 

Wow, I just read an article about the Queensland flooding. Looks like more than 300,000 cattle died. It seems now more than ever that extreme weather from cold, snow, avalanches, floods, hurricanes, tornados, droughts, wildfires, heatwaves etc. are happening at a higher frequency.

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So far the ony regretful thing about this month IMBY is mssing out on the last big snow by a freeking mile!  That having been said it has still been great.

I had the hung dog look as well! Frustrating, I kept trying to convince myself this is a good thing. This type of snow causes damage to the landscapes but I really did want the chaos !

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Riverview SD called for schools to be closed again tomorrow, with mid-winter break starting on Friday and lasting through next Tuesday.

 

That means from February 1st through February 19th, they will have gone to school for only 2.5 days. Pretty crazy.

 

Crazy lucky.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Yeah. And the flip from mild to cold this winter is even more historic. This might be the best example of a back loaded winter we've ever seen, when contrasting the front and back ends.

I’ve been thinking the same thing. Basically the dead opposite of what conventional wisdom would suggest with a weak El Niño as well. The way this February has behaved I would almost think this was a strongish Niña, and the overall pattern looks to continue for the foreseeable future. Strange stuff.

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For SEA, today was the 10th straight day of 40-or-lower maximums.

 

This the longest on record for Seattle so late in the winter, including downtown records.

 

Previously, 1929 had a 13 day stretch that ended on 2/8. 

 

This is also the first 10 day streak at any point since December 2008.

 

Bummer that they touched 40 between hours yesterday. Would have kept their 30s streak going through today, and probably tomorrow, too.

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I’ve been thinking the same thing. Basically the dead opposite of what conventional wisdom would suggest with a weak El Niño as well. The way this February has behaved I would almost think this was a strongish Niña, and the overall pattern looks to continue for the foreseeable future. Strange stuff.

 

This winter has blown my mind. I was convinced we were heading for an ungodly torch like 1966-67/1991-92/2002-03. My first hint that something might be realistically brewing was around Jan. 20th, when the Midwest PV intrusion came into forecast view. Reminded me too much of 1985 - SSW around New Years, ridgy January here in the aftermath, then a massive Polar Vortex displacement into the Midwest later in the month. I had a feeling we would see some sort of longwave retrogression come February, like we did that winter....

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