February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2

[Perturbed Member]

Huge shift north and west with light snow on the 18z gfs. Most of western Oregon gets some snow.

 

GFS is thinking about it

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Have a feeling this next one coming will impact Puget Sound as well.

[Requiem]

Seems like a bad estimate. Unless you are talking about overall seasonal total or something.

My seasonal total is up at 5-1/2 inches, and I live pretty high up (about 1000 ft). That definitely seems like a bad estimate, especially for one day.

[ShawniganLake]

18z gfs moving towards euro for sure for wednesday.

Better chance that the precip gets drawn north than with the setup last night and today. ULL/ trough digging offshore, turning the flow southerly aloft.

[Cloud]

Huge shift north and west with light snow on the 18z gfs. Most of western Oregon gets some snow.

Perhaps this will be the storm for PDX with impact to Puget Sound as well.

[MossMan]

Have a feeling this next one coming will impact Puget Sound as well.

Let’s hope so!!

[TT-SEA]

Have a feeling this next one coming will impact Puget Sound as well.

 

 

Very unlikely it will be meaningful though.    Impact is a strong word for a little snow in the air and a high in the low 40s.   That is what the ECMWF has been showing for a few runs now and its only 36 hours away.  

[FroYoBro]

The GFS shows an interesting week with snow chances for Oregon and Washington still. 

 

 

Might as well keep the crazy month going. 

[Requiem]

Perhaps this will be the storm for PDX with impact to Puget Sound as well.

Temps don’t seem very favorable, but I’d love it.

[TacomaWaWx]

I’d be happy if we got a little bit of snow, not gonna get my hopes up for anything but it looks possible atleast

[GHweatherChris]

Very unlikely it will be meaningful though. Impact is a strong word for a little snow in the air and a high in the low 40s. That is what the ECMWF has been showing for a few runs now and its only 36 hours away.

Thanks Tim, good lord

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Very unlikely it will be meaningful though.    Impact is a strong word for a little snow in the air and a high in the low 40s.   That is what the ECMWF has been showing for a few runs now and its only 36 hours away.  

I was thinking effect and said impact.   I have been watching this day since Saturday and things are now changing fast for at least some snow. I'd like an impact.

[Deweydog]

Prayers for Puget Sound!

[seattleweatherguy]

Very unlikely it will be meaningful though. Impact is a strong word for a little snow in the air and a high in the low 40s. That is what the ECMWF has been showing for a few runs now and its only 36 hours away.

At least he is honest. I respect him for this.

[GHweatherChris]

Sometimes just having snow falling is great, doesn't necessarily have to stick!

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Would LOVE just some 20's for highs at this point. 

Ventrice had the 850's, here are the ground temps from Maue.

 

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 33m33 minutes ago

More

The 7-day temperature anomaly map is amazing for the first week of March. (ECMWF EPS 12z)

 

[Jesse]

Sometimes just having snow falling is great, doesn't necessarily have to stick!

Been the case all afternoon so far here!

[Cloud]

Temps don’t seem very favorable, but I’d love it.

I probably wouldn't worry too much about it. If majority of this falls during the night with below freezing along with the East winds, I think PDX will be fine. The snow cover will also keep temps down during the daytime.

[MossMan]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Sometimes just having snow falling is great, doesn't necessarily have to stick!

Tim hates snow right now 

[Requiem]

I probably wouldn't worry too much about it. If majority of this falls during the night with below freezing along with the East winds, I think PDX will be fine. The snow cover will also keep temps down during the daytime.

East winds always provide a nice surprise. I hope the Sound gets in on this one too.

[GHweatherChris]

Tim hates snow right now

Yup, and that's when he focuses on crushing dreams with "reality" before anything even happens...

[TT-SEA]

I was thinking effect and said impact.   I have been watching this day since Saturday and things are now changing fast for at least some snow. I'd like an impact.

 

 

I know you would like an "impact".    That goes without saying.  

 

But you have all of the maps for the last 10+ ECMWF runs posted here for that day and it looks even less impressive now than it did a couple days ago.   And its never looked like anything much.     And its almost here now.  

[TT-SEA]

Tim hates snow right now 

 

After Valentines Day... definitely.

 

But I love snow between Thanksgiving and New Years.  

[TT-SEA]

Alright then... 4-6 inches for Seattle on Wednesday.   Maybe 10-12 inches.  

 

I have nothing to support that prediction but the hopes and dreams of others.   And that is all you need!  

[El_Nina]

The snow is just too light.

[epiceast]

 

Ventrice had the 850's, here are the ground temps from Maue.

 

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 33m33 minutes ago

More

The 7-day temperature anomaly map is amazing for the first week of March. (ECMWF EPS 12z)

 

 

Shows how rare it is to have snowy Columbia basin at that point.

[Jesse]

Shows how rare it is to have snowy Columbia basin at that point.

It’s more the overall pattern. A snowy Columbia basin wouldn’t matter as much if we were in a warmer pattern.

[Prairiedog]

Our friends at Eagle Crest.  First pic was at 8am.  Second pic at noon.  They measured 28" on their deck, 18f.

[MossMan]

Alright then... 4-6 inches for Seattle on Wednesday. Maybe 10-12 inches.

 

I have nothing to support that prediction but the hopes and dreams of others. And that is all you need!

Sweet!!! Thanks Tim!! Matt’s prayers worked! Team work!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Low 20s in Spokane on the hour with NE winds. 

[Cloud]

Alright then... 4-6 inches for Seattle on Wednesday.   Maybe 10-12 inches.  

 

I have nothing to support that prediction but the hopes and dreams of others.   And that is all you need!  

 

Too little! 10-12 feet.

People still have food left over from the mid-Feb. storm man!

[TT-SEA]

Too little! 10-12 feet.

People still have food left over from the mid-Feb. storm man!

 

 

Done!  

[Front Ranger]

It appears Seattle has lost its snow cover.

[Front Ranger]

Have a feeling this next one coming will impact Puget Sound as well.

You often have these types of feelings.

[TT-SEA]

Just did a traffic cam tour of the Portland/Vancouver area... hard pressed to find any sign of snow anywhere.    

[TT-SEA]

Who had 38 at PDX today?   That is the latest reading on the hour.

 

ECMWF last night showed 35.   Cool bias. 

[Requiem]

Just did a traffic cam tour of the Portland/Vancouver area... hard pressed to find any sign of snow anywhere.

Don’t rub it in :/

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Lows forecast in the 20-25 range at my place through Sunday night with the exception of Wednesday night which is forecast to be a little warmer with more clouds. Would be amazing if that verified.

[Deweydog]

Who had 38 at PDX today? That is the latest reading on the hour.

 

ECMWF last night showed 35. Cool bias.

Jesse.