April 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

[Requiem]

I would like to think I know a few things.  You know, basic math, basic english, how to please a woman. Hell, I may even be the best meteorologist in a half block radius.   But let's set all that aside.  Let's talk about something real important.

 

Let's dissect a creature so lewd, so crude, so rude, he acts like a prude.  This dude: High Desert Mat

 

High:  Yep, he usually sniffs glue before he posts here.  And I know in the past he has been known to smoke the sacred grass.

 

Desert: Yep.  Whenever a girl sees him, it gets pretty arid in the nether regions.  Very desert-y, I must say.

 

Mat:  Yep. I normally wipe my shoes on him daily.  And when he gets too dirty, I give him the hose again.

 

Thoughts?

 

Huh.

[MossMan]

I would like to think I know a few things. You know, basic math, basic english, how to please a woman. Hell, I may even be the best meteorologist in a half block radius. But let's set all that aside. Let's talk about something real important.

 

Let's dissect a creature so lewd, so crude, so rude, he acts like a prude. This dude: High Desert Mat

 

High: Yep, he usually sniffs glue before he posts here. And I know in the past he has been known to smoke the sacred grass.

 

Desert: Yep. Whenever a girl sees him, it gets pretty arid in the nether regions. Very desert-y, I must say.

 

Mat: Yep. I normally wipe my shoes on him daily. And when he gets too dirty, I give him the hose again.

 

Thoughts?

Well alrighty then...

[Phil]

Let's dissect a creature so lewd, so crude, so rude, he acts like a prude. This dude: Dome Buster

 

High: Yep, he usually sniffs glue before he posts here. And I know in the past he has been known to smoke the sacred grass.

 

Desert: Yep. Whenever a girl sees him, it gets pretty arid in the nether regions. Very desert-y, I must say.

 

Mat: Yep. I normally wipe my shoes on him daily. And when he gets too dirty, I give him the hose again.

 

Thoughts?

Fixed. (Even though it breaks the pun).

[GHweatherChris]

I would like to think I know a few things. You know, basic math, basic english, how to please a woman. Hell, I may even be the best meteorologist in a half block radius. But let's set all that aside. Let's talk about something real important.

 

Let's dissect a creature so lewd, so crude, so rude, he acts like a prude. This dude: High Desert Mat

 

High: Yep, he usually sniffs glue before he posts here. And I know in the past he has been known to smoke the sacred grass.

 

Desert: Yep. Whenever a girl sees him, it gets pretty arid in the nether regions. Very desert-y, I must say.

 

Mat: Yep. I normally wipe my shoes on him daily. And when he gets too dirty, I give him the hose again.

 

Thoughts?

It puts the lotion in the basket....

[El_Nina]

I would like to think I know a few things. You know, basic math, basic english, how to please a woman. Hell, I may even be the best meteorologist in a half block radius. But let's set all that aside. Let's talk about something real important.

 

Let's dissect a creature so lewd, so crude, so rude, he acts like a prude. This dude: High Desert Mat

 

High: Yep, he usually sniffs glue before he posts here. And I know in the past he has been known to smoke the sacred grass.

 

Desert: Yep. Whenever a girl sees him, it gets pretty arid in the nether regions. Very desert-y, I must say.

 

Mat: Yep. I normally wipe my shoes on him daily. And when he gets too dirty, I give him the hose again.

 

Thoughts?

Judging by your posts and the time of day they usually happen, I would assume it's YOU who intoxicates before posting.

[High Desert Mat?]

I would like to think I know a few things. You know, basic math, basic english, how to please a woman. Hell, I may even be the best meteorologist in a half block radius. But let's set all that aside. Let's talk about something real important.

 

Let's dissect a creature so lewd, so crude, so rude, he acts like a prude. This dude: High Desert Mat

 

High: Yep, he usually sniffs glue before he posts here. And I know in the past he has been known to smoke the sacred grass.

 

Desert: Yep. Whenever a girl sees him, it gets pretty arid in the nether regions. Very desert-y, I must say.

 

Mat: Yep. I normally wipe my shoes on him daily. And when he gets too dirty, I give him the hose again.

 

Thoughts?

What did I do to get roasted? Who are you Josh? You think you’re Jom Morrison or someone that has a little liquid courage? Hmmmm, keyboard cowboy!!

[Jesse]

You are not usually wrong. Just sometimes. I am usually wrong.

Me know nuffing!

[Deweydog]

1-10-17

[Front Ranger]

Judging by your posts and the time of day they usually happen, I would assume it's YOU who intoxicates before posting.

 

It's safe to assume that most posters on here are under some kind of influence most of the time.

 

#methinmoderation

[Guest CulverJosh]

I love it. Your reactions make it all worth it.

[El_Nina]

It's safe to assume that most posters on here are under some kind of influence most of the time.

 

#methinmoderation

If that were the case then lots of people here are risking their jobs. I think most are not influenced if I'm honest.

[Front Ranger]

If that were the case then lots of people here are risking their jobs. I think most are not influenced if I'm honest.

 

Very few on here have actual jobs.

[ShawniganLake]

Still at least a light rain and sometimes steady. 0.14” so far today. Hasn’t been feasible to mow the grass since March 29 I think.

I mowed today, during light to moderate rain. It’s doable.

[Phil]

It's safe to assume that most posters on here are under some kind of influence most of the time.

 

#methinmoderation

  

Very few on here have actual jobs.

It looks like you’re trying to prove something.

[Jesse]

 

It looks like you’re trying to prove something.

It always looks that way.

[Front Ranger]

  

It looks like you’re trying to prove something.

 

Yes, Phil. I'm a homeless, unemployed, druggie trying to prove I am not alone here.

[Front Ranger]

It always looks that way.

 

The EPS?

[Jesse]

The EPS?

It’s just the internet. Don’t take it person.

[Front Ranger]

It’s just the internet. Don’t take it person.

 

It's good to see that my words stick with you.

[Guest CulverJosh]

Influence of weather mania.

[MossMan]

Up to .30” on the day.

44 degrees currently.

I’m ready for the sun to return.

[Phil]

This must be nuts. And here I thought 3 minutes of snow w/ CTG strikes was epic. Can’t imagine 3 hours of it.

 

https://mobile.twitter.com/codymatzfox9/status/1116375936079933443

[Phil]

I want more of this. Zap—kabam!

 

https://twitter.com/Weatherkannon/status/1116403184229134336?s=20

[snow_wizard]

Difference in SSTAs between Niño Aprils that went onto be multiyear events and April’s following single year events that transitioned.

 

No surprise here..Indo-Pacific colder in cases that remained +ENSO. This year is (so far) following the multiyear +ENSO script.

 

 

Still doesn't make sense at solar minimum though.  We normally see a single warm ENSO year just after solar minimum.  Multi year would be rare if not unheard of.

[snow_wizard]

I absolutely hate this pattern we are in.  I'm started to feel suffocated by the endless gloom.  No doubt we in a very streaky regime this year.  When we get into a given pattern it hangs on tenaciously.

 

My favorite pattern this time of year is troughy, but with a lot of clearing and cold nights.

[Phil]

Still doesn't make sense at solar minimum though. We normally see a single warm ENSO year just after solar minimum. Multi year would be rare if not unheard of.

I think it depends on the amplitude of the solar cycle and the timing/inertia of the IPWP/thermocline sloshing in conjunction with the QBO.

 

Notice the IPWP vacillation (120E-170E, lags solar cycle by around 3 years) has dampened as the solar cycle has weakened. It appears we’re seeing the solar minimum response now.

 

http://www.climate4you.com/images/PacificSST.gif

[snow_wizard]

I had a friend who frequented LSD and can confirm that. Glad I never touched it. Stay natural my friends.

 

I would never try that.  My brain is way too active.  I have no doubt LSD would give me a bad trip.  I think one of the most cruel pranks I've heard of is people slipping LSD to their friends without them knowing it.  You could totally mess somebody up that way.

[Phil]

Note the IPWP is still extended right now, unlike both 2009 and 1997 at this time (solar minimums). This suggests the +ENSO has longer to run, since further retraction would suggest termination of the +ENSO and we’re not seeing that right now.

 

Which brings us to the recent IO warming and the termination of the super +NAO last winter (was the first winter without a raging +NAO since 2013). Both are large shifts away from the background state of the last several years. And if it’s a real move, it’s a prelude to a future move into a multiyear La Niña/-PDO/-NAO type pattern by the early 2020s, if history has anything to say about it.

[Omegaraptor]

Forecast for this weekend shows straight up winter weather.

 

I wouldn’t be surprised if an inversion happened at this point.

[El_Nina]

Looks like Tim is about to be woken up by a downpour.

[El_Nina]

Forecast for this weekend shows straight up winter weather.

I wouldn’t be surprised if an inversion happened at this point.

I would.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like Tim is about to be woken up by a downpour.

 

 

I missed it.    But then it would be hard to tell the difference since it has been pouring here all week.

 

The rain has been relentless up here for the last 8 days.    And it has been basically non-stop since Monday.    Same thing happened last year in early April.   

 

It gets silly like this here at times here... maybe 1-2 times a year when it will rain for 5-7 days without stopping.   Just have to grin and bear it... its the price of admission.    

 

Anecdotally... it also seems like we are rewarded nicely after these periods.     

[TT-SEA]

If I include the rain so far today... looks like about 8.5 inches at Cedar Lake station in the last 8 days.

 

And now above normal for the entire month here.

[Omegaraptor]

I was just joking around about the inversion earlier... but is it known what the latest inversion that’s ever happened here is?

[TT-SEA]

I was just joking around about the inversion earlier... but is it known what the latest inversion that’s ever happened here is?

The marine layer in June is caused by an inversion. There is no such thing as the latest inversion ever.

[Omegaraptor]

The marine layer in June is caused by an inversion. There is no such thing as the latest inversion ever.

Didn’t know that. Thanks.

[TT-SEA]

I absolutely hate this pattern we are in.  I'm started to feel suffocated by the endless gloom.  No doubt we in a very streaky regime this year.  When we get into a given pattern it hangs on tenaciously.

 

 

A couple weeks of true gloom was probably to be expected after February and March.    It was unusually sunny in those months.

[Jesse]

A couple weeks of true gloom was probably to be expected after February and March. It was unusually sunny in those months.

Who’s been feeding you reasonable pills lately?

[El_Nina]

 

I missed it.    But then it would be hard to tell the difference since it has been pouring here all week.

 

The rain has been relentless up here for the last 8 days.    And it has been basically non-stop since Monday.    Same thing happened last year in early April.   

 

It gets silly like this here at times here... maybe 1-2 times a year when it will rain for 5-7 days without stopping.   Just have to grin and bear it... its the price of admission.    

 

Anecdotally... it also seems like we are rewarded nicely after these periods.

 

It's been similar here except I'm closing in on 6 inches rather than 8 for the month. It was needed though. Winter was so dry, especially February, that there were widespread brush fires in March. That has been put an end and reservoirs which were once behind are now filled to the brim and ready to go for summer.

And as snowwizard said last night, things have been very streaky lately (there's not really a better way to put it IMO). So I would bet we end up having a warmer and drier than normal period coming up soon. And as reliable as megaridges are here in the warm seasons lately, I wouldn't be worried if I were you.

[Jesse]

It's been similar here except I'm closing in on 6 inches rather than 8 for the month. It was needed though. Winter was so dry, especially February, that there were widespread brush fires in March. That has been put an end and reservoirs which were once behind are now filled to the brim and ready to go for summer.

And as snowwizard said last night, things have been very streaky lately (there's not really a better way to put it IMO). So I would bet we end up having a warmer and drier than normal period coming up soon. And as reliable as megaridges are here in the warm seasons lately, I wouldn't be worried if I were you.

February was actually above average precip wise for the Portland area. We saw about 4” of rain.