Jump to content

April 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW


Omegaraptor

Recommended Posts

Good lord...

 

Ever hear of thou protesteth too much?

 

 

My post count does not go down during nice weather.    I am always posting about everything that is happening.   Wet or dry... warm or cold.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My post count does not go down during nice weather.    I am always posting about everything that is happening.   Wet or dry... warm or cold.

 

I'd be willing to try to meet you in the middle here, but first I need to delete the several vicious PMs I sent you in the last five minutes.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

No just your numbers are. To be fair 10 to 3 was an exaggeration as well. Probably more like 2:1.

 

Anyway, this all comes off like an attempt to appear above the fray considering how often you contribute to the issue.

 

I'd say you outpost me on this particular topic at least 15:4.

 

I mostly just chime in with the occasional helpful map or a dig at one of the contestants in these more rain/less rain wars.

A forum for the end of the world.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'd say you outpost me on this particular topic at least 15:4.

 

I mostly just chime in with the occasional helpful map or a dig at one of the contestants in these more rain/less rain wars.

 

You are the model of a perfect human being to whom we all should aspire.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'd say you outpost me on this particular topic at least 15:4.

 

I mostly just chime in with the occasional helpful map or a dig at one of the contestants in these more rain/less rain wars.

 

I be happy to look at rainfall data for the Oregon foothills for the last decade compared to the last 100+ years.     It does not have to be a war.   Its just weather data.    Different things happen in different places.     

 

The data I have shown indicates that its been an anomalously wet decade in the foothill areas around here... hard to argue with the stats.

 

Going from south to north:

 

Cedar Lake:

 

cl1.png

 

 

Tolt Reservoir:

 

tolt.png

 

 

Concrete:

 

concrete.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I be happy to look at rainfall data for the Oregon foothills for the last decade compared to the last 100+ years.     It does not have to be a war.   Its just weather data.

 

Different things happen in different places.     

 

The data I have shown indicates that its been an anomalously wet decade in the foothill areas around here... hard to argue with the stats.

 

Cedar Lake:

 

cl1.png

 

 

Tolt Reservoir:

 

tolt.png

 

 

Concrete:

 

concrete.png

 

The Silver Falls data is pretty spotty, but overall the decade has gone like this...

 

2010: wet

2011: dry

2012:  very wet

2013: very dry

2014: average

2015: average

2016: wet

2017: wet

2018: very dry

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2012 was the 4th wettest year out of 126 at Salem. 2013 was the driest on record. 

 

2015 was on pace to be one of the driest on record until the record breaking December rainfall.

 

2017 was a top 15 wet year at SLE, if January and December had normal precip that year it would have probably been close to a top 5 wet year. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Eh, it's probably close to 50/50. For every complaining post, there tends to be an equal and opposite response.

 

That's how these lively discussions maintain their stamina!

It’s not even close to 50/50, even if this lively debate is bringing it somewhat closer.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am the temperate rain forest climate with abundant warm season rainfall of humans.

You’re more like the flatiron mountain climate..turbulent and argumentative.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That's how they're often described. Picturesque, yet quarrelsome. Get pretty mean when they're drunk.

Sounds like a personal issue.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Up to this point, it's certainly been an unusually cloudy month at SEA.

 

Only one day has achieved 50%+ possible sunshine. That would be rare in December, much less April.

 

But it looks like that's about to change.

 

 

Its been a very cloudy month. 

 

But I bet it would be about average overall if you combine March and April.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Its been a very cloudy month.

 

But I bet it would be about average overall if you combine March and April.

March is the only reason April hasn’t bothered me. I am hoping May can deliver some more active thunderstorm type weather. Who knows maybe April is June Gloom come early and summer starts in May the way the last few years have been with no lack of heat and dryness...
Link to comment
Share on other sites

00Z ECMWF is a slightly faster and little bit farther north with the weekend system compared to the 12Z run.   

 

Looks like a quick c-zone on Friday night into early Saturday morning for northern King and southern Snohomish counties... and then partly to mostly sunny for the rest of the weekend.   Sunday looks perfect with full sunshine and light wind for most areas and highs in the low to mid 60s.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tuesday would be really nice per the 00Z ECMWF despite looking quite troughy at the 500mb level.   ULL forms that day heading south and the result is a mostly sunny day in the low to mid 60s.

 

 

ecmwf_z500a_namer_8.png

 

 

ecmwf-t2max-nw-29-1.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z GFS may not show much rain in the short to mid range, but it also doesn't show us going into a pattern like last May anytime soon.

 

 

It rained on 8 out the first 12 days in May last year in the Snoqualmie Valley.   That does not happen under strong ridging.    Must have been lots of flat ridging.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That means a scorching summer?

 

Doubt it.    Just an observation.   

 

The blocking over Alaska has been insanely persistent this year.

 

ecmwf_z500a_namer_9.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This pattern is freakin’ me out, man. The timing is..highly suggestive.

 

There is a big MJO event developing, however (running about a week slower than I was thinking a month or so ago). Perhaps that will be enough perturb the wavetrain next month, once it takes on the wave-1/Pacific based structure.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Chilly with a low of 38 this morning. Judging by the models, there is a good chance that the majority of lows the rest of the month will be sub-40 here.

 

Almost seems like we’re going back into a late-April/early May version of the cold and dry pattern we saw the first half of March. Strong GOA block much of the next 7-10 days.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 177

      April 2024 Observations and Discussion

    2. 177

      April 2024 Observations and Discussion

    3. 1859

      April 2024 Weather in the PNW

    4. 1859

      April 2024 Weather in the PNW

    5. 1859

      April 2024 Weather in the PNW

×
×
  • Create New...