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4/10 - 4/12 Plains/Upper Midwest Powerhouse Blizzard


Tom

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6z GEFS definitely took a shift south.

 

GEFSMW_prec_snens_144.png

 

Thx for showing the Mitt in your maps, even tho I'm not cheering for a snowstorm lol. Not sure why Tom can't shift his a state over to lose WY and snag MI?

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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One of the more unique features with this system that will likely produce a lot of snow NW of the SLP is the slow pivot across NE/IA.  Eventually, the low occludes and migrates eastward.  Some places may see 24-36 hours of constant snowfall but trying to iron those specific details out this far out isn't important.  Nonetheless, just your typical April snow as we see back-to-back Aprils producing monster winter storms.  #sarc

 

00z EPS took another tick S/SE which may come in exceptionally close to some members across E NE/IA and into WI.  @St Paul and MN peeps, gas up your snow blowers and prep your cameras for some footage of this storm.  This looks like it will be a historic system for some.

Still a ways to go but the fact that this thing is still lurking on the models is concerning. Wth temps already at 63F this morning it really seems almost inconceivable that a snowstorm of this magnitude is possible in a few days. The grass has greened up considerably over the weekend, the ice on the lakes is melting, wildlife has returned. I’m not rooting for snow, but if we’re gonna do this let’s go big....really big. I was at Home Depot this morning and a lot of people were looking to buy snow shovels which are out of season. The employees were talking about how they are going to move all of their outdoor plants, flowers, etc inside. Pretty crazy.

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If Td’s were 4 degrees higher in the warm sector, we’d be talking a legit moderate risk outbreak over much of the plains with this system. Alas, it was not to be due to a piece of trash over the FL panhandle.

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2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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The above excludes the possibility of a marginal looking cold core event over Iowa on Thursday. That could still happen as 50s dews work in those cases.

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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NWS Hastings hazardous weather outlook. I would say they are taking the storm seriously.

 

A strong storm system will move across the area Tuesday night

through Thursday. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms

Tuesday night into Wednesday...with the greatest chance north of

Interstate 80. Accumulating snow is expected Wednesday night into

Thursday. Parts of the area could see a few inches of snow. High

winds are also likely...and this would result in blizzard

conditions across much of the area late Wednesday night into

Thursday. Sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph are likely along with

gusts greater than 58 mph. Significant blowing and drifting snow

will make travel difficult if not impossible.

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Uggh. Even includes SMI in on the misery. Ofc, now that I'm done with winter mode/mood.. :rolleyes:

:lol:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Well its at least looking like Omaha gets 2-3 inches with this system, if it tracks any further south..watch out! Probably wishful thinking though. Time will tell! 

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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Well its at least looking like Omaha gets 2-3 inches with this system, if it tracks any further south..watch out! Probably wishful thinking though. Time will tell!

It's still 4 days out and it's April. The least Omaha will see from this storm is 0". If by some divine miracle the low ends up South of where it is now then yes we could see appreciable totals from this. I'd like snow but I'm not willing to say 2-3" is guaranteed considering models are having a hard time deciding whether or not we'll see flakes in the first place. Even if we do get flakes, ratio combined with the fact that snow should fall for a couple hours in daylight (a no-no for April) combined with warm ground temps will make accumulations very hard.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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NWS already throwing out 3-5 FOOT drifting with this storm :o

 

"The occlusion over Ern NEB depicted by the last 5 EC runs is
disconcerting because it packs the isobars. EC and GFS 850 mb
winds are fcst 50-55 kt. That would produce blzd conds with
significant blowing/drifting.

 

The Thu AM commute is looking rough!

Snow: we will probably not see accums in our CWA as high as the
Sandhills...but believe we could still see a swath of 3-6" bounded
by an area of 1-3". Drifts 3-5 ft high will be possible given the
expected strength of the winds.


Suggest keeping a close eye on the fcst and be prepared to alter
plans and take necessary precautions."

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Wow..keep this away from SMI.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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