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4/13 - 4/15 S Plains/GL's Cutter


Tom

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Folks, the beat goes on in this impressive pattern that keeps on delivering storm systems across our Sub.  Will some folks score more Spring snow and surpass 50"??  Clinch 1st place???  It'll take a lot more for Chicago to join the bunch but the signals are there that measurable snowfall later this this weekend are in the cards and may cause the MLB to cancel the Cub's game on Sunday.

 

The 00z Euro has trended towards the other models and has shifted the heaviest snow band SE across portions of E IA/N IL/NE MO/WI.  The NAM models paint a similar picture as well.

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

Besides the snow, lot's of precip being depicted and we can't forget about the Severe Wx potential down in the deep South.

 

day2otlk_0600.gif?1555068769700

 

 

 

Let's discuss...

 

 

 

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12z NAM with a shift further NW.  Fairly similar to the Euro, which finally caved to the SE. Still enough time for this to shift either way another 50-100 miles for sure.  This will be such a narrow band.  Hard to believe these amounts with much of this daytime snow with marginal temps, but seeing some flakes would be kind of cool. 

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Let's discuss...

 

Missing the bulk of the A-team posters, this thd won't see the traffic other systems have produced. Attm, looking like best (worst?) scenario is a 2-4" Kuchera hit which due to mid-April would be more like a 1-2" deal, aka where mby's spent most of the winter, lol. For now, GRR likes Rain/Snow down my way. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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12z Euro more bullish with the snow around here...it would be pretty neat to see one more decent snow this season.

Just been lurking lately as I thought winter was over...well it's been over for Chicago folks for sometime now. Hard to believe that the models are showing these amounts but it looks like we will get a couple inches at least on Sunday. Good day to spread some seeds on the lawn tomorrow as the snow would really help with the spring growth.

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12z Euro more bullish with the snow around here...it would be pretty neat to see one more decent snow this season.

 

I'd think I'd actually welcome that outcome much more than this same "ride the line" bs that's been dealt a lot this cold season  :rolleyes:

 

20190414 Grid-cast.PNG

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Just been lurking lately as I thought winter was over...well it's been over for Chicago folks for sometime now. Hard to believe that the models are showing these amounts but it looks like we will get a couple inches at least on Sunday. Good day to spread some seeds on the lawn tomorrow as the snow would really help with the spring growth.

 

Travel day Saturday so I might try to sneak that in b4 dark..

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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RGEM @h40-42 looks pretty ominous. Feels strange after all this time to be tracking a potential winter hit. 

 

rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_41.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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This is disappointing. My snowfall total for this winter was 50.8". I was hoping to add to that, and it's funny how the last storm had all the snow to the north and now this one will be to the east?? 

 

Still hoping for a last minute shift west. 

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It still seems like there will be a Palm Sunday snow event across the area as you head out to Church Sun morning.  I don't think I've ever experienced a snow system on Palm Sunday so that'll check off the bucket list I guess.  

 

I think the 06z NAM model is being to aggressive...higher rez NAM prob with the better approach...

 

 

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

 

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

06z Canadian...

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

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If the forecasted 2-4 inches of snow fall happens then there could be a new record snow fall for April 14th in west Michigan.  Here are the record snow falls for April 14th At Grand Rapids the record is 1.6” in 2014 with 1.4” in 1939 in 2nd place and 0.5” in 1905 in 3rd place. At Lansing the record is 1.5” in 1939 with 1.0” in 1892 in 2nd place and for Muskegon the record is 2.0” in 1905 and in 2nd place is 1.6” in 2014. Of note of the above years 1905 and 2014 had very cool summers.

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2-4 on grassy surfaces. Temps stay above Freezing. Is there anything more annoying? Several 60’s showing up in the 10 day. Nuisance storm. Good day to watch the Masters tomorrow and clean the house.

If that 2/4 happens it would be a record for the date for most of west and  central Michigan. 

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If that 2/4 happens it would be a record for the date for most of west and  central Michigan. 

 

Which speaks to two points. 1) Our spring snow climo is really lame by mid-April. 2) As he posted, gimme real winter or real spring-not this!  

 

Lol @ the 1-1.5" line literally bisecting mby here in Marshall. If nothing else, this pattern's been "set your clocks" consistent. Looking forward to those 60's he mentioned as well. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Gone the next day. No thanks.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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#PalmSunday  #Snowstorm...one of the best April snowstorms I have ever witnessed...it's just non stop heavy snow and wind right now!

 

Current conditions at Chicago, Chicago-O'Hare International Airport (KORD)Lat: 41.98°NLon: 87.9°WElev: 666ft.
sn.png

Heavy Snow Fog

and Breezy

32°F

0°C

 

 

 

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Enjoy it Tom!

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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It would have been nice to see this here, although I also don't mind getting missed this late in the season.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Enjoy it Tom!

It’s wild out there, esp when the winds gust over 35mph and knock off the snow from the trees/branches, etc. I certainly wasn’t expecting anything like this. Hope you score some fun out of this. If this is the last snow of the season, it’s a great way to end a season! If this keeps up, it will easily be Top 3 or come close to taking the top position in post April 14th snowstorms. #Makin’History

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2.8” and counting...surprised to see how quickly it’s accumulating. Very wet, dense snow that’s sticking to everything.

Is it sticking to the pavement or just the grass? Just started here maybe half an hour ago or so. So far melting on contact.

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Is it sticking to the pavement or just the grass? Just started here maybe half an hour ago or so. So far melting on contact.

Yes, everything is being covered...holy crap, I just heard a loud and long clap of thunder! #thundersnow

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8 inches in Princeton

 

DVN was calling for 1-2" in the heavy band.  I knew that was too low.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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