Deweydog Posted October 1, 2019 Report Share Posted October 1, 2019 The EPS weeklies have an outrageous +IOD signal in the tropics (both in U850 & VP200 anoms) through week 6. Raging easterlies across the IO with subsidence sprawling over the Maritime Continent. Verbatim, it’s the overpowering low-medium pass signal dominating the entire globe. More so than anything resembling a sensible EOF for ENSO.Yup Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 1, 2019 Report Share Posted October 1, 2019 The EPS weeklies have an outrageous +IOD signal in the tropics (both in U850 & VP200 anoms) through week 6. Raging easterlies across the IO with subsidence sprawling over the Maritime Continent. Verbatim, it’s the overpowering low-medium pass signal dominating the entire globe. More so than anything resembling a sensible EOF for ENSO.What does a +IOD Mean for our part of the globe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 What does a +IOD Mean for our part of the globeVery little IMO. Means a lot more for the South Pacific and points south. Means a whole heck of a lot to Australia. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 EUG up to 61. Beautiful crisp early fall day. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 What does a +IOD Mean for our part of the globeIt’s an interesting thought experiment. Typically it’s a secondary boundary condition that only affects North America depending on what more dominant drivers are doing. It tends to be associated with -NAOs during the winter, all else being equal. However, a prolific +IOD that *is* the most dominant low/medium frequency mode present in the tropics will, by default, affect the wavetrain across Eurasia/NATL/NPAC via the stunting of IPWP/MC exhaust and possibly effects on the Eurasian wavetrain/Siberian High. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 +IOD means more to the east coast. Why Phil is harping on it. We need to pay attention. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 It’s an interesting thought experiment. Typically it’s a secondary boundary condition that only affects North America depending on what more dominant drivers are doing. It tends to be associated with -NAOs during the winter, all else being equal. However, a prolific +IOD that *is* the most dominant low/medium frequency mode present in the tropics will, by default, affect the wavetrain across Eurasia/NATL/NPAC via the stunting of IPWP/MC exhaust and possibly effects on the Eurasian wavetrain/Siberian High.So it's an experiment, which means nothing currently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 So it's an experiment, which means nothing currently.Exactly, and if you look at the data...... I rest my case. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Just another excuse to keep throwing around acronyms that maybe 5 people understand. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looking at MT Hood the last two days have been great. Who doesn't love a good view of a snow capped mountain? 2 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looking at MT Hood the last two days have been great. Who doesn't love a good view of a snow capped mountain?Driving home today saw Rainier in the beautiful virgin white snow as well!!! High today 63*Currently 60* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Is that what your NPI? Index was based on? I have one index called the NPS and the other is the EO. The one I was referring to was the NPS (North Pacific surface pressure). 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Net Promoter Score Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Net Promoter ScoreNocturnal Penis Sucker? I can say penis. Right Matt? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 The 18z is really going the right way with next week's trough once again. The runs that avoid merging the cutoff low to our SW and the cold trough digging down from the NW end up really good. That trough could be close to as cold as the recent one if it plays out right. It appears it will be more of an open trough instead of a closed low though. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Just another excuse to keep throwing around acronyms that maybe 5 people understand.I said that 10 years ago and was called dumb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looking like another cold one tonight. We should have some great color on the trees by mid month. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 The MJO appears to be stuck in octant one for the next couple of weeks so no real reason to expect much change before mid month. Obviously MJO 1 at this point in the season with this background state is working for us! 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Nocturnal Penis Sucker? I can say penis. Right Matt?Penis is ok to say, girls have a **, but you have to spell vajina wrong, smh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Driving home today saw Rainier in the beautiful virgin white snow as well!!! High today 63*Currently 60*Not many times I've headed out fishing for fall salmon and seen snow capped peaks. Usually leads to tougher fishing because the fish are able to spread out. But I'm ok with it. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 53 at the moment in Tacoma, should get down into the upper 30s tonight but I’m doubtful we see frost again. Still upper 30s is quite cold for this early in the year. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 What goes around comes around, my brother. If we get a cold and snowy December then I'll root for you guys out East. I'm all for sharing the wealth. Can't get too greedy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looking like a dud for the east coast in general. They will have occasional chances as they always do, but it is Rockies west this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest daniel1 Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 The MJO appears to be stuck in octant one for the next couple of weeks so no real reason to expect much change before mid month. Obviously MJO 1 at this point in the season with this background state is working for us!Would be much much different come DJF which is why you should be careful what you wish for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looking like a dud for the east coast in general. They will have occasional chances as they always do, but it is Rockies west this year. I'm curious to know why. Are there meteorological implications, and could you explain them to someone (me) who isn't so well-versed in weather-lingo? Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 I’m still trying to figure out the WHAM! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 The EPS weeklies have an outrageous +IOD signal in the tropics (both in U850 & VP200 anoms) through week 6. Raging easterlies across the IO with subsidence sprawling over the Maritime Continent.Verbatim, it’s the overpowering low-medium pass signal dominating the entire globe. More so than anything resembling a sensible EOF for ENSO.I was discussing this with my mother today, fascinating stuff. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 I’m still trying to figure out the WHAM! Wake me up, before you go go? Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Looks pretty chilly tomorrow morning here with a clear night and calm winds. Mid 20’s seem like a good guess then warming nicely into the low 60’s late afternoon. Hello October. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Cooling off pretty quickly again this evening. Down to 41 already. 57/32 today. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Nocturnal Penis Sucker? I can say penis. Right Matt?Only if you spell it “penus” so everyone feels included and it is more gender neutral Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Temperature at KBLI is currently 46˚F, which is the forecast overnight low. That forecast seems sure to bust. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 I want Seattle/Portland winter predictions. Snowfall:Lowest High temp:Lowest low temp: Number of foreign-driven Prius cars with chains on the rear tires: Snowfall, Seattle: 32.8", Portland: 0.4"Lowest high temp, Seattle: 36, Portland: 18Lowest low temp, Seattle: 19, Portland: 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Snowfall, Seattle: 32.8", Portland: 0.4"Lowest high temp, Seattle: 36, Portland: 18Lowest low temp, Seattle: 19, Portland: 4 Can you imagine. lol Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 +IOD means more to the east coast. Why Phil is harping on it. We need to pay attention.Lmao Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 I want Seattle/Portland winter predictions. Snowfall: Seattle 1.1” Portland 52.4”Lowest High temp: Seattle 36.2. Portland 21.8Lowest low temp: Seattle 29.0. Portland 14.9 Number of foreign-driven Prius cars with chains on the rear tires: 721My predictions. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 Just another excuse to keep throwing around acronyms that maybe 5 people understand.You’re just a dumba**. Not my problem to worry about. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 I said that 10 years ago and was called dumb.East wind density. I rest my case. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 The MJO appears to be stuck in octant one for the next couple of weeks so no real reason to expect much change before mid month. Obviously MJO 1 at this point in the season with this background state is working for us!I’d argue the MJO is moving, but the low frequency circulation associated with the +IOD is messing with the unfiltered phase diagrams, hence the phase-1 recycle there (or illusion of it). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2019 Report Share Posted October 2, 2019 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.