December 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[HighlandExperience]

Looks snowy for Puget Sound.

[Weiner Warrior]

Looks like cold rain to me

[TigerWoodsLibido]

nothing arctic tho

 

...yet

[MossMan]

Killer f***** pattern setting up.

Is your plow over here?

[GHweatherChris]

I will take a big snowstorm over a long cold stretch at this point, gimme 8+ inches of snow that lasts for a few days, not too much too ask for!!

[Gradient Keeper]

Block is just a bit too far west too much arctic air is dumping out off the BC coast. So close though.

[MossMan]

I will take a big snowstorm over a long cold stretch at this point, gimme 8+ inches of snow that lasts for a few days, not too much too ask for!!

Both!! I want both!

[Dave]

Looks snowy for Puget Sound.

Looks snowy for Eureka.

[GHweatherChris]

Both!! I want both!

Multiple big snowstorms would be even better, no reason to break temp records to get that.

 

We didn't really see any impressive stuff in February here as far as snow totals. 2008 set the bar too high here.

[TacomaWaWx]

This month might be fun.

potential is definitely there.

[The Swamp]

The excitement is building.

 

The details will get ironed out later.

 

Hopefully we can get a low to spin up off the BC coast line and slide down the coast dropping a coating of snow from Bellingham to Northern California.

 

You get a snow monster and you get a snow monster. Everyone gets a snow monster!

[HighlandExperience]

Bellingham gets over 2 ft of snow on this run. No biggie.

Looks like a solid 12+ inches over King County on tropical tidbits.

[GHweatherChris]

This month might be fun.

December will not end up as a fun winter month.

[TacomaWaWx]

This month might be fun.

potential is definitely there.

[Cloud]

Too early for details but couple of those lows are taking the traditional snow producing tracks. That’s a shitload of potential.

[Phil]

I lived in your area and experienced one of the greatest storms for DC/Northern VA/southern MD in the last 20 years. I know what is possible. Just very volatile, like here.

That storm in January 2000 was a tiny flurry compared to the big snowmageddons in 2009, 2010 and 2003..not even close to our ceiling. It’s something like #10 or #11 over the last 20 years.

 

Around a foot of snow and some gusty winds in 2000. We had a bigger storm just last January, lol. To put things in perspective, in 2010, 5-6 feet fell in just 12 days, and that was after an earlier 2ft+ blizzard in December. And in January 2016, 30-40” fell in 24 hours.

 

Big difference between a big daddy nor’easter and a more typical nor’easter dumping a 10-15”.

[TacomaWaWx]

At least there's not going to be split flow for the next 4 months like alot of people thought earlier right?

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

For GFS snow totals, you need to go to pivotalweather.com and select the high resolution version. Goes through 10 days. It is the same model, but better details. More realistic snow totals. Shows about 8 inches Bellingham area instead of the 15 that the lower resolution shows. I think Pivotalweather.com has better maps.

[Cloud]

Well. That was a lot of fun!

Now we wait for The King.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Initial trough mean down to -6C from -5C earlier on the ensembles.  Keeps moving up in time.

[Requiem]

Looks like a lot of potential even for the Willamette Valley at this point. Exciting times ahead!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Photo of Eugene in January 1969. This was posted on facebook today and wanted to share here

 

Epic event!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Ensemble mean is colder than the op on the ensembles thru Jan 8.  Wow.

[HighlandExperience]

For GFS snow totals, you need to go to pivotalweather.com and select the high resolution version. Goes through 10 days. It is the same model, but better details. More realistic snow totals. Shows about 8 inches Bellingham area instead of the 15 that the lower resolution shows. I think Pivotalweather.com has better maps.

Pivotal does have better maps. Not as easy to navigate sometimes. Just my opinion

[Phil]

[Blizzard777]

Would love a prolonged cold and snowy January where ponds, lakes, rivers freeze over locally! North winds Howling with weather alerts constantly being posted.  It can happen!   Come On January!!!! 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Gradient Keeper]

Dang. GEFS block too far west, and little if any amplification. Boring "chilly" onshore flow. C'mon EURO/EPS!

[MossMan]

Lynch is on board.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Pivotal does have better maps. Not as easy to navigate sometimes. Just my opinion

Yeah, their navigation sucks.  Especially on a phone.

[AbbyJr]

[TacomaWaWx]

Winter cancel.

[Omegaraptor]

 

Columbia Basin cold pool!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[MossMan]

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1_cm-8441600.png

Filling my gas cans now!

[HighlandExperience]

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1_cm-8441600.png

Swamp donut hole

[GHweatherChris]

Cherry picked frames have commenced, weird...

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1_cm-8441600.png

So Bellingham gets 56 inches of snow and South Puget Sound gets 3?  

 

The problem that I mentioned earlier about lower resolution maps.  

[Gradient Keeper]

If we end up pinching the energy off with a kona low the potential ahead is the best in years.

[Esquimalt]

So Bellingham gets 56 inches of snow and South Puget Sound gets 3?

 

The problem that I mentioned earlier about lower resolution maps.

Those are in cm

[Cloud]

Please note the cm with Abby’s map.