Clinton Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Clinton, I think you're looking good for this one...hope it delivers! 18z 12k NAM is almost comical for me....shows a range in Shawnee (my) County of 2" in the northwest corner to 8" inches in the southeast corner. Talk about living on the edge... Thats scary! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mi_Matthew Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Not thrilled with the model runs so far today, but I'm still ok with being on the northwest periphery at this time range. More often than not the trend is north within 48 hours. The increasing separation between the waves is also good news up this way. 0z could change my tune completely though... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Not thrilled with the model runs so far today, but I'm still ok with being on the northwest periphery at this time range. More often than not the trend is north within 48 hours. The increasing separation between the waves is also good news up this way. 0z could change my tune completely though...Maybe tomorrow we will see some better runs as we get some sampling on the "Pacific Energy." 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Attm, cloudy w temps at 38F. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 18z RGEM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Local forecasts going with a general 2-4” in my area. Some may get 5”, some may get as little as 1”. Very light winds so probably very minimal travel concerns from what I’m reading. Doesn’t mean there won’t be some snow covered roads by tomorrow morning.Be happy with whatever you get from this system, it looks like we are in for another big fat nothing burger for those of us in East Central Nebraska. Back to normal around here after our near record snowfall Winter season last year... I forgot the common past result that we get missed to the north and to the south by storm systems this time of year. I am over it though, bring on the warmer weather in 40's next week, it's the only good thing about this weather pattern right now. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Be happy with whatever you get from this system, it looks like we are in for another big fat nothing burger for those of us in East Central Nebraska. Back to normal around here after our near record snowfall Winter season last year... I forgot the common past result that we get missed to the north and to the south by storm systems this time of year. I am over it though, bring on the warmer weather in 40's next week, it's the only good thing about this weather pattern right now.Yep. Never expecting much, so a couple of inches would sure make it look like the Christmas season. Will melt off quickly this week unfortunately. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Jaster-- We are still looking ok I guess. Fwiw:Later Monday, the accumulating snow will reach the central Appalachians and is expected to bend northward toward the lower Great Lakes region as well. So not only can people in Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Buffalo, New York, expect accumulating snow from the storm, but some snow is in store for Chicago, Detroit and Toronto. Thx Niko buddy, but their maps may be lagging behind the consensus forecast. Guess we could end up getting a last minute surprise (been a few this year) but until it's happening I'll just remain glad for Clinton and others down in NE/KS/MO and any one else who scores. Ho Ho Ho! Santa was shopping today 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Thx Niko buddy, but their maps may be lagging behind the consensus forecast. Guess we could end up getting a last minute surprise (been a few this year) but until it's happening I'll just remain glad for Clinton and others down in NE/KS/MO and any one else who scores. Ho Ho Ho! Santa was shopping today 2nd piece of energy coming on shore now, so tonights models should tell us where that will go. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Lezak just posted he favors the Euro based on the satellite presentation of the energy coming ashore and his analysis of the models. He also mentioned the NAM coming more in line with the Euro. The 00z guidance should be interesting with the energy on shore. More surprises ahead? 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 2nd piece of energy coming on shore now, so tonights models should tell us where that will go.Yep....important piece of energy that models could be missing. I'd give it tomorrow as well. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Thx Niko buddy, but their maps may be lagging behind the consensus forecast. Guess we could end up getting a last minute surprise (been a few this year) but until it's happening I'll just remain glad for Clinton and others down in NE/KS/MO and any one else who scores. Ho Ho Ho! Santa was shopping today I thought of that as well. I like surprises! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Clinton-- What type of headline does ya area have attm. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 14, 2019 Report Share Posted December 14, 2019 Clinton-- What type of headline does ya area have attm.Currently a WWA, but I believe my area will get a WSW here anytime. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Snow has begun at my house. A little ahead of schedule according to forecasts. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 18z Euro was weaker with second wave, hope the 00z runs rebound a little. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 18z Euro was weaker with second wave, hope the 00z runs rebound a little.I would guess KC will be pretty well shut down Monday morning if the storm verifies. I have nephews at KU and Rockhurst University whom I’d guess wouldn’t mind a snow day. My brother already told me he is going to work from home in Shawnee Monday and not drive to his office down at the Plaza. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 I would guess KC will be pretty well shut down Monday morning if the storm verifies. I have nephews at KU and Rockhurst University whom I’d guess wouldn’t mind a snow day. My brother already told me he is going to work from home in Shawnee Monday and not drive to his office down at the PlazaI expect my kids to have a snow day on Mon and maybe Tues. Last year the first big powdery snow caused some horrible accidents on I70 so I hope we don't have a repeat of that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 I expect my kids to have a snow day on Mon and maybe Tues. Last year the first big powdery snow caused some horrible accidents on I70 so I hope we don't have a repeat of that.I would say that’d be a good call. We’ve already used 2 snow days and wouldn’t want to use a third before Christmas vacation. Our school district builds in hours, about 5 days worth or so, before we have to start making up days. Our worst weather seems to always be January to April. Good luck 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 I would say that’d be a good call. We’ve already used 2 snow days and wouldn’t want to use a third before Christmas vacation. Our school district builds in hours, about 5 days worth or so, before we have to start making up days. Our worst weather seems to always be January to April. Good luckThanks can't wait for the flakes to start flying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Thanks can't wait for the flakes to start flying.Always fun with the anticipation of a storm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Ground already covered. 1/4 mile visibility. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Ground already covered. 1/4 mile visibility.It's getting after it quick! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 It's getting after it quick!Radar really blossomed. Who knows, maybe it’ll over perform. If the wind was blowing we’d have issues for sure. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Clinton, So, the 4-6 inches shown for KC is basically the warm advection snows tomorrow and then nothing Monday for KC? (18z Euro) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Clinton, So, the 4-6 inches shown for KC is basically the warm advection snows tomorrow and then nothing Monday for KC? (18z Euro)The Euro only had an inch or 2 on the last run for Monday. Gary showed the satallite picture of the second storm coming on shore and it looked impressive to him. Lets see what the 00z runs show for monday, My gut says 2-3 tomorrow with an additional 3-5 on Monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 00z NAM pounds KC area with wave one and wave 2 is developing nicely. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Wave one is really wide spread on the NAM 12km, 3-5 across KC area. Wave 2 is there, but only gets to I-70. Really close! NAM 3KM widespread also on wave 1, waiting on wave two Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Wave one is really wide spread on the NAM 12km, 3-5 across KC area. Wave 2 is there, but only gets to I-70. Really close! NAM 3KM widespread also on wave 1, waiting on wave two 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 00z NAM and 3km Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 00z NAM and 3kmYou’ll want the NAM. Didn’t realize the 3k was that much weaker with amounts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 You’ll want the NAM. Didn’t realize the 3k was that much weaker with amounts.It's really struggling with the second wave. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 How odd. I was in 2 rows of counties that were not placed on the winter weather advisory to my north and south this morning and afternoon. I’ve now been added. It just looked so strange to have advisories 25 miles north and south. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 How odd. I was in 2 rows of counties that were not placed on the winter weather advisory to my north and south this morning and afternoon. I’ve now been added. It just looked so strange to have advisories 25 miles north and south.Very strange, Seems like my office is still trying to figure things out also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Very strange, Seems like my office is still trying to figure things out also.I measured 1.5” as of 9pm. NWS Hastings says possibly 3” more. As always, where the heavier bands set up can make a big difference higher or lower. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Radar still looks good up your way, maybe you can tack on another 4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Radar still looks good up your way, maybe you can tack on another 4.If that occurs I’d be very happy and surprised. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 RGEM is interesting it was a little slower kicking out both waves, with the second one just clearing mby at hr 48. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Local Sheriff”s Office Twitter reporting very slick roads and several accidents on the highways outside of Holdrege. Really didn’t anticipate travel problems but they’re occurring. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 15, 2019 Report Share Posted December 15, 2019 Be happy with whatever you get from this system, it looks like we are in for another big fat nothing burger for those of us in East Central Nebraska. Back to normal around here after our near record snowfall Winter season last year... I forgot the common past result that we get missed to the north and to the south by storm systems this time of year. I am over it though, bring on the warmer weather in 40's next week, it's the only good thing about this weather pattern right now. I don’t expect it to live up to last winter since that was one of the snowiest on record for southeast Nebraska. But something slightly above average (Like 30-35”) would be nice. We just have to hope things get cranking by sometime in January. 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.